Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 42.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 16.6 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.0 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 262.4

Total Profit: +162.2

Wyndham Championship

01/08/2019 - 04/08/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Webb Simpson 9 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 10% 6.81% 2.22% -4.6% 2
2 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.54% 1.99% -2.56% MC
3 USA Collin Morikawa 16 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.01% 1.34% -2.67% T31
4 USA Jordan Spieth 18 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.59% 2.16% -1.43% T78
5 USA Patrick Reed 20 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.24% 2.25% -1% T22
6 ENG Paul Casey 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 2.96% 2.74% -0.22% T13
7 USA Brandt Snedeker 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 2.96% 1.36% -1.6% T39
8 USA Billy Horschel 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.35% 1.35% -1% T6
9 NOR Viktor Hovland 28 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.35% 0.6% -1.75% 4
10 AUS Cameron Smith 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2% 0.77% -1.23% MC
11 SWE Alexander Noren 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.66% 1.25% -0.41% T60
12 USA Chez Reavie 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.66% 1.11% -0.55% T48
13 USA Matthew Wolff 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.48% 0.41% -1.07% T19
14 USA Lucas Glover 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.34% 1.85% 0.52% T72 6.07
15 KOR Byeong Hun An 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.34% 1.73% 0.4% 3 6.07 +33.4
16 USA Charles Howell III 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.34% 1.19% -0.15% T22 6.07
17 CAN Adam Hadwin 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.34% 0.93% -0.41% MC
18 USA Scott Piercy 50 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.34% 0.92% -0.42% T36
19 CHI Joaquin Niemann 50 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.34% 0.79% -0.55% T13
20 GER Martin Kaymer 55 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.22% 1.48% 0.27% MC 5.53
21 SVK Rory Sabbatini 60 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.12% 2.1% 0.99% T6 5.08
22 USA Russell Henley 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.12% 0.84% -0.28% T31
23 RSA Dylan Frittelli 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.12% 0.77% -0.35% MC
24 KOR Sungjae Im 60 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.12% 0.74% -0.38% T6
25 USA Kevin Streelman 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.02% 1.43% 0.42% MC 4.62
26 USA Aaron Wise 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.02% 1.24% 0.22% T48 4.62
27 USA Jason Kokrak 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.02% 1.13% 0.11% T6 (tied w/7) 4.62 +14.1
28 MEX Abraham Ancer 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.02% 0.83% -0.19% MC
29 SCO Martin Laird 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.02% 0.77% -0.24% MC
30 USA Kyle Stanley 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 0.83% -0.01% T13 3.82
31 USA Brian Harman 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 0.81% -0.03% T6 (tied w/7) 3.82 +13.9
32 USA Doc Redman 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 0.58% -0.26% MC
33 SCO Russell Knox 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.75% 1.18% 0.43% T48 3.4
34 USA Bud Cauley 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.75% 0.6% -0.15% T22
35 USA Denny McCarthy 90 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.75% 0.51% -0.24% T22
36 USA Vaughn Taylor 100 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% 0.86% 0.18% T39 3.07
37 USA Bill Haas 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% 0.78% 0.1% T53 3.07
38 USA Jason Dufner 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% 0.69% 0.02% MC 3.07
39 CAN Nick Taylor 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% 0.69% 0.02% MC 3.07
40 USA Daniel Berger 100 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.67% 0.61% -0.06% T39 3.07
41 USA JT Poston 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% 0.59% -0.08% 1 3.07 +187.3
42 AUT Sepp Straka 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% 0.57% -0.1% T39 3.07
43 USA Kevin Tway 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.61% 0.55% -0.06% MC 2.79
44 USA Charley Hoffman 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.93% 0.38% MC 2.46
45 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.91% 0.37% MC 2.46
46 USA Nick Watney 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.84% 0.3% MC 2.46
47 USA Wyndham Clark 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.63% 0.09% T81 2.46
48 USA Troy Merritt 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.62% 0.08% MC 2.46
49 USA Brice Garnett 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.62% 0.08% T6 (tied w/7) 2.46 +13.7
50 CAN Corey Conners 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.57% 0.03% T22 2.46
51 USA Zach Johnson 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.53% -0.01% T53 2.46
52 RSA Branden Grace 125 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.54% 0.5% -0.04% T48 2.46
53 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.96% 0.51% T60
54 USA Adam Schenk 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.76% 0.31% MC
55 KOR Siwoo Kim 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.76% 0.31% 5
56 USA Jimmy Walker 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.74% 0.28% MC
57 USA Luke List 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.67% 0.22% MC
58 CAN Roger Sloan 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.58% 0.13% T39
59 USA Austin Cook 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.5% 0.05% T72
60 USA Beau Hossler 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.46% 0.01% MC
61 USA Sam Ryder 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.46% 0.01% T60
62 USA Brendan Steele 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.45% 0% MC
63 USA J.J Spaun 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.43% -0.02% T69
64 COL Sebastian Munoz 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.41% -0.04% T48
65 USA Bronson Burgoon 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.45% 0.4% -0.05% MC
66 USA Ryan Armour 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.37% -0.08% T22
67 USA Andrew Landry 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.42% 0.63% 0.2% T19
68 AUS Matt Jones 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.86% 0.47% MC
69 USA Chris Stroud 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.79% 0.4% MC
70 USA Pat Perez 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.73% 0.34% MC
71 USA Peter Malnati 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.71% 0.32% MC
72 NZL Danny Lee 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.67% 0.28% DQ
73 USA Robert Streb 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.54% 0.16% MC
74 USA Tom Hoge 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.52% 0.13% 77
75 USA Josh Teater 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.49% 0.1% T6
76 USA Harold Varner III 175 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.39% 0.39% 0% T60
77 USA Harris English 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.38% -0.01% T39
78 USA Roberto Castro 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.35% -0.04% T53
79 SWE Jonas Blixt 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.98% 0.64% MC
80 USA Michael Thompson 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.8% 0.46% 75
81 USA Brian Stuard 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.78% 0.44% T31
82 USA Jonathan Byrd 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.77% 0.43% MC
83 USA Kelly Kraft 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.74% 0.4% MC
84 USA Shawn Stefani 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.73% 0.39% T22
85 USA Peter Uihlein 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.72% 0.38% T72
86 USA Mackenzie Hughes 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.63% 0.29% T22
87 USA Joel Dahmen 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.62% 0.28% T53
88 USA Adam Long 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.59% 0.25% MC
89 USA Scott Stallings 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.56% 0.22% T31
90 MEX Carlos Ortiz 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.46% 0.12% T39
91 USA Johnson Wagner 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.44% 0.11% T13
92 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.4% 0.06% MC
93 USA Wes Roach 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.36% 0.02% T53
94 USA Cameron Champ 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.28% -0.06% MC
95 USA Zack Sucher 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.64% 0.37% MC
96 USA Brian Gay 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.59% 0.32% MC
97 USA Chesson Hadley 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.55% 0.28% T53
98 USA Talor Gooch 250 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.27% 0.49% 0.22% MC
99 USA Patrick Rodgers 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.47% 0.2% T81
100 USA Alex Prugh 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.46% 0.18% T81
101 GER Stephan Jaeger 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.45% 0.18% MC
102 ENG Luke Donald 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.27% 0.44% 0.17% MC
103 USA Kramer Hickok 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.37% 0.1% MC
104 USA Richy Werenski 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.3% 0.03% T39
105 IRL Seamus Power 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.29% 0.02% T60
106 CAN Adam Svensson 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.23% -0.04% T31
107 USA Scott Brown 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.51% 0.29% T60
108 USA Stewart Cink 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% 0.49% 0.27% MC
109 USA Ryan Blaum 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% 0.47% 0.24% MC
110 MEX Roberto Diaz 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.41% 0.18% T19
111 USA Sam Saunders 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.37% 0.14% MC
112 USA Ted Potter-jr 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.36% 0.13% T60
113 USA Patton Kizzire 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.33% 0.1% T13
114 USA Hank Lebioda 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.3% 0.08% T78
115 USA Chase Wright 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.26% 0.03% MC
116 AUS Cameron Davis 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.25% 0.03% T22
117 USA Charlie Danielson 300 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.24% 0.01% MC
118 USA Brandon Harkins 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.23% 0% T36
119 IND Anirban Lahiri 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.5% 0.31% T53
120 KOR Sangmoon Bae 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% 0.43% 0.24% MC
121 USA Joey Garber 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% 0.3% 0.1% MC
122 USA Paul Peterson 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% 0.25% 0.06% T36
123 RSA Ernie Els 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.68% 0.51% WD
124 IRL Padraig Harrington 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% 0.43% 0.26% MC
125 ARG Fabian Gomez 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.39% 0.22% T13
126 CAN Benjamin Silverman 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.34% 0.17% MC
127 USA Tyler Duncan 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.28% 0.11% T39
128 USA Scott Langley 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.25% 0.08% MC
129 USA Hunter Mahan 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.83% 0.7% MC
130 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.47% 0.34% MC
131 KOR Meenwhee Kim 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.46% 0.32% MC
132 GER Alex Cejka 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.43% 0.29% T60
133 USA Boo Weekley 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.41% 0.27% T69
134 USA Cody Gribble 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.33% 0.2% MC
135 USA Kyle Jones 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.28% 0.15% T78
136 MEX Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.25% 0.11% T60
137 USA John Chin 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% T69
138 AUS Curtis Luck 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% 0.27% 0.15% MC
139 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.23% 0.12% MC
140 USA Anders Albertson 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.22% 0.11% MC
141 USA J.J. Henry 750 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% MC
142 USA Brady Schnell 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.21% 0.12% MC
143 USA Seth Reeves 750 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.2% 0.11% MC
144 ARG Julian Etulain 750 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% MC
145 USA Chris Thompson 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.11% 0.02% MC
146 USA Michael Kim 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.38% 0.31% MC
147 AUS Rod Pampling 1000 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.27% 0.2% MC
148 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.2% 0.13% MC
149 CAN Mike Weir 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.17% 0.1% 76
150 USA Andy Pope 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.05% 0.11% 0.06% MC
151 USA Chad Collins 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.27% 0.22% MC
152 USA Will Claxton 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.1% MC
153 USA Dominic Bozzelli 0% 0% 0.35% 0% MC
154 USA Carter Page 0% 0% 0.08% 0% MC
155 USA Steve Scott 0% 0% 0.08% 0% MC
156 AUS John Lyras 0% 0% 0.08% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 42.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 16.6 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 59.1% 23.2%
2 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 65.9% 28.4%
3 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 68.4% 30.4%
4 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 71.1% 32.5%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 52.5% 36%
6 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 62.4% 36%
7 Coral 7 @ 1/5 66.3% 39.2%
8 Marathon Bet 6 @ 1/4 75% 40.8%
9 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 58% 40.8%
10 Betway 7 @ 1/5 69.9% 42.2%
11 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 61.4% 43.9%
12 Bethard 5 @ 1/4 65.5% 47.5%
13 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 66.6% 48.6%
14 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 66.6% 48.6%
15 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 66.7% 48.6%
16 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 66.8% 48.7%
17 Black Type 5 @ 1/4 67.5% 49.3%
18 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 71.9% 56.6%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 72.1% 56.9%
20 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 72.1% 56.9%
21 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 72.9% 57.6%