Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 2.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -8.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 25.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.1

Sony Open in Hawaii

13/01/2022 - 16/01/2022

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 AUS Cameron Smith 10 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 9.09% 8.23% 4.28% -3.95% MC
2 KOR Sungjae Im 16 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 5.32% 4.49% -0.83% MC
3 USA Webb Simpson 16 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 5.32% 1.78% -3.55% T61
4 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.76% 2.44% -2.32% 1
5 AUS Marc Leishman 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.31% 2.14% -2.17% T36
6 CAN Corey Conners 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.48% 1.51% -1.97% 11
7 USA Kevin Na 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.92% 2.49% -0.43% T20
8 MEX Abraham Ancer 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.51% 4.3% 1.79% MC 9.81
9 USA Talor Gooch 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.51% 2.11% -0.4% T27
10 USA Kevin Kisner 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.51% 1.29% -1.22% T3
11 USA Russell Henley 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.51% 1.24% -1.27% 2
12 USA Harris English 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.51% 1.22% -1.3% T55
13 IRL Seamus Power 45 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.97% 1.27% -0.7% T3
14 USA Billy Horschel 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.77% 2.43% 0.66% T36 6.92
15 USA Maverick McNealy 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.77% 1.57% -0.2% T27 6.92
16 AUS Matt Jones 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.77% 1.44% -0.33% MC 6.92
17 USA Charles Howell III 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.77% 0.85% -0.93% T36
18 USA Jason Kokrak 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.62% 2.64% 1.03% T17 6.31
19 KOR Siwoo Kim 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.48% 1.7% 0.22% T55 5.79
20 USA Joel Dahmen 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.48% 1.16% -0.33% MC 5.79
21 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.35% 1.15% -0.2% T17 5.27
22 AUS Cameron Davis 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.35% 1.08% -0.27% T27 5.27
23 USA Chris Kirk 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.27% 0.6% -0.68% T27
24 RSA Erik van Rooyen 80 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.12% 2.41% 1.3% T20 4.36
25 USA Stewart Cink 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.12% 1.1% -0.02% T36 4.36
26 USA Ryan Palmer 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.12% 1.07% -0.04% T12 4.36
27 USA Brendan Steele 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.12% 0.72% -0.4% MC
28 USA Keith Mitchell 94 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.7/1) 1.05% 0.95% 1.22% 0.27% T7 3.72
29 USA Brian Harman 94 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.7/1) 1.05% 0.95% 0.32% -0.64% T48
30 USA Tom Hoge 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.9% 1.22% 0.32% MC 3.5
31 RSA Branden Grace 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.9% 1.19% 0.29% MC 3.5
32 USA Patton Kizzire 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.9% 0.46% -0.44% T42
33 USA Brendon Todd 104 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.9/1) 0.95% 0.86% 0.72% -0.14% T48 3.37
34 USA Denny McCarthy 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.73% 0.8% 0.07% T48 2.85
35 USA Alex Smalley 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.72% 1.07% 0.35% MC 2.81
36 SCO Russell Knox 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.72% 0.67% -0.05% T7 2.81
37 ARG Emiliano Grillo 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.72% 0.53% -0.19% MC 2.81
38 USA Zach Johnson 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.72% 0.29% -0.43% MC
39 USA Matt Kuchar 132 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.3/1) 0.75% 0.68% 0.74% 0.06% T7 2.66
40 USA Hudson Swafford 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.6% 1.11% 0.51% T48
41 SVK Rory Sabbatini 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.6% 0.96% 0.36% MC
42 USA John Huh 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.6% 0.53% -0.07% MC
43 GER Stephan Jaeger 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.6% 0.41% -0.19% MC
44 USA Chad Ramey 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.6% 0.38% -0.22% MC
45 USA Keegan Bradley 151 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.4/1) 0.66% 0.6% 0.51% -0.09% T12
46 USA J.J Spaun 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.56% 0.58% 0.02% MC
47 USA Vincent Whaley 175 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.51% 0.44% -0.08% T17
48 USA Adam Long 199 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.5/1) 0.5% 0.45% 0.9% 0.45% MC
49 USA Nick Hardy 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.45% 0.54% 0.09% MC
50 USA Michael Thompson 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.45% 0.38% -0.07% T5
51 NIR Graeme McDowell 218 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.4/1) 0.46% 0.41% 0.3% -0.11% MC
52 CAN Taylor Pendrith 227 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.3/1) 0.44% 0.4% 1.08% 0.68% MC
53 USA Adam Schenk 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.38% 0.76% 0.38% MC
54 JPN Takumi Kanaya 246 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.2/1) 0.4% 0.37% 0.99% 0.63% MC
55 USA Robert Streb 246 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.2/1) 0.4% 0.37% 0.83% 0.47% MC
56 ENG Aaron Rai 246 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.2/1) 0.4% 0.37% 0.79% 0.42% MC
57 USA Andrew Novak 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.36% 0.61% 0.25% MC
58 CAN Adam Svensson 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.36% 0.27% -0.09% T7
59 USA Harry Higgs 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.35% 0.96% 0.61% MC
60 USA Brian Stuard 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.35% 0.49% 0.14% MC
61 USA Kramer Hickok 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.35% 0.45% 0.1% T20
62 USA Andrew Putnam 275 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.6/1) 0.36% 0.33% 0.57% 0.24% T27
63 SWE Henrik Norlander 284 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.6/1) 0.35% 0.32% 0.77% 0.45% T55
64 USA Lucas Glover 284 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.6/1) 0.35% 0.32% 0.48% 0.16% T5
65 USA Hayden Buckley 294 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.6/1) 0.34% 0.31% 0.89% 0.58% T12
66 USA Cameron Young 294 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.6/1) 0.34% 0.31% 0.8% 0.49% MC
67 USA Peter Malnati 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.3% 0.47% 0.17% MC
68 USA Kyle Stanley 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.3% 0.26% -0.04% T27
69 USA Greyson Sigg 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.29% 0.61% 0.32% T42
70 USA Hank Lebioda 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.28% 0.27% -0.01% MC
71 USA Mark Hubbard 341 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.6/1) 0.29% 0.26% 0.88% 0.61% MC
72 USA Brandt Snedeker 341 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.6/1) 0.29% 0.26% 0.34% 0.08% T36
73 USA Max McGreevy 398 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.4/1) 0.25% 0.23% 0.74% 0.51% MC
74 AUT Sepp Straka 398 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.4/1) 0.25% 0.23% 0.48% 0.25% T42
75 USA Brandon Wu 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.23% 0.16% -0.07% MC
76 USA Jim Herman 408 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.4/1) 0.24% 0.22% 0.29% 0.07% MC
77 USA JT Poston 417 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.3/1) 0.24% 0.22% 0.21% 0% T42
78 USA Lee Hodges 436 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.2/1) 0.23% 0.21% 0.7% 0.49% MC
79 USA Nate Lashley 455 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 60/1) 0.22% 0.2% 0.49% 0.29% MC
80 CAN Roger Sloan 465 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61/1) 0.21% 0.19% 0.58% 0.38% MC
81 KOR Sunghoon Kang 474 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.9/1) 0.21% 0.19% 0.46% 0.27% MC
82 USA Davis Riley 474 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.9/1) 0.21% 0.19% 0.28% 0.09% T20
83 USA Ryan Moore 474 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.9/1) 0.21% 0.19% 0.17% -0.02% MC
84 USA Jim Furyk 474 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.9/1) 0.21% 0.19% 0.15% -0.04% T42
85 USA Sahith Theegala 484 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.8/1) 0.21% 0.19% 0.22% 0.04% T48
86 USA Joshua Creel 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 0.48% 0.3% WD
87 USA William McGirt 500 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.44% 0.26% MC
88 USA Tyler Duncan 503 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.6/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.45% 0.27% MC
89 USA Justin Lower 512 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.4/1) 0.19% 0.18% 0.3% 0.13% 64
90 USA Trey Mullinax 531 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.2/1) 0.19% 0.17% 0.49% 0.32% MC
91 USA Kevin Tway 541 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.1/1) 0.18% 0.17% 0.75% 0.58% T61
92 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 550 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.9/1) 0.18% 0.16% 0.17% 0% T12
93 USA Seth Reeves 588 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.4/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
94 USA Wesley Bryan 588 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.4/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.16% 0.01% T27
95 USA Joseph Bramlett 598 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73.3/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% T20
96 USA Sam Ryder 607 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.1/1) 0.16% 0.15% 0.49% 0.34% 63
97 USA David Lipsky 607 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.1/1) 0.16% 0.15% 0.37% 0.22% MC
98 USA Dylan Wu 617 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75/1) 0.16% 0.15% 0.2% 0.05% T20
99 USA Jimmy Walker 645 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.5/1) 0.15% 0.14% 0.37% 0.23% 65
100 USA Brian Gay 683 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.8/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.34% 0.2% MC
101 USA Chesson Hadley 693 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 81.6/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.27% 0.14% MC
102 USA Richy Werenski 712 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.2/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.72% 0.59% MC
103 CAN Michael Gligic 712 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.2/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.28% 0.16% MC
104 ENG David Skinns 721 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.37% 0.25% MC
105 USA Austin Cook 721 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.35% 0.22% MC
106 USA Beau Hossler 740 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.6/1) 0.13% 0.12% 0.39% 0.27% MC
107 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 788 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.6/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.45% 0.34% MC
108 CHN Hao Tong Li 788 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.6/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.35% 0.24% T12
109 USA Kelly Kraft 788 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.6/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.25% 0.14% MC
110 USA Chan Kim 797 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 90.4/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.65% 0.53% MC
111 USA Kurt Kitayama 854 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 95.1/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.17% 0.07% MC
112 USA Ben Kohles 883 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 97.4/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% T27
113 USA Kevin Chappell 883 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 97.4/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.13% 0.03% T55
114 USA Jim Knous 921 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 100.5/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.78% 0.68% T55
115 RSA Dawie van der Walt 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.48% 0.39% MC
116 USA Austin Smotherman 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.42% 0.33% MC
117 FRA Paul Barjon 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.39% 0.3% T48
118 ENG Luke Donald 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.37% 0.27% T27
119 USA Bill Haas 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.27% 0.17% MC
120 AUS Brett Drewitt 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% T55
121 USA Scott Gutschewski 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% MC
122 ENG Callum Tarren 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% MC
123 USA Curtis Thompson 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.19% 0.1% MC
124 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.43% 0.34% MC
125 USA Jerry Kelly 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.15% 0.06% MC
126 USA Jared Wolfe 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.11% 0.02% MC
127 USA Parker McLachlin 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.04% 0.33% 0.3% MC
128 USA Kevin Carll 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.04% 0.15% 0.11% MC
129 COL Camilo Villegas 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
130 USA Bo Van Pelt 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
131 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 0% 0% 0% 0% T48
132 AUS Cameron Percy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
133 USA Ryan Armour 0% 0% 0% 0% T20
134 USA Vaughn Taylor 0% 0% 0% 0% T42
135 USA Bo Hoag 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
136 USA Chase Seiffert 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
137 JPN Toru Nakajima 0% 0% 0% 0% 41
138 JPN Koichiro Ishika 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
139 USA Jared Sawada 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
140 USA Brent Grant 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 USA Andy Ogletree 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 USA Peter Jung 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 USA Garrett Okamura 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 USA Bruce Doucett 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 2.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -8.2 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 22.1% 7.7%
2 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 8.7% 8.7%
3 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 44.9% 10.4%
4 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 47.3% 12.3%
5 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 52.9% 16.6%
6 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 53.6% 17.2%
7 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 53.6% 17.2%
8 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 33.2% 19.7%
9 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 33.2% 19.7%
10 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 57.9% 20.5%
11 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 60.3% 22.3%
12 Coral 8 @ 1/5 60.3% 22.3%
13 Betway 7 @ 1/5 51% 24.6%
14 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 89.4% 25.6%
15 VBet 5 @ 1/4 43.2% 26.4%
16 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 44.1% 27.2%
17 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 47.3% 30%
18 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 47.3% 30%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 46.5% 31.7%
20 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 47.7% 32.8%
21 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 50.8% 33.1%
22 QuinnBet 7 @ 1/5 63% 34.5%