Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 32.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 3.4 %

Total Probability Staked: 27.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 63.7

Total Profit: -36.5

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

11/02/2021 - 14/02/2021

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Patrick Cantlay 7 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 12.5% 9.4% 3.53% -5.87% T3
2 USA Daniel Berger 16 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.42% 2.85% -1.58% 1
3 ENG Paul Casey 16 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.42% 2.75% -1.67% T5
4 USA Will Zalatoris 20 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.58% 2.69% -0.89% T55
5 USA Jordan Spieth 22 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.27% 1.27% -2% T3
6 AUS Jason Day 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.27% 0.78% -2.49% T7
7 ITA Francesco Molinari 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.89% 1.87% -1.02% 59
8 KOR Siwoo Kim 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% 1.96% -0.25% MC
9 AUS Cameron Davis 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.83% 2.15% 0.31% T14 6.71
10 USA Kevin Streelman 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.83% 1.58% -0.25% 13
11 USA Sam Burns 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.83% 1.4% -0.44% T39
12 USA Max Homa 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.83% 0.95% -0.89% T7
13 USA Cameron Tringale 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.63% 1.79% 0.15% T7 (tied w/5) 5.98 +12
14 USA Rickie Fowler 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.63% 0.94% -0.7% MC
15 USA Phil Mickelson 45 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.63% 0.31% -1.33% MC
16 USA Brian Harman 50 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% 3.2% 1.72% T39 5.4
17 SWE Henrik Norlander 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% 1.32% -0.15% T26 5.4
18 AUS Matt Jones 55 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.34% 1.18% -0.16% T34 4.92
19 SWE Alexander Noren 60 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.23% 1.77% 0.54% MC 4.51
20 USA James Hahn 66 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 1.5% 0.38% MC 4.11
21 USA Matthew NeSmith 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 1.39% 0.27% T16 4.11
22 USA Brendan Steele 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 1.05% -0.08% T34 4.11
23 USA Harold Varner III 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.06% 1.14% 0.08% MC 3.88
24 USA Michael Thompson 70 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.06% 0.9% -0.16% T34 3.88
25 USA Joel Dahmen 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.06% 0.79% -0.27% T60
26 CAN Nick Taylor 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.06% 0.78% -0.28% T39
27 USA Chris Kirk 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 1.67% 0.74% T16 3.4
28 USA Peter Malnati 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 1.66% 0.74% MC 3.4
29 USA Doug Ghim 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 1.47% 0.54% T21 3.4
30 USA Chez Reavie 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.5% -0.43% T16
31 USA Brandt Snedeker 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.33% -0.6% MC
32 USA Adam Long 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.83% 1.69% 0.86% MC 3.03
33 USA Maverick McNealy 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.83% 1.2% 0.37% 2 3.03 +28.8
34 USA Charley Hoffman 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 1.25% 0.5% T7 (tied w/5) 2.73 +11.5
35 SVK Rory Sabbatini 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 1.17% 0.43% MC 2.73
36 SCO Russell Knox 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 1% 0.25% T7 (tied w/5) 2.73 +11.5
37 USA Patton Kizzire 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.92% 0.18% T39 2.73
38 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.85% 0.11% MC 2.73
39 USA Andrew Putnam 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.71% -0.03% T55 2.73
40 RSA Branden Grace 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.69% -0.06% T34 2.73
41 USA Kyle Stanley 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.63% -0.11% T39 2.73
42 USA Scott Stallings 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.52% -0.23% T30
43 USA Mark Hubbard 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.68% 0.57% -0.11% T55 2.48
44 USA Stewart Cink 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 1.42% 0.83% MC 2.19
45 USA Bo Hoag 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.91% 0.31% MC 2.19
46 USA Scott Piercy 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.72% 0.13% T50 2.19
47 USA Jim Furyk 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.36% -0.24% T21
48 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.32% -0.27% T50
49 USA Ryan Moore 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.16% -0.44% T26
50 USA Tom Hoge 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 1.05% 0.56% 12
51 USA Harry Higgs 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.89% 0.39% MC
52 USA Pat Perez 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.69% 0.19% T26
53 USA Chesson Hadley 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.59% 0.09% MC
54 USA Kramer Hickok 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.53% 0.03% MC
55 USA Patrick Rodgers 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.51% 0.01% MC
56 USA Andrew Landry 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.68% 0.26% MC
57 ENG Tom Lewis 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.61% 0.19% T14
58 TPE C.T. Pan 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.56% 0.13% 65
59 USA Vaughn Taylor 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.55% 0.12% T21
60 USA Bronson Burgoon 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.47% 0.04% T47
61 USA Brandon Hagy 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.43% 0% MC
62 USA Denny McCarthy 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.4% -0.03% MC
63 USA Joseph Bramlett 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.39% -0.04% T63
64 USA Kevin Chappell 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.18% -0.25% MC
65 USA Jim Herman 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 1.34% 0.97% MC
66 USA Austin Cook 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.96% 0.58% MC
67 USA Nate Lashley 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.79% 0.41% T5
68 USA Troy Merritt 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.66% 0.29% T16
69 USA Ryan Armour 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.54% 0.16% T47
70 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.51% 0.14% MC
71 USA Brian Stuard 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.49% 0.12% T16
72 AUS Cameron Percy 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.48% 0.11% T21
73 USA Keith Mitchell 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.48% 0.1% MC
74 USA Sam Ryder 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.48% 0.1% MC
75 USA Ted Potter-jr 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.45% 0.07% MC
76 CAN Roger Sloan 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.42% 0.05% MC
77 USA Adam Schenk 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.41% 0.04% MC
78 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.39% 0.02% MC
79 USA J.B. Holmes 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.13% -0.25% MC
80 USA Tyler Duncan 225 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.33% 0.6% 0.27% MC
81 USA Brian Gay 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.68% 0.38% T34
82 USA Chase Seiffert 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.44% 0.15% MC
83 USA William Gordon 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.43% 0.13% T21
84 USA Josh Teater 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.22% -0.08% T50
85 USA Peter Uihlein 250 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.15% -0.15% T60
86 USA Ben Martin 250 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.14% -0.16% MC
87 USA Brice Garnett 275 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.27% 0.48% 0.2% MC
88 CHN Zhang Xinjun 275 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.27% 0.47% 0.2% MC
89 USA Davis Riley 275 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.27% 0.16% -0.11% MC
90 USA Andy Ogletree 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.95% 0.7% MC
91 AUS Minwoo Lee 300 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.77% 0.52% MC
92 USA Beau Hossler 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.38% 0.13% T47
93 USA Bill Haas 300 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.37% 0.12% MC
94 USA Jason Dufner 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.28% 0.03% T26
95 NZL Tim Wilkinson 300 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.21% -0.04% T30
96 AUS Aaron Baddeley 300 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.2% -0.05% MC
97 KOR Seungyul Noh 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.16% -0.09% MC
98 USA Tyler McCumber 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.56% 0.37% MC
99 USA Hank Lebioda 400 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.44% 0.26% T39
100 USA Akshay Bhatia 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.39% 0.21% T30
101 USA Rob Oppenheim 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.37% 0.18% T39
102 USA Jimmy Walker 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.36% 0.17% MC
103 USA Kelly Kraft 400 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.31% 0.12% MC
104 USA Grayson Murray 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.31% 0.12% MC
105 IRL Seamus Power 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.25% 0.07% MC
106 USA Jonathan Byrd 400 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.21% 0.03% MC
107 USA Sean O'Hair 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.21% 0.02% MC
108 USA Nick Watney 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.13% -0.05% MC
109 AUS Rhein Gibson 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.43% 0.28% MC
110 USA Scott Brown 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% T30
111 CAN David Hearn 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.34% 0.19% MC
112 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% MC
113 USA D.J. Trahan 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% MC
114 USA Chris Baker 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% MC
115 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% T55
116 USA Ricky Barnes 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
117 USA Johnson Wagner 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% MC
118 USA Michael Kim 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% MC
119 KOR K.J. Choi 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% MC
120 USA J.J Spaun 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% MC
121 USA Roberto Castro 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.18% 0.03% MC
122 ENG Luke Donald 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.17% 0.02% MC
123 USA Wes Roach 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.15% 0% 67
124 USA Vincent Whaley 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.46% 0.33% T50
125 CAN Michael Gligic 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.38% 0.26% MC
126 USA Ryan Brehm 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.31% 0.19% MC
127 USA Scott Harrington 600 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.23% 0.1% 66
128 USA Mark Anderson 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.17% 0.05% MC
129 USA Ryan Blaum 600 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.15% 0.02% MC
130 USA Dominic Bozzelli 600 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.15% 0.02% MC
131 USA Bo Van Pelt 750 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.53% 0.43% MC
132 ARG Nelson Ledesma 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% MC
133 USA Matt Every 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% WD
134 USA Jim Knous 750 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.17% 0.07% MC
135 ENG Benjamin Taylor 750 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.17% 0.07% T50
136 USA Shawn Stefani 750 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.15% 0.05% MC
137 USA Zack Sucher 750 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.15% 0.05% T60
138 ARG Fabian Gomez 1000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.46% 0.39% MC
139 USA Hunter Mahan 1000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1% MC
140 PUR Rafael Campos 1000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% MC
141 USA Tom Lehman 1000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.08% MC
142 USA Martin Trainer 1250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.08% 0.06% 0.3% 0.24% MC
143 USA Kevin Stadler 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.2% 0.15% MC
144 USA D.A. Points 1500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.17% 0.12% MC
145 USA Michael Gellerman 1500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.17% 0.12% MC
146 AUS John Senden 1500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.15% 0.1% T39
147 USA John Daly 2500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.15% 0.12% MC
148 USA David Duval 2500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.15% 0.12% MC
149 KOR Sangmoon Bae 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 AUS Greg Chalmers 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 AUS Rod Pampling 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% 0% 0% T63
153 USA Kevin Hall 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 USA Matt Gogel 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 USA Kenny Pigman 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA Kamaiu Johnson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 32.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 3.4 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 53% 18.5%
2 VBet 8 @ 1/5 55.4% 20.6%
3 Bet365 8 @ 1/5 56% 21%
4 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 60.1% 24.1%
5 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 60.3% 24.3%
6 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 61.4% 25.1%
7 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 65.9% 29.5%
8 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 48.3% 32.3%
9 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 49.8% 33.7%
10 Betway 7 @ 1/5 59.6% 33.7%
11 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 73.6% 34.6%
12 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 54.8% 41.1%
13 Redzone 6 @ 1/5 56.3% 42.4%
14 Sport Nation 6 @ 1/5 56.3% 42.4%
15 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 58.5% 44.5%
16 SportPesa 6 @ 1/5 62.8% 48.5%
17 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 63.4% 49.1%
18 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 75% 60%