Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 29.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 34.9

Total Profit: -65.2

Puerto Rico Open

25/02/2021 - 28/02/2021

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Matt Wallace 16 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.54% 4.16% -0.38% MC
2 ENG Ian Poulter 16 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.54% 3.76% -0.78% T35
3 BEL Thomas Pieters 16 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.54% 2.47% -2.07% T15
4 ARG Emiliano Grillo 16 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.54% 2.38% -2.16% T11
5 RSA Branden Grace 20 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.67% 1.89% -1.78% 1
6 KOR Byeong Hun An 22 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.35% 2.18% -1.17% T35
7 USA Andrew Putnam 25 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.97% 1.99% -0.98% T5
8 USA Patrick Rodgers 28 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.66% 1.37% -1.29% T30
9 USA Brandon Wu 30 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.49% 0.38% -2.1% T7
10 ENG Tom Lewis 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.27% 1.69% -0.58% MC
11 USA Ollie Schniederjans 35 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.14% 2.76% 0.62% MC 9.23
12 USA Lucas Glover 35 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.14% 1.77% -0.38% T39
13 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.88% 0.94% -0.94% 2
14 USA Greyson Sigg 40 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.88% 0.38% -1.5% MC
15 CAN Taylor Pendrith 50 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.51% 4.97% 3.46% T53 6.52
16 USA Sam Ryder 50 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.51% 1.33% -0.18% T39 6.52
17 USA William Gordon 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.51% 1.18% -0.33% T27
18 USA Lee Hodges 50 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.51% 0.38% -1.13% T13
19 USA Davis Riley 50 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.51% 0.38% -1.13% T39
20 USA Kramer Hickok 55 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.38% 1.28% -0.1% MC 5.93
21 USA Vaughn Taylor 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.38% 1.1% -0.28% T39
22 CAN Roger Sloan 55 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.38% 0.9% -0.48% T22
23 AUS Cameron Percy 60 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.26% 1.79% 0.53% T7 5.45
24 USA Bronson Burgoon 60 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.26% 0.94% -0.33% T39
25 GER Stephan Jaeger 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 4.84% 3.69% T58 4.96
26 USA Joseph Bramlett 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 1.86% 0.71% T49 4.96
27 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 66 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 1.01% -0.14% T49 4.96
28 USA Brandon Hagy 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 0.98% -0.17% MC 4.96
29 USA Adam Schenk 66 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 0.82% -0.34% T27
30 AUS Aaron Baddeley 66 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 0.7% -0.45% T30
31 USA Josh Teater 66 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 0.55% -0.6% T22
32 IND Anirban Lahiri 70 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.09% 1.09% 0.01% T39 4.68
33 USA Scott Brown 75 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 1.32% 1.01% 1.1% 0.09% T53 4.37
34 IRL Padraig Harrington 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 2.16% 1.21% T58 4.1
35 USA Beau Hossler 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 1.15% 0.19% MC 4.1
36 USA Brice Garnett 80 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.96% 0.01% T5 (tied w/2) 4.1 +34.9
37 USA Chase Seiffert 80 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.77% -0.19% T15 4.1
38 USA Ted Potter-jr 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.67% -0.28% T7
39 NZL Tim Wilkinson 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.49% -0.47% T27
40 USA Ben Martin 80 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.39% -0.56% 73
41 KOR Tom Kim 80 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.39% -0.56% T15
42 USA Peter Uihlein 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.35% -0.6% T39
43 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.85% 1.27% 0.42% MC 3.65
44 CHN Zhang Xinjun 90 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.85% 1.08% 0.23% T30 3.65
45 USA Rob Oppenheim 100 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.65% -0.12% T7 3.29
46 CAN David Hearn 125 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.8% 0.19% MC 2.64
47 USA Vincent Whaley 125 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.78% 0.16% T15 2.64
48 USA J.J Spaun 125 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.61% 0% T68 2.64
49 FRA Paul Barjon 125 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.38% -0.23% T58 2.64
50 USA Bill Haas 140 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.71% 0.55% 0.69% 0.14% T30
51 AUS Rhein Gibson 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.91% 0.4% MC
52 USA Mark Anderson 150 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.59% 0.08% T63
53 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.59% 0.08% MC
54 USA Matt Every 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.48% -0.04% MC
55 USA Grayson Murray 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.46% -0.05% T3
56 USA Roberto Castro 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.46% -0.05% T39
57 SWE David Lingmerth 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.41% -0.1% T53
58 USA Wes Roach 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.35% -0.16% T13
59 IRL Seamus Power 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.34% -0.17% T22
60 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 160 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.48% 0.89% 0.42% T49
61 USA D.J. Trahan 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% 1.03% 0.59% T22
62 USA Nick Watney 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% 0.64% 0.2% MC
63 PUR Rafael Campos 175 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% 0.44% 0% T3
64 KOR Sangmoon Bae 175 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% 0.35% -0.09% MC
65 ARG Fabian Gomez 200 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.59% 0.21% T15
66 USA Ryan Brehm 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.52% 0.14% T11
67 USA Johnson Wagner 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.46% 0.08% MC
68 ENG Benjamin Taylor 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.44% 0.05% MC
69 USA Jonathan Byrd 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.4% 0.02% T39
70 USA Shawn Stefani 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.35% -0.03% MC
71 USA Zack Sucher 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.35% -0.03% T66
72 USA Chris Baker 225 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.34% 0.45% 0.11% MC
73 CAN Michael Gligic 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.95% 0.64% T63
74 USA Michael Gellerman 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.44% 0.13% T58
75 ARG Andres Romero 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.37% 0.06% T30
76 USA Tommy Gainey 250 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.36% 0.05% T68
77 USA Chris Couch 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.36% 0.05% MC
78 USA Bryson Nimmer 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.36% 0.05% T39
79 USA Carson Young 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.36% 0.05% MC
80 USA Ryan Blaum 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.35% 0.04% T53
81 USA Michael Kim 275 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.28% 0.64% 0.36% 74
82 USA Ricky Barnes 300 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.97% 0.72% MC
83 ARG Nelson Ledesma 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.53% 0.27% T15
84 IND Arjun Atwal 300 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.36% 0.1% MC
85 AUS Greg Chalmers 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 1.02% 0.8% T22
86 USA Martin Trainer 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.45% 0.23% MC
87 SWE Carl Pettersson 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.41% 0.19% MC
88 AUS John Senden 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.31% 0.09% 75
89 USA George McNeill 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.3% 0.08% T68
90 USA Hunter Mahan 400 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.64% 0.45% MC
91 USA Bo Van Pelt 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.5% 0.31% T15
92 USA Derek Ernst 400 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.38% 0.19% MC
93 USA Smylie Kaufman 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.36% 0.17% MC
94 USA Dominic Bozzelli 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.35% 0.16% MC
95 USA Parker McLachlin 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% MC
96 USA Jason Bohn 500 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.26% T49
97 SWE Daniel Chopra 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.26% MC
98 USA Stephen Stallings Jr 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.26% MC
99 USA Robert Garrigus 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% MC
100 USA Will Mackenzie 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.2% MC
101 USA Heath Slocum 500 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.2% MC
102 USA Charlie Beljan 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.2% T35
103 USA William Cannon 500 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.2% T66
104 USA John Merrick 600 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.41% 0.28% MC
105 AUS Mark Hensby 600 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.36% 0.23% MC
106 COL Marcelo Rozo 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.36% 0.26% T68
107 ZIM Brendon de Jonge 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.41% 0.33% MC
108 USA John Rollins 1000 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.41% 0.33% MC
109 USA Eric Axley 1000 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.41% 0.33% MC
110 ARG Sebastian Saavedra 1000 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.41% 0.33% MC
111 USA Ted Purdy 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.41% 0.33% MC
112 USA Dicky Pride 1000 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.36% 0.28% MC
113 USA Ian Holt 1000 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.36% 0.28% MC
114 USA Omar Uresti 1000 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.36% 0.28% MC
115 PUR Edward Figueroa 1000 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.36% 0.28% T58
116 USA Chris Nido 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.36% 0.28% MC
117 PAR Carlos Franco 1500 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.41% 0.36% MC
118 AUS Robert Allenby 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
119 USA D.A. Points 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
120 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
121 SWE Richard S. Johnson 0% 0% 0% 0% T68
122 CHI Guillermo Pereira 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
123 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% T35
124 USA Dylan Meyer 0% 0% 0% 0% T63
125 USA Frank Lickliter-II 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
126 USA Jonathan Kaye 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
127 USA Dalton Ward 0% 0% 0% 0% T53
128 USA Donnie Trosper 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
129 USA Tyler Collet 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
130 ARG Marcos Montenegro 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
131 USA Roberto Nieves 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
132 USA Zach Smith 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 29.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.2 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 45.2% 21.5%
2 Bet365 7 @ 1/5 46.1% 22.4%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 50.6% 26.1%
4 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 50.6% 26.1%
5 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 43% 30.3%
6 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 45.9% 32.9%
7 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 46.4% 33.4%
8 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 49.7% 33.4%
9 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 50.9% 34.5%
10 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 50.9% 37.5%
11 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 51.7% 38.2%
12 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 60.9% 46.6%