Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 35.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.4 %

Total Probability Staked: 24.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 65.5

Total Profit: -34.6

Safeway Open

10/09/2020 - 13/09/2020

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 KOR Siwoo Kim 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.4% 2.63% -0.77% T44
2 USA Phil Mickelson 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.4% 2.09% -1.31% T44
3 USA Brendan Steele 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.1% 3.19% 0.08% T29 12.81
4 USA Joel Dahmen 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.74% 2.97% 0.22% T52 11.34
5 USA Harold Varner III 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.46% 1.53% -0.93% T29
6 ESP Sergio Garcia 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.3% 1.39% -0.91% MC
7 IRL Shane Lowry 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.3% 1.35% -0.95% MC
8 USA Jordan Spieth 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.3% 0.95% -1.35% MC
9 ARG Emiliano Grillo 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.1% 1.09% -1.01% T29
10 USA Kevin Streelman 35 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.98% 4.15% 2.17% T3 (tied w/4) 8.19 +32.8
11 USA Doc Redman 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.98% 2.4% 0.42% T3 (tied w/4) 8.19 +32.8
12 USA Chez Reavie 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.98% 1.76% -0.22% T3
13 RSA Erik van Rooyen 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.98% 1.04% -0.94% MC
14 AUS Cameron Davis 35 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.98% 0.71% -1.28% T36
15 USA Brandt Snedeker 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.74% 0.67% -1.07% MC
16 USA Mark Hubbard 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.55% 1.87% 0.32% MC 6.41
17 USA Sam Burns 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.4% 1.2% -0.2% T7
18 USA Bud Cauley 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.4% 0.93% -0.47% T14
19 USA Keegan Bradley 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.4% 0.8% -0.6% MC
20 USA Luke List 55 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.27% 0.86% -0.42% T65
21 USA Tyler Duncan 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.17% 1.54% 0.37% MC 4.83
22 USA William Gordon 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.17% 1.37% 0.2% T61 4.83
23 USA Lucas Glover 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.17% 0.93% -0.24% T65
24 USA Cameron Tringale 60 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.17% 0.74% -0.43% MC
25 SWE Henrik Norlander 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.07% 1.43% 0.36% MC 4.4
26 USA Maverick McNealy 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.07% 1.26% 0.19% MC 4.4
27 USA Denny McCarthy 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.07% 0.59% -0.48% MC
28 USA Jim Furyk 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.07% 0.48% -0.58% T46
29 USA Talor Gooch 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.01% 1.36% 0.35% MC 4.15
30 USA Charley Hoffman 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.01% 0.84% -0.16% T56
31 MEX Carlos Ortiz 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.01% 0.75% -0.25% T46
32 RSA Branden Grace 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.01% 0.28% -0.73% T29
33 AUT Sepp Straka 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 1.23% 0.35% T14 3.64
34 USA Adam Schenk 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.88% 1.2% 0.32% T61 3.64
35 USA Troy Merritt 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 1.18% 0.3% MC 3.64
36 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 0.88% 0% T52
37 USA Harry Higgs 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.88% 0.78% -0.1% 2
38 USA Patrick Rodgers 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 0.78% -0.1% T46
39 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 0.72% -0.16% T7
40 USA Kyle Stanley 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 0.45% -0.43% T46
41 USA Chesson Hadley 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.78% 0.96% 0.18% T14 3.24
42 USA Tom Hoge 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.78% 0.73% -0.06% T29
43 RSA Charl Schwartzel 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.78% 0.73% -0.06% T23
44 USA J.B. Holmes 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.78% 0.19% -0.6% T46
45 USA Scott Stallings 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 1.51% 0.81% MC 2.92
46 USA Wesley Bryan 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 1.01% 0.3% MC 2.92
47 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 0.98% 0.28% MC 2.92
48 USA Robby Shelton 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 0.97% 0.27% MC 2.92
49 USA Brice Garnett 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 0.6% -0.1% T67
50 USA Aaron Wise 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 0.46% -0.25% MC
51 USA Wyndham Clark 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 0.42% -0.29% MC
52 USA Scott Piercy 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 0.39% -0.31% MC
53 KOR Tom Kim 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 0.21% -0.49% T67
54 CHN Zhang Xinjun 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.64% 0.66% 0.01% T14
55 USA Kevin Chappell 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.64% 0.41% -0.23% T56
56 USA Ryan Armour 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 1.02% 0.46% MC 2.34
57 USA Pat Perez 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.9% 0.33% T9 2.34
58 USA Jason Dufner 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.54% -0.03% T29
59 USA Brian Stuard 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 1.25% 0.77% T3
60 IRL Seamus Power 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% 1.19% 0.72% MC
61 USA Peter Uihlein 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.85% 0.38% MC
62 USA Chris Baker 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.71% 0.24% MC
63 CAN Roger Sloan 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.6% 0.13% MC
64 USA Patton Kizzire 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% 0.6% 0.13% MC
65 USA Brandon Hagy 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.59% 0.12% T67
66 ARG Fabian Gomez 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.59% 0.11% MC
67 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.54% 0.07% MC
68 USA Beau Hossler 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.5% 0.03% T23
69 USA Austin Cook 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.49% 0.02% T52
70 USA Matthew NeSmith 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.48% 0.01% MC
71 USA Bo Hoag 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.38% -0.1% T29
72 SCO Russell Knox 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.32% -0.15% T9
73 USA Nick Watney 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.27% -0.2% T46
74 SCO Martin Laird 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.19% -0.28% MC
75 USA Sam Ryder 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.92% 0.52% MC
76 USA Doug Ghim 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.57% 0.17% T14
77 USA Joseph Bramlett 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.54% 0.13% MC
78 TPE C.T. Pan 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.49% 0.08% T61
79 USA Peter Malnati 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.48% 0.07% MC
80 USA Nate Lashley 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.32% -0.08% MC
81 USA Chase Seiffert 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 1.22% 0.87% MC
82 USA Hudson Swafford 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.48% 0.13% T56
83 USA Scott Brown 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.37% 0.01% MC
84 USA Stewart Cink 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.34% -0.01% 1
85 AUS Cameron Percy 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.23% -0.12% T23
86 USA Vincent Whaley 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.86% 0.58% T23
87 USA Scott Harrington 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.55% 0.27% T36
88 USA Rob Oppenheim 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.41% 0.12% T36
89 USA Brian Gay 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.4% 0.11% MC
90 USA Zac Blair 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.32% 0.03% MC
91 USA J.J Spaun 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.31% 0.02% T9
92 USA Kramer Hickok 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.29% 0% MC
93 USA Bill Haas 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.28% 0% MC
94 USA Johnson Wagner 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.23% -0.05% MC
95 USA Wes Roach 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.23% -0.05% MC
96 USA Grayson Murray 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.23% -0.05% MC
97 ENG Luke Donald 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.21% -0.07% MC
98 USA Josh Teater 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.2% -0.08% MC
99 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 250 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.2% -0.09% MC
100 CAN Graham Delaet 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.19% -0.09% MC
101 USA Kevin Tway 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.19% -0.09% MC
102 USA Sahith Theegala 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.19% -0.1% T14
103 RSA MJ Daffue 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 1.05% 0.82% 72
104 USA Hank Lebioda 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.78% 0.54% MC
105 CAN Michael Gligic 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.75% 0.52% T14
106 USA Ryan Brehm 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.53% 0.29% MC
107 USA Chris Stroud 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.51% 0.27% MC
108 NZL Tim Wilkinson 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.38% 0.14% T36
109 USA Shawn Stefani 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.23% 0% MC
110 USA Jamie Lovemark 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.2% -0.04% T56
111 KOR Sangmoon Bae 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.2% -0.04% MC
112 IND Anirban Lahiri 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.2% -0.04% T36
113 USA Sean O'Hair 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.19% -0.04% MC
114 USA Isaiah Salinda 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.19% -0.04% T56
115 USA Chad Campbell 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.19% -0.05% MC
116 USA Roberto Castro 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.47% 0.26% MC
117 AUS Aaron Baddeley 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.33% 0.12% MC
118 USA Robert Streb 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.27% 0.07% MC
119 USA Andrew Putnam 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.16% -0.04% T36
120 USA George McNeill 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.47% 0.29% MC
121 USA Jonathan Byrd 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.45% 0.27% T61
122 CAN David Hearn 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.24% 0.06% T14
123 USA James Hahn 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.21% 0.03% T9
124 USA Tyler McCumber 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.21% 0.03% MC
125 GER Alex Cejka 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.2% 0.02% MC
126 AUS Rhein Gibson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.3% 0.16% 73
127 USA Michael Gellerman 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.3% 0.16% MC
128 USA Matt Every 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.24% 0.1% MC
129 USA Ted Potter-jr 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.24% 0.1% MC
130 USA Zack Sucher 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% MC
131 USA Ricky Barnes 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% T23
132 USA Ryan Blaum 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% T52
133 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% MC
134 USA D.J. Trahan 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% T14
135 USA Mark Anderson 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.08% T36
136 USA William McGirt 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.2% 0.06% T67
137 USA Akshay Bhatia 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.2% 0.05% T9
138 COL Camilo Villegas 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.19% 0.05% MC
139 USA Kelly Kraft 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.19% 0.05% MC
140 ENG Benjamin Taylor 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.21% 0.09% T36
141 USA Jim Knous 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.19% 0.07% MC
142 USA Dominic Bozzelli 750 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.23% 0.14% MC
143 ARG Nelson Ledesma 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% T23
144 USA Hunter Mahan 750 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.2% 0.11% MC
145 PUR Rafael Campos 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.19% 0.1% MC
146 CHN Andy Zhang 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.19% 0.1% 71
147 USA Shintaro Ban 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.19% 0.1% MC
148 USA Michael Kim 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.24% 0.17% MC
149 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.24% 0.17% MC
150 AUS John Senden 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.2% 0.13% MC
151 USA D.A. Points 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.19% 0.12% MC
152 USA Peter Kuest 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0% -0.07% MC
153 KOR K.J. Choi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 USA Parker McLachlin 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 USA Luke Schniederjans 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA Steve Watanabe Jr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 35.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.4 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 55.3% 20%
2 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 62.8% 25.9%
3 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 62.8% 25.9%
4 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 63.5% 26.4%
5 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 68.4% 30.2%
6 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 49.8% 33.4%
7 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 61% 34.6%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 69.4% 41.7%
9 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 57% 43%
10 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 57.9% 43.8%
11 VBet 5 @ 1/4 61.7% 44%
12 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 60.5% 46.2%
13 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 60.5% 46.2%
14 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 63.1% 48.6%
15 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 106.9% 87%
16 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 109.3% 89.1%