Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 27.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.0 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 69.2

Total Profit: -30.9

Rocket Mortgage Classic

01/07/2021 - 04/07/2021

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Bryson DeChambeau 7 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 12.5% 9.56% 2.07% -7.5% MC
2 USA Patrick Reed 14 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.1% 3.02% -2.08% T32
3 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 16 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.5% 2.19% -2.31% WD
4 USA Webb Simpson 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.03% 1.7% -2.33% MC
5 USA Will Zalatoris 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.94% 2.86% -0.09% 77
6 USA Jason Kokrak 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.64% 2.72% 0.09% T12 11.49
7 CHI Joaquin Niemann 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.64% 2.08% -0.56% T2
8 KOR Sungjae Im 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.25% 1.56% -0.69% T8
9 USA Kevin Kisner 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.25% 1.19% -1.06% T8
10 AUS Jason Day 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.25% 1.03% -1.22% T14
11 USA Matthew Wolff 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.25% 0.59% -1.66% T58
12 USA Cameron Tringale 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.87% 1.25% -0.62% T14
13 USA Bubba Watson 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.87% 1.13% -0.74% T6
14 USA Keegan Bradley 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.66% 1.06% -0.6% T14
15 USA Max Homa 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.5% 1.91% 0.41% T25 6.53
16 RSA Garrick Higgo 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.5% 1.61% 0.11% T41 6.53
17 USA Gary Woodland 55 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.37% 1.22% -0.15% MC
18 ARG Emiliano Grillo 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.25% 1.58% 0.32% MC 5.46
19 USA Rickie Fowler 60 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.25% 0.93% -0.32% T32
20 USA Doc Redman 60 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.25% 0.54% -0.71% MC
21 KOR Siwoo Kim 66 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.14% 1.89% 0.75% T58 4.97
22 USA Brendon Todd 66 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 1.39% 0.25% MC 4.97
23 USA Lanto Griffin 80 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.23% 0.29% T25 4.12
24 USA Kyle Stanley 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.93% -0.01% T41 4.12
25 USA Brandt Snedeker 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.59% -0.35% T38
26 USA Lucas Glover 80 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.59% -0.36% T41
27 SWE Alexander Noren 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.84% 0.89% 0.05% T4 (tied w/2) 3.66 +34.8
28 CAN Adam Hadwin 100 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 1.27% 0.51% MC 3.3
29 USA Chris Kirk 100 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 1.2% 0.45% T12 3.3
30 USA Harold Varner III 100 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 1.05% 0.29% MC 3.3
31 USA Phil Mickelson 100 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 1.02% 0.26% T74 3.3
32 USA Maverick McNealy 100 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 0.86% 0.1% T21 3.3
33 AUT Sepp Straka 100 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 0.68% -0.08% MC
34 USA Chez Reavie 100 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 0.52% -0.24% MC
35 AUS Matt Jones 125 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 1.74% 1.14% T52 2.65
36 USA Patton Kizzire 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 1.16% 0.55% T25 2.65
37 USA Troy Merritt 125 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 1.05% 0.45% T2 (tied w/2) 2.65 +34.5
38 USA Brice Garnett 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 1.04% 0.44% MC 2.65
39 USA Mackenzie Hughes 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.83% 0.22% T14 2.65
40 USA Kramer Hickok 125 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.81% 0.2% T58 2.65
41 USA Pat Perez 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.79% 0.18% T14 2.65
42 ENG Danny Willett 125 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.78% 0.18% T67 2.65
43 USA Doug Ghim 125 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.78% 0.17% T32 2.65
44 SCO Russell Knox 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.7% 0.09% T41 2.65
45 USA Charles Howell III 125 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.63% 0.02% MC 2.65
46 USA Joel Dahmen 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.61% 0% T21 2.65
47 USA Ryan Armour 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.4% -0.2% MC
48 COL Sebastian Munoz 150 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 1.09% 0.58% T67
49 AUS Cameron Davis 150 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.85% 0.35% 1
50 USA Hank Lebioda 150 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.76% 0.25% T4
51 USA Brian Stuard 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.66% 0.15% MC
52 ENG Tom Lewis 150 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.65% 0.14% T25
53 SCO Martin Laird 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.62% 0.11% MC
54 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.61% 0.1% MC
55 USA Nate Lashley 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.58% 0.07% MC
56 SWE Henrik Norlander 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.55% 0.05% T38
57 USA Scott Stallings 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.53% 0.02% T25
58 USA Adam Long 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.49% -0.01% MC
59 USA Mark Hubbard 150 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.49% -0.02% MC
60 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 175 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 1.52% 1.09% MC
61 USA Andrew Putnam 175 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.94% 0.5% MC
62 USA Matthew NeSmith 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.75% 0.32% T58
63 USA Beau Hossler 175 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.57% 0.13% T25
64 USA Cameron Champ 175 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.44% 0% MC
65 USA Patrick Rodgers 175 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.42% -0.02% T41
66 USA Vaughn Taylor 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.72% 0.34% MC
67 CAN Nick Taylor 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.68% 0.3% T52
68 USA Tom Hoge 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.66% 0.28% MC
69 USA Richy Werenski 200 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.66% 0.28% T25
70 USA Bo Hoag 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.63% 0.25% T32
71 USA Denny McCarthy 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.62% 0.24% MC
72 USA Michael Thompson 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.59% 0.21% MC
73 USA Chase Seiffert 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.54% 0.16% MC
74 RSA Dylan Frittelli 200 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.5% 0.12% MC
75 USA Joseph Bramlett 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.5% 0.12% MC
76 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.49% 0.11% MC
77 USA Chesson Hadley 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.47% 0.09% T52
78 NZL Danny Lee 200 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.45% 0.07% MC
79 USA William Gordon 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.44% 0.06% MC
80 USA Scott Piercy 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.41% 0.03% MC
81 USA Austin Eckroat 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.24% -0.14% MC
82 USA Vincent Whaley 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.62% 0.32% T58
83 USA Harry Higgs 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.57% 0.27% MC
84 COL Camilo Villegas 250 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.48% 0.17% T67
85 USA Robert Streb 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.45% 0.15% T38
86 USA James Hahn 250 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.39% 0.08% MC
87 SVK Rory Sabbatini 250 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.38% 0.07% MC
88 KOR Byeong Hun An 250 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.37% 0.07% 76
89 USA J.B. Holmes 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.25% -0.06% MC
90 USA Bo Van Pelt 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.66% 0.41% T71
91 USA Adam Schenk 300 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.5% 0.25% T41
92 CAN Roger Sloan 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.49% 0.23% T21
93 USA Jason Dufner 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.45% 0.2% MC
94 USA Jimmy Walker 350 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.55% 0.34% T71
95 USA Sam Ryder 350 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.55% 0.33% MC
96 USA J.J Spaun 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.41% 0.2% T32
97 USA Tyler McCumber 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.34% 0.12% MC
98 AUS Aaron Baddeley 350 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.16% -0.06% T41
99 USA Brandon Hagy 400 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.71% 0.52% T6
100 USA Bronson Burgoon 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.55% 0.36% MC
101 USA Rob Oppenheim 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.5% 0.31% MC
102 AUS Cameron Percy 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.46% 0.27% T41
103 USA Robby Shelton 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.46% 0.27% MC
104 USA Peter Malnati 400 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.4% 0.21% MC
105 USA Tyler Duncan 400 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.4% 0.21% T52
106 IND Anirban Lahiri 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.39% 0.2% T52
107 USA Austin Cook 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.29% 0.1% MC
108 USA Chris Baker 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.27% 0.08% T58
109 USA Curtis Thompson 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.12% -0.07% T21
110 USA Andrew Landry 500 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.52% 0.37% MC
111 CAN Michael Gligic 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.28% T41
112 USA Ted Potter-jr 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.43% 0.28% MC
113 PUR Rafael Campos 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.26% MC
114 USA Scott Brown 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.2% T52
115 SWE Jonas Blixt 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% T58
116 USA Kevin Tway 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% T14
117 AUS Rhein Gibson 500 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
118 ENG Luke Donald 500 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% MC
119 USA Davis Thompson 500 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% T58
120 USA Grayson Murray 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% MC
121 KOR Sunghoon Kang 500 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% T74
122 USA Ryan Brehm 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.07% T67
123 USA Sean O'Hair 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% T32
124 ENG Benjamin Taylor 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.06% MC
125 USA Scott Harrington 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.2% 0.05% MC
126 USA Mark Anderson 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.17% 0.02% T8
127 USA Michael Gellerman 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.17% 0.02% T41
128 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.17% 0.02% MC
129 CAN David Hearn 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.16% 0.01% MC
130 USA John Pak 500 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.14% -0.01% MC
131 USA Brian Gay 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.31% 0.18% MC
132 ARG Fabian Gomez 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.22% 0.09% T14
133 USA D.J. Trahan 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.17% 0.04% MC
134 USA William McGirt 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% MC
135 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.16% 0.06% MC
136 KOR K.J. Choi 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.15% 0.05% MC
137 USA Hunter Mahan 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.45% 0.38% MC
138 ARG Nelson Ledesma 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% T41
139 USA Michael Kim 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% MC
140 USA Nick Watney 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.11% MC
141 USA Matt Every 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.07% MC
142 USA Willie Mack III 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.06% T71
143 USA Martin Trainer 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.22% 0.17% MC
144 USA Kevin Stadler 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.15% 0.1% MC
145 USA Harrison Frazar 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.12% 0.07% MC
146 USA Jeff Roth 2500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.12% 0.09% MC
147 USA Ben Martin 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 USA Peter Uihlein 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 USA Josh Teater 0% 0% 0% 0% T58
150 USA Connor Arendell 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 USA Tim O'Neal 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 IRL Seamus Power 0% 0% 0% 0% T8
153 CHI Guillermo Pereira 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 USA Tain Lee 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA Daniel Wetterich 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 27.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 49.4% 15.7%
2 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 56% 20.9%
3 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 56.7% 21.4%
4 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 58.8% 23.1%
5 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 61.8% 25.5%
6 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 41.5% 26.2%
7 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 57.5% 32%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 58.2% 32.6%
9 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 48.6% 35.5%
10 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 53.7% 37.2%
11 Betfair Sportsbook 6 @ 1/5 53% 39.5%
12 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 56.3% 39.6%
13 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 58% 44%
14 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 59.7% 45.6%
15 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 62.2% 47.9%