Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 32.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 316.4

Total Profit: +216.3

Mayakoba Golf Classic

03/12/2020 - 06/12/2020

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Justin Thomas 6 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 14.29% 10.67% 4.78% -5.89% T12
2 USA Brooks Koepka 12 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.74% 2.25% -3.5% MC
3 USA Harris English 16 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.39% 3.2% -1.19% T5
4 MEX Abraham Ancer 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.93% 3.8% -0.13% T12
5 USA Daniel Berger 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.56% 3.11% -0.44% T23
6 NOR Viktor Hovland 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.25% 3.61% 0.37% 1 14.27 +202.6
7 USA Tony Finau 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.25% 2.89% -0.36% T8
8 USA Russell Henley 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.87% 2.69% -0.18% MC
9 CAN Corey Conners 28 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.57% 2.21% -0.36% T17
10 USA Rickie Fowler 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.41% 1.06% -1.35% MC
11 USA Will Zalatoris 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.2% 1.43% -0.77% T52
12 CHI Joaquin Niemann 40 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.82% 2.38% 0.56% T23 8.01
13 USA Billy Horschel 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.82% 2.02% 0.19% T5 (tied w/3) 8.01 +36
14 MEX Carlos Ortiz 45 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.62% 1.17% -0.45% T8
15 USA Brendon Todd 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 1.52% 0.05% T8 (tied w/4) 6.44 +8.9
16 AUS Marc Leishman 50 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.46% 0.53% -0.94% MC
17 ARG Emiliano Grillo 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.33% 0.82% -0.51% T8
18 USA Adam Long 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.22% 1.91% 0.69% T3 (tied w/2) 5.38 +35
19 USA Brian Harman 60 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.22% 1.24% 0.01% T30 5.38
20 SWE Alexander Noren 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 1.42% 0.3% MC 4.9
21 USA Charles Howell III 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 1.4% 0.29% T23 4.9
22 USA Patton Kizzire 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0.82% -0.3% T32
23 SCO Russell Knox 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0.4% -0.72% T23
24 USA Keegan Bradley 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% 1.32% 0.27% T32 4.62
25 USA Joel Dahmen 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% 1.28% 0.23% T20 4.62
26 USA Kevin Streelman 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% 1.03% -0.02% T32
27 USA Chez Reavie 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% 0.82% -0.23% MC
28 USA Harold Varner III 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% 0% -1.05% 71
29 USA Scott Piercy 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.83% -0.1% T40
30 USA Gary Woodland 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.67% -0.25% MC
31 KOR Byeong Hun An 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.82% 0.78% -0.04% MC
32 USA John Huh 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 1.23% 0.49% T20 3.25
33 AUT Sepp Straka 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 1.16% 0.42% T52 3.25
34 USA Denny McCarthy 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.83% 0.09% MC 3.25
35 SVK Rory Sabbatini 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.75% 0.01% T40
36 USA Doug Ghim 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.69% -0.05% T46
37 USA Brian Stuard 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.67% 0.69% 0.02% MC 2.96
38 USA Aaron Wise 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.67% 0.65% -0.02% 2
39 USA Chris Kirk 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.67% 0.54% -0.14% T46
40 CAN Adam Hadwin 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.96% 0.37% MC 2.61
41 USA Charley Hoffman 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.9% 0.31% T46 2.61
42 USA Austin Cook 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.89% 0.3% T63 2.61
43 USA Peter Malnati 125 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.78% 0.19% MC 2.61
44 USA Lucas Glover 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.77% 0.18% T5 (tied w/3) 2.61 +33.9
45 USA Kyle Stanley 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.74% 0.14% T46 2.61
46 USA Maverick McNealy 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.72% 0.13% T12 2.61
47 USA Pat Perez 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.66% 0.07% T52 2.61
48 USA Brice Garnett 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.52% -0.08% T32
49 USA Vaughn Taylor 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.29% -0.3% MC
50 USA Ollie Schniederjans 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 1.35% 0.86% MC
51 USA Tyler Duncan 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 1.29% 0.79% T23
52 SWE Henrik Norlander 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.98% 0.48% MC
53 USA Harry Higgs 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.85% 0.36% MC
54 USA William Gordon 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.73% 0.24% MC
55 USA Patrick Rodgers 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.69% 0.2% T17
56 NIR Graeme McDowell 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.67% 0.17% MC
57 COL Camilo Villegas 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.48% -0.01% T32
58 RSA Branden Grace 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.42% -0.07% T40
59 USA Chesson Hadley 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.93% 0.51% MC
60 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 175 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.91% 0.48% MC
61 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.7% 0.27% MC
62 USA Tom Hoge 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.66% 0.24% T3
63 USA Luke List 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.4% -0.02% MC
64 USA Mark Hubbard 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 1.22% 0.85% T59
65 USA Adam Schenk 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.94% 0.57% MC
66 USA Troy Merritt 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.81% 0.44% T40
67 USA Brendan Steele 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.76% 0.39% MC
68 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.74% 0.37% T20
69 CHN Zhang Xinjun 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.63% 0.26% T63
70 USA Max Homa 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.59% 0.22% T12
71 USA Andy Ogletree 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.39% 0.02% T46
72 USA Andrew Putnam 200 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.25% -0.12% MC
73 USA Wesley Bryan 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.78% 0.49% MC
74 USA Ryan Armour 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.61% 0.31% MC
75 USA Nate Lashley 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.59% 0.29% T38
76 USA Robby Shelton 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.56% 0.26% MC
77 CAN Roger Sloan 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.46% 0.16% MC
78 USA Jason Dufner 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.45% 0.16% T52
79 USA Beau Hossler 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.45% 0.15% MC
80 USA Keith Mitchell 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.43% 0.13% 70
81 USA J.J Spaun 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.37% 0.08% T65
82 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.37% 0.07% WD
83 USA Bronson Burgoon 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.35% 0.05% MC
84 CAN Michael Gligic 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.5% 0.25% MC
85 USA Hank Lebioda 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.48% 0.24% T38
86 AUS Cameron Percy 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.36% 0.11% WD
87 USA Rob Oppenheim 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.3% 0.05% MC
88 USA Steve Stricker 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.26% 0.01% T17
89 USA Akshay Bhatia 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0% -0.21% T52
90 USA Chase Seiffert 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.63% 0.44% T59
91 USA Bo Hoag 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.54% 0.35% T23
92 AUS Aaron Baddeley 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.38% 0.19% MC
93 USA Joseph Bramlett 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.36% 0.18% MC
94 ARG Fabian Gomez 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.33% 0.14% MC
95 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.28% 0.09% T59
96 USA Kelly Kraft 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.28% 0.09% T52
97 USA Nick Watney 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.23% 0.04% MC
98 ENG Luke Donald 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.18% -0.01% MC
99 USA D.J. Trahan 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.18% -0.01% MC
100 MEX Roberto Diaz 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.14% -0.04% MC
101 AUS Rhein Gibson 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0% -0.19% MC
102 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.25% T40
103 USA Scott Harrington 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.24% MC
104 USA Brandon Hagy 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% T40
105 USA Chris Baker 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% T30
106 NZL Tim Wilkinson 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.12% MC
107 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% MC
108 USA Vincent Whaley 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% T23
109 USA Mark Anderson 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.15% 0% MC
110 USA Johnson Wagner 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.12% -0.03% MC
111 USA Sam Ryder 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.56% 0.44% MC
112 KOR K.J. Choi 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.16% 0.06% T46
113 USA Matt Every 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.13% 0.03% MC
114 USA Hunter Mahan 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.28% 0.21% T67
115 USA Bo Van Pelt 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.15% 0.08% MC
116 PUR Rafael Campos 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.13% 0.06% T52
117 MEX Isidro Benitez 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0% -0.07% MC
118 CAN Drew Nesbitt 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0% -0.07% MC
119 USA Patrick Cover 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0% -0.07% MC
120 USA D.A. Points 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.18% 0.13% MC
121 USA Michael Kim 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.09% MC
122 MEX Armando Favela 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.13% 0.08% MC
123 USA Kevin Stadler 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.4% 0.36% MC
124 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% 0% 0% 37
125 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
126 USA Ryan Brehm 0% 0% 0% 0% T59
127 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
128 ENG Benjamin Taylor 0% 0% 0% 0% T65
129 USA Michael Gellerman 0% 0% 0% 0% 69
130 USA Austin Eckroat 0% 0% 0% 0% T12
131 USA Quade Cummins 0% 0% 0% 0% T67
132 MEX Aaron Terrazas 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 32.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.2 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 48.9% 15.5%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 53.7% 19.4%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 54.2% 19.7%
4 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 54.2% 19.7%
5 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 58.2% 22.8%
6 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 52.4% 27.8%
7 VBet 5 @ 1/4 43.8% 28.4%
8 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 44% 28.6%
9 Betway 7 @ 1/5 54.2% 29.3%
10 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 47.9% 34.9%
11 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 51.9% 35.6%
12 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 51.9% 35.6%
13 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 51.9% 35.6%
14 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 52.2% 35.9%
15 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 50.1% 36.9%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 51.8% 38.5%
17 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 51.8% 38.5%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 54.9% 41.3%