Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 24.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 213.5

Total Profit: +113.4

Bermuda Championship

31/10/2019 - 03/11/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Lanto Griffin 16 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.7% 6.41% 1.71% T18
2 USA Denny McCarthy 16 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 5.88% 4.7% 2.43% -2.27% T15
3 SWE Alexander Noren 18 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 5.26% 4.21% 2.28% -1.93% T15
4 USA Scottie Scheffler 20 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.81% 1.41% -2.4% T3
5 USA Aaron Wise 20 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.81% 1.32% -2.49% T3
6 SCO Russell Knox 22 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.48% 2.09% -1.39% T11
7 USA Beau Hossler 25 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.07% 1.23% -1.85% T24
8 USA Mark Hubbard 28 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.76% 3.5% 0.74% T41 12.19
9 USA Sam Ryder 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.76% 1.56% -1.2% MC
10 USA Doc Redman 33 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.35% 2.64% 0.29% T35 10.4
11 USA Brian Stuard 33 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.35% 2.5% 0.14% T51 10.4
12 USA Scott Harrington 40 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.95% 3.13% 1.18% T53 8.62
13 AUS Cameron Percy 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.95% 2.77% 0.82% T48 8.62
14 AUT Sepp Straka 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.95% 1.45% -0.5% MC
15 USA Brian Gay 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.95% 1.28% -0.67% T3
16 RSA Branden Grace 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.95% 0.87% -1.08% MC
17 USA Robert Streb 50 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.57% 1.32% -0.25% T35
18 USA Robby Shelton 50 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.57% 1.03% -0.53% MC
19 USA Kramer Hickok 50 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.57% 0.84% -0.72% T15
20 USA Peter Uihlein 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.43% 1.69% 0.26% MC 6.32
21 USA Ryan Armour 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.43% 1.22% -0.21% T8
22 USA Scott Stallings 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.31% 1.12% -0.19% T18
23 USA Maverick McNealy 60 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.31% 1.09% -0.22% T35
24 USA Harry Higgs 60 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.31% 0.84% -0.47% 2
25 CAN Roger Sloan 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.19% 2.01% 0.81% T41 5.28
26 USA Zac Blair 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.19% 1.31% 0.12% 57
27 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 66 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.19% 1.03% -0.16% T58
28 ARG Fabian Gomez 66 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.19% 0.93% -0.26% 7
29 USA Dominic Bozzelli 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.19% 0.84% -0.35% T35
30 CAN David Hearn 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.19% 0.61% -0.58% T8
31 USA Patrick Rodgers 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.19% 0.48% -0.72% MC
32 USA Roberto Castro 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.99% 1.71% 0.73% MC 4.37
33 USA Shawn Stefani 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 1.38% 0.39% T11 4.37
34 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 80 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.99% 0.93% -0.06% T41
35 USA D.J. Trahan 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.68% -0.3% T24
36 USA Johnson Wagner 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.88% 1.24% 0.37% MC 3.89
37 USA Hank Lebioda 90 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.88% 0.98% 0.1% T3
38 USA Joseph Bramlett 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.88% 0.63% -0.25% T31
39 USA Wes Roach 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 1.08% 0.29% T8 3.5
40 USA Brendon Todd 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 1.05% 0.26% 1 3.5 +213.5
41 AUS Cameron Davis 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 1.04% 0.25% MC 3.5
42 USA Doug Ghim 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.79% 0.97% 0.18% MC 3.5
43 USA Ollie Schniederjans 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.79% 0.83% 0.04% MC
44 PUR Rafael Campos 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 0.74% -0.05% T18
45 IND Anirban Lahiri 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 0.65% -0.14% WD
46 SWE Henrik Norlander 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.79% 0.52% -0.27% T28
47 USA Ryan Brehm 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 0.52% -0.27% T51
48 USA Rob Oppenheim 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.79% 0.48% -0.32% T24
49 USA Tyler Duncan 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.72% 0.85% 0.13% T18 3.19
50 USA Bo Hoag 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.72% 0.56% -0.16% T11
51 USA Zack Sucher 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 1.13% 0.49% MC 2.81
52 USA Chad Campbell 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 1.05% 0.41% MC 2.81
53 USA George McNeill 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 0.78% 0.14% MC 2.81
54 AUS Rhein Gibson 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 0.74% 0.11% T35
55 IRL Seamus Power 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 0.49% -0.15% T31
56 USA Tyler McCumber 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 0.43% -0.2% T41
57 USA Chase Seiffert 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 0.43% -0.2% T62
58 USA Josh Teater 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.57% 2.34% 1.77% T11
59 USA Jonathan Byrd 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.53% 0.49% -0.03% MC
60 USA Patrick Fishburn 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.53% 0.32% -0.21% T41
61 SWE David Lingmerth 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.78% 0.33% MC
62 USA Boo Weekley 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.76% 0.3% T18
63 USA Ben Crane 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.5% 0.05% T18
64 CAN Michael Gligic 175 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.45% 0% T53
65 CAN Graham Delaet 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.35% -0.11% MC
66 ENG Benjamin Taylor 200 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 0.5% T28
67 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.43% 0.03% T35
68 USA Michael Gellerman 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.43% 0.03% MC
69 USA Ricky Barnes 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.39% -0.01% T53
70 GER Alex Cejka 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.35% 0.59% 0.24% T58
71 KOR Sangmoon Bae 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.69% 0.38% T58
72 USA Robert Garrigus 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.48% 0.16% 64
73 USA Chris Baker 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.43% 0.11% T31
74 USA J.J. Henry 300 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.59% 0.32% MC
75 ARG Nelson Ledesma 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.52% 0.25% T28
76 USA Vince Covello 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.43% 0.17% MC
77 AUS Rod Pampling 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.38% 0.11% T31
78 NZL Tim Wilkinson 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.34% 0.07% T48
79 USA John Merrick 350 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.32% 0.09% T24
80 USA Chip McDaniel 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.85% 0.65% T41
81 USA Davis Love III 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.32% 0.12% MC
82 AUS John Senden 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.44% 0.28% T62
83 SWE Daniel Chopra 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.38% 0.22% MC
84 USA Bo Van Pelt 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.37% 0.21% MC
85 USA Tommy Gainey 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.16% MC
86 USA Derek Ernst 500 (Black Type: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.31% 0.15% T53
87 IND Arjun Atwal 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.54% 0.41% T41
88 USA Tim Herron 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.52% 0.39% MC
89 CAN Mike Weir 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.39% 0.26% MC
90 USA John Rollins 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.38% 0.24% MC
91 USA Jason Bohn 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.36% 0.23% MC
92 USA Heath Slocum 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.36% 0.23% MC
93 USA Mark Wilson 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.36% 0.23% MC
94 ENG Brian Davis 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.28% 0.15% MC
95 USA Jonathan Kaye 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.45% 0.35% MC
96 USA Kevin Stadler 750 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.42% 0.31% MC
97 AUS Robert Allenby 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.42% 0.31% MC
98 USA Smylie Kaufman 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.39% 0.29% MC
99 ZIM Brendon de Jonge 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.39% 0.28% MC
100 USA Paul Stankowski 750 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.32% 0.22% MC
101 USA Cameron Beckman 1000 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.45% 0.37% MC
102 USA Parker McLachlin 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.38% 0.3% 65
103 USA Eric Axley 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.36% 0.28% MC
104 USA Ted Purdy 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% T58
105 USA Brett Quigley 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% MC
106 USA Spike McRoy 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% MC
107 USA Charlie Beljan 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% MC
108 USA Will Mackenzie 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
109 USA Frank Lickliter-II 1500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.32% 0.27% MC
110 PAR Carlos Franco 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.32% 0.27% 66
111 USA Guy Boros 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0% -0.03% MC
112 MEX Roberto Diaz 0% 0% 0% 0% T48
113 USA Fred Funk 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
114 USA Michael Sims 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
115 USA Gary Nicklaus 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
116 BER Daniel Augustus IV 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
117 BER Jarryd Dillas 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
118 USA Taylor Funk 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
119 BER Kenny Leseur 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
120 BER Dwayne Pearman 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 24.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.2 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 5 @ 1/4 36.6% 21.8%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 40.2% 25.1%
3 Black Type 5 @ 1/4 41.3% 26%
4 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 43.3% 27.8%
5 Marathon Bet 5 @ 1/4 44.3% 28.7%
6 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 44.5% 28.8%
7 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 54.4% 29.3%
8 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 54.6% 29.5%
9 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 42.2% 29.6%
10 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 55.2% 30%
11 Coral 7 @ 1/5 55.5% 30.2%
12 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 46.3% 30.4%
13 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 43.5% 30.8%
14 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 57.1% 31.5%
15 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 50.5% 34.2%
16 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 50.5% 34.2%
17 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 50.5% 34.2%
18 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 51.3% 34.9%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 50.2% 36.9%
20 Betway 6 @ 1/5 52.3% 38.8%