Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 16.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.1 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 95.0

Total Profit: -5.1

Cazoo Classic

21/07/2022 - 24/07/2022

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 SCO Robert MacIntyre 17 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.2/1) 5.56% 4.45% 2.84% -1.61% T20
2 RSA Thriston Lawrence 18 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.22% 2.85% -1.37% MC
3 RSA Oliver Bekker 20 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.81% 3.22% -0.59% T64
4 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 22 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.48% 1.97% -1.52% T11
5 FRA Romain Langasque 22 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.48% 1.29% -2.19% T46
6 ITA Edoardo Molinari 25 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.08% 1.63% -1.45% MC
7 SWE Alexander Bjork 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.76% 1.38% -1.39% T20
8 SCO Richie Ramsay 28 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.76% 1.34% -1.42% 1
9 ENG Richard Mansell 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.76% 1.21% -1.55% T29
10 ESP Adrian Otaegui 30 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.58% 3.46% 0.87% T29 11.47
11 ENG Marcus Armitage 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.36% 1.37% -0.98% T16
12 ENG Matthew Jordan 35 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.23% 1.5% -0.72% T34
13 ESP Jorge Campillo 40 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.95% 1.34% -0.62% T52
14 FRA Antoine Rozner 40 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.6/1) 2.44% 1.95% 1.16% -0.79% T34
15 FIN Sami Valimaki 45 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.74% 2.23% 0.48% T16 7.73
16 RSA JC Ritchie 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.57% 1.51% -0.06% T46 6.97
17 JPN Takumi Kanaya 50 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.57% 1.41% -0.16% MC 6.97
18 ENG Ross Fisher 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.57% 0.78% -0.79% T56
19 USA Sean Crocker 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.57% 0.55% -1.02% MC
20 KOR Bio Kim 50 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.57% 0.36% -1.22%
21 AUT Lukas Nemecz 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.43% 1.95% 0.52% T34 6.35
22 ENG Callum Shinkwin 60 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.31% 0.84% -0.48% T16
23 RSA Wilco Nienaber 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.2% 1.27% 0.07% 69 5.31
24 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.2% 0.7% -0.49% 60
25 ENG Jack Senior 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.2% 0.62% -0.57% T41
26 FRA Frederic LaCroix 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.13% 0.91% -0.21% T56 5.01
27 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.05% 0.73% -0.33% MC
28 SCO Ewen Ferguson 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.99% 1.7% 0.71% MC 4.39
29 FRA Julien Guerrier 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 1.58% 0.59% T3 (tied w/5) 4.39 +37.3
30 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 1.11% 0.12% MC 4.39
31 ENG Paul Waring 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.8% -0.19% 2 4.39 +37.3
32 ENG Matthew Southgate 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.78% -0.21% T56 4.39
33 ENG Eddie Pepperell 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.76% -0.23% T11
34 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.99% 0.69% -0.3%
35 SCO Grant Forrest 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.46% -0.53% T3
36 SWE Jens Dantorp 80 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.99% 0.45% -0.54% T8
37 USA Sihwan Kim 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.33% -0.66% T46
38 NZL Josh Geary 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.33% -0.66% MC
39 SWE Marcus Kinhult 87 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.8/1) 1.14% 0.91% 1.14% 0.23% T3 (tied w/5) 4.04 +20.3
40 IRL Niall Kearney 87 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.8/1) 1.14% 0.91% 0.8% -0.11% MC 4.04
41 ENG Dale Whitnell 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.88% 1.38% 0.5% T66 3.91
42 THA Jazz Janewattananond 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.88% 0.57% -0.31% MC
43 ESP Santiago Tarrio 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.88% 0.32% -0.56%
44 NED Darius Van Driel 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.82% 0.59% -0.22% T29 3.63
45 ENG Daniel Gavins 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 0.95% 0.15% MC 3.52
46 ENG Andy Sullivan 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 0.68% -0.11% T8 3.52
47 FRA Victor Dubuisson 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 0.33% -0.46% T11
48 NZL Daniel Hillier 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 0.32% -0.47% 68
49 RSA Zander Lombard 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.66% 0.02% T52 2.83
50 ESP Nacho Elvira 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.63% 0.85% 0.22% T34 2.8
51 SCO Craig Howie 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.61% 0.08% T29
52 RSA Louis de Jager 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.59% 0.06% MC
53 ENG Robert Rock 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.47% -0.06% MC
54 USA Jamie Lovemark 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.32% -0.21%
55 ENG David Horsey 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.51% 1.07% 0.56% T56
56 WAL Stuart Manley 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.46% 4.24% 3.79% T52
57 ENG Ashley Chesters 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.46% 1.18% 0.72% T34
58 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.46% 0.7% 0.24% T8
59 RSA Darren Fichardt 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.46% 0.55% 0.1% T20
60 ENG Matthew Baldwin 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.46% 0.32% -0.14% T20
61 MAS Gavin Green 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 1.02% 0.62% T26
62 NED Daan Huizing 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.85% 0.45% T3
63 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.71% 0.31% MC
64 RSA Richard Sterne 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.67% 0.27% T20
65 ENG Garrick Porteous 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.65% 0.25% T16
66 CHI Hugo Leon 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.63% 0.23% T61
67 RSA Bryce Easton 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% MC
68 ESP Pep Angles Ros 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.41% 0.01% MC
69 WAL Oliver Farr 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0% T46
70 SWE Bjorn Hellgren 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.32% -0.08% MC
71 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.63% 0.31% MC
72 SCO Stephen Gallacher 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.54% 0.22% MC
73 ENG Andrew Wilson 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.54% 0.22% T34
74 ESP Pedro Oriol 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.33% 0.01% MC
75 ENG David Coupland 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.33% 0.01% MC
76 AUS Blake Windred 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.33% 0.01% MC
77 ESP Alvaro Quiros 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.3% -0.02% MC
78 AUS Scott Hend 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.47% 0.2% MC
79 ENG Laird Shepherd 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.36% 0.1% MC
80 SWE Anton Karlsson 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.34% 0.07% T66
81 RSA Jacques Blaauw 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.33% 0.06% MC
82 ENG Steven Brown 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.32% 0.06% MC
83 ENG Todd Clements 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.32% 0.05% T26
84 ENG Jonathan Thomson 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.31% 0.04% MC
85 ENG Lee Slattery 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 1.09% 0.86% T11
86 SWE Jesper Svensson 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 1% 0.77% MC
87 ESP Alejandro Canizares 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.6% 0.37% MC
88 SCO Marc Warren 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.6% 0.37% MC
89 ENG Ben Stow 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.3% 0.08% T41
90 ENG Richard McEvoy 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.75% 0.55% T34
91 POR Ricardo Santos 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.69% 0.49% T41
92 FRA Robin Roussel 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.41% 0.21% T46
93 SWE Jesper Kennegard 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.34% 0.14% MC
94 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.33% 0.13% T41
95 ENG Alfie Plant 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.33% 0.13% T29
96 SCO David Drysdale 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.53% 0.37% T26
97 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.53% 0.37% MC
98 ENG Ross McGowan 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.53% 0.37% MC
99 AUS Jake McLeod 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.33% 0.17% MC
100 SWE Henric Sturehed 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.33% 0.17% T46
101 POR Pedro Figueiredo 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.16% T61
102 SCO Liam Johnston 500 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.16% MC
103 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.16% MC
104 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.38% 0.24% T41
105 ENG Ben Evans 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.33% 0.19% MC
106 AUS Rod Pampling 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.32% 0.19% MC
107 AUS Jarryd Felton 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.32% 0.19% T52
108 ENG Oliver Fisher 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.3% 0.17% 70
109 ENG Ryan Evans 636 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.7/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.32% 0.19% MC
110 ENG Nick McCarthy 636 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.7/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.32% 0.19% MC
111 ENG Matt Ford 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.4% 0.29% MC
112 ENG Adam Keogh 750 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.34% 0.23% MC
113 SWE Robin Petersson 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.32% 0.21% T3
114 FRA Damien Perrier 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.32% 0.22% T64
115 ENG Chris Paisley 861 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 95.6/1) 0.12% 0.09% 0.68% 0.59% MC
116 ENG Jack Singh Brar 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.67% 0.58% MC
117 CHN Zhang Huilin 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.37% 0.29% MC
118 ENG Harley Smith 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.34% 0.25% MC
119 ENG Frank Kennedy 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% MC
120 NIR Cormac Sharvin 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% MC
121 ENG David Howell 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.46% 0.38% MC
122 IRL Gavin Moynihan 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
123 BAN Siddikur Rahman 1000 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% MC
124 IRL Simon Thornton 1000 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24%
125 ENG David Dixon 1000 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% MC
126 ENG Jordan Wrisdale 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% T20
127 IMN Tom Gandy 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% MC
128 ENG Graeme Storm 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% MC
129 IRL Paul Dunne 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% MC
130 BEL Kristof Ulenaers 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.35% 0.28% MC
131 USA Tyler Koivisto 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.34% 0.27% WD
132 IRL David Higgins 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.35% 0.3% MC
133 SCO Greig Hutcheon 1500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.34% 0.29% MC
134 AUS Dimi Papadatos 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
135 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T11
136 SCO Richard McDonald 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
137 ENG Gary Boyd 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
138 CHN Backjun Bobby An 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
139 IRL Simon Thornton 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
140 ENG Bradley Bawden 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 ENG Thomas Thurloway 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 USA Aman Gupta 0% 0% 0% 0% T61
143 ENG Dan Bradbury 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 16.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.1 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 33.2% 17.4%
2 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 36.2% 19.9%
3 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 36.6% 20.4%
4 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 37% 20.7%
5 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 51.2% 24.6%
6 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 63.7% 24.6%
7 Coral 8 @ 1/5 63.7% 24.6%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 52.4% 25.5%
9 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 45.3% 28%
10 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 46.1% 28.7%
11 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 46.1% 28.7%
12 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 47.4% 29.9%
13 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 44.8% 30%
14 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 45.7% 30.8%
15 VBet 5 @ 1/4 51.1% 33.2%
16 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 64.7% 35.6%
17 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 64.7% 35.6%
18 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 81% 37.8%
19 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 53.8% 38%
20 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 53.9% 38.1%
21 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 60.4% 44%