Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 5.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -4.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 249.0

Total Profit: +149

John Deere Classic

30/06/2022 - 03/07/2022

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Webb Simpson 14 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.93% 1.33% -4.6% MC
2 CAN Adam Hadwin 18 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.68% 2.59% -2.09% MC
3 USA Sahith Theegala 25 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.42% 2.07% -1.35% T16
4 USA Denny McCarthy 28 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 3.07% 2.17% -0.9% T6
5 USA Patrick Rodgers 30 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.87% 1.14% -1.73% T30
6 USA Scott Stallings 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.61% 1.65% -0.97% T4
7 AUS Jason Day 33 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.61% 1.4% -1.21%
8 USA Maverick McNealy 33 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.61% 1.34% -1.27% T8
9 USA Charles Howell III 33 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.61% 1.24% -1.37% T13
10 USA Adam Long 35 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.47% 1.2% -1.27% T13
11 USA Nick Hardy 40 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.17% 1.26% -0.91% T30
12 AUS Cameron Davis 45 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.93% 1.6% -0.33% T8
13 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 46 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.4/1) 2.13% 1.89% 1.45% -0.44% T2
14 USA Brendon Todd 48 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.7/1) 2.04% 1.81% 1.73% -0.09% T43 8.04
15 USA Chez Reavie 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.74% 2.23% 0.49% MC 7.73
16 USA JT Poston 55 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.59% 2.26% 0.68% 1 7.04 +249
17 USA Adam Schenk 60 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.46% 0.99% -0.47% WD
18 USA Lanto Griffin 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.33% 1.73% 0.41% MC 5.88
19 USA John Huh 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.33% 1.46% 0.13% MC 5.88
20 IND Anirban Lahiri 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.33% 1.23% -0.1% T51 5.88
21 CAN Adam Svensson 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.33% 1.12% -0.2% T24
22 USA Kevin Streelman 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.33% 1.1% -0.23% T41
23 USA Doug Ghim 66 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.33% 1.05% -0.28% MC
24 USA Cameron Champ 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.33% 0.74% -0.58% MC
25 USA Steve Stricker 66 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.33% 0.17% -1.16%
26 USA Lucas Glover 68 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.2/1) 1.45% 1.29% 1.87% 0.58% MC 5.71
27 SCO Martin Laird 70 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.25% 0.83% -0.42% T30
28 ARG Emiliano Grillo 70 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.25% 0.78% -0.47% T2
29 TPE C.T. Pan 73 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.9/1) 1.35% 1.2% 1.12% -0.08% T24 5.33
30 CAN Nick Taylor 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.1% 1.39% 0.3% MC 4.87
31 CAN Taylor Pendrith 80 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.1% 1.38% 0.28% 4.87
32 USA Mark Hubbard 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.1% 1.04% -0.06% T13 4.87
33 USA Alex Smalley 80 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.1% 0.99% -0.11% T16 4.87
34 USA David Lipsky 80 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.1% 0.94% -0.15% T24 4.87
35 USA Patton Kizzire 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.1% 0.91% -0.19% T16
36 RSA Dylan Frittelli 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.1% 0.91% -0.19% T30
37 USA Tyler Duncan 90 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.98% 0.69% -0.28% WD
38 USA Andrew Putnam 100 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.88% 1.5% 0.62% T41 3.91
39 USA Ryan Armour 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.88% 0.95% 0.07% MC 3.91
40 USA Nate Lashley 100 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.88% 0.88% 0% MC 3.91
41 ENG Matt Wallace 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.71% 0.99% 0.29% MC 3.13
42 USA Austin Smotherman 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.71% 0.8% 0.09% MC 3.13
43 USA Sam Ryder 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.71% 0.8% 0.09% T60 3.13
44 USA Scott Piercy 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.71% 0.75% 0.04% MC 3.13
45 USA Ryan Moore 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.71% 0.44% -0.26% T24
46 USA Hank Lebioda 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.7% 0.49% -0.21% T43
47 GER Stephan Jaeger 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.6% 0.55% -0.06% T30
48 USA Hayden Buckley 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.59% 0.93% 0.34% T30
49 USA Lee Hodges 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.59% 0.86% 0.27% T43
50 USA Taylor Moore 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.59% 0.78% 0.19% T24
51 USA Chesson Hadley 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.59% 0.64% 0.05% T10
52 USA Chad Ramey 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.59% 0.61% 0.02% MC
53 USA James Hahn 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.59% 0.57% -0.02% T67
54 USA Chase Seiffert 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.59% 0.44% -0.15% MC
55 USA Michael Thompson 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.51% 0.81% 0.3% 59
56 USA Robert Streb 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.51% 0.75% 0.25% MC
57 SVK Rory Sabbatini 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.45% 1.06% 0.61% T63
58 AUT Matthias Schwab 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.45% 0.69% 0.24% T16
59 USA Joseph Bramlett 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.75% 0.31% MC
60 USA Brice Garnett 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.72% 0.28% MC
61 USA Bill Haas 200 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.71% 0.27% MC
62 USA Kramer Hickok 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.63% 0.19% 62
63 USA Scott Brown 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.44% 0.2% -0.24% MC
64 USA Brandon Wu 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.43% 0.67% 0.23% T30
65 USA Vaughn Taylor 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.41% 0.55% 0.14% T30
66 USA Charley Hoffman 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.41% 0.3% -0.11% MC
67 USA Ben Martin 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.4% 0.25% -0.15% MC
68 USA Doc Redman 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.38% 0.76% 0.38% MC
69 USA Kevin Chappell 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.38% 0.46% 0.08% MC
70 USA Andrew Novak 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 0.47% 0.12% T30
71 USA Greyson Sigg 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.35% 1.15% 0.8% T16
72 USA Peter Malnati 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.35% 0.94% 0.59% T30
73 ENG Callum Tarren 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.35% 0.52% 0.18% T6
74 USA Brandt Snedeker 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.32% 0.42% 0.1% MC
75 USA Grayson Murray 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.3% 0.77% 0.47% MC
76 SWE David Lingmerth 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.3% 0.63% 0.34% MC
77 USA Kelly Kraft 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.29% 0.72% 0.43% T24
78 USA Trey Mullinax 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.28% 0.57% 0.29% MC
79 SWE Henrik Norlander 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.28% 0.21% -0.07% MC
80 USA Brian Stuard 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.27% 0.52% 0.25% MC
81 USA Harry Higgs 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.27% 0.51% 0.25% MC
82 USA Ben Kohles 350 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% 0.25% 0% MC
83 USA Justin Lower 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.25% 0.56% 0.31% T51
84 USA Jonathan Byrd 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.25% 0.4% 0.15% T43
85 AUS Cameron Percy 362 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.8/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.21% -0.03% MC
86 FRA Paul Barjon 391 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.7/1) 0.26% 0.23% 0.77% 0.54% MC
87 USA Sean O'Hair 391 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.7/1) 0.26% 0.23% 0.57% 0.34% MC
88 USA Wesley Bryan 391 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.7/1) 0.26% 0.23% 0.34% 0.12% MC
89 USA Chris Stroud 391 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.7/1) 0.26% 0.23% 0.14% -0.09% MC
90 USA Scott Gutschewski 400 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.22% 0.27% 0.04% MC
91 USA William McGirt 401 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.7/1) 0.25% 0.22% 0.49% 0.27% MC
92 CAN Roger Sloan 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.22% 0.51% 0.3% WD
93 USA Austin Cook 440 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.6/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.47% 0.27% T16
94 ARG Fabian Gomez 450 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.2% 0.16% -0.03% T43
95 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.52% 0.34% T30
96 COL Camilo Villegas 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.35% 0.17% MC
97 USA Kevin Tway 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.44% 0.27% MC
98 USA Andrew Landry 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.17% -0.01% WD
99 SWE Jonas Blixt 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 0.38% 0.2% MC
100 KOR Seungyul Noh 509 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.2/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.38% 0.21% T43
101 CAN Michael Gligic 518 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66/1) 0.19% 0.17% 0.43% 0.26% T10
102 KOR Sunghoon Kang 587 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.3/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% MC
103 USA Jason Dufner 597 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73.2/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.37% 0.22% MC
104 AUS Mark Hensby 616 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.9/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.27% 0.12% MC
105 USA Brian Gay 636 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.7/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.42% 0.28% MC
106 USA Brandon Hagy 685 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.9/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.59% 0.46% T63
107 USA Jim Knous 695 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 81.8/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.42% 0.3% MC
108 AUS Aaron Baddeley 705 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 82.6/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.58% 0.45% T51
109 USA Bo Van Pelt 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.44% 0.32% MC
110 USA Ben Crane 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.21% 0.09% MC
111 AUS Greg Chalmers 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.21% 0.09% MC
112 USA Richy Werenski 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.7% 0.61% MC
113 USA Robert Garrigus 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.6% 0.51% MC
114 USA Martin Trainer 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.51% 0.42% T63
115 USA Dylan Wu 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.5% 0.41% T43
116 USA Nick Watney 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.48% 0.39% MC
117 USA Jared Wolfe 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.41% 0.31% MC
118 ENG David Skinns 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.39% 0.3% MC
119 RSA Dawie van der Walt 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.38% 0.29% MC
120 USA Bo Hoag 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.34% 0.25% T16
121 USA Curtis Thompson 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.31% 0.22% T51
122 USA Max McGreevy 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.31% 0.21% MC
123 USA Patrick Flavin 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.28% 0.19% T10
124 AUS Brett Drewitt 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% MC
125 USA Joshua Creel 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% MC
126 USA Seth Reeves 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.23% 0.14% 66
127 CAN David Hearn 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.21% 0.12% MC
128 USA Tommy Gainey 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% T51
129 USA Ryan Brehm 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% MC
130 USA D.J. Trahan 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% MC
131 USA Shawn Stefani 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% MC
132 USA Boo Weekley 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% MC
133 USA Johnson Wagner 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% MC
134 USA Ricky Barnes 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.21% 0.12% 69
135 USA D.A. Points 1000 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.21% 0.12% MC
136 USA John Merrick 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.2% 0.11% MC
137 USA Sean McCarty 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% MC
138 USA Luke Gannon 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.17% 0.09% MC
139 IND Arjun Atwal 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% MC
140 USA Derek Ernst 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% T51
141 AUS John Senden 1500 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.22% 0.16% MC
142 USA Kevin Stadler 1500 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.2% 0.14% MC
143 ENG Brian Davis 1500 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.18% 0.12% MC
144 USA Parker McLachlin 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.21% 0.17% MC
145 USA Omar Uresti 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.19% 0.15% T67
146 USA Zach Johnson 0% 0% 0% 0% T60
147 USA Matt Every 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 KOR K.J. Choi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 USA Morgan Hoffmann 0% 0% 0% 0% T51
150 USA Ted Potter-jr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 SWE Richard S. Johnson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 USA Chris Naegel 0% 0% 0% 0% T16
153 USA Vincent Whaley 0% 0% 0% 0% T43
154 JPN Ryuji Imada 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 USA Chris Gotterup 0% 0% 0% 0% T4
156 USA Preston Stanley 0% 0% 0% 0% T51
157 USA Nathan Petronzio 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 USA Quinn Riley 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 USA Charles Jahn 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 5.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -4.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 16.5% 16.5%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 54.5% 17.7%
3 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 55.2% 18.2%
4 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 35.9% 19.8%
5 QuinnBet 7 @ 1/5 51.5% 25%
6 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 64.5% 25.4%
7 Coral 8 @ 1/5 64.5% 25.4%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 52.6% 25.9%
9 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 43.3% 26.5%
10 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 43.7% 26.8%
11 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 43.7% 26.8%
12 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 66.9% 27.2%
13 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 66.9% 27.2%
14 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 45.8% 28.7%
15 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 70.3% 29.8%
16 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 47.5% 32.6%
17 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 50% 34.9%
18 VBet 5 @ 1/4 54.8% 36.5%
19 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 57.3% 38.8%
20 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 56.4% 40.6%
21 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 58.8% 42.7%