Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 88.5

Total Profit: -11.7

John Deere Classic

12/07/2018 - 15/07/2018

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ITA Francesco Molinari 10 9.09% 7.54% 3.44% -4.1% T2
2 USA Bryson DeChambeau 12 7.69% 6.38% 3.01% -3.38% WD
3 USA Zach Johnson 13 7.14% 5.93% 2.13% -3.79% T16
4 USA Ryan Moore 18 5.26% 4.37% 2.29% -2.07% T55
5 USA Steve Stricker 23 4.17% 3.46% 1.56% -1.9% T43
6 USA Chesson Hadley 26 3.7% 3.07% 1.74% -1.33% T72
7 USA Kyle Stanley 27 3.57% 2.96% 1.56% -1.41% MC
8 USA Austin Cook 38 2.56% 2.13% 1.3% -0.83% T34
9 USA Wesley Bryan 42 2.33% 1.93% 0.66% -1.27% MC
10 USA Chris Kirk 43 2.27% 1.89% 1.71% -0.18% T23 8.03
11 USA Aaron Wise 45 2.17% 1.8% 0.86% -0.95% MC
12 USA Patrick Rodgers 49 2% 1.66% 1.24% -0.42% T43
13 USA Andrew Landry 50 1.96% 1.63% 1.37% -0.26% T55
14 USA Brian Gay 55 1.79% 1.48% 1.49% 0.01% MC 6.31
15 SWE David Lingmerth 57 1.72% 1.43% 0.66% -0.77% T72
16 USA Chez Reavie 59 1.67% 1.38% 1.39% 0.01% MC 5.89
17 USA Kevin Streelman 69 1.43% 1.19% 1.34% 0.16% T7 (tied w/5) 5.05 +7.5
18 USA Scott Piercy 70 1.41% 1.17% 1.03% -0.14% MC 4.98
19 KOR Siwoo Kim 71 1.39% 1.15% 1.79% 0.64% MC 4.91
20 USA Kevin Tway 71 1.39% 1.15% 0.72% -0.43% T50
21 USA Kelly Kraft 79 1.25% 1.04% 0.83% -0.2% T63
22 NZL Danny Lee 79 1.25% 1.04% 0.68% -0.35% DQ
23 TPE C.T. Pan 80 1.23% 1.02% 1.05% 0.02% T34 4.36
24 USA Scott Stallings 81 1.22% 1.01% 0.93% -0.08% MC 4.31
25 KOR Sunghoon Kang 81 1.22% 1.01% 0.37% -0.64% MC
26 USA Andrew Putnam 82 1.2% 1% 1.67% 0.67% 79 4.26
27 USA Keith Mitchell 84 1.18% 0.98% 1.15% 0.17% T7 (tied w/5) 4.16 +7.4
28 USA Johnson Wagner 85 1.16% 0.96% 0.64% -0.33% T16
29 USA Joel Dahmen 87 1.14% 0.94% 1.04% 0.1% T2 (tied w/4) 4.02 +37
30 USA Ryan Blaum 88 1.12% 0.93% 0.68% -0.25% T55
31 USA Bronson Burgoon 90 1.1% 0.91% 0.67% -0.24% T2
32 USA Nick Watney 92 1.08% 0.89% 1.24% 0.34% T60 3.8
33 USA Ryan Palmer 101 0.98% 0.81% 0.97% 0.16% T77 3.47
34 USA Bill Haas 101 0.98% 0.81% 0.85% 0.03% T72 3.47
35 USA Harold Varner III 107 0.93% 0.77% 0.75% -0.02% 6 3.27 +36.6
36 USA Tyler Duncan 109 0.91% 0.75% 0.72% -0.04% T12 3.21
37 USA JT Poston 111 0.89% 0.74% 0.91% 0.17% T65 3.16
38 USA Sam Saunders 115 0.86% 0.72% 1.06% 0.34% T60 3.05
39 USA Troy Merritt 116 0.85% 0.71% 1.14% 0.43% T43 3.02
40 USA Brandon Harkins 116 0.85% 0.71% 0.73% 0.02% MC 3.02
41 SVK Rory Sabbatini 120 0.83% 0.69% 1.43% 0.74% WD 2.92
42 USA Trey Mullinax 120 0.83% 0.69% 1.18% 0.5% MC 2.92
43 CAN Corey Conners 120 0.83% 0.69% 0.96% 0.28% T50 2.92
44 AUS Matt Jones 120 0.83% 0.69% 0.69% 0% T12 2.92
45 KOR Meenwhee Kim 120 0.83% 0.69% 0.44% -0.24% T16
46 IRL Seamus Power 130 0.76% 0.63% 0.6% -0.03% T16 2.7
47 USA Ben Crane 150 0.66% 0.55% 1.23% 0.68% MC
48 USA Richy Werenski 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.89% 0.35% T23
49 USA Robert Streb 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.67% 0.12% MC
50 USA Mackenzie Hughes 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.66% 0.11% T16
51 USA Scott Brown 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.49% -0.06% T12
52 CAN David Hearn 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.43% -0.12% T16
53 GER Stephan Jaeger 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.34% -0.21% MC
54 USA Zac Blair 160 0.62% 0.52% 0.41% -0.1% MC
55 USA Chris Stroud 160 0.62% 0.52% 0.39% -0.12% T30
56 AUS Cameron Percy 160 0.62% 0.52% 0.34% -0.17% MC
57 USA Harris English 180 0.55% 0.46% 1.01% 0.55% MC
58 AUS Aaron Baddeley 180 0.55% 0.46% 0.95% 0.5% MC
59 USA Chad Campbell 180 0.55% 0.46% 0.78% 0.32% T7
60 USA Peter Malnati 180 0.55% 0.46% 0.77% 0.32% MC
61 USA Denny McCarthy 180 0.55% 0.46% 0.63% 0.17% T34
62 ARG Fabian Gomez 180 0.55% 0.46% 0.6% 0.15% T23
63 USA Blayne Barber 180 0.55% 0.46% 0.39% -0.07% T43
64 USA Robert Garrigus 190 0.52% 0.43% 1.04% 0.6% T30
65 USA Vaughn Taylor 190 0.52% 0.43% 0.85% 0.42% T34
66 USA Sam Ryder 190 0.52% 0.43% 0.59% 0.16% T2
67 USA William McGirt 200 0.5% 0.41% 0.51% 0.1% MC
68 USA Lanto Griffin 200 0.5% 0.41% 0.47% 0.06% T60
69 USA John Huh 230 0.43% 0.36% 0.79% 0.43% T7
70 USA Tom Lovelady 230 0.43% 0.36% 0.46% 0.1% T50
71 USA Patton Kizzire 230 0.43% 0.36% 0.44% 0.09% T30
72 USA Brice Garnett 230 0.43% 0.36% 0.4% 0.04% MC
73 USA Hunter Mahan 250 0.4% 0.33% 0.66% 0.33% T34
74 USA Daniel Summerhays 250 0.4% 0.33% 0.27% -0.06% MC
75 USA Talor Gooch 260 0.38% 0.32% 0.56% 0.24% WD
76 USA Michael Thompson 260 0.38% 0.32% 0.51% 0.19% MC
77 USA Dominic Bozzelli 260 0.38% 0.32% 0.44% 0.13% T23
78 ARG Andres Romero 260 0.38% 0.32% 0.41% 0.1% T7
79 USA Michael Kim 270 0.37% 0.31% 0.29% -0.02% 1
80 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 280 0.36% 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% MC
81 CAN Nick Taylor 280 0.36% 0.3% 0.58% 0.29% T34
82 USA Brett Stegmaier 280 0.36% 0.3% 0.56% 0.27% T65
83 USA Shawn Stefani 280 0.36% 0.3% 0.44% 0.14% MC
84 USA Jonathan Byrd 290 0.34% 0.29% 0.42% 0.13% MC
85 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 290 0.34% 0.29% 0.39% 0.11% T69
86 USA Hudson Swafford 290 0.34% 0.29% 0.35% 0.06% T50
87 USA Brian Stuard 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.74% 0.47% 81
88 USA Billy Hurley III 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.73% 0.45% MC
89 USA Derek Fathauer 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.52% 0.25% T23
90 USA Ricky Barnes 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.48% 0.2% T43
91 USA Martin Flores 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.46% 0.18% T72
92 USA Cody Gribble 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.41% 0.13% T34
93 USA Rob Oppenheim 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.39% 0.12% MC
94 USA Cameron Tringale 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.31% 0.03% MC
95 USA Adam Schenk 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.29% 0.01% MC
96 USA Steve Wheatcroft 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.28% 0% T12
97 USA Conrad Shindler 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.28% 0% T55
98 USA Jonathan Randolph 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.22% -0.05% MC
99 USA Matt Every 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.53% 0.32% WD
100 USA Martin Piller 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.46% 0.25% MC
101 USA Ethan Tracy 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.41% 0.2% MC
102 USA Davis Love III 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.33% 0.13% MC
103 MEX Roberto Diaz 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.33% 0.12% WD
104 AUS John Senden 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.61% 0.44% T34
105 AUS Stuart Appleby 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.46% 0.29% T50
106 USA Ken Duke 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.4% 0.23% MC
107 USA Tim Herron 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.35% 0.19% MC
108 USA Mark Wilson 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.31% 0.14% T63
109 USA Jason Gore 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.28% 0.12% WD
110 USA Cameron Beckman 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.25% 0.08% WD
111 USA John Rollins 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.24% 0.07% MC
112 USA John Merrick 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.31% 0.17% T23
113 IND Arjun Atwal 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.52% 0.41% T65
114 USA Troy Matteson 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.51% 0.4% MC
115 USA Charlie Beljan 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.36% 0.25% MC
116 USA Jason Bohn 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.36% 0.25% T30
117 ENG Brian Davis 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.34% 0.23% MC
118 USA Tommy Gainey 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.32% 0.21% T69
119 USA Dicky Pride 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.32% 0.21% MC
120 ZIM Brendon de Jonge 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.32% 0.2% 82
121 SWE Daniel Chopra 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.28% 0.17% MC
122 KOR Charlie Wi 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.26% 0.15% MC
123 SWE Carl Pettersson 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.25% 0.14% MC
124 USA D.J. Trahan 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.25% 0.14% 80
125 USA Will Claxton 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.23% 0.12% WD
126 USA D.A. Points 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.2% 0.08% MC
127 USA Matt Atkins 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.14% 0.03% T55
128 USA Kyle Thompson 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.14% 0.03% MC
129 USA Craig Barlow 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.12% 0.01% MC
130 USA Andrew Yun 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.11% 0% MC
131 AUS Robert Allenby 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.37% 0.29% MC
132 USA Kris Blanks 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.18% 71
133 AUS Steven Bowditch 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.16% MC
134 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 1.03% 0% MC
135 CHI Joaquin Niemann 0% 0% 0.99% 0% T23
136 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0.77% 0% T34
137 USA Dylan Meyer 0% 0% 0.53% 0% T43
138 USA George McNeill 0% 0% 0.45% 0% T72
139 USA Brendon Todd 0% 0% 0.4% 0% MC
140 CAN Benjamin Silverman 0% 0% 0.39% 0% T65
141 USA Parker McLachlin 0% 0% 0.36% 0% T16
142 CHN Zhang Xinjun 0% 0% 0.27% 0% MC
143 USA Doug Ghim 0% 0% 0.26% 0% WD
144 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0.16% 0% MC
145 USA Omar Uresti 0% 0% 0.15% 0% MC
146 USA Norman Xiong 0% 0% 0.15% 0% MC
147 USA Vince India 0% 0% 0.1% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...