Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 74.8

Total Profit: -25.3

CareerBuilder Challenge

18/01/2018 - 21/01/2018

Up to date as of: 7 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 9 10% 7.82% 5.27% -2.55% 1
2 USA Brian Harman 16 5.88% 4.6% 3.44% -1.16% T20
3 USA Patrick Reed 22 4.35% 3.4% 2.17% -1.23% MC
4 USA Webb Simpson 23 4.17% 3.26% 2.78% -0.47% T36
5 USA Kevin Kisner 23 4.17% 3.26% 1.44% -1.82% T50
6 USA Phil Mickelson 26 3.7% 2.9% 2.22% -0.67% MC
7 USA Jason Dufner 31 3.13% 2.44% 1.89% -0.55% T36
8 USA Zach Johnson 31 3.13% 2.44% 1.79% -0.65% T20
9 USA Patton Kizzire 37 2.63% 2.06% 1.62% -0.44% T42
10 USA Brendan Steele 37 2.63% 2.06% 0.7% -1.36% T20
11 USA Chez Reavie 44 2.22% 1.74% 1.76% 0.03% T36 7.83
12 USA Bud Cauley 45 2.17% 1.7% 0.63% -1.07% T14
13 USA Charles Howell III 48 2.04% 1.6% 0.81% -0.78% T20
14 USA Chesson Hadley 48 2.04% 1.6% 0.49% -1.11% T42
15 USA Brandt Snedeker 49 2% 1.56% 0.36% -1.2% MC
16 USA Kevin Chappell 54 1.82% 1.42% 1.67% 0.24% T6 (tied w/2) 6.41 +37.8
17 SCO Russell Knox 55 1.79% 1.4% 0.98% -0.42% T29
18 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 57 1.72% 1.35% 1.82% 0.47% T11 6.08
19 USA James Hahn 58 1.69% 1.33% 1.87% 0.55% T36 5.98
20 USA Austin Cook 58 1.69% 1.33% 1.01% -0.32% T14
21 USA Chris Kirk 59 1.67% 1.3% 1.46% 0.16% MC 5.88
22 USA Bill Haas 59 1.67% 1.3% 0.71% -0.6% MC
23 USA Hudson Swafford 62 1.59% 1.24% 0.97% -0.28% T29
24 CAN Adam Hadwin 64 1.54% 1.2% 0.88% -0.33% T3
25 USA Peter Uihlein 64 1.54% 1.2% 0.76% -0.44% T17
26 USA Bubba Watson 67 1.47% 1.15% 0.62% -0.53% MC
27 SWE David Lingmerth 72 1.37% 1.07% 0.75% -0.32% T57
28 USA Kevin Streelman 80 1.23% 0.97% 1.03% 0.07% T29 4.35
29 USA Grayson Murray 80 1.23% 0.97% 0.72% -0.25% T14 4.35
30 USA Scott Piercy 81 1.22% 0.95% 1.06% 0.1% T6 (tied w/2) 4.3 +37
31 USA Brian Stuard 82 1.2% 0.94% 1.15% 0.21% MC 4.25
32 USA J.J Spaun 83 1.19% 0.93% 0.7% -0.23% MC 4.2
33 USA Lucas Glover 87 1.14% 0.89% 0.95% 0.06% T29 4.01
34 SCO Martin Laird 87 1.14% 0.89% 0.74% -0.15% MC 4.01
35 USA Ryan Armour 92 1.08% 0.84% 0.89% 0.05% MC 3.79
36 USA Kevin Na 97 1.02% 0.8% 0.68% -0.12% T42 3.6
37 USA Luke List 99 1% 0.78% 0.77% -0.01% MC 3.53
38 KOR Sunghoon Kang 105 0.94% 0.74% 0.61% -0.13% T63 3.33
39 USA Jimmy Walker 105 0.94% 0.74% 0.59% -0.15% MC 3.33
40 USA Jason Kokrak 106 0.93% 0.73% 0.93% 0.2% T8 3.3
41 USA Ben Martin 109 0.91% 0.71% 0.72% 0.01% T57 3.21
42 USA Tom Hoge 110 0.9% 0.7% 0.79% 0.09% T57 3.18
43 USA Wesley Bryan 112 0.88% 0.69% 0.81% 0.12% T63 3.12
44 USA JT Poston 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.28% -0.37% MC
45 USA Ryan Palmer 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.92% 0.32% T20 2.69
46 USA Brian Gay 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.73% 0.14% T42 2.69
47 TPE C.T. Pan 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.69% 0.09% MC 2.69
48 USA Stewart Cink 150 0.66% 0.52% 1.21% 0.69% T20
49 USA Scott Brown 150 0.66% 0.52% 1.04% 0.52% T63
50 CAN Nick Taylor 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.54% 0.02% T20
51 AUS Matt Jones 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.4% -0.12% MC
52 USA Harold Varner III 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.72% 0.23% MC
53 USA Ryan Blaum 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.56% 0.07% MC
54 USA Chris Stroud 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.53% 0.04% T69
55 USA Scott Stallings 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.48% 0% MC
56 USA Aaron Wise 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.47% -0.02% T17
57 USA Beau Hossler 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.44% -0.05% T20
58 USA Brandon Harkins 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.3% -0.18% T8
59 USA Sam Saunders 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.73% 0.32% T8
60 USA Martin Flores 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.59% 0.18% MC
61 USA Shawn Stefani 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.57% 0.16% MC
62 USA Robert Garrigus 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.54% 0.13% T57
63 USA Andrew Landry 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.42% 0.01% 2
64 USA Dominic Bozzelli 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.4% 0% MC
65 KOR Meenwhee Kim 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.39% 0% MC
66 GER Alex Cejka 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.39% 0% T50
67 CAN David Hearn 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.35% -0.04% MC
68 IRL Seamus Power 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.3% -0.09% T11
69 NZL Danny Lee 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.26% -0.13% MC
70 USA John Peterson 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.56% 0.19% 75
71 USA Harris English 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.4% 0.03% T11
72 USA Vaughn Taylor 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.8% 0.45% MC
73 USA Talor Gooch 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.49% 0.14% T67
74 CAN Benjamin Silverman 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.48% 0.13% 77
75 USA Trey Mullinax 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.25% -0.1% T57
76 USA Johnson Wagner 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.29% -0.05% MC
77 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.51% 0.2% MC
78 USA Smylie Kaufman 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.5% 0.19% T69
79 USA Keith Mitchell 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.49% 0.18% T69
80 SVK Rory Sabbatini 260 0.38% 0.3% 1.04% 0.74% T69
81 USA Jonathan Byrd 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.52% 0.22% MC
82 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% MC
83 USA Jonathan Randolph 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.41% 0.11% WD
84 USA Mackenzie Hughes 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.41% 0.11% MC
85 USA Brice Garnett 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% T63
86 USA Daniel Summerhays 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.33% 0.03% MC
87 GER Stephan Jaeger 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.24% -0.06% MC
88 USA Blayne Barber 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.32% 0.03% MC
89 USA Chad Campbell 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.31% 0.02% MC
90 USA Hunter Mahan 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.56% 0.28% T42
91 USA Richy Werenski 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.35% 0.07% T29
92 USA John Huh 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.34% 0.07% T3
93 COL Camilo Villegas 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.58% 0.31% MC
94 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.56% 0.29% T36
95 USA Zac Blair 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.55% 0.28% MC
96 USA Nick Watney 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.52% 0.26% T50
97 USA Tyler Duncan 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.29% 0.02% MC
98 USA Ben Crane 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.89% 0.63% T42
99 KOR Sangmoon Bae 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.88% 0.62% MC
100 USA Adam Schenk 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.56% 0.3% MC
101 USA Ricky Barnes 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.46% 0.2% T20
102 USA Rob Oppenheim 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.44% 0.18% T42
103 USA Jim Herman 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.44% 0.18% MC
104 AUS Cameron Percy 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.39% 0.13% MC
105 USA Matt Every 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.37% 0.11% T69
106 CAN Corey Conners 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.36% 0.1% T50
107 ARG Fabian Gomez 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.34% 0.08% MC
108 AUS Rod Pampling 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.33% 0.07% MC
109 USA Martin Piller 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.33% 0.07% T3
110 USA Michael Kim 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.31% 0.05% T50
111 USA Cameron Tringale 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.29% 0.04% MC
112 USA Bronson Burgoon 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.29% 0.03% T42
113 USA Derek Fathauer 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.49% 0.3% T36
114 MEX Abraham Ancer 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.43% 0.24% 76
115 USA Nate Lashley 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.37% 0.18% T29
116 USA Peter Malnati 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.32% 0.13% MC
117 USA Andrew Loupe 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.26% 0.07% MC
118 USA Conrad Shindler 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.16% -0.03% MC
119 USA Steve Wheatcroft 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.54% 0.38% MC
120 USA Brett Stegmaier 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.46% 0.3% T57
121 USA Troy Merritt 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.42% 0.26% MC
122 USA Andrew Putnam 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.31% 0.16% T17
123 USA Colt Knost 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.28% 0.13% MC
124 USA Joel Dahmen 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.28% 0.12% MC
125 USA Jason Gore 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.23% 0.08% MC
126 USA Lanto Griffin 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.22% 0.07% MC
127 USA Billy Hurley III 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.44% 0.31% T69
128 USA Tom Lovelady 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.31% 0.18% T29
129 USA Sam Ryder 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.24% 0.11% T50
130 AUS Greg Chalmers 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.21% 0.08% MC
131 USA Kyle Thompson 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.17% 0.04% MC
132 USA Jon Curran 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.31% 0.2% MC
133 MEX Roberto Diaz 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% MC
134 USA Ethan Tracy 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.28% 0.17% MC
135 USA John Daly 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% MC
136 USA D.J. Trahan 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.22% 0.12% MC
137 USA Jeff Gove 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.19% 0.09% MC
138 USA Andrew Yun 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.17% 0.07% MC
139 USA Tom Whitney 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.11% 0% T67
140 USA Mark Wilson 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% MC
141 CAN Mike Weir 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
142 USA Lee Janzen 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.14% MC
143 USA Charlie Beljan 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% MC
144 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 0.55% 0% T50
145 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0.48% 0% MC
146 USA Ted Potter-jr 0% 0% 0.44% 0% MC
147 USA Rick Lamb 0% 0% 0.37% 0% MC
148 CHN Zhang Xinjun 0% 0% 0.35% 0% MC
149 USA Denny McCarthy 0% 0% 0.29% 0% MC
150 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0.23% 0% MC
151 USA Matt Atkins 0% 0% 0.18% 0% MC
152 USA Maverick McNealy 0% 0% 0.18% 0% MC
153 AUT Bernhard Reiter 0% 0% 0.1% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...