Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 26.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.8 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.2

AT&T Byron Nelson

13/05/2021 - 16/05/2021

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 8 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 11.11% 8.53% 3.17% -5.36% T34
2 USA Bryson DeChambeau 9 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 10% 7.68% 3.23% -4.45% T55
3 USA Jordan Spieth 10 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 9.09% 6.98% 3.56% -3.42% T9
4 USA Daniel Berger 16 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.52% 3.36% -1.15% T3
5 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.66% 2.89% -0.76% MC
6 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.66% 2.7% -0.96% T39
7 USA Brooks Koepka 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.66% 2.2% -1.46% MC
8 USA Scottie Scheffler 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.34% 2.44% -0.9% T47
9 USA Will Zalatoris 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.65% 2.66% 0.01% T17 11.75
10 AUS Marc Leishman 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.26% 1.91% -0.35% T21
11 USA Sam Burns 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.26% 1.37% -0.89% 2
12 USA Ryan Palmer 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.87% 3.19% 1.32% T47 8.31
13 ESP Sergio Garcia 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.87% 2.68% 0.81% MC 8.31
14 KOR Siwoo Kim 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.87% 1.42% -0.45% T55
15 USA Harris English 55 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.37% 1.87% 0.5% T13 6.09
16 AUS Jason Day 55 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.37% 1.16% -0.21% MC 6.09
17 RSA Charl Schwartzel 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.26% 0.66% -0.59% T3
18 ENG Lee Westwood 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 1.8% 0.65% T21 5.09
19 USA Matt Kuchar 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 1.64% 0.5% T17 5.09
20 USA Aaron Wise 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 1.16% 0.01% T55 5.09
21 USA Luke List 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 0.86% -0.29% T61
22 MEX Carlos Ortiz 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.08% 0.92% -0.16% T21 4.8
23 USA Talor Gooch 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.08% 0.76% -0.32% T39
24 BEL Thomas Pieters 80 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.95% 1.3% 0.35% MC 4.21
25 USA Charles Howell III 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 1.14% 0.19% T55 4.21
26 USA Keith Mitchell 80 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.95% 0.87% -0.08% T26 4.21
27 SWE Alexander Noren 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.85% -0.1% T21 4.21
28 USA Peter Uihlein 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.28% -0.67% MC
29 USA Brandt Snedeker 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.84% 0.87% 0.03% T17 3.75
30 FRA Antoine Rozner 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 2.95% 2.19% MC 3.38
31 USA Doug Ghim 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 0.84% 0.08% MC 3.38
32 SCO Russell Knox 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.66% -0.1% T39 3.38
33 USA Cameron Champ 100 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 0.48% -0.28% T55 3.38
34 USA Rickie Fowler 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 0.47% -0.29% MC
35 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 1.07% 0.46% T9 2.71
36 USA Ryan Moore 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.6% -0.01% MC 2.71
37 USA Tom Hoge 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.95% 0.44% MC
38 USA Patton Kizzire 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.87% 0.36% T3
39 USA James Hahn 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.75% 0.24% MC
40 USA Wyndham Clark 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.69% 0.18% T39
41 USA John Catlin 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.66% 0.15% MC
42 RSA Erik van Rooyen 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.56% 0.05% MC
43 SCO Martin Laird 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.52% 0.01% T61
44 USA Scott Stallings 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.48% -0.03% T3
45 USA Scott Piercy 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.45% -0.06% MC
46 AUT Sepp Straka 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.44% -0.07% T26
47 USA Pat Perez 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.42% -0.09% T39
48 USA Ben Martin 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.32% -0.18% T26
49 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.92% 0.54% 1
50 USA Vincent Whaley 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.68% 0.3% T26
51 ENG Tom Lewis 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.59% 0.21% MC
52 USA Patrick Rodgers 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.4% 0.02% T47
53 USA Andrew Putnam 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 1% 0.7% MC
54 SVK Rory Sabbatini 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.65% 0.34% T26
55 USA Wesley Bryan 250 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.61% 0.31% T26
56 USA Vaughn Taylor 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.6% 0.3% MC
57 USA Nate Lashley 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.54% 0.24% MC
58 USA Sam Ryder 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.52% 0.21% MC
59 USA Brian Stuard 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.5% 0.19% T39
60 CAN Roger Sloan 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.48% 0.17% T34
61 USA Adam Schenk 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.47% 0.17% T34
62 NZL Danny Lee 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.43% 0.13% MC
63 USA Harry Higgs 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.32% 0.02% MC
64 USA Kevin Chappell 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.3% 0% MC
65 USA Doc Redman 250 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.24% -0.07% T9
66 USA Brice Garnett 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.97% 0.72% T47
67 USA Bronson Burgoon 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.62% 0.37% T13
68 USA John Huh 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.49% 0.24% MC
69 USA Troy Merritt 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.49% 0.23% T7
70 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.47% 0.22% T21
71 USA Hank Lebioda 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.44% 0.18% T17
72 IRL Padraig Harrington 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.41% 0.15% MC
73 IND Anirban Lahiri 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.39% 0.13% MC
74 USA William Gordon 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.33% 0.08% MC
75 USA J.J Spaun 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.29% 0.03% T47
76 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.26% 0% T13
77 USA Cole Hammer 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.13% -0.13% MC
78 USA Bo Hoag 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.66% 0.45% 66
79 USA Kramer Hickok 350 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.37% 0.15% MC
80 IRL Seamus Power 350 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.3% 0.08% T9
81 USA Sean O'Hair 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.27% 0.05% T39
82 NZL Tim Wilkinson 350 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.26% 0.04% MC
83 USA Andrew Landry 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.77% 0.58% MC
84 USA Ted Potter-jr 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.57% 0.38% T68
85 USA Roberto Castro 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.47% 0.28% WD
86 USA Chesson Hadley 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.43% 0.24% MC
87 USA Josh Teater 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.43% 0.24% MC
88 AUS Cameron Percy 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.42% 0.23% 70
89 USA Wes Roach 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.41% 0.22% T61
90 CAN Michael Gligic 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.41% 0.22% T47
91 USA Tyler Duncan 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.36% 0.17% MC
92 USA Joseph Bramlett 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.36% 0.17% T7
93 USA Mark Hubbard 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.35% 0.16% T34
94 USA Jimmy Walker 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.27% 0.08% MC
95 USA Beau Hossler 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.23% 0.04% MC
96 USA J.B. Holmes 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.19% 0% MC
97 AUS Aaron Baddeley 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.18% -0.01% MC
98 PUR Rafael Campos 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.64% 0.49% MC
99 USA Scott Brown 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% T34
100 USA Hudson Swafford 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.1% MC
101 USA Austin Cook 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.08% T71
102 USA Ryan Armour 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% T26
103 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.2% 0.05% MC
104 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.19% 0.04% MC
105 USA Jamie Lovemark 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.18% 0.03% MC
106 USA Johnson Wagner 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.17% 0.02% T39
107 USA Shawn Stefani 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.12% -0.03% MC
108 USA Zack Sucher 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.12% -0.03% MC
109 USA Ryan Blaum 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.12% -0.03% MC
110 CAN David Hearn 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.28% 0.15% MC
111 USA Ryan Brehm 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.25% 0.12% MC
112 USA Scott Harrington 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.24% 0.12% MC
113 USA D.J. Trahan 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.24% 0.12% T71
114 USA Rob Oppenheim 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.22% 0.1% T26
115 USA Kevin Tway 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.22% 0.09% MC
116 ARG Nelson Ledesma 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.19% 0.06% T47
117 RSA MJ Daffue 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.11% -0.01% MC
118 USA Grayson Murray 700 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.14% 0.11% 0.53% 0.42% MC
119 ENG Luke Donald 700 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.14% 0.11% 0.15% 0.04% T13
120 AUS Greg Chalmers 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.16% MC
121 USA Bill Haas 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.25% 0.15% MC
122 USA Nick Watney 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.23% 0.13% MC
123 USA Hunter Mahan 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.1% MC
124 ARG Fabian Gomez 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.17% 0.07% MC
125 USA Kelly Kraft 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.15% 0.05% MC
126 USA Tom Lovelady 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.13% 0.03% MC
127 USA Jonathan Byrd 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.12% 0.02% MC
128 USA Bo Van Pelt 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.57% 0.47% MC
129 AUS Rhein Gibson 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
130 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.15% 0.05% MC
131 SCO Ryan Lumsden 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.13% 0.03% MC
132 CHN Zhang Xinjun 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.18% MC
133 USA Michael Kim 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% 67
134 USA Mark Anderson 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1% T61
135 ENG Benjamin Taylor 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% MC
136 USA Michael Gellerman 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% 65
137 AUS John Senden 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.08% MC
138 SWE Jonas Blixt 1000 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.07% MC
139 USA Ricky Barnes 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.12% 0.04% MC
140 USA Dylan Meyer 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.13% 0.07% T68
141 USA Martin Trainer 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.27% 0.22% MC
142 USA Matt Every 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.2% 0.15% MC
143 USA Kevin Stadler 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.09% MC
144 USA J.J. Henry 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.13% 0.08% MC
145 USA Dominic Bozzelli 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.12% 0.07% MC
146 USA Chris Baker 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.33% 0.29% MC
147 KOR K.J. Choi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 SWE David Lingmerth 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% 0% 0% T47
150 USA Charlie Beljan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% 0% 0% T55
152 USA George McNeill 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 AUS John Lyras 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 USA Ty Strafaci 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 USA Pierceson Coody 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA Shane Pearce 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 26.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.8 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 51.6% 17.8%
2 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 58.7% 23.4%
3 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 58.7% 23.4%
4 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 65% 28.4%
5 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 91.7% 30%
6 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 45.6% 30.1%
7 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 45.6% 30.1%
8 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 45.6% 30.1%
9 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 45.6% 30.1%
10 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 48.7% 32.9%
11 Betway 7 @ 1/5 59.5% 33.9%
12 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 48% 35.1%
13 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 48.1% 35.1%
14 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 57.1% 43.4%