Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 27.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 13.9 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 37.4

Total Profit: -62.7

Cazoo Classic

12/08/2021 - 15/08/2021

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 14 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 6.67% 5.12% 2.4% -2.72% T21
2 ENG Andy Sullivan 22 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.34% 1.36% -1.98% T13
3 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.96% 1.38% -1.57% T55
4 ENG Richard Bland 28 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.65% 2.76% 0.11% T3 (tied w/4) 11.34 +37.4
5 SWE Vincent Norrman 30 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.48% 1.74% -0.74% MC
6 ENG Jordan L Smith 30 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.48% 1.63% -0.85% T9
7 SCO Calum Hill 30 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.48% 1.42% -1.06% 1
8 USA John Catlin 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.26% 1.3% -0.96% T51
9 FRA Victor Perez 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.26% 1.25% -1.01% T13
10 FIN Mikko Korhonen 33 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.26% 1.19% -1.07% MC
11 ENG Laurie Canter 33 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.26% 0.47% -1.79% MC
12 ENG Matthew Jordan 35 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.14% 1.05% -1.09% T47
13 NZL Ryan Fox 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.87% 1.44% -0.43% T13
14 SCO Richie Ramsay 40 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.87% 1.23% -0.64% T9
15 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.87% 0.76% -1.12% T3
16 SCO David Law 45 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.67% 1.64% -0.04% MC 7.15
17 AUS Wade Ormsby 45 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.67% 1.08% -0.59% MC
18 NED Wil Besseling 50 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.51% 0.99% -0.52% T29
19 ENG James Morrison 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.51% 0.74% -0.77% T13
20 USA Sean Crocker 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.51% 0.62% -0.89% MC
21 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.51% 0.6% -0.91% MC
22 ENG Matthew Southgate 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.37% 1.13% -0.24% T44
23 ENG Callum Shinkwin 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.37% 0.93% -0.44% T3
24 FIN Sami Valimaki 60 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.26% 0.83% -0.43% T44
25 ENG Eddie Pepperell 60 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.26% 0.51% -0.75% T29
26 FIN Kalle Samooja 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.15% 1.31% 0.16% 8 4.91
27 ENG Jack Senior 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.15% 0.97% -0.18% MC 4.91
28 ENG Garrick Porteous 66 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.15% 0.97% -0.18% T60 4.91
29 AUS Maverick Antcliff 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 0.94% -0.2% T35
30 WAL Jamie Donaldson 66 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 0.86% -0.29% T3
31 RSA Wilco Nienaber 66 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 0.72% -0.43% MC
32 RSA Brandon Stone 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.15% 0.69% -0.46% MC
33 RSA Justin Walters 70 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.08% 1.02% -0.06% T40 4.63
34 NZL Daniel Hillier 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 2.19% 1.24% MC 4.06
35 NED Darius Van Driel 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.95% 1.18% 0.23% T47 4.06
36 GER Marcel Siem 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 1.15% 0.2% T21 4.06
37 FRA Benjamin Hebert 80 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 1.09% 0.14% MC 4.06
38 USA Sihwan Kim 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 1.09% 0.14% T29 4.06
39 WAL Oliver Farr 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 1.09% 0.14% MC 4.06
40 ENG Ashley Chesters 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.95% 1.07% 0.12% T13 4.06
41 ENG Ross Fisher 80 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.95% 0.71% -0.24% T55
42 ENG Chris Paisley 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.67% -0.28% MC
43 IND Shubhankar Sharma 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.95% 0.54% -0.41% T9
44 ENG Daniel Gavins 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.84% 2.04% 1.19% MC 3.62
45 ESP Alejandro Canizares 100 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 1.24% 0.48% T40 3.26
46 ENG Dale Whitnell 100 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 1.16% 0.4% T13 3.26
47 ENG David Horsey 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.79% 0.03% T13 3.26
48 ESP Jorge Campillo 100 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.64% -0.13% T21 3.26
49 FRA Alexander Levy 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 0.54% -0.22% 2
50 RSA Louis de Jager 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.5% -0.26% MC
51 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.69% 2.21% 1.52% T55 2.97
52 IRL Niall Kearney 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.69% 1.22% 0.52% T35 2.97
53 FRA Matthieu Pavon 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.69% 0.84% 0.14% MC 2.97
54 DEN Jeff Winther 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.69% 0.74% 0.05% MC 2.97
55 SWE Marcus Kinhult 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.69% 0.27% -0.43% T64
56 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 120 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.83% 0.64% 0.56% -0.08% T35 2.72
57 USA Paul Peterson 125 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.44% -0.18% T55 2.61
58 GER Maximilian Kieffer 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 1.66% 1.15% T21
59 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 1.47% 0.96% T21
60 RSA Bryce Easton 150 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 1.38% 0.87% MC
61 AUS Scott Hend 150 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.82% 0.31% MC
62 ENG Richard McEvoy 150 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.78% 0.28% MC
63 NZL Josh Geary 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.56% 0.05% MC
64 ENG Chris Wood 150 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.46% -0.05% MC
65 USA Julian Suri 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.44% -0.07% T60
66 ENG Steven Brown 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.48% 0.36% -0.12% MC
67 CAN Aaron Cockerill 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.48% 0.3% -0.17% MC
68 ENG David Coupland 175 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 0.72% 0.29% MC
69 ENG Robert Rock 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 0.5% 0.06% MC
70 WAL Bradley Dredge 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 0.31% -0.13% T60
71 ESP Alvaro Quiros 200 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.9% 0.51% T35
72 GER Marcel Schneider 200 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.5% 0.12% MC
73 SWE Niklas Lemke 200 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.48% 0.1% T44
74 SCO Marc Warren 200 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.34% -0.05% MC
75 SCO David Drysdale 200 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.27% -0.11% T51
76 ENG Paul Waring 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.26% -0.13% MC
77 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 250 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.73% 0.42% 66
78 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 250 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.72% 0.41% MC
79 USA Berry Henson 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.51% 0.21% T51
80 NIR Cormac Sharvin 250 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.43% 0.13% MC
81 SWE Pontus Nyholm 275 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.28% 0.26% -0.02% MC
82 KOR Yikeun Chang 300 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.79% 0.53% T29
83 ENG Matt Ford 300 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.67% 0.41% T47
84 CHN Hao Tong Li 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.59% 0.33% MC
85 ENG Toby Tree 300 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.58% 0.33% T60
86 ENG Matthew Baldwin 300 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.56% 0.3% MC
87 FRA Clement Sordet 300 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.41% 0.16% T21
88 SCO Stephen Gallacher 300 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.36% 0.11% T64
89 POR Ricardo Santos 300 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.33% 0.08% MC
90 WAL Rhys Enoch 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.85% 0.63% T13
91 FRA Adrien Saddier 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.64% 0.42% MC
92 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.62% 0.4% MC
93 ESP Pep Angles Ros 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.53% 0.31% MC
94 ENG Oliver Fisher 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.48% 0.26% MC
95 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.33% 0.12% MC
96 SWE Anton Karlsson 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.32% 0.1% T47
97 ENG Oliver Wilson 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.28% 0.06% T35
98 MAS Gavin Green 400 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.39% 0.2% MC
99 NED Lars Van Meijel 500 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.54% 0.38% 7
100 ENG Jordan Wrisdale 500 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.28% MC
101 ENG Ben Evans 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.26% T9
102 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 500 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.25% T40
103 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.37% 0.22% MC
104 ENG Lee Slattery 500 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.16% T40
105 ENG Laird Shepherd 500 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% 68
106 ENG Steven Tiley 500 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% MC
107 ENG David Howell 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.62% 0.49% MC
108 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.44% 0.32% MC
109 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.42% 0.29% MC
110 FRA Damien Perrier 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.4% 0.28% MC
111 FRA Joel Stalter 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.34% 0.21% T51
112 RSA Haydn Porteous 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.34% 0.21% MC
113 IRL Paul Dunne 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.29% 0.16% WD
114 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.28% 0.16% MC
115 IND Shiv Kapur 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.26% 0.14% MC
116 ENG Alfie Plant 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.26% 0.13% MC
117 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.25% 0.12% MC
118 POR Pedro Figueiredo 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.25% 0.12% MC
119 ENG Jonathan Thomson 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 1.37% 1.27% T55
120 ENG David Dixon 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.31% 0.2% MC
121 ENG Ross McGowan 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 67
122 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
123 AUS Jake McLeod 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% MC
124 SWE Philip Eriksson 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.49% 0.39% MC
125 AUS Deyen Lawson 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.47% 0.38% MC
126 IMN Tom Gandy 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.42% 0.33% MC
127 USA Tyler Koivisto 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.37% 0.27% MC
128 FRA Gary Stal 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.29% 0.2% MC
129 ENG Matthew Cort 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.19% MC
130 SWE Jesper Sandborg 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% MC
131 ESP Carlos Pigem 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.17% MC
132 SCO Daniel Young 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.58% 0.52% T29
133 SCO Euan Walker 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.44% 0.38% MC
134 FIN Janne Kaske 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.33% 0.28% MC
135 ITA Aron Zemmer 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.43% 0.39% MC
136 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T21
137 AUS Bryden MacPherson 0% 0% 0% 0% T21
138 USA Chase Hanna 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
139 ENG Rob Harris 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
140 ENG Liam Robinson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 ENG Thomas Thurloway 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 FRA Adrien Pendaries 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 ENG Jack Cope 0% 0% 0% 0% WD

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 27.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 13.9 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 40% 24.7%
2 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 41.4% 26%
3 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 41.4% 26%
4 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 41.4% 26%
5 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 39.1% 26.7%
6 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 53.7% 28.6%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 44.5% 28.7%
8 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 54.9% 29.6%
9 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 46.8% 30.8%
10 Betway 7 @ 1/5 56.7% 31.1%
11 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 52.1% 35.5%
12 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 48.8% 35.5%
13 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 51.4% 37.9%
14 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 51.5% 38%
15 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 52.5% 39%
16 VBet 5 @ 1/4 56.4% 39.4%
17 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 53.4% 39.8%
18 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 69.7% 42%
19 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 61.5% 47.1%