Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 8.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.9 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.1

Ras al Khaimah Championship

03/02/2022 - 06/02/2022

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 10 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 9.09% 7.71% 2.27% -5.43% MC
2 ENG Jordan L Smith 20 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.04% 1.76% -2.28% 2
3 POL Adrian Meronk 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.26% 2.67% -0.59% T57
4 FRA Romain Langasque 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.26% 1.1% -2.16% MC
5 ENG Richard Bland 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.49% 2.87% 0.37% MC 10.96
6 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.49% 1.21% -1.28% T42
7 BEL Thomas Detry 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.49% 1.01% -1.48% T9
8 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 35 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.35% 1.75% -0.61% 1
9 SCO Robert MacIntyre 35 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.9/1) 2.78% 2.35% 0.75% -1.6% T13
10 USA Johannes Veerman 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.84% 1.35% -0.49% 12
11 NZL Ryan Fox 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.84% 1.08% -0.76% MC
12 SWE Alexander Bjork 47 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.5/1) 2.08% 1.77% 1.26% -0.51% MC
13 USA John Catlin 55 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.51% 2.02% 0.5% T57 6.66
14 FIN Kalle Samooja 55 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.51% 1.03% -0.49% MC
15 ENG Marcus Armitage 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.51% 1% -0.52% T35
16 FRA Antoine Rozner 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.51% 0.76% -0.76% MC
17 ENG Danny Willett 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.39% 1.61% 0.22% T35 6.11
18 FRA Julien Brun 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.39% 1.31% -0.08% T13 6.11
19 IRL Padraig Harrington 60 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.39% 1.13% -0.26% T27
20 SCO Grant Forrest 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.27% 1.51% 0.24% T64 5.56
21 CHN Hao Tong Li 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.27% 0.65% -0.62% T3
22 SCO Scott Jamieson 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.19% 1.2% 0.01% T21 5.25
23 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 70 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.5/1) 1.41% 1.19% 0.49% -0.71% MC
24 DEN Jeff Winther 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% 1.33% 0.29% T57 4.6
25 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 80 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.9/1) 1.23% 1.05% 1.18% 0.13% T35 4.6
26 ENG Callum Shinkwin 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.05% 0.91% -0.13% T21
27 RSA Brandon Stone 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.05% 0.81% -0.24% T35
28 FIN Mikko Korhonen 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 0.99% 0.64% -0.35% MC
29 FRA Victor Dubuisson 89 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16/1) 1.11% 0.94% 1.08% 0.14% 4.14
30 SWE Joakim Lagergren 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.93% 1.31% 0.38% T48 4.1
31 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.93% 1.18% 0.25% T42 4.1
32 ITA Edoardo Molinari 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.93% 0.96% 0.03% T27 4.1
33 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.93% 0.78% -0.15% T27
34 FRA Matthieu Pavon 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.93% 0.75% -0.18% T3
35 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.93% 0.67% -0.26% MC
36 ESP Santiago Tarrio 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.93% 0.2% -0.73%
37 ENG Matthew Jordan 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.84% 0.85% 0.01% T13 3.69
38 RSA George Coetzee 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.84% 0.72% -0.12% T27
39 RSA Shaun Norris 104 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.9/1) 0.95% 0.81% 1.13% 0.32% T9 3.55
40 ENG James Morrison 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.76% 1.76% 0.99% T48 3.36
41 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.76% 0.56% -0.2% MC
42 ARG Daniel Vancsik 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.76% 0.2% -0.56%
43 ITA Francesco Laporta 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% 1.37% 0.7% T21 2.96
44 GER Yannik Paul 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% 1.37% 0.7% T53 2.96
45 ITA Guido Migliozzi 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% 1.03% 0.36% T67 2.96
46 ENG David Horsey 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% 0.97% 0.29% T21 2.96
47 ITA Nino Bertasio 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% 0.86% 0.19% MC 2.96
48 ENG Daniel Gavins 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.67% 0.55% -0.12%
49 WAL Jamie Donaldson 132 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.3/1) 0.75% 0.64% 1.44% 0.8% T57 2.81
50 FRA Julien Guerrier 132 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.3/1) 0.75% 0.64% 0.72% 0.08% T13 2.81
51 SCO Richie Ramsay 132 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.3/1) 0.75% 0.64% 0.69% 0.05% MC 2.81
52 NED Wil Besseling 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.6% 0.56% -0.04% T35
53 AUS Jason Scrivener 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.59% 0.33% -0.26% T53
54 FRA Frederic LaCroix 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 1.44% 0.88% T53
55 FRA Alexander Levy 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.56% 0.98% 0.42% 72
56 ESP Alejandro Canizares 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 0.73% 0.17% WD
57 RSA Justin Walters 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 0.63% 0.07% MC
58 POR Ricardo Gouveia 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.56% 0.23% -0.33% MC
59 ESP Adrian Otaegui 161 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.5/1) 0.62% 0.52% 0.69% 0.17% T3
60 ENG Richard Mansell 170 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.5/1) 0.58% 0.5% 0.83% 0.33% T35
61 ESP Nacho Elvira 170 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.5/1) 0.58% 0.5% 0.8% 0.3% T48
62 ENG Ashley Chesters 170 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.5/1) 0.58% 0.5% 0.75% 0.26% T67
63 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 170 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.5/1) 0.58% 0.5% 0.57% 0.08% MC
64 SCO Ewen Ferguson 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.48% 1.11% 0.62%
65 SCO David Law 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.48% 0.51% 0.02% T7
66 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.48% 0.2% -0.28% T64
67 ESP Jorge Campillo 189 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.5/1) 0.53% 0.45% 0.73% 0.28% MC
68 CHI Hugo Leon 189 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.5/1) 0.53% 0.45% 0.53% 0.08% MC
69 ITA Renato Paratore 199 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.5/1) 0.5% 0.42% 0.5% 0.08% MC
70 ENG Jack Singh Brar 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.61% 0.19% MC
71 GER Maximilian Kieffer 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.6% 0.18% MC
72 ENG Dale Whitnell 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.54% 0.12% MC
73 GER Marcel Schneider 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.23% -0.19% MC
74 SCO Connor Syme 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.21% -0.21% T27
75 NOR Espen Kofstad 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.2% -0.23% MC
76 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.41% 1.05% 0.65% MC
77 ENG Ross Fisher 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.41% 0.54% 0.13% T18
78 FRA Benjamin Hebert 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.41% 0.29% -0.11% T35
79 ENG Eddie Pepperell 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.41% 0.22% -0.18% MC
80 USA Chase Hanna 218 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.4/1) 0.46% 0.39% 0.59% 0.2% MC
81 ESP Alvaro Quiros 218 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.4/1) 0.46% 0.39% 0.53% 0.14% MC
82 ITA Andrea Pavan 218 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.4/1) 0.46% 0.39% 0.51% 0.13% T57
83 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.36% 2.41% 2.06% MC
84 RSA Oliver Bekker 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.36% 1.57% 1.22% T9
85 RSA Zander Lombard 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.36% 0.63% 0.28% T57
86 GER Marcel Siem 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.36% 0.6% 0.25% T21
87 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.87% 0.53% T7
88 NED Darius Van Driel 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.62% 0.28% MC
89 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.51% 0.18% MC
90 FIN Sami Valimaki 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.31% -0.03% T70
91 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.25% -0.09% T27
92 GER Sebastian Heisele 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.19% -0.15% T42
93 ENG Matthew Southgate 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.33% 0.49% 0.16% T18
94 ENG Paul Waring 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.32% 0.65% 0.33%
95 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.32% 0.64% 0.33% T70
96 ENG Oliver Wilson 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.32% 0.57% 0.25% T27
97 AUS Maverick Antcliff 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.32% 0.24% -0.08% T27
98 GER Hurly Long 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.32% 0.23% -0.09% T18
99 ESP Miguel A Jimenez 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.31% 0.67% 0.36% MC
100 ENG Steven Brown 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.31% 0.31% 0% T42
101 AUT Lukas Nemecz 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.31% 0.2% -0.11% T3
102 SWE Marcus Kinhult 294 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.6/1) 0.34% 0.29% 0.32% 0.03%
103 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.19% -0.09% MC
104 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.28% 0.53% 0.25% MC
105 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.26% 0.85% 0.59% MC
106 WAL Oliver Farr 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.25% 0.51% 0.26% MC
107 SCO Stephen Gallacher 341 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.6/1) 0.29% 0.25% 0.41% 0.16%
108 SCO David Drysdale 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.69% 0.45% MC
109 RSA Darren Fichardt 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.21% -0.03% MC
110 NED Daan Huizing 379 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.5/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.27% 0.04% MC
111 NIR Tom McKibbin 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.2% -0.01% MC
112 RSA Thriston Lawrence 427 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.3/1) 0.23% 0.2% 2.23% 2.03% T53
113 SCO Craig Howie 427 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.3/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.6% 0.4% T21
114 ENG Andrew Wilson 427 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.3/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.23% 0.03% T64
115 ENG Ross McGowan 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.73% 0.56% MC
116 DEN Thomas Bjorn 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.35% 0.18% MC
117 RSA Richard Sterne 569 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.7/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.19% 0.04% T67
118 ENG Chris Wood 626 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.8/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.45% 0.31% MC
119 POR Ricardo Santos 655 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.3/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.38% 0.25% 47
120 ENG Chris Paisley 664 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.34% 0.21% MC
121 SCO Marc Warren 759 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.49% 0.38% MC
122 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 759 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.26% 0.15% MC
123 SWE Rikard Karlberg 759 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.24% 0.13% MC
124 ENG Richard McEvoy 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.28% 0.19% T48
125 SCO Colin Montgomerie 1000 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% MC
126 ENG David Howell 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.12% MC
127 UAE Ahmed Al musharrekh 1500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.21% 0.15% MC
128 UAE Ahmed Skaik 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.22% 0.19% MC
129 EGY Issa Abou El Ela 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.2% 0.17% MC
130 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T13
131 ENG Graeme Storm 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
132 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
133 SWE Niklas Lemke 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
134 SWE Joel Sjoholm 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
135 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 0% 0% 0% 0% T48
136 FRA Joel Stalter 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
137 CAN Aaron Cockerill 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
138 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% T57
139 ENG Monty Scowsill 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 8.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.9 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 10.8% 10.8%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 31.2% 15.5%
3 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 48.6% 22.2%
4 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 39.5% 25%
5 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 39.5% 25%
6 Betway 7 @ 1/5 56.6% 28.8%
7 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 58.3% 30.2%
8 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 58.3% 30.2%
9 Coral 7 @ 1/5 59.8% 31.4%
10 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 73.5% 31.9%
11 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 60.7% 32.2%
12 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 52.3% 34.1%
13 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 49.6% 34.2%
14 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 50.1% 34.6%
15 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 50.3% 34.8%
16 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 51.4% 35.8%
17 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 53.2% 37.3%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 53.8% 37.9%
19 Sport Nation 1 @ 1/1 49.5% 49.5%