Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 23.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 92.6

Total Profit: -7.5

Barracuda Championship

25/07/2019 - 28/07/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Collin Morikawa 11 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 8.33% 6.62% 1.74% -4.88% 1
2 USA Daniel Berger 18 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.18% 1.9% -2.28% 58
3 GER Martin Kaymer 20 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.78% 2.76% -1.02% T31
4 USA Russell Henley 22 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.46% 1.72% -1.74% T15
5 SCO Martin Laird 22 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.46% 1.38% -2.08% T7
6 ARG Emiliano Grillo 25 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.06% 1.64% -1.41% T18
7 USA Ryan Palmer 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.74% 1.48% -1.26% T7
8 USA Bill Haas 33 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.34% 1.5% -0.84% T61
9 AUT Sepp Straka 33 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.34% 1.21% -1.13% 12
10 USA Denny McCarthy 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.34% 0.95% -1.39% T35
11 USA Cameron Tringale 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.94% 2.01% 0.07% T18 8.76
12 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 40 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.94% 1.59% -0.35% WD
13 USA Sam Ryder 40 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.94% 1.01% -0.93% 45
14 USA Brendan Steele 40 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.94% 0.94% -1% T39
15 USA J.J Spaun 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.73% 1.23% -0.49% T46
16 USA Chris Stroud 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.56% 1.68% 0.12% T15 7.05
17 USA Pat Perez 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.56% 1.55% -0.01% T61 7.05
18 CAN Roger Sloan 50 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.56% 1.36% -0.2% T7
19 ITA Andrea Pavan 50 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.56% 1.12% -0.44% T25
20 USA Andrew Landry 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.56% 1.06% -0.5% MC
21 USA Wes Roach 50 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.56% 0.66% -0.9% T46
22 USA Sam Saunders 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.3% 0.78% -0.53% T59
23 USA Harris English 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.19% 1.21% 0.02% T67 5.36
24 USA D.J. Trahan 66 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.19% 1.14% -0.05% T41 5.36
25 USA Josh Teater 66 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.19% 1.03% -0.15% T13 5.36
26 USA Beau Hossler 66 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.19% 0.97% -0.22% T35
27 USA Bronson Burgoon 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.19% 0.76% -0.42% 5
28 COL Sebastian Munoz 66 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.19% 0.76% -0.43% 11
29 AUS Cameron Davis 66 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.19% 0.47% -0.71% MC
30 SWE Jonas Blixt 80 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 1.38% 0.4% T48 4.44
31 USA Kelly Kraft 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 1.27% 0.29% MC 4.44
32 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 80 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 1.24% 0.26% T31 4.44
33 USA Troy Merritt 80 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.98% 1.18% 0.2% 2 4.44 +46.6
34 USA Johnson Wagner 80 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 1.13% 0.15% T25 4.44
35 USA Hank Lebioda 80 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 0.88% -0.1% MC 4.44
36 USA Zack Sucher 80 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.98% 0.87% -0.11% T54 4.44
37 USA Richy Werenski 80 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 0.84% -0.14% T41 4.44
38 USA Peter Uihlein 80 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 0.81% -0.17% T18
39 GER Stephan Jaeger 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 0.73% -0.25% MC
40 USA Patrick Rodgers 80 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.98% 0.71% -0.27% T59
41 USA Kramer Hickok 80 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 0.65% -0.33% MC
42 USA Brandon Harkins 80 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 0.58% -0.4% T35
43 USA Tom Hoge 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.79% 1.32% 0.54% 6 3.56
44 USA Jim Herman 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.79% 0.97% 0.18% T51 3.56
45 USA Alex Prugh 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 0.95% 0.17% MC 3.56
46 USA Ryan Blaum 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.79% 0.65% -0.14% T54 3.56
47 USA Joey Garber 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 0.63% -0.16% MC
48 CAN Adam Svensson 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 0.58% -0.21% 65
49 USA Dominic Bozzelli 100 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 0.56% -0.22% T25
50 USA Robert Streb 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 1.13% 0.5% T3 (tied w/2) 2.85 +46
51 CAN Benjamin Silverman 125 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 0.69% 0.06% MC 2.85
52 IRL Seamus Power 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 0.58% -0.05% T25 2.85
53 USA Charlie Danielson 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 0.49% -0.14% T7 2.85
54 USA Matt Every 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 1.55% 1.03% 38
55 USA Jonathan Byrd 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.53% 1.45% 0.93% T15
56 USA Billy Hurley III 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 1.01% 0.49% T25
57 KOR Sangmoon Bae 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.97% 0.44% T51
58 MEX Roberto Diaz 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.82% 0.29% T18
59 MEX Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.58% 0.05% MC
60 IRL Padraig Harrington 150 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.46% -0.06% MC
61 CAN David Hearn 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.45% -0.07% T54
62 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.43% -0.09% T41
63 USA Chase Wright 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.53% 0.39% -0.13% T18
64 USA Kyle Jones 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.49% 0.94% 0.44% T18
65 USA Brendon Todd 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.83% 0.38% T25
66 USA Tyler Duncan 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.53% 0.08% 64
67 ARG Andres Romero 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 1.21% 0.82% T51
68 AUS Curtis Luck 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 0.3% MC
69 USA Robert Garrigus 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.66% 0.27% MC
70 USA Cody Gribble 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.62% 0.23% 70
71 USA Scott Langley 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.57% 0.17% MC
72 USA Anders Albertson 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.51% 0.11% MC
73 USA J.J. Henry 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.73% 0.42% MC
74 USA Chad Campbell 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.58% 0.26% MC
75 SWE David Lingmerth 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.51% 0.2% T48
76 USA Chip McDaniel 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.47% 0.16% 73
77 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.4% 0.08% T41
78 ARG Julian Etulain 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.51% 0.25% WD
79 GER Alex Cejka 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.44% 0.17% T18
80 AUS Rod Pampling 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.8% 0.58% MC
81 USA Ricky Barnes 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.63% 0.4% MC
82 USA Derek Fathauer 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.51% 0.28% MC
83 USA Tom Lovelady 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.38% 0.16% T31
84 DEN Oliver Suhr 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.17% -0.06% MC
85 USA Martin Trainer 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.65% 0.46% MC
86 USA Martin Piller 400 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.61% 0.41% MC
87 USA Brady Schnell 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.57% 0.37% MC
88 USA Tommy Gainey 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.56% 0.36% T61
89 USA Seth Reeves 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.46% 0.26% T48
90 USA John Chin 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.32% 0.12% T3
91 KOR Y.E. Yang 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.8% 0.64% T54
92 IND Arjun Atwal 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.68% 0.52% MC
93 USA Chris Thompson 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.67% 0.51% MC
94 USA George McNeill 500 (Black Type: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.56% 0.4% T13
95 KOR Charlie Wi 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.43% 0.27% MC
96 USA Charlie Beljan 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.43% 0.27% MC
97 USA John Merrick 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.39% 0.23% MC
98 USA Heath Slocum 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.71% 0.58% MC
99 AUS John Senden 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.68% 0.55% MC
100 USA Jason Bohn 750 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.53% 0.42% MC
101 USA John Rollins 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.5% 0.4% T39
102 USA Tim Herron 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.47% 0.37% MC
103 USA Will Mackenzie 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.46% 0.35% DQ
104 ZIM Brendon de Jonge 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.4% 0.29% MC
105 USA Dylan Meyer 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.33% 0.23% MC
106 MEX Armando Favela 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.3% 0.2% MC
107 USA Parker McLachlin 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.28% 0.18% MC
108 USA John Daly 1000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.74% 0.67% 69
109 USA Mark Wilson 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.67% 0.59% DQ
110 ENG Brian Davis 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.65% 0.57% MC
111 SWE Daniel Chopra 1000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.63% 0.55% MC
112 AUS Robert Allenby 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.61% 0.53% T67
113 KOR Hosung Choi 1000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.45% 0.37% MC
114 CAN Mike Weir 1000 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.37% 0.29% MC
115 USA Omar Uresti 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.36% 0.28% T71
116 USA Eric Axley 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.34% 0.26% MC
117 USA Cameron Beckman 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.72% 0.66% MC
118 USA David Duval 0% 0% 0.72% 0% MC
119 USA Jonathan Kaye 0% 0% 0.44% 0% WD
120 USA Paul Goydos 0% 0% 0.3% 0% MC
121 USA David Berganio-Jr 0% 0% 0.24% 0% MC
122 USA Jay McLuen 0% 0% 0.24% 0% MC
123 USA Taylor Montgomery 0% 0% 0.16% 0% MC
124 USA Stuart Smith(USA) 0% 0% 0.16% 0% MC
125 USA Frank Adams III 0% 0% 0.16% 0% MC
126 USA William Gordon 0% 0% 0.16% 0% T31
127 USA Alistair Docherty 0% 0% 0.16% 0% 66
128 USA Trent Phillips 0% 0% 0.16% 0% T71
129 USA Tyler Raber 0% 0% 0.16% 0% MC
130 USA Ollie Osborne 0% 0% 0.16% 0% MC
131 USA Ryan Vermeer 0% 0% 0.16% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 23.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.7 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 56.6% 21.3%
2 Skybet 5 @ 1/4 37.7% 22.8%
3 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 40.2% 25%
4 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 40.5% 25.2%
5 Betway 7 @ 1/5 49.7% 25.3%
6 Black Type 5 @ 1/4 41.1% 25.8%
7 Coral 7 @ 1/5 51.2% 26.5%
8 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 42.1% 29.5%
9 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 42.1% 29.5%
10 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 45.6% 29.8%
11 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 46.8% 33.8%
12 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 61.8% 35.5%
13 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 61.8% 35.5%
14 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 49% 35.8%
15 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 49.8% 36.5%
16 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 53.8% 37.2%
17 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 53.8% 37.2%
18 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 53.8% 37.2%
19 Bethard 5 @ 1/4 53.8% 37.2%
20 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 53.8% 37.2%
21 Marathon Bet 5 @ 1/4 54.8% 38.1%