Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 24.0 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 126.5

Total Profit: +26.3

Alfred Dunhill Championship

13/12/2018 - 16/12/2018

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 5 16.67% 12.15% 4.42% -7.73% T7
2 RSA Charl Schwartzel 7 12.5% 9.11% 2.08% -7.03% MC
3 RSA Branden Grace 9 10% 7.29% 2.54% -4.75% T34
4 ENG Matt Wallace 14 6.67% 4.86% 3.01% -1.85% T18
5 RSA Dylan Frittelli 16 5.88% 4.29% 2.06% -2.22% T12
6 RSA Brandon Stone 16 5.88% 4.29% 1.52% -2.77% T15
7 FRA Romain Langasque 25 3.85% 2.8% 1.55% -1.25% T15
8 RSA Dean Burmester 28 3.45% 2.51% 1.13% -1.38% MC
9 RSA Thomas Aiken 30 3.23% 2.35% 1.9% -0.45% T63
10 FRA Victor Perez 35 2.78% 2.02% 1.59% -0.43% T42 8.45
11 RSA Erik van Rooyen 35 2.78% 2.02% 1.2% -0.83% T26
12 USA Kurt Kitayama 40 2.44% 1.78% 1.57% -0.21% MC 7.42
13 RSA Haydn Porteous 40 2.44% 1.78% 0.88% -0.89% MC
14 ENG Chris Paisley 55 1.79% 1.3% 1.44% 0.13% T18 5.43
15 RSA Shaun Norris 55 1.79% 1.3% 1.11% -0.2% MC 5.43
16 RSA George Coetzee 55 1.79% 1.3% 0.83% -0.47% T26
17 USA Sean Crocker 66 1.49% 1.09% 1.3% 0.21% T18 4.54
18 FRA Matthieu Pavon 66 1.49% 1.09% 1.05% -0.03% MC 4.54
19 RSA Richard Sterne 66 1.49% 1.09% 1.03% -0.06% T34 4.54
20 RSA Ernie Els 66 1.49% 1.09% 1.02% -0.06% T26 4.54
21 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 66 1.49% 1.09% 0.58% -0.51% T56
22 RSA Darren Fichardt 70 1.41% 1.03% 0.83% -0.2% T12 4.29
23 DEN Jeff Winther 80 1.23% 0.9% 1.32% 0.42% T34 3.76
24 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 80 1.23% 0.9% 1% 0.1% T9 3.76
25 RSA Zander Lombard 80 1.23% 0.9% 0.78% -0.12% T3 (tied w/2) 3.76 +32
26 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 80 1.23% 0.9% 0.62% -0.28% MC 3.76
27 RSA Oliver Bekker 90 1.1% 0.8% 0.55% -0.25% T9 3.34
28 SCO Marc Warren 100 0.99% 0.72% 1.27% 0.55% T26 3.01
29 SCO Scott Jamieson 100 0.99% 0.72% 1.04% 0.32% T3 (tied w/2) 3.01 +31.6
30 RSA Trevor Immelman 100 0.99% 0.72% 1.01% 0.29% MC 3.01
31 BRA Adilson da Silva 100 0.99% 0.72% 0.87% 0.15% T34 3.01
32 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 100 0.99% 0.72% 0.78% 0.05% T18 3.01
33 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 100 0.99% 0.72% 0.46% -0.26% T51 3.01
34 ENG Oliver Wilson 125 0.79% 0.58% 1.26% 0.69% T5 (tied w/2) 2.42 +31.5
35 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 125 0.79% 0.58% 1.18% 0.6% T18 2.42
36 ZIM Scott Vincent 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.92% 0.34% 69 2.42
37 FIN Mikko Ilonen 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.75% 0.17% MC 2.42
38 SCO David Drysdale 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.72% 0.14% 2 2.42 +31.5
39 RSA JC Ritchie 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.35% -0.23% T47 2.42
40 ESP Adria Arnaus 150 0.66% 0.48% 1.06% 0.58% T9
41 RSA Bryce Easton 150 0.66% 0.48% 0.76% 0.28% MC
42 ESP Alejandro Canizares 150 0.66% 0.48% 0.7% 0.22% T26
43 FRA Gregory Bourdy 150 0.66% 0.48% 0.53% 0.05% T66
44 RSA Alex Haindl 150 0.66% 0.48% 0.38% -0.1% T66
45 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 175 0.57% 0.41% 1.45% 1.04% T18
46 AUS Dimi Papadatos 175 0.57% 0.41% 1.09% 0.67% T51
47 SCO Grant Forrest 175 0.57% 0.41% 0.9% 0.49% MC
48 SCO Robert MacIntyre 175 0.57% 0.41% 0.9% 0.48% T15
49 FIN Kim Koivu 175 0.57% 0.41% 0.86% 0.44% T42
50 RSA Hennie Otto 175 0.57% 0.41% 0.58% 0.17% MC
51 USA David Lipsky 175 0.57% 0.41% 0.55% 0.14% 1
52 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 175 0.57% 0.41% 0.54% 0.12% MC
53 GER Max Schmitt 175 0.57% 0.41% 0.51% 0.1% MC
54 RSA Louis de Jager 175 0.57% 0.41% 0.41% -0.01% MC
55 ENG Jack Singh Brar 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.89% 0.53% T26
56 WAL Stuart Manley 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.73% 0.37% MC
57 RSA Anthony Michael 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.53% 0.17% MC
58 RSA Jacques Blaauw 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.49% 0.13% MC
59 ENG Steven Brown 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.35% -0.02% T47
60 RSA Neil Schietekat 225 0.44% 0.32% 0.54% 0.21% T12
61 ITA Edoardo Molinari 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.98% 0.69% MC
62 FRA Gregory Havret 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.71% 0.42% MC
63 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.65% 0.36% MC
64 SWE Peter Hanson 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.64% 0.35% T51
65 GER Bernd Ritthammer 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.62% 0.33% 65
66 AUS Nick Cullen 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.56% 0.27% MC
67 IRL Gavin Moynihan 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.53% 0.24% MC
68 RSA Garth Mulroy 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.48% 0.19% MC
69 RSA Jake Roos 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.42% 0.13% MC
70 RSA Daniel Greene 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.31% 0.02% 61
71 RSA Jaco Ahlers 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.29% 0% MC
72 RSA Jean Hugo 275 0.36% 0.26% 0.29% 0.02% 72
73 SWE Robert Karlsson 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.78% 0.53% T47
74 FRA Adrien Saddier 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.59% 0.35% MC
75 POR Pedro Figueiredo 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.49% 0.24% MC
76 RSA Justin Walters 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.41% 0.17% T34
77 KOR Hyowon Park 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.38% 0.14% T42
78 SCO David Law 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.86% 0.66% T26
79 FIN Kalle Samooja 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.82% 0.61% T34
80 SWE Niklas Lemke 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.71% 0.5% T7
81 ENG Tom Murray 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.65% 0.44% T63
82 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.58% 0.37% MC
83 ENG Max Orrin 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.47% 0.26% T18
84 AUS Deyen Lawson 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.41% 0.2% T47
85 GRE Peter Karmis 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.33% 0.12% T66
86 ENG Ben Evans 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.75% 0.57% T5
87 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.74% 0.55% MC
88 GER Marcel Siem 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.72% 0.54% MC
89 ITA Matteo Manassero 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.67% 0.48% MC
90 RSA Tyrone Ferreira 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.51% 0.32% MC
91 USA Chase Koepka 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.49% 0.31% T70
92 RSA Dawie van der Walt 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.9% 0.75% MC
93 SCO Liam Johnston 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.58% 0.43% MC
94 RSA Ulrich Van Den Berg 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% MC
95 NOR Espen Kofstad 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.17% T42
96 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% T42
97 ENG Steve Surry 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.2% 0.06% MC
98 ESP David Borda Antonana 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.19% 0.04% T56
99 RSA Thriston Lawrence 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.19% 0.04% MC
100 CHI Matias Calderon 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.54% 0.42% T34
101 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.35% 0.23% MC
102 RSA Merrick Bremner 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.33% 0.21% MC
103 RSA Ockie Strydom 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.24% 0.12% T56
104 RSA Michael Palmer 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.18% 0.06% MC
105 WAL Rhys Enoch 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.74% 0.64% MC
106 RSA Colin Nel 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.6% 0.5% MC
107 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.55% 0.46% MC
108 ENG Daniel Gavins 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% MC
109 RSA Vaughn Groenewald 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.29% 0.19% MC
110 ZIM Mark Williams 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.29% 0.19% 73
111 RSA Jaco Prinsloo 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.18% 0.09% T26
112 ITA Guido Migliozzi 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.61% 0.54% T56
113 RSA Chris Swanepoel 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.42% 0.35% T70
114 SWE Per Langfors 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.38% 0.3% MC
115 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.31% 0.23% MC
116 ENG Scott Gregory 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.28% 0.21% MC
117 SCO Doug McGuigan 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.25% 0.18% T34
118 RSA Keenan Davidse 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.24% 0.17% T51
119 ZIM Ryan Cairns 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.2% 0.13% MC
120 RSA Breyten Meyer 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.19% 0.11% MC
121 ENG Scott Campbell 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.17% 0.09% MC
122 RSA Tyrone Ryan 1250 0.08% 0.06% 0.18% 0.12% MC
123 RSA Jean-Paul Strydom 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.24% 0.19% T18
124 RSA JJ Senekal 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.2% 0.15% MC
125 RSA Heinrich Bruiners 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.19% 0.14% MC
126 RSA Pieter Moolman 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.19% 0.14% MC
127 RSA Allister de Kock 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.19% 0.14% MC
128 USA Chris Cannon 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.19% 0.14% MC
129 RSA Derick Petersen 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.18% 0.13% DQ
130 RSA Andre De Decker 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.18% 0.13% MC
131 RSA Omar Sandys 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.17% 0.12% MC
132 RSA Daniel Hammond 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.17% 0.12% MC
133 RSA Lyle Rowe 2000 0.05% 0.04% 0.46% 0.42% T51
134 RSA Ruan de Smidt 2000 0.05% 0.04% 0.26% 0.22% MC
135 RSA Riekus Nortje 2000 0.05% 0.04% 0.19% 0.15% MC
136 RSA Makgetha Mazibuko 2000 0.05% 0.04% 0.19% 0.15% MC
137 RSA MJ Viljoen 2000 0.05% 0.04% 0.18% 0.15% MC
138 RSA Sipho Bujela 2000 0.05% 0.04% 0.17% 0.13% MC
139 RSA Jared Harvey 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.3% 0.27% MC
140 DEN Morten Orum Madsen 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.26% 0.24% MC
141 RSA Cameron Moralee 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.19% 0.16% MC
142 RSA Jacquin Hess 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.17% 0.14% MC
143 ENG Matthew Jordan 0% 0% 0.72% 0% T56
144 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.61% 0% MC
145 RSA Trevor Fisher Jr 0% 0% 0.43% 0% MC
146 ZIM Marc Cayeux 0% 0% 0.34% 0% MC
147 IRL Neil O'Briain 0% 0% 0.29% 0% MC
148 RSA Thabang Simon 0% 0% 0.18% 0% MC
149 RSA Rourke Van der Spuy 0% 0% 0.15% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...