Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 4.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -6.1 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 267.4

Total Profit: +167.3

Bermuda Championship

28/10/2021 - 31/10/2021

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 14 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.91% 5.67% -0.24% T30
2 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 16 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 5.21% 2.58% -2.64% T57
3 USA Patrick Reed 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.22% 3.31% -0.91% T2
4 USA Hayden Buckley 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.86% 2.02% -0.84% T71
5 IRL Seamus Power 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.61% 2.62% 0.01% T12 11.28
6 CAN Adam Hadwin 35 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.46% 2.09% -0.38% T46
7 AUT Matthias Schwab 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.46% 1.58% -0.88% T51
8 ENG Danny Willett 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.16% 2.3% 0.14% MC 9.35
9 USA Hank Lebioda 40 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.16% 1.24% -0.92% MC
10 USA Chad Ramey 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.16% 0.77% -1.39% T17
11 SCO Russell Knox 45 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.93% 0.86% -1.07% T12
12 USA Patrick Rodgers 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.74% 1.69% -0.04% 4
13 CAN Taylor Pendrith 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.74% 1.41% -0.33% T5
14 USA Denny McCarthy 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.74% 0.87% -0.86% T39
15 USA Joseph Bramlett 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.74% 0.77% -0.97% MC
16 USA Sahith Theegala 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.74% 0.72% -1.02% 74
17 BEL Thomas Detry 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.58% 1.34% -0.25% T22
18 GER Stephan Jaeger 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.58% 0.66% -0.92% T20
19 USA Ryan Armour 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.45% 1.13% -0.32% T67
20 CAN Nick Taylor 60 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.45% 0.55% -0.9% MC
21 ITA Guido Migliozzi 66 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13/1) 1.49% 1.32% 3.57% 2.25% T57 5.72
22 USA David Lipsky 66 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13/1) 1.49% 1.32% 1.73% 0.4% MC 5.72
23 AUS Lucas Herbert 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.32% 1.72% 0.39% 1 5.72 +232.2
24 ENG Aaron Rai 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.32% 1.66% 0.33% T62 5.72
25 USA Nick Watney 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.32% 1.22% -0.11% T46
26 USA Alex Smalley 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.32% 0.88% -0.44% T12
27 RSA Garrick Higgo 70 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.5/1) 1.41% 1.25% 1.65% 0.4% T34 5.4
28 USA Jason Dufner 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.25% 1.14% -0.11% MC
29 RSA Dylan Frittelli 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.25% 1.03% -0.22% T22
30 USA Scott Stallings 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.17% 1.43% 0.26% T5 (tied w/2) 5.05 +19.2
31 USA Mark Hubbard 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.17% 1.14% -0.03% T22
32 USA Beau Hossler 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.09% 1.36% 0.26% MC 4.74
33 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.09% 1.26% 0.17% T39 4.74
34 USA Lee Hodges 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.09% 1.19% 0.09% T71 4.74
35 USA Brian Stuard 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.09% 1.18% 0.09% MC 4.74
36 USA Nick Hardy 80 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.9/1) 1.23% 1.09% 0.84% -0.25% MC
37 USA Peter Uihlein 89 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16/1) 1.11% 0.99% 0.24% -0.75% T34
38 USA Kramer Hickok 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.88% 1.77% 0.89% T30 3.8
39 USA Greyson Sigg 100 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.88% 1.11% 0.24% T22 3.8
40 USA Vincent Whaley 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.88% 1.09% 0.22% T7 (tied w/5) 3.8 +16
41 NIR Graeme McDowell 100 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.88% 0.79% -0.09% T12
42 USA Austin Cook 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.88% 0.79% -0.09% MC
43 IND Anirban Lahiri 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.88% 0.68% -0.19% MC
44 USA Matthew NeSmith 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.88% 0.67% -0.21% MC
45 USA Davis Riley 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.88% 0.31% -0.57% T7
46 USA Brian Gay 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.88% 0.3% -0.58% T12
47 CAN Adam Svensson 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.88% 0.3% -0.58% T22
48 ENG Harry Hall 104 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.9/1) 0.95% 0.84% 2.18% 1.34% MC 3.65
49 USA Brandon Hagy 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.71% 1.3% 0.58% T51 3.1
50 USA Bo Hoag 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.71% 1% 0.28% MC 3.1
51 AUS Cameron Percy 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.7% 0.74% 0.04% MC 3.05
52 USA Kurt Kitayama 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.7% 0.51% -0.2% T65
53 USA Vaughn Taylor 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 0.45% -0.25% MC
54 USA Austin Eckroat 132 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.3/1) 0.75% 0.67% 0.92% 0.25% T22 2.89
55 COL Camilo Villegas 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.62% 0.84% 0.22% T34
56 AUT Sepp Straka 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.62% 0.81% 0.19% T51
57 USA Peter Malnati 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.62% 0.77% 0.15% T7
58 USA Seth Reeves 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.62% 0.63% 0.01% T57
59 USA J.J Spaun 150 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.59% 0.8% 0.21% T7
60 RSA Dawie van der Walt 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.59% 0.67% 0.08% MC
61 NZL Danny Lee 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.59% 0.54% -0.05% T2
62 USA Max McGreevy 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.59% 0.32% -0.27% T62
63 USA Andrew Novak 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.59% 0.32% -0.27% MC
64 USA Brandon Wu 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.59% 0.3% -0.29% T34
65 CAN David Hearn 151 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.4/1) 0.66% 0.58% 0.51% -0.08% T39
66 ENG Luke Donald 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.5% 0.79% 0.28% T46
67 USA John Pak 175 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.5% 0.24% -0.27% MC
68 USA Dylan Wu 189 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.5/1) 0.53% 0.47% 0.87% 0.4% T46
69 USA Justin Lower 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.44% 0.28% -0.17% T17
70 USA Chase Seiffert 218 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.4/1) 0.46% 0.4% 0.64% 0.23% T22
71 USA Austin Smotherman 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.37% 0.28% -0.1% MC
72 SWE Ludvig Aberg 246 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.2/1) 0.4% 0.36% 0.25% -0.11% T51
73 SWE David Lingmerth 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 1.12% 0.77% T57
74 ENG Callum Tarren 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 0.32% -0.03% DQ
75 ENG David Skinns 284 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.6/1) 0.35% 0.31% 0.32% 0.01% T34
76 USA Ben Kohles 284 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.6/1) 0.35% 0.31% 0.32% 0.01% T39
77 USA Patrick Flavin 284 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.6/1) 0.35% 0.31% 0.25% -0.06% T17
78 USA Scott Gutschewski 294 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.6/1) 0.34% 0.3% 0.32% 0.02% T39
79 USA Scott Brown 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.62% 0.32% T39
80 USA Ben Martin 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.57% 0.28% T51
81 KOR Seungyul Noh 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.29% 0% T30
82 USA Jim Knous 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.29% 1.77% 1.48% T57
83 USA Ted Potter-jr 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.25% 0.53% 0.27% MC
84 USA Jonathan Byrd 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.22% 0.41% 0.19% T20
85 AUS Brett Drewitt 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.22% 0.32% 0.1% T39
86 USA Erik Barnes 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.25% 0.03% MC
87 ARG Andres Romero 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.67% 0.49% MC
88 USA Chris Stroud 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.28% 0.1% MC
89 USA Robert Garrigus 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.26% 0.08% T46
90 ARG Fabian Gomez 512 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.4/1) 0.19% 0.17% 0.45% 0.28% MC
91 KOR Sangmoon Bae 522 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.4/1) 0.19% 0.17% 0.18% 0.01% T65
92 USA Johnson Wagner 579 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.6/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.61% 0.45% T51
93 USA Curtis Thompson 664 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.55% 0.42% T7
94 USA Michael Kim 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.76% 0.66% MC
95 USA Ben Crane 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.4% 0.31% T67
96 AUS Greg Chalmers 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.32% 0.22% MC
97 IND Arjun Atwal 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% T71
98 USA Tommy Gainey 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.25% 0.16% MC
99 USA Kyle Wilshire 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.25% 0.16% T62
100 USA John Rollins 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.42% 0.34% MC
101 USA Ricky Barnes 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.32% 0.23% MC
102 AUS John Senden 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% T67
103 USA John Merrick 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.25% 0.16% 75
104 USA Michael Sims 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.25% 0.16% MC
105 USA Jordan Gumberg 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.25% 0.16% MC
106 USA Kevin Stadler 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.37% 0.3% MC
107 USA Matt Every 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.28% 0.21% WD
108 USA Greg Koch 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.26% 0.19% MC
109 USA Jay McLuen 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.25% 0.18% MC
110 SWE Daniel Chopra 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.25% 0.18% MC
111 BER Camiko Smith 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.25% 0.18% MC
112 USA Parker McLachlin 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.25% 0.17% MC
113 USA J.J. Henry 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.21% 0.14% MC
114 USA D.A. Points 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.31% 0.25% T67
115 USA Ted Purdy 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.26% 0.2% MC
116 CAN Matt Hill 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.25% 0.19% MC
117 USA Martin Trainer 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.25% 0.19% MC
118 USA Jason Bohn 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.23% 0.17% MC
119 ZIM Brendon de Jonge 0% 0% 0% 0% WD
120 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 0% 0% T22
121 SWE Richard S. Johnson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
122 CHI Guillermo Pereira 0% 0% 0% 0% T30
123 USA Olin Browne 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
124 BER Damian Palanyandi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
125 BER Chaka DeSilva 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
126 BER Brian Morris 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 4.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -6.1 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 39.3% 5.9%
2 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 9.5% 9.5%
3 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 24.5% 9.7%
4 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 80.5% 19.3%
5 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 45.5% 19.8%
6 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 45.5% 19.8%
7 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 34.6% 20.7%
8 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 34.6% 20.7%
9 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 47.3% 21.3%
10 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 47.3% 21.3%
11 QuinnBet 7 @ 1/5 48.2% 22%
12 Betway 7 @ 1/5 49.2% 22.8%
13 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 40.8% 24%
14 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 42.5% 25.5%
15 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 42.5% 25.5%
16 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 42.7% 25.7%
17 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 43.4% 26.3%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 46.9% 31.9%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 49.3% 34%