Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 34.9

Total Profit: -65.3

Desert Classic

17/01/2019 - 20/01/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 7 12.5% 8.98% 2.4% -6.58% 6
2 ENG Justin Rose 10 9.09% 6.53% 4.51% -2.02% T34
3 USA Patrick Cantlay 18 5.26% 3.78% 2.59% -1.19% T9
4 USA Charles Howell III 20 4.76% 3.42% 2.12% -1.3% T34
5 USA Andrew Putnam 30 3.23% 2.32% 2.2% -0.12% T34 10.25
6 CAN Adam Hadwin 30 3.23% 2.32% 1.59% -0.72% T2
7 USA Aaron Wise 30 3.23% 2.32% 1.19% -1.13% MC
8 USA Chez Reavie 35 2.78% 2% 1.58% -0.42% T28
9 USA Luke List 35 2.78% 2% 0.8% -1.19% MC
10 MEX Abraham Ancer 40 2.44% 1.75% 2.34% 0.59% T18 7.75
11 USA Phil Mickelson 40 2.44% 1.75% 1.73% -0.02% T2 (tied w/2) 7.75 +34.9
12 USA Hudson Swafford 40 2.44% 1.75% 1.03% -0.72% T65
13 USA Patton Kizzire 45 2.17% 1.56% 1.25% -0.32% MC
14 USA Scott Piercy 45 2.17% 1.56% 1.13% -0.43% T57
15 USA Lucas Glover 50 1.96% 1.41% 1.12% -0.29% T12
16 KOR Sungjae Im 50 1.96% 1.41% 0.86% -0.55% T12
17 USA Beau Hossler 50 1.96% 1.41% 0.6% -0.81% MC
18 USA Zach Johnson 56 1.75% 1.26% 0.97% -0.29% T28
19 USA Kevin Kisner 60 1.64% 1.18% 1.09% -0.09% T57 5.21
20 USA Brian Harman 60 1.64% 1.18% 0.64% -0.53% MC
21 USA Ryan Palmer 66 1.49% 1.07% 1.36% 0.29% MC 4.75
22 RSA Charl Schwartzel 66 1.49% 1.07% 1.26% 0.19% MC 4.75
23 USA Daniel Berger 66 1.49% 1.07% 1.14% 0.07% T12 4.75
24 USA Peter Uihlein 66 1.49% 1.07% 0.88% -0.19% MC
25 CAN Corey Conners 66 1.49% 1.07% 0.82% -0.25% MC
26 KOR Siwoo Kim 66 1.49% 1.07% 0.77% -0.31% T40
27 CHI Joaquin Niemann 66 1.49% 1.07% 0.44% -0.64% MC
28 ENG Danny Willett 70 1.41% 1.01% 1.96% 0.95% MC 4.48
29 TPE C.T. Pan 80 1.23% 0.89% 1.47% 0.58% T51 3.93
30 USA J.J Spaun 80 1.23% 0.89% 0.98% 0.09% T51 3.93
31 USA Richy Werenski 80 1.23% 0.89% 0.69% -0.19% MC
32 USA Harold Varner III 80 1.23% 0.89% 0.67% -0.21% T18
33 USA Brendan Steele 80 1.23% 0.89% 0.63% -0.26% T57
34 USA Pat Perez 90 1.1% 0.79% 0.81% 0.02% WD 3.5
35 RSA Dylan Frittelli 100 0.99% 0.71% 0.88% 0.16% T28 3.15
36 USA Brian Gay 100 0.99% 0.71% 0.87% 0.16% MC 3.15
37 USA Jason Dufner 100 0.99% 0.71% 0.82% 0.1% MC 3.15
38 SCO Russell Knox 100 0.99% 0.71% 0.71% 0% T18 3.15
39 USA Bill Haas 100 0.99% 0.71% 0.63% -0.08% MC 3.15
40 USA Charley Hoffman 100 0.99% 0.71% 0.63% -0.08% MC 3.15
41 USA Russell Henley 100 0.99% 0.71% 0.56% -0.15% MC
42 USA Andrew Landry 100 0.99% 0.71% 0.52% -0.19% T28
43 USA Chesson Hadley 100 0.99% 0.71% 0.51% -0.2% MC
44 USA Bud Cauley 100 0.99% 0.71% 0.42% -0.29% MC
45 USA Anders Albertson 110 0.9% 0.65% 0.36% -0.29% T34
46 USA Ryan Armour 125 0.79% 0.57% 0.99% 0.42% MC 2.53
47 IND Anirban Lahiri 125 0.79% 0.57% 0.77% 0.2% MC 2.53
48 USA Chris Kirk 125 0.79% 0.57% 0.77% 0.2% MC 2.53
49 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 125 0.79% 0.57% 0.66% 0.09% 69 2.53
50 SCO Martin Laird 125 0.79% 0.57% 0.64% 0.07% MC 2.53
51 USA Nick Watney 125 0.79% 0.57% 0.64% 0.07% T51 2.53
52 USA Harris English 125 0.79% 0.57% 0.59% 0.02% T51 2.53
53 USA Jamie Lovemark 125 0.79% 0.57% 0.49% -0.08% WD 2.53
54 USA Denny McCarthy 125 0.79% 0.57% 0.36% -0.21% MC
55 USA Sam Ryder 140 0.71% 0.51% 0.53% 0.02% T40
56 USA Jason Kokrak 150 0.66% 0.48% 0.75% 0.27% T18
57 USA Brian Stuard 150 0.66% 0.48% 0.7% 0.22% T40
58 USA James Hahn 150 0.66% 0.48% 0.68% 0.2% T57
59 USA Brandon Harkins 150 0.66% 0.48% 0.45% -0.02% MC
60 USA Bronson Burgoon 150 0.66% 0.48% 0.41% -0.07% MC
61 USA Sam Burns 150 0.66% 0.48% 0.2% -0.27% T18
62 SVK Rory Sabbatini 175 0.57% 0.41% 0.75% 0.34% T57
63 USA Hunter Mahan 175 0.57% 0.41% 0.71% 0.3% MC
64 USA JT Poston 175 0.57% 0.41% 0.5% 0.09% T7
65 USA Sam Saunders 175 0.57% 0.41% 0.37% -0.04% MC
66 USA Dominic Bozzelli 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.71% 0.35% 5
67 USA Ryan Blaum 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.63% 0.28% 73
68 AUS Aaron Baddeley 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.61% 0.25% T18
69 USA Kevin Streelman 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.57% 0.21% T34
70 USA Scott Brown 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.57% 0.21% MC
71 AUS Matt Jones 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.48% 0.12% MC
72 USA Roberto Castro 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.43% 0.08% T40
73 USA Alex Prugh 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.34% -0.02% MC
74 USA Ollie Schniederjans 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.31% -0.05% 72
75 AUS Cameron Davis 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.29% -0.07% T28
76 USA Scott Stallings 225 0.44% 0.32% 0.6% 0.28% MC
77 USA Sean O'Hair 225 0.44% 0.32% 0.51% 0.19% T9
78 CAN David Hearn 225 0.44% 0.32% 0.38% 0.06% MC
79 CAN Nick Taylor 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.64% 0.35% T40
80 KOR Meenwhee Kim 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.62% 0.33% MC
81 COL Sebastian Munoz 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.55% 0.26% MC
82 USA George Cunningham 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.53% 0.24% MC
83 USA Scott Langley 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.51% 0.23% T12
84 USA Martin Piller 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.5% 0.22% MC
85 USA Michael Thompson 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.42% 0.13% T9
86 USA Robert Streb 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.41% 0.13% T40
87 USA Chase Wright 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.34% 0.06% MC
88 USA Kramer Hickok 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.21% -0.08% T40
89 USA Vaughn Taylor 275 0.36% 0.26% 0.51% 0.25% T7
90 ARG Fabian Gomez 275 0.36% 0.26% 0.46% 0.2% MC
91 USA Trey Mullinax 275 0.36% 0.26% 0.45% 0.19% T34
92 MEX Carlos Ortiz 275 0.36% 0.26% 0.36% 0.1% T65
93 IRL Seamus Power 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.84% 0.6% MC
94 USA Johnson Wagner 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.61% 0.37% MC
95 USA Nate Lashley 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.54% 0.3% T12
96 GER Alex Cejka 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.51% 0.27% T40
97 USA Shawn Stefani 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.42% 0.18% MC
98 USA John Huh 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.37% 0.13% T70
99 USA Jonathan Byrd 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.33% 0.09% T57
100 USA Tom Hoge 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.31% 0.07% MC
101 USA Peter Malnati 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.3% 0.06% T18
102 USA Adam Schenk 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.3% 0.06% T67
103 GER Stephan Jaeger 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.3% 0.06% MC
104 USA Talor Gooch 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.29% 0.06% 4
105 USA Brandon Hagy 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.28% 0.04% MC
106 CAN Benjamin Silverman 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.25% 0.01% MC
107 USA Tom Lovelady 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.23% 0% MC
108 USA Grayson Murray 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.23% -0.01% MC
109 USA Robert Garrigus 350 0.28% 0.2% 0.57% 0.36% MC
110 KOR Sangmoon Bae 350 0.28% 0.2% 0.51% 0.3% MC
111 ARG Julian Etulain 350 0.28% 0.2% 0.31% 0.1% T40
112 USA Jim Knous 350 0.28% 0.2% 0.23% 0.03% MC
113 USA Ben Crane 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.6% 0.42% MC
114 USA Derek Fathauer 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.45% 0.27% MC
115 CAN Roger Sloan 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.41% 0.24% T12
116 USA Chris Stroud 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.37% 0.19% MC
117 USA Wes Roach 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.34% 0.16% MC
118 USA Tyler Duncan 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.32% 0.14% T51
119 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.3% 0.12% MC
120 CAN Adam Svensson 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.27% 0.09% T18
121 USA Seth Reeves 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.26% 0.08% MC
122 USA D.A. Points 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.84% 0.69% MC
123 USA D.J. Trahan 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.74% 0.6% MC
124 AUS John Senden 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.7% 0.56% MC
125 USA John Catlin 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.64% 0.5% T67
126 USA Steve Marino 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.48% 0.33% T18
127 USA Jim Herman 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.44% 0.3% MC
128 AUS Curtis Luck 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.4% 0.26% T70
129 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.35% 0.21% MC
130 USA Cody Gribble 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.35% 0.21% T40
131 USA Jason Gore 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% MC
132 AUS Rod Pampling 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.33% 0.19% MC
133 USA Cameron Tringale 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.17% T51
134 MEX Roberto Diaz 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.31% 0.17% MC
135 AUT Sepp Straka 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.28% 0.14% MC
136 USA Max Homa 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.28% 0.14% MC
137 MEX Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% T28
138 USA Wyndham Clark 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.18% 0.04% T18
139 USA J.J. Henry 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.37% 0.25% MC
140 USA Hank Lebioda 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.3% 0.18% MC
141 USA Adam Long 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.29% 0.17% 1
142 USA Josh Teater 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.22% 0.1% T40
143 USA Chad Collins 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.31% 0.22% T57
144 USA Martin Trainer 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.17% MC
145 USA Brady Schnell 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
146 USA Kyle Jones 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.23% 0.14% MC
147 USA John Chin 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.2% 0.11% MC
148 USA Mark Wilson 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.38% 0.31% MC
149 USA Will Mackenzie 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.34% 0.27% MC
150 CAN Mike Weir 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.28% 0.21% MC
151 USA Joey Garber 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.25% 0.18% T57
152 USA Chris Thompson 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.21% 0.13% MC
153 AUT Bernhard Reiter 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.09% 0.02% MC
154 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 0% 0% 0.35% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...