Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 8.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.9 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 297.0

Total Profit: +196.9

Kenya Open

03/03/2022 - 06/03/2022

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 RSA Justin Harding 16 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 5.05% 1.76% -3.29% T42
2 POL Adrian Meronk 18 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 5.26% 4.52% 1.94% -2.58% T61
3 RSA Dean Burmester 22 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5/1) 4.35% 3.73% 1.87% -1.86% T26
4 BEL Thomas Detry 24 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.3/1) 4% 3.43% 1.7% -1.74% T26
5 ESP Adria Arnaus 25 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.5/1) 3.85% 3.3% 2.24% -1.06% T8
6 USA Johannes Veerman 27 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.8/1) 3.57% 3.07% 2.51% -0.55% T26
7 FRA Matthieu Pavon 33 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.52% 2.7% 0.18% T6 (tied w/2) 10.91 +41.5
8 ENG Marcus Armitage 39 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.5/1) 2.5% 2.15% 1.11% -1.04% T17
9 ARG Daniel Vancsik 39 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.5/1) 2.5% 2.15% 0.27% -1.87%
10 ESP Adrian Otaegui 40 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.09% 2.72% 0.63% T34 9.05
11 RSA Oliver Bekker 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.09% 2.56% 0.47% T8 9.05
12 FRA Julien Brun 40 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.09% 2.24% 0.14% T13 9.05
13 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 45 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.87% 0.83% -1.04% T42
14 SCO Scott Jamieson 47 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.5/1) 2.08% 1.79% 1.59% -0.2% T48 7.73
15 RSA Zander Lombard 47 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.5/1) 2.08% 1.79% 1.1% -0.68% MC
16 IND Shubhankar Sharma 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.68% 2.23% 0.55% T13 7.27
17 USA Sean Crocker 50 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.68% 1.19% -0.49% WD
18 SCO Richie Ramsay 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.68% 0.86% -0.83% MC
19 NED Wil Besseling 55 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.53% 0.52% -1.01% T40
20 SCO Connor Syme 60 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.41% 0.98% -0.43% T26
21 ENG Matthew Jordan 61 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.2/1) 1.61% 1.38% 0.9% -0.48% T71
22 ITA Francesco Laporta 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.28% 1.62% 0.34% T51 5.54
23 SCO David Law 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.28% 1.2% -0.08% T48 5.54
24 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.28% 0.93% -0.35% MC
25 FRA Frederic LaCroix 70 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.21% 0.74% -0.47% T51
26 GER Yannik Paul 70 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.21% 0.53% -0.68% T42
27 GER Hurly Long 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.13% 0.93% -0.2% T2
28 NED Joost Luiten 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.13% 0.85% -0.28% MC
29 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.06% 1.3% 0.24% T51 4.58
30 ITA Nino Bertasio 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.06% 1.2% 0.14% T51 4.58
31 FRA Antoine Rozner 80 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.9/1) 1.23% 1.06% 0.84% -0.22% T34
32 ENG Daniel Gavins 80 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.06% 0.78% -0.28% T6
33 CHN Wu Ashun 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 1% 1.15% 0.15% 1 4.31 +220.9
34 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 89 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16/1) 1.11% 0.95% 1.46% 0.51% T42 4.12
35 ITA Guido Migliozzi 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.94% 0.71% -0.23% MC
36 SWE Marcus Kinhult 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.94% 0.49% -0.45% T8
37 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.94% 0.45% -0.49% 60
38 SWE Joakim Lagergren 94 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.7/1) 1.05% 0.9% 1.25% 0.35% MC 3.91
39 ENG David Horsey 94 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.7/1) 1.05% 0.9% 1.14% 0.24% 5 3.91 +34.6
40 SWE Niklas Lemke 94 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.7/1) 1.05% 0.9% 0.41% -0.49% T17
41 SCO Craig Howie 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.82% -0.03% T42 3.67
42 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.85% 0.31% -0.54% T51
43 ESP Santiago Tarrio 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.27% -0.57%
44 AUT Lukas Nemecz 104 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.9/1) 0.95% 0.82% 2.25% 1.43% T17 3.54
45 ESP Jorge Campillo 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.77% 1.21% 0.44% T13 3.34
46 ENG Ross McGowan 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.46% -0.22% MC
47 CHI Hugo Leon 140 (888sport: 6 @ 1/5) 0.71% 0.61% 0.33% -0.28% MC
48 RSA Louis de Jager 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.6% 0.84% 0.24%
49 RSA Thriston Lawrence 150 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 1.58% 1.01% T2
50 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.8% 0.23% T17
51 ENG Richard Mansell 150 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.78% 0.21% WD
52 GER Sebastian Heisele 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.57% 0.31% -0.26% T74
53 NOR Espen Kofstad 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.29% -0.28% T17
54 RSA Bryce Easton 151 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.4/1) 0.66% 0.56% 1.74% 1.17% MC
55 ESP Alejandro Canizares 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.49% 0.94% 0.45% MC
56 ENG Andrew Wilson 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.49% 0.33% -0.16% MC
57 FIN Sami Valimaki 199 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.5/1) 0.5% 0.43% 0.68% 0.25% MC
58 SCO Ewen Ferguson 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 1.48% 1.05% T8
59 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 200 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.73% 0.3% T17
60 ENG Dale Whitnell 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.61% 0.19% MC
61 IRL Niall Kearney 200 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.59% 0.17% T34
62 ENG Eddie Pepperell 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.52% 0.1% MC
63 SWE Jens Dantorp 200 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.44% 0.01% T61
64 FRA Adrien Saddier 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.41% 0.5% 0.09% T51
65 ENG Garrick Porteous 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.41% 0.25% -0.16% T13
66 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 218 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.4/1) 0.46% 0.39% 0.6% 0.21% T34
67 GER Marcel Schneider 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.38% 0.31% -0.07% MC
68 ENG Ashley Chesters 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.36% 0.85% 0.49% T65
69 NED Darius Van Driel 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.36% 0.83% 0.47% MC
70 CZE Ondrej Lieser 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.36% 0.68% 0.32% MC
71 ESP Pep Angles Ros 250 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 1.29% 0.95% MC
72 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.78% 0.44% T17
73 USA Chase Hanna 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.75% 0.41% MC
74 SCO David Drysdale 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.62% 0.27% T34
75 POR Ricardo Santos 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.54% 0.2% T26
76 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.44% 0.1% T34
77 BRA Adilson da Silva 250 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.37% 0.03%
78 WAL Rhys Enoch 250 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.32% -0.02% MC
79 WAL Oliver Farr 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.32% -0.02% T48
80 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.27% -0.07% MC
81 SWE Jesper Svensson 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.27% -0.07% T26
82 ENG Oliver Wilson 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.33% 1.04% 0.7% MC
83 CAN Aaron Cockerill 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.33% 0.92% 0.58% T2
84 RSA Jacques Blaauw 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.32% 1.34% 1.02% MC
85 ITA Renato Paratore 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.32% 0.65% 0.33% T40
86 ENG Steven Brown 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.32% 0.54% 0.22% MC
87 NED Daan Huizing 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.32% 0.38% 0.06% MC
88 AUS Blake Windred 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.32% 0.27% -0.05% T65
89 ENG David Coupland 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.32% 0.25% -0.07% MC
90 ESP Alvaro Quiros 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.31% 0.7% 0.39% WD
91 GER Max Schmitt 284 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.6/1) 0.35% 0.3% 0.3% 0% T17
92 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.38% 0.09% MC
93 CHN Zhang Huilin 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.27% -0.01% MC
94 MAS Gavin Green 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.54% 0.26% MC
95 SWE Jens Fahrbring 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.25% -0.01% MC
96 IRL Paul Dunne 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.29% 0.05% T51
97 RSA Richard Sterne 379 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.5/1) 0.26% 0.23% 0.37% 0.15% T26
98 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 379 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.5/1) 0.26% 0.23% 0.36% 0.14% T65
99 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 379 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.5/1) 0.26% 0.23% 0.29% 0.07% MC
100 ENG Alfie Plant 379 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.5/1) 0.26% 0.23% 0.27% 0.05% T65
101 SWE Jesper Kennegard 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.44% 0.23% MC
102 ENG Lee Slattery 474 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.9/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.25% 0.07% T17
103 FRA Robin Roussel 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.55% 0.37% MC
104 SWE Joel Sjoholm 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.44% 0.27% MC
105 RSA Haydn Porteous 500 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.37% 0.2% MC
106 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 500 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.31% 0.14% MC
107 FRA Gregory Havret 500 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.29% 0.12% MC
108 ENG Chris Paisley 500 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.27% 0.1% T71
109 ENG Toby Tree 569 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.7/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% WD
110 ENG Ben Evans 664 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.3% 0.17% T65
111 ENG Richard McEvoy 674 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.54% 0.41% MC
112 WAL Stuart Manley 674 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.27% 0.15% T8
113 FRA Joel Stalter 712 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.2/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.52% 0.4% MC
114 GER Bernd Ritthammer 712 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.2/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.29% 0.17% T71
115 NIR Cormac Sharvin 712 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.2/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.27% 0.15% T74
116 ENG Oliver Fisher 721 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.28% 0.16% MC
117 ENG Graeme Storm 892 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.42% 0.32% MC
118 SWE Henric Sturehed 892 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.27% 0.18% T65
119 ENG Matt Ford 892 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.25% 0.15% T61
120 ENG David Howell 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.54% 0.45% MC
121 POR Pedro Figueiredo 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.45% 0.36% MC
122 IRL Gavin Moynihan 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% MC
123 KEN Greg Snow 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% MC
124 ESP Carlos Pigem 1000 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% MC
125 RSA David Wakhu 1500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.27% 0.22% MC
126 KEN Samuel Chege 2000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.27% 0.23% MC
127 KEN Dismas Indiza 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.27% 0.24% MC
128 KEN Erick Ooko Obura 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.27% 0.24% MC
129 ZIM Robson Chinhoi 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.27% 0.24% MC
130 KEN Justus Madoya 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.27% 0.24% MC
131 KEN Adel Balala 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.27% 0.24% MC
132 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T51
133 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T26
134 RSA Toto Thimba 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
135 CHN Backjun Bobby An 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
136 KEN Simon Ngigi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
137 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% T42
138 KEN Taimur Malik 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
139 KEN Njoroge Njonge Kibugu 0% 0% 0% 0% 64
140 UGA Ronald Rugumayo 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 MAW Paul Chidale 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 KEN Michael Karanga 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 KEN Edwin Mudanyi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 KEN Mohit Mediratta 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 KEN John Lejirma 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 KEN Daniel Nduva 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 KEN Dennis Maara 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 8.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.9 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 21.1% 21.1%
2 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 61.6% 23.1%
3 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 41.6% 24.8%
4 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 42.4% 27.9%
5 Betway 7 @ 1/5 56.7% 29.2%
6 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 58% 30.2%
7 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 58% 30.2%
8 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 58.3% 30.5%
9 Coral 7 @ 1/5 58.3% 30.5%
10 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 46.3% 31.4%
11 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 49.3% 31.6%
12 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 50% 32.2%
13 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 50% 32.2%
14 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 49.9% 34.6%
15 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 52.3% 36.8%
16 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 52.5% 37%
17 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 52.9% 37.4%
18 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 59.1% 40.3%
19 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 57.5% 41.5%
20 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 57.5% 41.5%
21 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 60.9% 44.5%
22 VBet 1 @ 1/1 72.7% 72.7%