Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 10.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 284.5

Total Profit: +184.5

The RSM Classic

18/11/2021 - 21/11/2021

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Scottie Scheffler 11 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 8.33% 6.67% 4.4% -2.27% T57
2 USA Webb Simpson 11 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 8.33% 6.67% 1.56% -5.11% T8
3 AUS Cameron Smith 14 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.34% 2.35% -2.98% T4
4 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 22 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.48% 2.74% -0.74% WD
5 CAN Corey Conners 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.08% 1.11% -1.97% T22
6 USA Harris English 28 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.76% 2.57% -0.19% MC
7 USA Russell Henley 30 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.58% 1.32% -1.26% T22
8 CHI Joaquin Niemann 33 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.35% 1.87% -0.48% MC
9 USA Kevin Kisner 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.35% 1.22% -1.13% MC
10 USA Talor Gooch 47 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.5/1) 2.08% 1.67% 1.62% -0.05% 1 7.32 +210.6
11 AUS Adam Scott 47 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.5/1) 2.08% 1.67% 1.59% -0.08% T37 7.32
12 IRL Seamus Power 50 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.57% 0.91% -0.66% T4
13 SWE Alexander Noren 51 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 10.8/1) 1.92% 1.54% 1.36% -0.17% MC
14 USA Mackenzie Hughes 60 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.31% 1.51% 0.2% 2 5.76 +37.4
15 USA Max Homa 66 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.19% 1.67% 0.48% MC 5.24
16 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.19% 1.41% 0.21% T12 5.24
17 USA Robert Streb 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.19% 1.23% 0.03% MC 5.24
18 USA Joel Dahmen 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.19% 1.09% -0.11% T29 5.24
19 USA Brendon Todd 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.19% 0.92% -0.27% MC
20 USA Chris Kirk 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.19% 0.64% -0.56% MC
21 USA Charles Howell III 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.19% 0.5% -0.69% T16
22 ENG Justin Rose 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.05% 1.13% 0.07% T12 4.62
23 USA Keegan Bradley 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.05% 0.68% -0.37% MC
24 USA Kevin Streelman 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 1.35% 0.37% T51 4.34
25 USA Patrick Rodgers 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.77% -0.22% T57
26 USA Brian Harman 80 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.99% 0.74% -0.25% T61
27 USA Luke List 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.69% -0.3% T10
28 USA Alex Smalley 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.88% 0.78% -0.1% MC 3.86
29 COL Sebastian Munoz 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 1.27% 0.48% 3 3.48 +36.5
30 ARG Emiliano Grillo 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 0.71% -0.08% MC 3.48
31 USA Brendan Steele 100 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 0.65% -0.15% T51
32 USA Taylor Moore 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 0.36% -0.43% T8
33 USA Tyler Duncan 110 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.72% 0.52% -0.2% MC
34 RSA Branden Grace 113 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19/1) 0.88% 0.7% 1.51% 0.81% MC 3.08
35 USA Adam Long 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.65% 0.82% 0.17% T16 2.84
36 USA Hudson Swafford 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 1.07% 0.44% MC 2.79
37 CAN Adam Hadwin 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 1.03% 0.4% T51 2.79
38 USA Keith Mitchell 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.64% 0.97% 0.34% T12 2.79
39 USA Chez Reavie 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.87% 0.23% T26 2.79
40 USA Lucas Glover 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.82% 0.19% MC 2.79
41 USA Harry Higgs 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.81% 0.17% MC 2.79
42 AUS Matt Jones 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.68% 0.04% MC 2.79
43 USA Michael Thompson 125 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.56% -0.08% T57 2.79
44 USA Patton Kizzire 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.55% -0.08% MC 2.79
45 USA Doug Ghim 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.52% -0.11% T40
46 USA Andrew Landry 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.51% -0.13% MC
47 USA Denny McCarthy 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.64% 0.46% -0.18% T10
48 USA Kyle Stanley 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.42% -0.21% 69
49 USA Chad Ramey 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.35% -0.29% MC
50 USA Troy Merritt 132 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.3/1) 0.75% 0.6% 0.93% 0.33% T22 2.64
51 ENG Aaron Rai 132 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.3/1) 0.75% 0.6% 0.89% 0.28% T16 2.64
52 ENG Matt Wallace 132 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.3/1) 0.75% 0.6% 0.64% 0.03% 67 2.64
53 NZL Danny Lee 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.56% 0.89% 0.33% MC
54 USA Lanto Griffin 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.56% 0.87% 0.31% T40
55 AUT Matthias Schwab 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.56% 0.77% 0.21% T22
56 USA Scott Piercy 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 1.03% 0.5% T70
57 USA Tom Hoge 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.95% 0.42% T4
58 SVK Rory Sabbatini 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.53% 0.78% 0.25% DQ
59 SCO Russell Knox 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.53% 0.37% -0.16% T40
60 GER Stephan Jaeger 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.31% -0.22% MC
61 USA Davis Riley 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.28% -0.25% MC
62 USA Matt Kuchar 151 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.4/1) 0.66% 0.53% 0.51% -0.01% T37
63 RSA Dylan Frittelli 170 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.5/1) 0.58% 0.47% 0.74% 0.28% MC
64 USA Kramer Hickok 175 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 1.18% 0.72% MC
65 USA Sahith Theegala 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.27% -0.19% MC
66 SWE Henrik Norlander 180 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.5/1) 0.55% 0.44% 0.67% 0.23% MC
67 AUS Cameron Davis 189 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.5/1) 0.53% 0.42% 0.68% 0.26% MC
68 AUS Jason Day 199 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.5/1) 0.5% 0.4% 0.56% 0.16% MC
69 USA Kevin Tway 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.85% 0.45% MC
70 USA Andrew Putnam 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.77% 0.37% MC
71 USA Greyson Sigg 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.54% 0.14% MC
72 USA Hank Lebioda 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.38% 0.96% 0.58% MC
73 USA Stewart Cink 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.38% 0.76% 0.38% MC
74 USA J.J Spaun 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.38% 0.49% 0.11% T16
75 USA Cameron Young 218 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.4/1) 0.46% 0.37% 0.97% 0.6% T29
76 USA Matthew NeSmith 218 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.4/1) 0.46% 0.37% 0.38% 0.01% T29
77 USA John Huh 227 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.3/1) 0.44% 0.35% 0.39% 0.04% T12
78 USA Hayden Buckley 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.34% 0.89% 0.56% MC
79 USA Brian Stuard 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.34% 0.7% 0.36% MC
80 USA Vincent Whaley 246 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.2/1) 0.4% 0.32% 0.56% 0.24% T63
81 USA Wyndham Clark 246 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.2/1) 0.4% 0.32% 0.43% 0.11% T29
82 CAN Roger Sloan 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.7% 0.38% T61
83 IND Anirban Lahiri 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.48% 0.16% MC
84 USA David Lipsky 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.46% 0.14% MC
85 USA Andrew Novak 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.41% 0.09% T26
86 USA Brandt Snedeker 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.35% 0.03% T47
87 USA Davis Thompson 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.28% -0.04% MC
88 USA JT Poston 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.26% -0.06% MC
89 CAN Taylor Pendrith 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.31% 0.63% 0.32% T26
90 USA Scott Stallings 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.31% 0.45% 0.14% T29
91 COL Camilo Villegas 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.31% 0.35% 0.04% MC
92 USA Zach Johnson 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.31% 0.29% -0.03% T16
93 USA Nick Hardy 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.31% 0.28% -0.03% T63
94 AUT Sepp Straka 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.3% 0.76% 0.46% MC
95 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.3% 0.51% 0.21% T70
96 USA Brice Garnett 275 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.6/1) 0.36% 0.29% 0.41% 0.12% MC
97 USA Lee Hodges 294 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.6/1) 0.34% 0.27% 0.46% 0.19% T57
98 USA Sam Ryder 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.43% 0.17% MC
99 USA Ben Kohles 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.12% -0.14% MC
100 NIR Graeme McDowell 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.25% 0.31% 0.05% MC
101 USA Nate Lashley 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.24% 0.44% 0.2% T51
102 USA Jim Herman 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.58% 0.35% T47
103 USA Brandon Hagy 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.51% 0.28% MC
104 USA Max McGreevy 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.35% 0.13% T16
105 ENG Luke Donald 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.33% 0.1% MC
106 CAN Adam Svensson 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.25% 0.02% MC
107 USA Austin Cook 351 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.7/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.43% 0.21% MC
108 USA Doc Redman 370 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51.6/1) 0.27% 0.22% 0.56% 0.35% MC
109 USA Peter Uihlein 379 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.5/1) 0.26% 0.21% 0.17% -0.04% MC
110 USA Joseph Bramlett 389 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.5/1) 0.26% 0.21% 0.32% 0.11% MC
111 USA Bronson Burgoon 398 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.4/1) 0.25% 0.2% 0.42% 0.22% MC
112 USA Justin Lower 398 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.4/1) 0.25% 0.2% 0.36% 0.16% MC
113 USA Peter Malnati 417 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.3/1) 0.24% 0.19% 0.34% 0.15% T40
114 USA Chesson Hadley 436 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.2/1) 0.23% 0.18% 0.54% 0.36% MC
115 RSA Dawie van der Walt 450 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.22% 0.18% 0.2% 0.03% MC
116 USA Kelly Kraft 465 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.4% 0.22% MC
117 USA Dylan Wu 474 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.9/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.27% 0.1% T51
118 USA Trey Mullinax 484 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.8/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.45% 0.29% MC
119 USA Seth Reeves 484 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.8/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.4% 0.24% MC
120 USA Richy Werenski 484 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.8/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.38% 0.22% MC
121 USA Kurt Kitayama 484 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.8/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.3% 0.13% MC
122 SWE Ludvig Aberg 493 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.7/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.12% -0.04% MC
123 USA Bill Haas 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.53% 0.37% T47
124 USA Martin Trainer 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.31% 0.15% MC
125 KOR Sunghoon Kang 512 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.4/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.56% 0.41% T63
126 USA Brian Gay 512 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.4/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.26% 0.11% T40
127 USA Jonathan Byrd 531 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.2/1) 0.19% 0.15% 0.4% 0.25% T37
128 USA Vaughn Taylor 531 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.2/1) 0.19% 0.15% 0.17% 0.02% MC
129 ENG David Skinns 531 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.2/1) 0.19% 0.15% 0.12% -0.03% T29
130 USA Brandon Wu 569 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.7/1) 0.18% 0.14% 0.14% 0% MC
131 USA Austin Smotherman 579 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.6/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.13% -0.01% T40
132 USA Nick Watney 636 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.7/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.44% 0.31% MC
133 USA Tyler McCumber 759 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.33% 0.22% T4
134 USA Scott Gutschewski 759 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.12% 0.02% MC
135 USA William McGirt 769 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 88.1/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.25% 0.15% T51
136 USA Curtis Thompson 797 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 90.4/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.49% 0.39% MC
137 USA Jimmy Walker 807 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 91.2/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.47% 0.37% MC
138 CAN Michael Gligic 835 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 93.5/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.22% 0.12% T29
139 USA Joshua Creel 883 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 97.4/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.12% 0.03% T40
140 USA Chris Stroud 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.08% 0.45% 0.37% MC
141 FRA Paul Barjon 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
142 SWE Jonas Blixt 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.08% 0.2% 0.11% MC
143 USA Jared Wolfe 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.08% 0.18% 0.09% T63
144 AUS Brett Drewitt 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.08% 0.12% 0.04% MC
145 ENG Callum Tarren 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.08% 0.12% 0.04% MC
146 USA Ben Crane 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1% MC
147 USA Davis Love III 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.12% 0.04% 68
148 CAN David Hearn 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 USA Ryan Armour 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 USA D.J. Trahan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 CHI Guillermo Pereira 0% 0% 0% 0% T29
152 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 USA Michael DeMorat 0% 0% 0% 0% T47
154 TPE Yu Chun-an(am) 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 USA Kyle Wilshire 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA J.P. Griffin 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 10.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 14% 14%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 33.4% 17.6%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 56.5% 19.2%
4 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 56.5% 19.2%
5 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 57.2% 19.7%
6 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 58.7% 20.9%
7 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 93.5% 27.9%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 56.4% 28.9%
9 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 56.4% 28.9%
10 QuinnBet 7 @ 1/5 57.6% 29.9%
11 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 45.5% 30.7%
12 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 45.5% 30.7%
13 VBet 5 @ 1/4 51.1% 33.3%
14 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 52.4% 34.4%
15 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 52.4% 34.4%
16 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 52.4% 34.4%
17 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 49.9% 34.7%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 60.8% 44.4%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 62.2% 45.7%