Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 8.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -3.4 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 32.8

Total Profit: -67.3

Joburg Open

25/11/2021 - 28/11/2021

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 RSA Dean Burmester 9 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 10% 8.63% 3.43% -5.19% T43
2 RSA Dylan Frittelli 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.54% 2.37% -2.17% T12
3 USA Johannes Veerman 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.75% 3.14% -0.61% T12
4 FRA Romain Langasque 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.32% 1.18% -2.14% T71
5 RSA Wilco Nienaber 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.32% 0.88% -2.44% T43
6 RSA George Coetzee 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.98% 0.73% -2.24% T71
7 ENG Matthew Jordan 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.78% 3.53% 0.75% WD 12.36
8 RSA Shaun Norris 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.78% 1.47% -1.31% T3
9 RSA Brandon Stone 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.54% 0.68% -1.86% T43
10 GER Matthias Schmid 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.4% 3.28% 0.88% T23 10.64
11 RSA Justin Harding 35 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.4% 1.75% -0.64% T23
12 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.1% 1.91% -0.19% T12
13 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.1% 1.85% -0.25% WD
14 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 40 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.1% 0.39% -1.72% T114
15 FRA Julien Brun 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.1% 0.36% -1.75% T12
16 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 45 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.88% 2.75% 0.88% T32 8.33
17 ITA Renato Paratore 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.69% 1.92% 0.23% T32 7.51
18 RSA Darren Fichardt 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.41% 0.58% -0.83% T71
19 ENG Daniel Gavins 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.29% 1.97% 0.68% T43 5.72
20 SCO Richie Ramsay 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.29% 1.61% 0.33% WD 5.72
21 GER Marcel Siem 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.29% 1.33% 0.04% T99 5.72
22 RSA Justin Walters 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.29% 1.2% -0.09% T92 5.72
23 ENG Ross Fisher 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.29% 0.7% -0.59% T43
24 RSA Zander Lombard 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.29% 0.61% -0.67% 2
25 RSA Louis de Jager 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.29% 0.49% -0.8% T32
26 POR Ricardo Gouveia 66 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13/1) 1.49% 1.29% 0.4% -0.89% T57
27 GER Yannik Paul 66 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.29% 0.36% -0.93% T8
28 IRL Niall Kearney 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.22% 1.31% 0.1% WD 5.4
29 RSA Richard Sterne 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.22% 0.36% -0.86% T124
30 ESP Pep Angles Ros 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.07% 2.68% 1.61% T23 4.73
31 CHI Hugo Leon 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.07% 1.37% 0.31% T32 4.73
32 RSA Jaco Ahlers 80 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.9/1) 1.23% 1.07% 0.35% -0.72% T43
33 RSA Neil Schietekat 94 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.7/1) 1.05% 0.91% 0.38% -0.53% T99
34 NED Darius Van Driel 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 2.13% 1.27% T57 3.8
35 WAL Rhys Enoch 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.64% -0.22% T99
36 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.4% -0.46% T32
37 RSA JC Ritchie 104 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.9/1) 0.95% 0.82% 1.31% 0.48% T8 3.65
38 RSA Bryce Easton 104 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.9/1) 0.95% 0.82% 1.3% 0.48% T23 3.65
39 ENG Oliver Wilson 113 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19/1) 0.88% 0.76% 1.19% 0.44% T71 3.36
40 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 113 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19/1) 0.88% 0.76% 0.39% -0.37% 7
41 NOR Espen Kofstad 113 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19/1) 0.88% 0.76% 0.36% -0.4% T57
42 ENG Ashley Chesters 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.7% 1.17% 0.48% T3 (tied w/2) 3.09 +32.8
43 RSA Oliver Bekker 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.7% 0.36% -0.34% T43
44 FRA Frederic LaCroix 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.7% 0.36% -0.34% T5
45 ENG Dale Whitnell 125 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 1.27% 0.58% T32 3.04
46 AUT Lukas Nemecz 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.36% -0.33% T43
47 ENG Steven Brown 132 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.3/1) 0.75% 0.65% 0.55% -0.1% WD 2.88
48 CAN Aaron Cockerill 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.6% 1.07% 0.46% T12
49 SWE Jens Dantorp 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.6% 0.36% -0.25% T71
50 GER Hurly Long 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 2.47% 1.9% WD
51 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.73% 0.16% T32
52 ITA Matteo Manassero 170 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.5/1) 0.58% 0.5% 0.36% -0.15% T114
53 CZE Ondrej Lieser 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.49% 0.56% 0.07% T32
54 WAL Oliver Farr 180 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.5/1) 0.55% 0.48% 0.82% 0.34% WD
55 SCO David Drysdale 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.43% 0.77% 0.34% T23
56 SCO Craig Howie 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.41% 0.76% 0.35% WD
57 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.41% 0.7% 0.28% WD
58 RSA Thomas Aiken 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.41% 0.58% 0.16% T99
59 ENG Andrew Wilson 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.41% 0.36% -0.06% WD
60 RSA Jacques Blaauw 227 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.3/1) 0.44% 0.38% 0.36% -0.02% T23
61 ENG Steve Surry 227 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.3/1) 0.44% 0.38% 0.36% -0.02% WD
62 USA Julian Suri 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.36% 0.69% 0.33% T112
63 FRA Ugo Coussaud 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.36% 0.36% -0.01% T99
64 ENG Lee Slattery 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.51% 0.16% WD
65 RSA Martin Vorster 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.36% 0.01% T85
66 RSA Trevor Fisher Jr 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.34% 0.36% 0.02% T92
67 NED Daan Huizing 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.32% 0.4% 0.07% T57
68 RSA Jbe Kruger 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.32% 0.36% 0.03% T32
69 SWE Jesper Kennegard 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.32% 0.36% 0.03% T126
70 NED Lars Van Meijel 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.84% 0.56% T57
71 FRA Robin Roussel 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.54% 0.27% T99
72 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.36% 0.08% T23
73 RSA Ockie Strydom 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.36% 0.08% T12
74 RSA Thriston Lawrence 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.38% 0.12% 1
75 SWE Anton Karlsson 379 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.5/1) 0.26% 0.23% 0.37% 0.15% T57
76 RSA Jean-Paul Strydom 379 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.5/1) 0.26% 0.23% 0.36% 0.13% WD
77 RSA Louis Albertse 379 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.5/1) 0.26% 0.23% 0.36% 0.13% T85
78 POR Ricardo Santos 389 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.5/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.92% 0.7% T71
79 RSA Martin Rohwer 389 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.5/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.38% 0.16% T71
80 RSA Keenan Davidse 389 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.5/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.36% 0.13% T57
81 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 389 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.5/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.36% 0.13% T5
82 RSA Luke Brown 389 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.5/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.36% 0.13% T12
83 ITA Lorenzo Scalise 398 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.4/1) 0.25% 0.22% 0.4% 0.19% T12
84 RSA Haydn Porteous 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.22% 0.58% 0.36% T71
85 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 417 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.3/1) 0.24% 0.21% 0.46% 0.25% T99
86 RSA Alex Haindl 455 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 60/1) 0.22% 0.19% 0.36% 0.17% T57
87 RSA Pieter Moolman 484 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.8/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.36% 0.18% 118
88 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.62% 0.45% T108
89 RSA Jaco Prinsloo 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.36% 0.18% T12
90 ENG Oliver Fisher 569 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.7/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.89% 0.74% WD
91 ENG Richard McEvoy 569 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.7/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.84% 0.69% WD
92 RSA Hennie Otto 569 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.7/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.36% 0.2% T119
93 RSA Lyle Rowe 569 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.7/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.36% 0.2% T43
94 RSA Keith Horne 579 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.6/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% T8
95 ENG David Howell 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.53% 0.38% WD
96 RSA James Du Preez Jnr 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.37% 0.23% T92
97 RSA Luke Jerling 626 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.8/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.36% 0.22% T71
98 RSA Deon Germishuys 626 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.8/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.36% 0.22% T71
99 IRL Paul Dunne 626 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.8/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.33% 0.19% WD
100 ENG Matt Ford 636 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.7/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.76% 0.62% WD
101 FRA Joel Stalter 645 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.5/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.57% 0.44% WD
102 RSA Ruan Conradie 664 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.38% 0.25% T43
103 NIR Cormac Sharvin 683 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.8/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.64% 0.52% WD
104 POR Pedro Figueiredo 712 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.2/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.39% 0.27% T126
105 ENG Angus Flanagan 712 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.2/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.36% 0.24% T119
106 RSA Ulrich Van Den Berg 712 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.2/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.36% 0.23% WD
107 RSA Jake Roos 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.36% 0.24% T57
108 ENG Graeme Storm 892 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.59% 0.49% WD
109 ESP Carlos Pigem 892 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.31% 0.22% WD
110 SWE Philip Eriksson 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.38% 0.29% T124
111 RSA Jean Hugo 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% T57
112 RSA Christiaan Basson 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% T126
113 RSA Daniel Greene 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% T85
114 RSA MJ Viljoen 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% T12
115 ENG Jack Harrison 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% T99
116 RSA CJ du Plessis 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% T57
117 RSA Jovan Rebula 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% T119
118 RSA Estiaan Conradie 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% T43
119 SWE Jens Fahrbring 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.35% 0.26% T43
120 SCO Liam Johnston 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.59% 0.5% WD
121 RSA James Kingston 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% T99
122 RSA Callum Mowat 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% T71
123 RSA James Kamte 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% WD
124 POR Stephen Ferreira 1000 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% T32
125 RSA Jake Redman 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% 123
126 RSA Dylan Naidoo 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% T92
127 RSA Nikhil Rama 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% T112
128 BEL Kristof Ulenaers 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% T71
129 RSA Merrick Bremner 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.36% 0.29% T43
130 RSA Ruan de Smidt 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.36% 0.29% WD
131 RSA JJ Senekal 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.36% 0.31% T126
132 RSA Jacquin Hess 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.36% 0.31% T108
133 ZIM Benjamin Follett-Smith 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.36% 0.32% T92
134 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T85
135 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T23
136 USA Chase Hanna 0% 0% 0% 0% T12
137 RSA Heinrich Bruiners 0% 0% 0% 0% T8
138 ZAM Madalitso Muthiya 0% 0% 0% 0% T23
139 RSA Derick Petersen 0% 0% 0% 0% T114
140 RSA Rourke Van der Spuy 0% 0% 0% 0% T71
141 RSA Michael Palmer 0% 0% 0% 0% T71
142 RSA Toto Thimba 0% 0% 0% 0% T43
143 RSA Ruan Korb 0% 0% 0% 0% T92
144 USA Chris Cannon 0% 0% 0% 0% T85
145 RSA Jacques de Villiers 0% 0% 0% 0% T32
146 RSA Alpheus Kelapile 0% 0% 0% 0% T119
147 RSA Dwayne Basson 0% 0% 0% 0% T114
148 ZAM Dayne Moore 0% 0% 0% 0% T92
149 RSA Malcolm Mitchell 0% 0% 0% 0% T85
150 RSA Jason Smith 0% 0% 0% 0% T85
151 RSA Hennie O'Kennedy 0% 0% 0% 0% T108
152 RSA Rupert Kaminski 0% 0% 0% 0% T57
153 RSA Siyanda Mwandla 0% 0% 0% 0% T108
154 RSA Luca Filippi 0% 0% 0% 0% T57
155 CHI Zheng-kai Bai 0% 0% 0% 0% T57
156 RSA Shalan Govender 0% 0% 0% 0% 130

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 8.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -3.4 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 12.4% 12.4%
2 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 48.9% 13.3%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 52.7% 16.2%
4 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 53.6% 16.9%
5 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 58.3% 20.6%
6 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 38.2% 21.8%
7 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 61.2% 22.7%
8 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 50.2% 23.8%
9 QuinnBet 7 @ 1/5 51.7% 25%
10 Betway 7 @ 1/5 58.9% 30.9%
11 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 50.8% 32.9%
12 VBet 5 @ 1/4 51.5% 33.6%
13 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 50.6% 35.2%
14 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 50.6% 35.2%
15 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 55.3% 37%
16 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 55.3% 37%
17 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 55.6% 37.2%
18 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 56.3% 37.8%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 61.5% 45%
20 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 64.9% 48.2%