Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 292.4

Total Profit: +192.3

Waste Management Phoenix Open

01/02/2018 - 04/02/2018

Up to date as of: 7 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Jordan Spieth 9 10% 7.4% 3.2% -4.2% MC
2 ESP Jon Rahm 10 9.09% 6.73% 2.57% -4.16% T11
3 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 10 9.09% 6.73% 2.09% -4.64% WD
4 USA Rickie Fowler 14 6.67% 4.94% 3.46% -1.48% T11
5 USA Justin Thomas 15 6.25% 4.63% 4.27% -0.36% T17
6 AUS Marc Leishman 31 3.13% 2.31% 3.59% 1.28% T31 10.47
7 USA Daniel Berger 32 3.03% 2.24% 1.03% -1.21% T11
8 USA Webb Simpson 38 2.56% 1.9% 1.79% -0.11% MC
9 USA Tony Finau 41 2.38% 1.76% 1.25% -0.51% MC
10 SWE Alexander Noren 45 2.17% 1.61% 1.21% -0.4% T21
11 USA J.B. Holmes 47 2.08% 1.54% 1.2% -0.34% MC
12 USA Zach Johnson 51 1.92% 1.42% 1.47% 0.05% T57 6.45
13 USA Gary Woodland 54 1.82% 1.35% 1.49% 0.14% 1 6.1 +203.7
14 USA Matt Kuchar 55 1.79% 1.32% 1.55% 0.22% T5 (tied w/4) 5.99 +27
15 KOR Byeong Hun An 55 1.79% 1.32% 1.27% -0.05% T23
16 USA Phil Mickelson 58 1.69% 1.26% 1.32% 0.06% T5 (tied w/4) 5.68 +26.8
17 USA Brendan Steele 58 1.69% 1.26% 0.87% -0.39% T3
18 USA Kevin Chappell 60 1.64% 1.21% 1.02% -0.2% T31
19 USA Patrick Reed 63 1.56% 1.16% 1.48% 0.33% T17 5.24
20 USA Keegan Bradley 65 1.52% 1.12% 1.34% 0.22% T43 5.08
21 USA Austin Cook 66 1.49% 1.11% 0.63% -0.48% T31
22 USA Harris English 66 1.49% 1.11% 0.42% -0.69% MC
23 USA Ryan Palmer 67 1.47% 1.09% 0.65% -0.44% MC
24 USA Scott Piercy 69 1.43% 1.06% 0.68% -0.38% MC
25 USA Patton Kizzire 70 1.41% 1.04% 1.07% 0.02% T31
26 USA Charley Hoffman 73 1.35% 1% 1.03% 0.03% T26 4.53
27 USA Kyle Stanley 79 1.25% 0.93% 0.89% -0.04% MC
28 IRL Shane Lowry 80 1.23% 0.91% 1.47% 0.56% T65 4.14
29 CAN Adam Hadwin 81 1.22% 0.9% 0.89% -0.01% T43
30 AUS Cameron Smith 83 1.19% 0.88% 1.11% 0.23% T48 3.99
31 ITA Francesco Molinari 84 1.18% 0.87% 1.86% 0.99% T40 3.95
32 USA J.J Spaun 87 1.14% 0.84% 0.46% -0.38% WD
33 USA Ryan Moore 88 1.12% 0.83% 0.57% -0.26% MC
34 USA Ollie Schniederjans 90 1.1% 0.81% 0.46% -0.36% T3
35 USA Brandt Snedeker 97 1.02% 0.76% 0.59% -0.17% T23
36 USA Xander Schauffele 98 1.01% 0.75% 1.27% 0.52% T17 3.39
37 USA Russell Henley 98 1.01% 0.75% 0.83% 0.08% MC 3.39
38 USA Chez Reavie 99 1% 0.74% 1.07% 0.33% 2 3.35 +34.8
39 SCO Russell Knox 99 1% 0.74% 0.81% 0.07% MC 3.35
40 USA Bud Cauley 99 1% 0.74% 0.76% 0.02% MC
41 USA Bubba Watson 100 0.99% 0.73% 0.92% 0.19% T40 3.32
42 USA Beau Hossler 101 0.98% 0.73% 0.42% -0.3% T17
43 ARG Emiliano Grillo 105 0.94% 0.7% 0.98% 0.28% T57 3.17
44 USA Chesson Hadley 108 0.92% 0.68% 0.66% -0.02% T5
45 USA James Hahn 113 0.88% 0.65% 0.69% 0.04% T11 2.94
46 USA Jason Kokrak 114 0.87% 0.64% 0.63% -0.02% T31
47 ENG Ian Poulter 120 0.83% 0.61% 1.65% 1.03% T52 2.77
48 USA Peter Uihlein 120 0.83% 0.61% 0.62% 0% T52
49 USA Kevin Na 120 0.83% 0.61% 0.5% -0.12% T48
50 USA Kevin Streelman 130 0.76% 0.57% 1.39% 0.82% T40 2.56
51 USA Julian Suri 130 0.76% 0.57% 0.85% 0.29% MC 2.56
52 KOR Siwoo Kim 130 0.76% 0.57% 0.83% 0.26% T62 2.56
53 USA Billy Horschel 130 0.76% 0.57% 0.69% 0.13% T43 2.56
54 USA Brandon Harkins 130 0.76% 0.57% 0.62% 0.05% MC 2.56
55 USA Bryson DeChambeau 150 0.66% 0.49% 1.08% 0.59% T5
56 USA Lucas Glover 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.91% 0.42% T43
57 USA Chris Kirk 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.85% 0.36% T11
58 USA Grayson Murray 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.83% 0.34% T70
59 USA Luke List 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.68% 0.19% T26
60 USA Brian Stuard 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.68% 0.19% T65
61 IND Anirban Lahiri 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.59% 0.1% MC
62 USA Bill Haas 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.48% -0.01% T26
63 USA William McGirt 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.48% -0.01% MC
64 SCO Martin Laird 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.36% -0.13% T9
65 TPE C.T. Pan 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.77% 0.31% T62
66 USA Hudson Swafford 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.58% 0.12% MC
67 USA Ryan Armour 180 0.55% 0.41% 0.77% 0.36% MC
68 USA Andrew Landry 180 0.55% 0.41% 0.69% 0.28% MC
69 USA John Huh 180 0.55% 0.41% 0.52% 0.11% T38
70 USA Tom Hoge 180 0.55% 0.41% 0.46% 0.06% MC
71 USA Robert Garrigus 180 0.55% 0.41% 0.4% -0.01% T52
72 USA Jamie Lovemark 190 0.52% 0.39% 0.28% -0.1% T52
73 KOR Sunghoon Kang 210 0.47% 0.35% 0.63% 0.28% MC
74 USA Steve Stricker 220 0.45% 0.34% 0.41% 0.08% T31
75 RSA Retief Goosen 230 0.43% 0.32% 1.15% 0.83% MC
76 USA Wesley Bryan 230 0.43% 0.32% 0.47% 0.15% MC
77 USA Ben Martin 230 0.43% 0.32% 0.42% 0.1% T67
78 USA Michael Kim 230 0.43% 0.32% 0.31% -0.01% MC
79 USA Hunter Mahan 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.64% 0.35% MC
80 USA Kevin Tway 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.63% 0.33% T57
81 SVK Rory Sabbatini 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.54% 0.25% T31
82 USA Brian Gay 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.41% 0.12% T9
83 USA Patrick Rodgers 260 0.38% 0.28% 0.42% 0.14% MC
84 USA Scott Brown 270 0.37% 0.27% 0.49% 0.22% MC
85 NZL Danny Lee 270 0.37% 0.27% 0.32% 0.04% MC
86 USA John Peterson 270 0.37% 0.27% 0.3% 0.03% T57
87 USA Robert Streb 270 0.37% 0.27% 0.27% -0.01% MC
88 USA Martin Flores 280 0.36% 0.26% 0.47% 0.21% T21
89 USA Nick Watney 280 0.36% 0.26% 0.47% 0.21% T26
90 CAN Nick Taylor 290 0.34% 0.25% 0.39% 0.14% T52
91 USA Tom Lovelady 290 0.34% 0.25% 0.36% 0.1% MC
92 USA Ryan Blaum 290 0.34% 0.25% 0.29% 0.04% MC
93 USA Chris Stroud 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.53% 0.29% MC
94 USA Vaughn Taylor 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.51% 0.27% T11
95 USA Ricky Barnes 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.46% 0.21% MC
96 USA Scott Stallings 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.37% 0.13% T23
97 USA Harold Varner III 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.33% 0.08% T38
98 USA Cameron Tringale 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.25% 0% MC
99 USA John Oda 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.21% -0.03% MC
100 USA Morgan Hoffmann 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.5% 0.31% MC
101 USA Kelly Kraft 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.38% 0.19% MC
102 USA Cody Gribble 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.37% 0.18% T70
103 SWE Jonas Blixt 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.36% 0.18% MC
104 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.31% 0.13% 69
105 USA Blayne Barber 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.29% 0.1% T67
106 AUS Aaron Baddeley 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.27% 0.08% T26
107 CAN Benjamin Silverman 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.25% 0.07% T48
108 USA Chad Campbell 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.23% 0.04% T43
109 GER Alex Cejka 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.22% 0.03% WD
110 USA Dominic Bozzelli 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.55% 0.4% MC
111 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.46% 0.31% MC
112 KOR Sangmoon Bae 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.29% MC
113 COL Camilo Villegas 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.29% T57
114 USA Smylie Kaufman 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.25% MC
115 KOR K.J. Choi 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.24% MC
116 USA Richy Werenski 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% MC
117 USA Matt Every 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% MC
118 KOR Meenwhee Kim 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
119 USA Tyler Duncan 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.36% 0.24% MC
120 USA Derek Fathauer 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.36% 0.24% T48
121 USA Mackenzie Hughes 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.24% 0.12% MC
122 USA Colt Knost 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.24% 0.12% T62
123 AUS Greg Chalmers 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.19% 0.07% MC
124 ARG Fabian Gomez 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.15% 0.03% MC
125 USA Peter Malnati 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% MC
126 USA D.A. Points 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.37% 0.27% MC
127 USA Billy Hurley III 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.35% 0.28% MC
128 USA Andrew Loupe 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.22% 0.14% MC
129 USA Charlie Beljan 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.17% 0.1% 72
130 USA Wyndham Clark 0% 0% 0.19% 0% MC
131 USA Richard H. Lee 0% 0% 0.13% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...