Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 76.9

Total Profit: -23.2

Fort Worth Invitational

24/05/2018 - 27/05/2018

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Jordan Spieth 8 11.11% 9.07% 4.21% -4.86% T32
2 ESP Jon Rahm 14 6.67% 5.44% 2.91% -2.53% T5
3 USA Rickie Fowler 19 5% 4.08% 2.17% -1.91% T14
4 USA Webb Simpson 21 4.55% 3.71% 3.29% -0.42% MC
5 ENG Justin Rose 21 4.55% 3.71% 2.78% -0.93% 1
6 USA Jimmy Walker 29 3.33% 2.72% 2.13% -0.59% T20
7 AUS Adam Scott 30 3.23% 2.63% 2.03% -0.6% T52
8 USA Brooks Koepka 30 3.23% 2.63% 1.92% -0.71% 2
9 USA Patrick Cantlay 30 3.23% 2.63% 1% -1.64% MC
10 USA Jason Dufner 31 3.13% 2.55% 0.98% -1.57% MC
11 USA Aaron Wise 36 2.7% 2.21% 0.87% -1.33% MC
12 USA Matt Kuchar 37 2.63% 2.15% 1.47% -0.68% T32
13 USA Zach Johnson 38 2.56% 2.09% 1.42% -0.67% MC
14 USA Bryson DeChambeau 41 2.38% 1.94% 2.13% 0.18% T42 8.62
15 USA Kevin Kisner 46 2.13% 1.74% 1.32% -0.42% T52
16 USA Chesson Hadley 48 2.04% 1.67% 1.21% -0.46% T20
17 USA Xander Schauffele 49 2% 1.63% 1.76% 0.13% MC 7.25
18 ARG Emiliano Grillo 49 2% 1.63% 1.2% -0.44% 3
19 CAN Adam Hadwin 60 1.64% 1.34% 1.48% 0.15% T52 5.94
20 USA Kevin Na 61 1.61% 1.32% 1.3% -0.02% 4 5.84 +38.5
21 USA Brian Harman 64 1.54% 1.26% 0.86% -0.4% T14
22 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 68 1.45% 1.18% 1.05% -0.13% T5 (tied w/3) 5.25 +38.3
23 SCO Russell Knox 68 1.45% 1.18% 0.77% -0.41% T20
24 AUS Cameron Smith 69 1.43% 1.17% 0.88% -0.29% MC
25 USA Steve Stricker 70 1.41% 1.15% 1.03% -0.12% T32 5.1
26 USA Beau Hossler 72 1.37% 1.12% 0.8% -0.32% T64
27 NZL Danny Lee 79 1.25% 1.02% 0.52% -0.5% T14
28 USA Chris Kirk 81 1.22% 1% 1.41% 0.41% T11 4.42
29 USA Scott Piercy 82 1.2% 0.98% 0.76% -0.22% MC 4.37
30 USA Chez Reavie 83 1.19% 0.97% 1.04% 0.07% MC 4.31
31 USA Charley Hoffman 87 1.14% 0.93% 2.07% 1.14% T52 4.12
32 USA Ryan Palmer 87 1.14% 0.93% 0.81% -0.12% MC 4.12
33 USA Russell Henley 90 1.1% 0.9% 0.74% -0.16% T58 3.98
34 USA Ollie Schniederjans 100 0.99% 0.81% 0.63% -0.18% T74 3.59
35 SVK Rory Sabbatini 101 0.98% 0.8% 1.37% 0.57% T20 3.55
36 USA Pat Perez 101 0.98% 0.8% 0.66% -0.14% T42 3.55
37 USA Nick Watney 102 0.97% 0.79% 1.42% 0.63% MC 3.52
38 USA Brandt Snedeker 102 0.97% 0.79% 0.75% -0.04% T42 3.52
39 KOR Siwoo Kim 103 0.96% 0.78% 1.48% 0.7% T66 3.49
40 USA Grayson Murray 113 0.88% 0.72% 0.94% 0.23% MC 3.18
41 USA Kevin Streelman 114 0.87% 0.71% 1.1% 0.39% 76 3.15
42 SCO Martin Laird 115 0.86% 0.7% 0.82% 0.11% MC 3.13
43 USA Andrew Landry 116 0.85% 0.7% 1.25% 0.56% MC 3.1
44 USA J.J Spaun 120 0.83% 0.67% 0.8% 0.12% MC 3
45 USA Kevin Tway 150 0.66% 0.54% 0.73% 0.19% T5
46 USA Austin Cook 150 0.66% 0.54% 0.71% 0.17% MC
47 USA Harris English 160 0.62% 0.51% 0.75% 0.25% T20
48 USA Bill Haas 160 0.62% 0.51% 0.57% 0.07% T14
49 USA Sam Burns 160 0.62% 0.51% 0.49% -0.02% MC
50 USA Trey Mullinax 190 0.52% 0.43% 0.87% 0.44% T58
51 USA Jason Kokrak 190 0.52% 0.43% 0.75% 0.33% T32
52 USA Sam Saunders 190 0.52% 0.43% 0.47% 0.05% MC
53 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 200 0.5% 0.41% 0.93% 0.52% T20
54 USA Andrew Putnam 200 0.5% 0.41% 0.79% 0.39% T20
55 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 200 0.5% 0.41% 0.75% 0.35% 73
56 USA Ted Potter-jr 200 0.5% 0.41% 0.69% 0.29% T42
57 USA Brice Garnett 200 0.5% 0.41% 0.63% 0.22% MC
58 IND Anirban Lahiri 200 0.5% 0.41% 0.35% -0.06% T58
59 USA Patrick Rodgers 210 0.47% 0.39% 0.74% 0.35% MC
60 USA Ben Crane 210 0.47% 0.39% 0.65% 0.26% T8
61 TPE C.T. Pan 210 0.47% 0.39% 0.63% 0.25% T20
62 SWE David Lingmerth 210 0.47% 0.39% 0.24% -0.14% MC
63 IND Shubhankar Sharma 220 0.45% 0.37% 0.73% 0.36% T20
64 USA Martin Piller 220 0.45% 0.37% 0.58% 0.21% T77
65 USA JT Poston 220 0.45% 0.37% 0.43% 0.06% T20
66 USA Jim Furyk 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.8% 0.45% T66
67 USA Patton Kizzire 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.79% 0.44% T64
68 USA Joel Dahmen 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.36% 0.01% T20
69 USA John Huh 250 0.4% 0.33% 0.68% 0.35% T42
70 USA Vaughn Taylor 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.55% 0.24% T20
71 USA Shawn Stefani 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.44% 0.13% T66
72 CAN Corey Conners 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.43% 0.12% T8
73 IRL Seamus Power 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.4% 0.09% DQ
74 AUS Aaron Baddeley 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.62% 0.33% MC
75 USA William McGirt 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.57% 0.28% T32
76 USA Stewart Cink 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.54% 0.25% T58
77 USA Chris Stroud 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.41% 0.12% WD
78 USA Tom Hoge 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.34% 0.05% T42
79 USA Scott Brown 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.29% 0% MC
80 USA Robert Garrigus 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.64% 0.36% WD
81 USA Ryan Blaum 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.41% 0.12% MC
82 USA Michael Thompson 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.62% 0.35% T32
83 USA Richy Werenski 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.57% 0.29% T74
84 USA Scott Stallings 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.51% 0.24% MC
85 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.48% 0.21% T32
86 USA Brandon Harkins 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.46% 0.19% T66
87 USA Kelly Kraft 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.45% 0.18% MC
88 CAN David Hearn 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.45% 0.18% MC
89 USA Tom Lovelady 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.44% 0.17% T58
90 USA Talor Gooch 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.44% 0.17% MC
91 USA Cody Gribble 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.44% 0.16% MC
92 USA Brian Stuard 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.43% 0.16% T32
93 USA Tyler Duncan 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.36% 0.09% T71
94 USA Ryan Armour 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.34% 0.07% T14
95 USA Ben Martin 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.33% 0.06% T32
96 CAN Nick Taylor 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.33% 0.05% MC
97 KOR Sunghoon Kang 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.28% 0.01% MC
98 USA Chad Campbell 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.51% 0.31% T42
99 GER Alex Cejka 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.44% 0.24% T66
100 USA Wesley Bryan 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.44% 0.24% T71
101 USA Jonathan Byrd 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.44% 0.24% MC
102 USA Martin Flores 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.43% 0.23% MC
103 USA Mackenzie Hughes 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.37% 0.17% T42
104 USA Robert Streb 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.35% 0.15% T52
105 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.32% 0.11% T14
106 USA Adam Schenk 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.22% 0.02% MC
107 USA Derek Fathauer 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.46% 0.3% T42
108 KOR Meenwhee Kim 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.33% 0.16% T58
109 USA Conrad Shindler 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.2% 0.04% T32
110 AUS John Senden 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.71% 0.58% T77
111 AUS Rod Pampling 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.39% 0.25% MC
112 USA Tim Herron 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.34% 0.24% T11
113 USA Smylie Kaufman 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
114 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 1.34% 0% MC
115 MEX Abraham Ancer 0% 0% 0.58% 0% T52
116 CHI Joaquin Niemann 0% 0% 0.47% 0% T8
117 CAN Benjamin Silverman 0% 0% 0.35% 0% T11
118 CHN Zhang Xinjun 0% 0% 0.35% 0% MC
119 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0.27% 0% MC
120 USA Maverick McNealy 0% 0% 0.14% 0% T42

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...