Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 29.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.1 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.2

Sanderson Farms Championship

30/09/2021 - 03/10/2021

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Will Zalatoris 14 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.01% 2.82% -2.19% T14
2 USA Sam Burns 16 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.42% 3.97% -0.45% 1
3 KOR Sungjae Im 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.96% 2.47% -1.48% T31
4 ESP Sergio Garcia 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.58% 1.81% -1.77% MC
5 CAN Corey Conners 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.27% 3.37% 0.1% T17 14.52
6 USA Keegan Bradley 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% 1.7% -0.51% MC
7 AUS Cameron Davis 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% 1.62% -0.59% MC
8 USA Harold Varner III 35 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.09% 2.39% 0.3% T11 9.28
9 USA Charley Hoffman 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.09% 2% -0.08% T39
10 KOR Siwoo Kim 35 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.09% 1.58% -0.51% T8
11 USA Cameron Tringale 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.09% 1.55% -0.54% T11
12 USA Kevin Streelman 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.83% 1.57% -0.26% T31
13 ARG Emiliano Grillo 45 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.63% 1.45% -0.19% T39
14 IRL Seamus Power 45 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.63% 1.13% -0.5% MC
15 USA Aaron Wise 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% 1.33% -0.14% T26
16 MEX Carlos Ortiz 50 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% 0.81% -0.67% MC
17 COL Sebastian Munoz 55 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.34% 1.82% 0.48% MC 5.97
18 USA Patton Kizzire 60 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.23% 1.36% 0.13% MC 5.48
19 USA Matthew Wolff 60 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.23% 0.49% -0.74% T17
20 USA Patrick Rodgers 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 1.5% 0.37% MC 4.99
21 USA Mackenzie Hughes 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 1.15% 0.03% T35 4.99
22 USA Chez Reavie 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 1.12% 0% MC
23 USA Gary Woodland 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0.99% -0.13% MC
24 USA Scott Stallings 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0.79% -0.33% MC
25 CAN Taylor Pendrith 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0.6% -0.52% T39
26 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.06% 1.83% 0.77% MC 4.71
27 TPE C.T. Pan 70 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.06% 1.12% 0.06% T11 4.71
28 AUT Matthias Schwab 70 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.06% 0.9% -0.16% MC
29 USA Doug Ghim 70 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.06% 0.54% -0.52% T58
30 USA Joseph Bramlett 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.06% 0.52% -0.54% T58
31 USA Joel Dahmen 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 1.38% 0.45% T51 4.13
32 USA Brendon Todd 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.97% 0.04% MC 4.13
33 USA Keith Mitchell 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.94% 0.01% MC
34 USA Chris Kirk 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.91% -0.02% T35
35 USA Chad Ramey 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.15% -0.78% T63
36 USA Lucas Glover 90 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.83% 1.27% 0.44% T58 3.67
37 USA Luke List 90 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.83% 0.76% -0.06% T17
38 USA Scott Piercy 100 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 1.06% 0.31% MC 3.31
39 USA Brandt Snedeker 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.77% 0.02% MC 3.31
40 ENG Aaron Rai 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.72% -0.02% MC
41 USA Zach Johnson 100 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.47% -0.27% MC
42 GER Stephan Jaeger 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.17% -0.57% T26
43 AUS Lucas Herbert 110 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.68% 1.51% 0.83% MC 3.01
44 USA Hudson Swafford 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 1.25% 0.66% MC 2.66
45 USA David Lipsky 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.95% 0.35% MC 2.66
46 USA Adam Schenk 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.9% 0.31% MC 2.66
47 USA Greyson Sigg 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.89% 0.3% MC 2.66
48 SVK Rory Sabbatini 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.84% 0.24% MC 2.66
49 USA Ryan Armour 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.7% 0.11% MC 2.66
50 CAN Adam Hadwin 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.68% 0.08% T45 2.66
51 ENG Matt Wallace 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.68% 0.08% MC 2.66
52 USA Bronson Burgoon 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.64% 0.04% MC 2.66
53 USA Lanto Griffin 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.43% -0.17% MC
54 USA Sahith Theegala 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.27% -0.33% T8
55 USA Taylor Moore 125 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.15% -0.45% T17
56 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 1.19% 0.69% MC
57 USA Tom Hoge 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 1.01% 0.51% MC
58 USA Brian Stuard 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.83% 0.34% MC
59 AUT Sepp Straka 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.8% 0.3% MC
60 USA Andrew Putnam 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.76% 0.26% MC
61 CAN Roger Sloan 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.75% 0.26% T14
62 USA Nick Hardy 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.63% 0.13% T26
63 USA Doc Redman 150 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.63% 0.13% T56
64 USA Robert Streb 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.62% 0.12% MC
65 SCO Martin Laird 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.61% 0.11% MC
66 USA Brandon Hagy 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.6% 0.1% T58
67 USA Peter Malnati 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.59% 0.09% T51
68 SWE Henrik Norlander 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.56% 0.06% T4
69 RSA Dylan Frittelli 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.49% -0.01% T39
70 USA Richy Werenski 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.48% -0.01% MC
71 CAN Nick Taylor 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.43% -0.06% MC
72 USA Brendan Steele 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.42% -0.08% T17
73 CAN Adam Svensson 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.15% -0.35% MC
74 USA John Augenstein 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 1.19% 0.76% MC
75 RSA Dawie van der Walt 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 1.16% 0.73% MC
76 USA Denny McCarthy 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.59% 0.16% T17
77 USA Ryan Moore 175 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.57% 0.15% T39
78 USA Alex Smalley 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.51% 0.08% T31
79 USA Wyndham Clark 175 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.5% 0.07% MC
80 USA Kevin Tway 175 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.49% 0.06% MC
81 SCO Russell Knox 175 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.41% -0.02% T29
82 USA JT Poston 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.38% -0.05% MC
83 USA Vincent Whaley 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.82% 0.45% T65
84 USA Brice Garnett 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.49% 0.12% T56
85 IND Anirban Lahiri 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.45% 0.08% MC
86 USA Tyler McCumber 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.45% 0.07% MC
87 USA Nate Lashley 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.44% 0.07% T17
88 USA Chesson Hadley 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.42% 0.04% T45
89 USA Hayden Buckley 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.23% -0.14% T4
90 USA Dylan Wu 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.78% 0.48% MC
91 USA Jimmy Walker 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.72% 0.42% T45
92 USA Kramer Hickok 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.72% 0.42% MC
93 USA Austin Cook 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.56% 0.26% 67
94 COL Camilo Villegas 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.42% 0.12% MC
95 USA John Huh 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.32% 0.02% T63
96 KOR Sunghoon Kang 250 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.29% -0.01% T65
97 USA Matthew NeSmith 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.25% -0.05% MC
98 ESP Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.14% -0.16% T45
99 USA Sam Ryder 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.4% 0.13% T51
100 USA Adam Long 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.68% 0.43% T29
101 USA Lee Hodges 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.53% 0.28% T45
102 USA Nick Watney 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.4% 0.15% T2
103 CAN Michael Gligic 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.33% 0.08% MC
104 USA Kurt Kitayama 300 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.31% 0.06% T45
105 USA Kevin Chappell 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.24% -0.01% MC
106 USA Cameron Young 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.23% -0.02% T2
107 USA Trey Mullinax 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.15% -0.1% T4
108 USA Davis Riley 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.14% -0.11% MC
109 USA Andrew Landry 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.22% 0% T4
110 USA Seth Reeves 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.15% -0.07% T8
111 USA Ben Kohles 350 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.15% -0.07% MC
112 USA Andrew Novak 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.15% -0.07% T58
113 USA Joshua Creel 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.15% -0.07% MC
114 USA Brandon Wu 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.15% -0.07% MC
115 USA Andy Ogletree 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.14% -0.07% T51
116 USA J.J Spaun 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.26% 0.07% 68
117 USA Tyler Duncan 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.23% 0.04% T14
118 FRA Paul Barjon 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.22% 0.03% T39
119 ENG David Skinns 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.15% -0.04% MC
120 USA Scott Gutschewski 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.15% -0.04% MC
121 ENG Callum Tarren 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.15% -0.04% MC
122 USA Max McGreevy 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.15% -0.04% MC
123 USA Curtis Thompson 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.67% 0.52% MC
124 USA Bo Van Pelt 500 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.47% 0.32% MC
125 USA Bill Haas 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% MC
126 USA Brian Gay 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% MC
127 USA Davis Thompson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% T35
128 SWE Jonas Blixt 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.19% 0.04% MC
129 KOR Seungyul Noh 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.15% 0% MC
130 AUS Brett Drewitt 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.15% 0% MC
131 USA Jared Wolfe 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.15% 0% MC
132 USA Kelly Kraft 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.12% -0.03% MC
133 USA William McGirt 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.19% 0.07% T17
134 USA Cody Gribble 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.14% 0.04% MC
135 USA Martin Trainer 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.21% 0.17% MC
136 USA Kevin Stadler 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.16% 0.12% MC
137 USA Greg Sonnier 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.14% 0.11% MC
138 USA Shawn Stefani 0% 0% 0% 0% WD
139 USA Michael Thompson 0% 0% 0% 0% T51
140 USA Jonathan Randolph 0% 0% 0% 0% WD
141 USA Kyle Reifers 0% 0% 0% 0% T35
142 USA John Rollins 0% 0% 0% 0% WD
143 USA Sam Saunders 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 USA Michael Arnaud 0% 0% 0% 0% WD
145 CHI Guillermo Pereira 0% 0% 0% 0% T31
146 USA Jay McLuen 0% 0% 0% 0% WD
147 USA Brad Adamonis 0% 0% 0% 0% WD
148 USA Grant Hirschman 0% 0% 0% 0% T17
149 USA Quade Cummins 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 USA Cohen Trolio 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 29.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.1 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 45.9% 10.9%
2 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 48% 12.5%
3 Betway 8 @ 1/5 54.1% 17.1%
4 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 58.8% 20.7%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 59% 20.9%
6 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 37.8% 21.3%
7 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 47.8% 21.6%
8 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 38.7% 22.2%
9 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 50.4% 23.8%
10 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 87.5% 23.9%
11 VBet 5 @ 1/4 46.2% 28.8%
12 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 45.3% 30.3%
13 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 45.3% 30.3%
14 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 53.4% 35.2%
15 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 53.4% 35.2%
16 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 53.4% 35.2%
17 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 56.8% 40.8%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 58% 41.8%