Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 26.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 74.3

Total Profit: -25.9

Wyndham Championship

12/08/2021 - 15/08/2021

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Webb Simpson 12 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.85% 1.45% -4.41% T7
2 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.07% 3.5% -1.57% MC
3 USA Jason Kokrak 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.62% 2.62% 0% MC 11.15
4 USA Brian Harman 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.62% 2.39% -0.23% MC
5 USA Will Zalatoris 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.62% 1.87% -0.76% T29
6 KOR Sungjae Im 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.45% 1.81% -0.65% T24
7 USA Russell Henley 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.11% 0.89% -1.23% T7
8 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.65% 1.58% -0.07% T65 7.03
9 USA Kevin Streelman 45 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.65% 1.39% -0.27% T7
10 USA Kevin Na 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.65% 1.37% -0.29% T2
11 USA Gary Woodland 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.65% 1.23% -0.42% MC
12 USA Brandt Snedeker 45 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.65% 0.98% -0.67% MC
13 KOR Siwoo Kim 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.65% 0.87% -0.79% T2
14 IRL Seamus Power 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.65% 0.62% -1.03% T60
15 SCO Robert MacIntyre 50 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 1.54% 0.05% T65 6.34
16 RSA Charl Schwartzel 50 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 1.44% -0.05% MC 6.34
17 AUS Adam Scott 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 1.4% -0.09% T2
18 COL Sebastian Munoz 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 1.15% -0.34% T29
19 USA Talor Gooch 50 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 1.06% -0.43% MC
20 USA Rickie Fowler 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 0.75% -0.74% MC
21 USA Matthew Wolff 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 0.72% -0.77% MC
22 USA Kevin Kisner 55 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.36% 0.68% -0.68% 1
23 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 60 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.25% 1.65% 0.4% T15 5.3
24 RSA Erik van Rooyen 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 1% -0.14% T37
25 USA Bubba Watson 66 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.14% 0.92% -0.22% T46
26 USA Hank Lebioda 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 0.88% -0.26% MC
27 ENG Justin Rose 70 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.07% 1.15% 0.08% T10 4.56
28 USA Mackenzie Hughes 70 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.07% 1.06% -0.01% T37 4.56
29 SVK Rory Sabbatini 70 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.07% 1.01% -0.07% T10 (tied w/5) 4.56 +6.8
30 USA Joel Dahmen 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.07% 0.99% -0.08% MC 4.56
31 USA JT Poston 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.07% 0.97% -0.1% MC
32 USA Patton Kizzire 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.07% 0.96% -0.11% MC
33 USA Brendon Todd 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.07% 0.87% -0.2% T10
34 USA Doug Ghim 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.07% 0.76% -0.31% MC
35 USA Chris Kirk 70 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.07% 0.75% -0.32% T29
36 USA Chez Reavie 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.07% 0.72% -0.35% MC
37 USA Zach Johnson 70 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.07% 0.5% -0.57% MC
38 RSA Branden Grace 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.58% 0.64% T2 (tied w/5) 4 +34
39 TPE C.T. Pan 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.13% 0.19% T29 4
40 USA Harold Varner III 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.05% 0.11% T57 4
41 USA Ryan Moore 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.61% -0.33% MC
42 USA Lanto Griffin 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.84% 0.92% 0.08% MC 3.56
43 USA Lucas Glover 100 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 1% 0.25% MC 3.21
44 USA Adam Schenk 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.97% 0.22% MC 3.21
45 USA Kyle Stanley 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.76% 0.01% MC 3.21
46 USA Patrick Rodgers 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.64% -0.11% MC
47 USA Ryan Armour 100 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.62% -0.13% MC
48 USA Luke List 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.38% -0.37% MC
49 AUS Matt Jones 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 1.11% 0.51% T70 2.57
50 RSA Dylan Frittelli 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.84% 0.24% MC 2.57
51 USA Brian Stuard 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.79% 0.19% T15 2.57
52 USA Keith Mitchell 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.72% 0.12% T55 2.57
53 USA Aaron Wise 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.71% 0.11% T46 2.57
54 CAN Roger Sloan 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.58% -0.03% T2 (tied w/5) 2.57 +33.4
55 ITA Francesco Molinari 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.54% -0.06% MC 2.57
56 USA Doc Redman 125 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.54% -0.07% MC 2.57
57 USA Mark Hubbard 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.51% -0.09% T51
58 USA Michael Thompson 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.45% -0.15% MC
59 USA Brandon Hagy 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 1.43% 0.92% MC
60 CAN Adam Hadwin 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.97% 0.46% T10
61 USA Kramer Hickok 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.92% 0.42% MC
62 USA Andrew Putnam 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.87% 0.36% MC
63 USA Adam Long 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.86% 0.36% MC
64 USA Brice Garnett 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.73% 0.23% T51
65 USA Scott Stallings 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.64% 0.14% MC
66 SCO Martin Laird 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.56% 0.05% MC
67 USA Bo Hoag 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.55% 0.04% MC
68 USA Jim Herman 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.51% 0.01% MC
69 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 175 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 1.36% 0.93% T24
70 USA Matt Kuchar 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.98% 0.54% T29
71 USA Scott Piercy 175 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.6% 0.17% T15
72 AUT Sepp Straka 175 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.57% 0.14% T15
73 COL Camilo Villegas 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.51% 0.07% T46
74 SCO Russell Knox 175 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.49% 0.05% T24
75 KOR Byeong Hun An 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.39% -0.04% T35
76 USA Jason Dufner 200 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.62% 0.24% T24
77 USA Joseph Bramlett 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.52% 0.14% MC
78 USA Sam Ryder 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.46% 0.08% T35
79 USA James Hahn 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.24% -0.14% T62
80 USA Vincent Whaley 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.65% 0.34% MC
81 CAN Nick Taylor 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.56% 0.26% T10
82 USA Richy Werenski 250 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.54% 0.24% T37
83 USA Tom Hoge 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.49% 0.19% MC
84 ENG Tom Lewis 250 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.48% 0.18% MC
85 USA Wyndham Clark 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.46% 0.15% MC
86 USA Matthew NeSmith 250 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.38% 0.08% MC
87 USA Beau Hossler 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.35% 0.05% T65
88 USA Denny McCarthy 300 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.63% 0.37% T15
89 USA Kevin Tway 300 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.5% 0.24% T46
90 AUS Cameron Percy 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.46% 0.21% T37
91 USA Sean O'Hair 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.4% 0.14% MC
92 IND Anirban Lahiri 300 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.39% 0.13% T46
93 USA Chesson Hadley 300 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.36% 0.1% T15
94 USA Ben Martin 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.31% 0.05% T70
95 USA Bo Van Pelt 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.79% 0.57% MC
96 USA Chase Seiffert 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.61% 0.4% MC
97 CAN Michael Gligic 350 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.55% 0.33% T65
98 USA Robert Streb 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.52% 0.31% MC
99 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.46% 0.24% MC
100 USA Nate Lashley 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.41% 0.2% 73
101 USA Scott Harrington 350 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.35% 0.13% MC
102 USA William Gordon 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.33% 0.11% MC
103 USA Tyler Duncan 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.31% 0.09% T57
104 AUS Aaron Baddeley 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.24% 0.02% MC
105 USA Harry Higgs 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.45% 0.26% T15
106 USA Robby Shelton 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.42% 0.23% MC
107 USA Hudson Swafford 400 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.41% 0.23% T37
108 USA Davis Thompson 400 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.39% 0.2% MC
109 USA Alex Smalley 400 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.35% 0.16% T29
110 ENG Luke Donald 400 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.34% 0.15% MC
111 USA Mark Anderson 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.33% 0.14% T57
112 USA Andrew Landry 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.31% 0.12% T51
113 USA Ryan Brehm 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.3% 0.11% MC
114 USA Austin Cook 400 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.21% 0.02% MC
115 USA Chris Baker 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.17% -0.02% T70
116 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.13% -0.06% T37
117 USA Scott Brown 500 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.49% 0.34% MC
118 IRL Padraig Harrington 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.48% 0.33% MC
119 USA Bronson Burgoon 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% T60
120 USA John Augenstein 500 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% T37
121 USA J.J Spaun 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% MC
122 ARG Fabian Gomez 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% MC
123 USA Bill Haas 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% MC
124 ENG Benjamin Taylor 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% T24
125 USA Michael Gellerman 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.12% MC
126 KOR Sunghoon Kang 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% T15
127 USA Nick Watney 500 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% MC
128 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% MC
129 USA Peter Malnati 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.19% 0.04% MC
130 ARG Nelson Ledesma 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.49% 0.36% T62
131 USA Rob Oppenheim 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.33% 0.2% T62
132 AUS Rhein Gibson 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.22% 0.09% MC
133 CHN Zhang Xinjun 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.17% 0.04% MC
134 PUR Rafael Campos 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.38% 0.28% 74
135 USA Ted Potter-jr 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.37% 0.27% MC
136 SWE Jonas Blixt 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.36% 0.26% MC
137 USA Tyler McCumber 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.31% 0.21% T15
138 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.15% 0.05% MC
139 USA D.J. Trahan 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13% MC
140 KOR K.J. Choi 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% MC
141 USA Brian Gay 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% T51
142 USA Michael Kim 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% T65
143 USA Matt Every 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.12% 0.04% MC
144 USA Martin Trainer 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.17% 0.12% MC
145 AUS John Senden 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.09% MC
146 SWE David Lingmerth 0% 0% 0% 0% T37
147 USA John Huh 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 USA Johnson Wagner 0% 0% 0% 0% T55
149 USA Wes Roach 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 USA Josh Teater 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 USA Connor Arendell 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 CHI Guillermo Pereira 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 USA Akshay Bhatia 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 USA Jacob Bergeron 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 USA Austin Eckroat 0% 0% 0% 0% T37
156 USA Matt Vick 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 26.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.7 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 53.3% 18.6%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 54.2% 19.3%
3 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 85.8% 25%
4 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 62.7% 25.9%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 63.2% 26.2%
6 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 63.2% 26.2%
7 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 43.9% 28.3%
8 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 43.9% 28.3%
9 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 43.9% 28.3%
10 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 43.9% 28.3%
11 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 47.1% 31.2%
12 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 47.4% 31.3%
13 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 70.8% 32.2%
14 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 45.7% 32.8%
15 Betway 7 @ 1/5 64.3% 37.5%
16 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 55.3% 41.6%
17 VBet 5 @ 1/4 61.1% 43.6%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 58% 44%