Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 31.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 8.9 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 84.5

Total Profit: -15.6

Fortinet Championship

16/09/2021 - 19/09/2021

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 4 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 20% 14.82% 7.66% -7.16% MC
2 USA Webb Simpson 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.94% 1.69% -3.25% T30
3 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 20 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.53% 3.18% -0.35% T6
4 USA Kevin Na 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.22% 3.29% 0.06% MC 14.32
5 USA Will Zalatoris 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.56% 2.29% -0.26% T11
6 USA Harold Varner III 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.06% 1.48% -0.58% T16
7 USA Cameron Tringale 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.81% 1.44% -0.37% T22
8 USA Cameron Champ 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.81% 1.41% -0.4% MC
9 USA Charley Hoffman 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.61% 1.75% 0.14% T22 7.16
10 COL Sebastian Munoz 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.45% 1.71% 0.25% MC 6.46
11 KOR Siwoo Kim 50 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.45% 1.43% -0.02% T11 6.46
12 AUS Marc Leishman 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.45% 1.29% -0.16% T4
13 ARG Emiliano Grillo 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.45% 1.26% -0.19% MC
14 USA Brendon Todd 60 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.22% 1% -0.21% T22
15 USA Maverick McNealy 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 2.05% 0.95% 2 4.92 +34.9
16 USA Brandt Snedeker 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 1.08% -0.02% MC
17 USA Max Homa 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 1.02% -0.09% 1
18 USA Chez Reavie 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0.64% -0.47% T28
19 GER Stephan Jaeger 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0.14% -0.96% MC
20 USA Phil Mickelson 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.04% 1.74% 0.69% T36 4.64
21 USA Doug Ghim 70 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.04% 0.56% -0.48% MC
22 USA Talor Gooch 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.92% 1.71% 0.8% T4 (tied w/2) 4.07 +42.7
23 USA Pat Perez 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 1.17% 0.26% MC 4.07
24 USA Chad Ramey 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.13% -0.78% MC
25 CAN Adam Hadwin 85 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.16% 0.86% 1.11% 0.24% MC 3.83
26 USA Brendan Steele 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0.36% -0.46% T42
27 USA Charles Howell III 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0.3% -0.52% MC
28 USA Taylor Moore 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0.13% -0.68% MC
29 USA Patton Kizzire 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 1.27% 0.53% T28 3.26
30 ENG Aaron Rai 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 1.17% 0.43% MC 3.26
31 AUS Lucas Herbert 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 1.07% 0.33% MC 3.26
32 USA Harry Higgs 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% 0.98% 0.25% MC 3.26
33 CAN Roger Sloan 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.91% 0.18% MC 3.26
34 USA Adam Schenk 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.82% 0.09% T51 3.26
35 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.67% -0.06% MC
36 USA Sahith Theegala 100 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.47% -0.26% T47
37 CAN Taylor Pendrith 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.47% -0.26% T36
38 RSA Dylan Frittelli 110 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.67% 1.23% 0.57% MC 2.97
39 USA Hudson Swafford 110 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.67% 1.12% 0.45% MC 2.97
40 CAN Nick Taylor 110 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.67% 0.72% 0.06% T64 2.97
41 USA Tom Hoge 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.97% 0.38% T36 2.62
42 TPE C.T. Pan 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.96% 0.37% T6 (tied w/5) 2.62 +6.8
43 USA Troy Merritt 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.95% 0.36% T16 2.62
44 USA Brian Stuard 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.88% 0.29% MC 2.62
45 AUT Sepp Straka 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.82% 0.23% MC 2.62
46 USA Lanto Griffin 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.64% 0.05% T66 2.62
47 USA Ryan Moore 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.53% -0.05% MC
48 USA Luke List 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.42% -0.17% T51
49 USA Joseph Bramlett 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.38% -0.21% T42
50 USA Alex Smalley 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.25% -0.34% MC
51 USA Hank Lebioda 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 1.17% 0.68% MC
52 USA Matt Kuchar 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 1.12% 0.63% T36
53 USA Scott Piercy 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 1.02% 0.53% T11
54 ENG Danny Willett 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.79% 0.3% MC
55 USA Ryan Armour 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.73% 0.24% T51
56 SCO Russell Knox 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.61% 0.12% T58
57 USA Greyson Sigg 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.59% 0.09% T30
58 USA Patrick Rodgers 150 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.51% 0.02% T6
59 USA JT Poston 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.42% -0.07% MC
60 USA Doc Redman 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.36% -0.13% MC
61 USA Peter Uihlein 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.3% -0.19% T47
62 USA John Huh 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.24% -0.25% MC
63 USA Hayden Buckley 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.14% -0.35% MC
64 CAN Adam Svensson 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.13% -0.36% T51
65 USA Joshua Creel 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.13% -0.36% MC
66 USA Scott Stallings 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.76% 0.34% T6
67 USA Vincent Whaley 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.56% 0.14% MC
68 USA Kyle Stanley 175 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.55% 0.13% MC
69 USA Michael Thompson 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.49% 0.07% T69
70 AUS Cameron Percy 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.42% 0% T64
71 USA Bo Hoag 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.34% -0.09% MC
72 TPE Yu Chun-an(am) 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.13% -0.29% MC
73 USA Dylan Wu 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 1.57% 1.2% T47
74 USA Brandon Hagy 200 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 1.02% 0.65% MC
75 USA Andrew Putnam 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.98% 0.61% T30
76 USA David Lipsky 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.85% 0.48% T22
77 USA Jason Dufner 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.76% 0.39% T42
78 USA Sam Ryder 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.65% 0.28% T58
79 USA Brice Garnett 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.57% 0.21% MC
80 USA Chesson Hadley 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.52% 0.15% MC
81 USA Mark Hubbard 200 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.41% 0.04% T16
82 USA Lee Hodges 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.63% 0.33% MC
83 USA Kevin Tway 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.61% 0.32% T30
84 USA Kramer Hickok 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.59% 0.3% MC
85 USA Adam Long 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.53% 0.24% MC
86 USA Jim Herman 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.45% 0.15% T42
87 USA Denny McCarthy 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.43% 0.13% MC
88 USA Kurt Kitayama 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% MC
89 USA Kevin Chappell 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.32% 0.03% MC
90 USA Bronson Burgoon 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.31% 0.02% T16
91 NZL Danny Lee 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.27% -0.03% MC
92 USA James Hahn 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.15% -0.15% MC
93 USA Brandon Wu 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.14% -0.16% MC
94 USA Cameron Young 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.14% -0.16% MC
95 RSA Dawie van der Walt 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.13% -0.16% T22
96 ENG David Skinns 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.13% -0.16% T69
97 USA Trey Mullinax 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.13% -0.16% MC
98 USA Seth Reeves 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.13% -0.16% MC
99 USA Justin Lower 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.13% -0.16% MC
100 USA Andrew Novak 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.13% -0.16% MC
101 USA Nick Hardy 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.13% -0.16% T36
102 USA Beau Hossler 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.52% 0.27% T16
103 USA Matthew NeSmith 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.49% 0.25% T51
104 USA Austin Cook 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.39% 0.15% T11
105 CAN Michael Gligic 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.37% 0.13% T66
106 USA Andrew Landry 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.25% 0% MC
107 USA Tyler Duncan 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.23% -0.02% MC
108 USA Davis Riley 300 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.15% -0.1% MC
109 ENG Callum Tarren 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.13% -0.11% MC
110 USA Ben Kohles 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.13% -0.11% MC
111 USA Max McGreevy 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.13% -0.11% MC
112 USA Austin Smotherman 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.13% -0.11% T66
113 USA Jamie Lovemark 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.1% -0.15% MC
114 USA Curtis Thompson 350 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 1.52% 1.31% MC
115 USA Ben Martin 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.54% 0.33% MC
116 USA John Augenstein 350 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.5% 0.29% T6
117 USA Sean O'Hair 350 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.48% 0.27% T58
118 USA J.J Spaun 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.36% 0.15% MC
119 USA Tyler McCumber 350 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.32% 0.11% MC
120 USA Wyndham Clark 350 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.3% 0.09% T30
121 USA J.B. Holmes 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.28% 0.07% MC
122 USA Nick Watney 350 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.26% 0.05% T30
123 AUS Aaron Baddeley 350 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.21% 0% T36
124 KOR Sunghoon Kang 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.54% 0.36% T47
125 USA Peter Malnati 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.53% 0.34% T22
126 CAN David Hearn 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.29% 0.1% MC
127 USA Bill Haas 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.29% 0.1% MC
128 AUS Brett Drewitt 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.13% -0.05% MC
129 USA Kelly Kraft 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.13% -0.06% MC
130 USA Vaughn Taylor 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.49% 0.35% T58
131 USA Chase Seiffert 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.45% 0.3% T51
132 USA Scott Brown 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% MC
133 USA Bo Van Pelt 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% MC
134 USA Ted Potter-jr 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% MC
135 USA Nate Lashley 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.18% 0.03% T16
136 USA D.J. Trahan 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.17% 0.02% MC
137 SWE Jonas Blixt 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.16% 0.01% MC
138 KOR Seungyul Noh 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.15% 0% MC
139 USA Chris Stroud 500 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.13% -0.01% MC
140 USA Scott Gutschewski 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.13% -0.01% T51
141 USA Jared Wolfe 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.13% -0.01% MC
142 USA Trevor Werbylo 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.13% -0.01% MC
143 USA Turk Pettit 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.13% -0.01% MC
144 FRA Paul Barjon 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.1% -0.05% T42
145 USA William McGirt 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.15% 0.03% MC
146 USA Quade Cummins 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.14% 0.02% T58
147 USA Jim Knous 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.22% 0.12% T11
148 USA Jonathan Byrd 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.3% 0.22% MC
149 USA Kevin Stadler 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.44% 0.4% MC
150 USA Martin Trainer 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.18% 0.13% MC
151 USA Michael Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% DQ
152 CHI Guillermo Pereira 0% 0% 0% 0% 3
153 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% T58
154 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 USA Josh McCarthy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA Michael Duncan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 31.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 8.9 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 54.3% 19.9%
2 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 54.9% 20.4%
3 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 57% 22%
4 Betway 8 @ 1/5 60.4% 24.6%
5 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 62% 25.9%
6 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 43.1% 27.9%
7 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 65.5% 28.6%
8 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 48.6% 33%
9 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 96.5% 33.4%
10 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 50.5% 34.6%
11 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 50.5% 34.6%
12 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 50.5% 34.6%
13 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 48.8% 35.8%
14 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 48.8% 35.8%
15 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 54.9% 41.5%
16 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 59.1% 45.3%