Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 26.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.8 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.1

THE CJ CUP @ NINE BRIDGES

17/10/2019 - 20/10/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Justin Thomas 7 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 12.5% 9.87% 3.38% -6.49% 1
2 USA Brooks Koepka 9 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 10% 7.9% 6.21% -1.68% WD
3 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 18 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 5.26% 4.16% 3.46% -0.7% T3
4 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 20 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.76% 2.46% -1.3% T20
5 NOR Viktor Hovland 20 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.76% 2.37% -1.4% T31
6 USA Collin Morikawa 25 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.04% 3.94% 0.9% T36 13.39
7 KOR Sungjae Im 25 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.04% 2.65% -0.39% T39
8 USA Jordan Spieth 25 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.04% 2.07% -0.97% T8
9 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.04% 1.94% -1.1% T26
10 USA Gary Woodland 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.72% 1.85% -0.87% T3
11 AUS Marc Leishman 30 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.55% 2.29% -0.26% T43
12 ESP Sergio Garcia 30 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.55% 1.41% -1.14% T60
13 AUS Jason Day 30 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.55% 0.92% -1.62% T31
14 USA Billy Horschel 33 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.32% 3.81% 1.48% 64 10.24
15 AUS Cameron Smith 33 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.32% 0.92% -1.4% T3
16 ENG Danny Willett 36 (SportPesa: 5 @ 1/4) 2.7% 2.13% 2.75% 0.62% T46 9.41
17 USA Matthew Wolff 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.93% 2.1% 0.17% 74
18 USA Kevin Na 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.72% 2.95% 1.24% T20 7.57
19 CHI Joaquin Niemann 45 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.72% 2.74% 1.03% T12 7.57
20 USA Chez Reavie 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.72% 2.41% 0.69% T46 7.57
21 USA Andrew Putnam 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.55% 3.76% 2.21% T20 6.83
22 USA Lucas Glover 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.55% 1.71% 0.16% T39
23 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.55% 1.67% 0.12% T6
24 KOR Byeong Hun An 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.55% 1.33% -0.21% T6
25 USA Pat Perez 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.55% 0.84% -0.71% T31
26 ENG Ian Poulter 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.29% 0.78% -0.52% T16
27 USA Ryan Moore 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.18% 1.02% -0.16% T8
28 USA Charles Howell III 66 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.18% 0.88% -0.3% T20
29 SVK Rory Sabbatini 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.11% 2.39% 1.28% T31 4.91
30 RSA Dylan Frittelli 70 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.11% 1.08% -0.04% T43
31 USA Scott Piercy 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 2.29% 1.32% 75 4.3
32 MEX Abraham Ancer 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% 1.28% 0.3% T57 4.3
33 CAN Corey Conners 80 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% 1.28% 0.3% T12 4.3
34 USA Phil Mickelson 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% 0.44% -0.53% T31
35 ARG Emiliano Grillo 90 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.87% 0.84% -0.03% T26
36 THA Jazz Janewattananond 100 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% 1.65% 0.87% T65 3.45
37 USA Ryan Palmer 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% 1.38% 0.6% T12 3.45
38 NIR Graeme McDowell 100 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% 1.23% 0.45% T16 3.45
39 USA Joel Dahmen 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% 1% 0.22% T43 3.45
40 USA Luke List 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% 0.77% -0.02% T57
41 USA Harold Varner III 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% 1.28% 0.57% T26 3.14
42 USA Kevin Tway 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 1.18% 0.56% T46 2.77
43 USA Brian Stuard 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 0.78% 0.15% T72
44 USA Kevin Streelman 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 0.68% 0.05% T12
45 KOR Siwoo Kim 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 0.52% -0.11% T26
46 USA Nate Lashley 150 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 1.92% 1.39% T20
47 USA Vaughn Taylor 150 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 1.47% 0.95% T60
48 USA Chesson Hadley 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.94% 0.42% 63
49 TPE C.T. Pan 150 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.9% 0.37% 56
50 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.7% 0.17% T8
51 USA Adam Schenk 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.69% 0.17% T46
52 USA Keith Mitchell 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.38% -0.14% T46
53 USA Adam Long 160 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.49% 0.8% 0.31% T46
54 USA Troy Merritt 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 1.04% 0.59% T57
55 AUS Matt Jones 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.94% 0.49% T20
56 USA J.B. Holmes 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.48% 0.04% WD
57 RSA Branden Grace 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.47% 0.02% T46
58 USA Charley Hoffman 175 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.34% -0.11% T36
59 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.34% -0.11% T16
60 USA Wyndham Clark 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.78% 0.47% T8
61 NZL Danny Lee 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.44% 0.13% 2
62 USA Max Homa 350 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.71% 0.48% T65
63 KOR Junggon Hwang 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.65% 0.45% T36
64 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.28% 0.09% T39
65 KOR Soomin Lee 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.39% 0.24% T39
66 KOR Meenwhee Kim 500 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.18% 0.02% T69
67 USA Chase Koepka 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.12% -0.01% T46
68 USA Michael Kim 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% T69
69 KOR Taehee Lee 1500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.16% 0.11% 76
70 KOR K.J. Choi 0% 0% 0% 0% T16
71 KOR Sanghyun Park 0% 0% 0% 0% T60
72 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% 0% 0% T26
73 KOR Hyungjoon Lee 0% 0% 0% 0% T46
74 KOR Kyongjun Moon 0% 0% 0% 0% T46
75 KOR Jeongu Ham 0% 0% 0% 0% T67
76 AUS Wonjoon Lee 0% 0% 0% 0% T67
77 KOR Yikeun Chang 0% 0% 0% 0% T72
78 KOR Yongjun Bae 0% 0% 0% 0% T69

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 26.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.8 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 36.4% 21.9%
2 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 46.9% 23.3%
3 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 49% 25.1%
4 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 49.4% 25.5%
5 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 42.2% 27%
6 Coral 5 @ 1/4 42.2% 27%
7 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 42.2% 27%
8 Unibet 5 @ 1/4 43.1% 27.8%
9 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 43.1% 27.8%
10 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 40.4% 28.2%
11 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 44% 28.6%
12 William Hill 5 @ 1/4 45.1% 29.7%
13 Black Type 5 @ 1/4 45.7% 30.2%
14 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 45.9% 30.4%
15 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 45.9% 30.4%
16 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 45.9% 30.4%
17 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 45.9% 30.4%
18 Bethard 5 @ 1/4 46.2% 30.6%
19 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 43.5% 31%
20 Betway 6 @ 1/5 44.8% 32.2%