Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 29.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 13.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.1

Kenya Open

14/03/2019 - 17/03/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 RSA Justin Harding 12 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.93% 4.45% -1.48% T2
2 RSA George Coetzee 18 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 5.26% 4.06% 1.24% -2.82% T17
3 RSA Erik van Rooyen 20 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.67% 2.08% -1.59% MC
4 ESP Adria Arnaus 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.96% 2.06% -0.9% T2
5 FRA Romain Langasque 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.96% 1.98% -0.98% T6
6 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.66% 1.33% -1.33% T9
7 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.66% 1.12% -1.54% 5
8 DEN Jeff Winther 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.66% 0.87% -1.79% T68
9 FRA Clement Sordet 33 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.27% 1.9% -0.37% T52
10 NZL Josh Geary 40 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.88% 1.36% -0.52% T9
11 ZIM Scott Vincent 40 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.88% 1.09% -0.79% MC
12 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.88% 1.03% -0.85% T25
13 AUS Nick Cullen 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.88% 0.91% -0.97% T54
14 USA Seungsu Han 40 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.88% 0.79% -1.09% MC
15 RSA Haydn Porteous 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.88% 0.65% -1.23% T12
16 USA Sean Crocker 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.68% 1.82% 0.14% T12 7.33
17 ENG Oliver Wilson 50 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.51% 2.69% 1.18% T52 6.61
18 SWE Anton Karlsson 50 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.51% 1.01% -0.51% T9
19 SCO Robert MacIntyre 60 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.26% 1.58% 0.32% T17 5.53
20 USA John Catlin 60 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.26% 0.75% -0.51% T66
21 RSA Louis de Jager 60 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.26% 0.7% -0.56% T2
22 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 66 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.15% 1.61% 0.45% WD 5.04
23 NED Daan Huizing 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.15% 0.8% -0.35% MC
24 FRA Adrien Saddier 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 0.74% -0.41% T17
25 KOR Jinho Choi 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.09% 1.12% 0.03% MC 4.75
26 ITA Renato Paratore 80 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.95% 1.35% 0.4% T35 4.17
27 AUS Deyen Lawson 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.95% 1.13% 0.18% MC 4.17
28 POR Ricardo Gouveia 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 1.08% 0.13% T35 4.17
29 FRA Gregory Bourdy 80 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.95% 1.01% 0.06% MC 4.17
30 FIN Kalle Samooja 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.85% -0.11% T6
31 ENG Ross McGowan 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.75% -0.21% T45
32 ENG Matthew Nixon 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.68% -0.27% 24
33 USA Johannes Veerman 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.6% -0.35% T17
34 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.28% -0.67% MC
35 RSA Bryce Easton 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 1.29% 0.52% T45 3.34
36 KOR Hosung Choi 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 1.1% 0.34% MC 3.34
37 POR Jose-Filipe Lima 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 1.1% 0.34% T25 3.34
38 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 1.06% 0.29% MC 3.34
39 FIN Kim Koivu 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.99% 0.23% T54 3.34
40 ESP Pep Angles Ros 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.96% 0.2% T35 3.34
41 CHI Hugo Leon 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.91% 0.14% T68 3.34
42 NIR Michael Hoey 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.9% 0.14% T17 3.34
43 ITA Matteo Manassero 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 0.84% 0.08% MC 3.34
44 SCO Connor Syme 100 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.73% -0.03% T35
45 IRL Gavin Moynihan 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.71% -0.05% MC
46 ENG Laurie Canter 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.59% -0.18% MC
47 SWE Niklas Lemke 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 1.44% 0.83% T12 2.68
48 ENG Jack Singh Brar 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.98% 0.36% T12 2.68
49 ENG Matthew Jordan 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.97% 0.36% MC 2.68
50 ENG Ben Evans 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.95% 0.34% T57 2.68
51 FRA Gregory Havret 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.92% 0.31% MC 2.68
52 ENG Max Orrin 125 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.81% 0.2% 78 2.68
53 ENG Jonathan Thomson 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.75% 0.14% MC 2.68
54 ENG Tom Murray 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.66% 0.05% T25 2.68
55 SCO Calum Hill 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.65% 0.04% T66 2.68
56 DEN Lasse Jensen 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.49% -0.12% T25
57 WAL Stuart Manley 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.49% -0.12% T45
58 GER Bernd Ritthammer 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.44% -0.17% T57
59 ENG Steven Brown 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.44% -0.18% MC
60 WAL Oliver Farr 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.43% -0.18% T76
61 IND Chikkarangappa S 125 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.43% -0.18% T17
62 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.33% -0.28% MC
63 DEN Thomas Bjorn 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 1.46% 0.95% T12
64 POR Pedro Figueiredo 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.81% 0.3% T35
65 GER Max Schmitt 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.73% 0.22% T31
66 SCO Liam Johnston 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.69% 0.18% 8
67 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.68% 0.17% T57
68 FRA Mathieu Fenasse 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.57% 0.06% T35
69 ESP Scott Fernandez 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.54% 0.03% MC
70 ENG Ryan Evans 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.54% 0.03% MC
71 SWE Per Langfors 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.51% 0% MC
72 ENG Chris Hanson 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.44% -0.07% MC
73 SWE Henric Sturehed 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.41% -0.1% T68
74 NED Darius Van Driel 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 1% 0.56% 79
75 SUI Joel Girrbach 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 0.71% 0.27% T72
76 GER Marcel Siem 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.94% 0.56% MC
77 ENG Jack Senior 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.89% 0.51% T62
78 ENG Ben Stow 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.65% 0.27% T25
79 SCO Ewen Ferguson 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.63% 0.25% T31
80 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.49% 0.11% T45
81 FRA Sebastien Gros 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.48% 0.1% MC
82 NOR Espen Kofstad 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.46% 0.08% WD
83 KOR Hyowon Park 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.39% 0.01% T35
84 USA Jake Knappe 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.3% -0.09% MC
85 IND Khalin Joshi 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.83% 0.52% T35
86 SWE Oscar Lengden 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.7% 0.39% T35
87 FRA Antoine Rozner 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.63% 0.32% MC
88 ENG Steven Tiley 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.54% 0.23% T45
89 SWE Simon Forsstrom 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.52% 0.22% T57
90 GER Philipp Mejow 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.5% 0.2% MC
91 NIR Cormac Sharvin 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.49% 0.18% T17
92 ESP David Borda Antonana 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.43% 0.12% MC
93 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.43% 0.12% 75
94 CHI Nicolas Geyger 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.37% 0.07% T62
95 ENG Joseph Dean 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.35% 0.04% T76
96 SCO Craig Ross 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.28% -0.03% MC
97 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.28% -0.03% T45
98 SCO Duncan Stewart 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.25% -0.06% MC
99 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.28% 0.37% 0.09% T31
100 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 1.96% 1.71% MC
101 SUI Marco Iten 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.9% 0.64% MC
102 ITA Guido Migliozzi 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.82% 0.57% 1
103 FRA Clement Berardo 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.68% 0.42% MC
104 GER Christian Braeunig 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.42% 0.17% MC
105 GER Marcel Schneider 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.58% 0.36% T31
106 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.46% 0.24% T35
107 CAN Aaron Cockerill 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.27% 0.05% T57
108 ENG Daniel Gavins 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.47% 0.27% MC
109 NED Maarten Lafeber 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.45% 0.26% T62
110 ENG Jamie Abbott 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.35% 0.16% MC
111 BEL Hugues Joannes 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.33% 0.14% T72
112 CHN Liu Yanwei 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.31% 0.12% MC
113 ENG Nick McCarthy 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.25% 0.06% T54
114 FRA Ugo Coussaud 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.75% 0.59% MC
115 AUT Martin Wiegele 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.6% 0.44% MC
116 ENG Chris Lloyd 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.15% MC
117 ENG Scott Gregory 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% MC
118 AUS Peter Cooke 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.62% 0.49% T68
119 IND Shubhankar Sharma 0% 0% 1.12% 0% MC
120 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.99% 0% T45

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 29.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 13.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...