Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 30.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 65.6

Total Profit: -34.6

Cyprus Classic

05/11/2020 - 08/11/2020

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 BEL Thomas Detry 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.92% 1.86% -1.06% T4
2 SCO Robert MacIntyre 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.62% 1.64% -0.98% 1
3 RSA Garrick Higgo 33 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.23% 2.8% 0.57% MC 9.94
4 FIN Sami Valimaki 33 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.23% 2.8% 0.56% 18 9.94
5 AUT Matthias Schwab 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.23% 1.28% -0.95% MC
6 SWE Marcus Kinhult 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% 2.11% 0.26% T20 8.24
7 NED Joost Luiten 40 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% 1.94% 0.09% T24
8 ENG Matthew Jordan 40 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% 1.83% -0.02% T9
9 FRA Romain Langasque 40 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% 1.18% -0.68% T24
10 FRA Antoine Rozner 40 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% 1.14% -0.71% T24
11 ENG Marcus Armitage 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.65% 1.88% 0.23% 14 7.35
12 ENG Jordan L Smith 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.65% 1.56% -0.09% MC
13 SWE Joakim Lagergren 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.65% 1.55% -0.1% MC
14 ENG Paul Waring 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.65% 0.94% -0.71% MC
15 MAS Gavin Green 45 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.65% 0.6% -1.05% T7
16 ENG Matthew Southgate 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 2.12% 0.63% MC 6.63
17 FIN Kalle Samooja 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.49% 1.64% 0.15% MC
18 FRA Benjamin Hebert 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.49% 1.28% -0.2% MC
19 AUS Jason Scrivener 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.49% 1.12% -0.37% WD
20 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.49% 1.06% -0.43% MC
21 IND Shubhankar Sharma 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.49% 0.83% -0.66% T20
22 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.49% 0.75% -0.74% MC
23 FIN Mikko Korhonen 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 0.55% -0.94% MC
24 ENG Callum Shinkwin 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.36% 1.79% 0.43% T4 (tied w/3) 6.04 +29.7
25 ENG David Horsey 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.36% 1.53% 0.17% T24
26 FRA Adrien Saddier 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.36% 1.39% 0.04% MC
27 RSA Wilco Nienaber 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.36% 1.21% -0.14% MC
28 ESP Jorge Campillo 55 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.36% 1.17% -0.19% 3
29 GER Sebastian Heisele 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.36% 1.13% -0.23% MC
30 USA Johannes Veerman 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.36% 0.76% -0.6% T4
31 WAL Jamie Donaldson 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% 1.84% 0.7% 19 5.05
32 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% 1.61% 0.48% 2 5.05 +35.9
33 CHN Hao Tong Li 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% 1.43% 0.3% MC 5.05
34 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% 1.32% 0.18% MC
35 SCO Connor Syme 66 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% 1.24% 0.11% MC
36 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% 1.2% 0.07% T24
37 POL Adrian Meronk 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% 1.18% 0.05% MC
38 SWE Alexander Bjork 66 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% 1.07% -0.07% T31
39 SCO Richie Ramsay 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% 0.74% -0.39% MC
40 SCO Grant Forrest 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% 0.72% -0.41% MC
41 ENG Ross Fisher 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% 0.72% -0.42% MC
42 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 80 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% 1.57% 0.63% T16 4.17
43 ENG Richard Bland 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.52% 0.59% T16 4.17
44 ENG Chris Paisley 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.51% 0.57% MC 4.17
45 ENG Dale Whitnell 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.22% 0.28% MC 4.17
46 FRA Matthieu Pavon 80 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% 1% 0.06% MC
47 ENG Ben Stow 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.98% 0.04% MC
48 AUS Maverick Antcliff 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.91% -0.03% MC
49 SCO Calum Hill 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.9% -0.04% MC
50 DEN Jeff Winther 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% 0.86% -0.08% MC
51 USA Julian Suri 80 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% 0.74% -0.19% MC
52 ENG Jack Senior 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.52% -0.42% MC
53 ZIM Scott Vincent 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 0.91% 0.08% MC
54 GER Maximilian Kieffer 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 0.75% -0.08% MC
55 FRA Alexander Levy 90 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 0.57% -0.26% T7
56 CAN Aaron Cockerill 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 1.07% 0.32% MC 3.35
57 ENG Steven Brown 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 1.01% 0.26% T9 3.35
58 RSA Louis de Jager 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.76% 0.01% T9
59 ENG James Morrison 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.74% -0.01% 15
60 SWE Rikard Karlberg 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.63% -0.12% MC
61 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 0.77% 0.08% WD
62 ENG Ross McGowan 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 1.31% 0.71% MC 2.69
63 ENG David Coupland 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 1.07% 0.47% MC 2.69
64 SCO Ewen Ferguson 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 1.02% 0.42% MC 2.69
65 ESP Nacho Elvira 125 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.91% 0.31% T20 2.69
66 WAL Oliver Farr 125 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.88% 0.28% MC 2.69
67 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.76% 0.16% MC
68 FRA Clement Sordet 125 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.7% 0.1% MC
69 SCO David Drysdale 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.61% 0.01% MC
70 SWE Niklas Lemke 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.58% -0.02% T9
71 ITA Francesco Laporta 125 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.48% -0.12% MC
72 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.47% -0.13% MC
73 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.44% -0.17% MC
74 CHN Wu Ashun 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.54% 0.49% -0.05% T24
75 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 1.49% 0.99% T20
76 ENG Oliver Fisher 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.87% 0.37% MC
77 ENG Garrick Porteous 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.87% 0.36% MC
78 NED Daan Huizing 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.61% 0.1% MC
79 SWE Joel Sjoholm 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.61% 0.1% T31
80 FRA Joel Stalter 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.58% 0.08% T24
81 NIR Cormac Sharvin 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.57% 0.07% MC
82 ENG Toby Tree 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.56% 0.06% WD
83 FRA Gregory Havret 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.55% 0.05% MC
84 ENG Richard McEvoy 150 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.36% -0.14% MC
85 ENG Mitch Waite 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.34% -0.17% MC
86 ESP Alvaro Quiros 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.33% -0.18% MC
87 ESP Alejandro Canizares 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.32% -0.18% MC
88 RSA Zander Lombard 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.31% -0.19% MC
89 ENG Chris Wood 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.37% -0.07% MC
90 GER Bernd Ritthammer 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.95% 0.58% T9
91 FRA Robin Roussel 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.78% 0.4% MC
92 ESP Carlos Pigem 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.62% 0.24% MC
93 POR Ricardo Santos 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.54% 0.16% MC
94 NED Lars Van Meijel 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.36% -0.02% MC
95 RSA Haydn Porteous 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.35% -0.03% MC
96 ENG Iain Pyman 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.31% -0.07% MC
97 POR Pedro Figueiredo 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.64% 0.34% MC
98 ENG Oliver Wilson 250 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.38% 0.08% MC
99 ENG Jack Floydd 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.31% 0.05% MC
100 ENG David Howell 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.49% 0.3% MC
101 NZL Michael Campbell 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% MC
102 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
103 KOR Yikeun Chang 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
104 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
105 ENG Jacob Oakley 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 30.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 43.4% 27.7%
2 Skybet 5 @ 1/4 44.1% 28.3%
3 GentingBet 5 @ 1/4 45.2% 29.3%
4 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 54.9% 29.5%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 55.2% 29.8%
6 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 55.2% 29.8%
7 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 49.1% 32.8%
8 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 50.9% 34.4%
9 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 50.9% 34.4%
10 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 50.9% 34.4%
11 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 50.9% 34.4%
12 William Hill 5 @ 1/4 50.9% 34.4%
13 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 49% 35.7%
14 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 49.9% 36.5%
15 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 49.9% 36.5%
16 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 52% 38.5%
17 Betway 5 @ 1/4 56.2% 39.1%