Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.0 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 289.2

Total Profit: +189.1

Alfred Dunhill Links Championship

04/10/2018 - 07/10/2018

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Brooks Koepka 10 9.09% 6.79% 6.03% -0.77% T7
2 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 14 6.67% 4.98% 2.78% -2.2% T2
3 USA Tony Finau 16 5.88% 4.4% 2.27% -2.12% T10
4 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 16 5.88% 4.4% 1.84% -2.55% T2
5 IRL Shane Lowry 20 4.76% 3.56% 1.39% -2.17% MC
6 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 22 4.35% 3.25% 1.49% -1.76% MC
7 ENG Chris Wood 25 3.85% 2.87% 1.38% -1.5% MC
8 ENG Eddie Pepperell 25 3.85% 2.87% 1.35% -1.52% T44
9 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 28 3.45% 2.58% 1.51% -1.07% T32
10 RSA Branden Grace 30 3.23% 2.41% 1% -1.41% 55
11 USA Matt Kuchar 45 2.17% 1.62% 1.77% 0.14% T28 7.07
12 ENG Andy Sullivan 45 2.17% 1.62% 1.44% -0.18% T10 7.07
13 ENG Ross Fisher 45 2.17% 1.62% 0.96% -0.67% T32
14 BEL Thomas Pieters 45 2.17% 1.62% 0.85% -0.77% 60
15 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 50 1.96% 1.47% 1.4% -0.06% 1 6.38 +197.8
16 ENG Matt Wallace 50 1.96% 1.47% 1.02% -0.45% T28
17 ENG Tom Lewis 55 1.79% 1.33% 1.03% -0.31% T10
18 RSA Erik van Rooyen 55 1.79% 1.33% 0.91% -0.42% MC
19 GER Martin Kaymer 60 1.64% 1.23% 1.14% -0.09% MC 5.33
20 RSA Richard Sterne 66 1.49% 1.12% 1.16% 0.05% MC 4.86
21 CHN Hao Tong Li 66 1.49% 1.12% 1.08% -0.03% T5 (tied w/2) 4.86 +34.5
22 NZL Ryan Fox 66 1.49% 1.12% 1.04% -0.07% T24 4.86
23 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 66 1.49% 1.12% 0.97% -0.15% T48 4.86
24 IRL Padraig Harrington 66 1.49% 1.12% 0.89% -0.22% T7 (tied w/3) 4.86 +11.5
25 RSA Brandon Stone 75 1.32% 0.98% 0.71% -0.28% T10
26 NIR Graeme McDowell 80 1.23% 0.92% 1.04% 0.12% MC 4.02
27 ENG Robert Rock 80 1.23% 0.92% 0.78% -0.15% T20 4.02
28 ENG Matthew Southgate 80 1.23% 0.92% 0.77% -0.15% MC 4.02
29 SWE Joakim Lagergren 80 1.23% 0.92% 0.75% -0.17% MC 4.02
30 BEL Thomas Detry 80 1.23% 0.92% 0.74% -0.19% T48 4.02
31 AUS Lucas Herbert 80 1.23% 0.92% 0.72% -0.21% T7 (tied w/3) 4.02 +11.4
32 RSA George Coetzee 80 1.23% 0.92% 0.68% -0.24% MC
33 FRA Alexander Levy 80 1.23% 0.92% 0.67% -0.26% T32
34 IRL Paul Dunne 80 1.23% 0.92% 0.51% -0.41% MC
35 ENG Jordan L Smith 80 1.23% 0.92% 0.46% -0.46% T32
36 ITA Andrea Pavan 90 1.1% 0.82% 0.89% 0.07% T5 (tied w/2) 3.58 +34
37 SWE Alexander Bjork 100 0.99% 0.74% 0.83% 0.09% MC 3.22
38 JPN Hideto Tanihara 100 0.99% 0.74% 0.69% -0.05% MC 3.22
39 WAL Bradley Dredge 100 0.99% 0.74% 0.5% -0.24% MC
40 SWE Marcus Kinhult 110 0.9% 0.67% 0.66% -0.02% T20 2.93
41 SCO Stephen Gallacher 125 0.79% 0.59% 0.84% 0.25% T10 2.58
42 ESP Nacho Elvira 125 0.79% 0.59% 0.71% 0.12% T10 2.58
43 ENG Oliver Fisher 125 0.79% 0.59% 0.44% -0.15% T32 2.58
44 SCO Marc Warren 125 0.79% 0.59% 0.44% -0.16% MC 2.58
45 ENG Chris Paisley 125 0.79% 0.59% 0.37% -0.22% T24 2.58
46 ENG Ashley Chesters 140 0.71% 0.53% 0.6% 0.07% T44
47 ESP Adrian Otaegui 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.96% 0.46% MC
48 ESP Jorge Campillo 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.9% 0.41% MC
49 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.8% 0.3% T10
50 SCO Scott Jamieson 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.73% 0.23% MC
51 FRA Benjamin Hebert 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.66% 0.17% T32
52 SCO Richie Ramsay 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.6% 0.1% T61
53 KOR Jeunghun Wang 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.59% 0.09% MC
54 ENG Callum Shinkwin 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.54% 0.05% MC
55 AUS Jason Scrivener 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.52% 0.02% T24
56 RSA Haydn Porteous 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.46% -0.04% MC
57 ENG Luke Donald 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.84% 0.38% T61
58 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.46% -0.01% T56
59 ESP Miguel A Jimenez 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.7% 0.27% MC
60 ENG David Horsey 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.51% 0.08% MC
61 ENG Aaron Rai 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.49% 0.06% T61
62 ITA Nino Bertasio 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.46% 0.03% MC
63 ENG Sam Horsfield 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.43% 0.01% T61
64 ENG Lee Slattery 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.97% 0.6% T20
65 ENG Richard McEvoy 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.95% 0.58% MC
66 RSA Darren Fichardt 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.64% 0.27% T48
67 GER Maximilian Kieffer 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.58% 0.21% MC
68 AUT Matthias Schwab 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.48% 0.1% T10
69 AUS Wade Ormsby 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.42% 0.05% MC
70 POR Ricardo Gouveia 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.27% -0.1% MC
71 FRA Julien Guerrier 225 0.44% 0.33% 0.41% 0.08% T32
72 RSA Ernie Els 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.85% 0.55% T48
73 RSA Thomas Aiken 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% MC
74 FRA Romain Wattel 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.58% 0.28% MC
75 MAS Gavin Green 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.57% 0.27% MC
76 THA Phachara Khongwatmai 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% MC
77 ENG Richard Bland 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.43% 0.13% T61
78 SCO David Drysdale 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.11% MC
79 RSA Dean Burmester 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.38% 0.09% MC
80 ITA Renato Paratore 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.36% 0.06% T32
81 RSA Jaco Ahlers 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.28% -0.02% MC
82 FRA Matthieu Pavon 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.27% -0.02% T20
83 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.51% 0.26% MC
84 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.5% 0.25% T48
85 FIN Kim Koivu 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.4% 0.15% MC
86 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.65% 0.43% MC
87 USA Zac Blair 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.64% 0.43% MC
88 AUS Scott Hend 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.57% 0.36% T61
89 RSA Justin Walters 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.53% 0.32% T61
90 FIN Mikko Ilonen 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.51% 0.3% T32
91 ENG Jonathan Thomson 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.5% 0.28% MC
92 USA David Lipsky 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.48% 0.27% MC
93 CAN Austin Connelly 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.48% 0.27% MC
94 ENG James Morrison 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.47% 0.26% T56
95 KOR Soomin Lee 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.45% 0.23% MC
96 NIR Michael Hoey 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.44% 0.23% MC
97 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.41% 0.2% MC
98 RSA Trevor Immelman 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.38% 0.17% T44
99 THA Thongchai Jaidee 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.35% 0.14% T32
100 ESP Pep Angles Ros 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.32% 0.11% T32
101 ENG David Howell 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.32% 0.1% MC
102 KOR Jinho Choi 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.24% 0.03% MC
103 RSA JC Ritchie 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.19% -0.02% MC
104 ITA Edoardo Molinari 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.42% 0.23% T24
105 WAL Jamie Donaldson 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.37% 0.18% MC
106 SWE Peter Hanson 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.32% 0.14% T10
107 SCO Connor Syme 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.29% 0.1% MC
108 FRA Gregory Havret 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.27% 0.08% MC
109 FRA Clement Sordet 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.7% 0.55% T28
110 ENG Steven Brown 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.6% 0.45% MC
111 SWE Robert Karlsson 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.55% 0.41% MC
112 SCO Liam Johnston 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.46% 0.31% MC
113 AUS Marcus Fraser 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.43% 0.28% T10
114 ESP Alvaro Quiros 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.26% MC
115 RSA Zander Lombard 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.23% MC
116 FRA Gregory Bourdy 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% MC
117 ITA Matteo Manassero 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% MC
118 USA Paul Peterson 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% T61
119 FRA Adrien Saddier 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% T44
120 ESP Alejandro Canizares 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% 59
121 USA Chase Koepka 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% MC
122 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% 4
123 ENG Daniel Brooks 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% MC
124 AUS Jake McLeod 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% T48
125 ENG Laurie Canter 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% T61
126 RSA Louis de Jager 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% MC
127 ENG Chris Hanson 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.2% 0.05% MC
128 AUS Brett Rumford 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.51% 0.39% MC
129 GER Marcel Siem 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.51% 0.38% MC
130 RSA Ockie Strydom 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.44% 0.32% MC
131 DEN Lasse Jensen 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.39% 0.27% MC
132 SWE Jens Dantorp 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.38% 0.25% MC
133 AUS Adam Bland 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.37% 0.25% MC
134 AUS Andrew Dodt 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.35% 0.22% MC
135 ESP Scott Fernandez 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.32% 0.19% MC
136 FRA Sebastien Gros 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.3% 0.18% MC
137 RSA Oliver Bekker 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.24% 0.11% T56
138 ENG Ryan Evans 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.23% 0.11% MC
139 RSA Ulrich Van Den Berg 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.19% 0.06% MC
140 ESP Pedro Oriol 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.17% 0.05% MC
141 AUS Sam Brazel 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.15% 0.02% T61
142 SCO Bradley Neil 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.14% 0.01% MC
143 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.13% 0.03% MC
144 AUS Deyen Lawson 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.11% 0.01% T28
145 ESP Carlos Pigem 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.26% 0.18% MC
146 AUS Jason Norris 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.23% 0.16% MC
147 USA Ken Duke 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.22% 0.14% MC
148 USA Daniel Im 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.2% 0.12% MC
149 WAL Oliver Farr 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.2% 0.12% MC
150 CAN Richard T Lee 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.2% 0.12% MC
151 ENG Simon Dyson 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.19% 0.11% MC
152 IRL Paul McGinley 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.18% 0.1% MC
153 RSA Kyle McClatchie 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.14% 0.06% MC
154 AUS Jordan Zunic 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.13% 0.06% MC
155 RSA Jean-Paul Strydom 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.12% 0.04% MC
156 AUS James Marchesani 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.11% 0.04% MC
157 SWE Pelle Edberg 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.22% 0.17% MC
158 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 0% 0% 1.05% 0% MC
159 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.63% 0% MC
160 USA Doug Ghim 0% 0% 0.43% 0% T61
161 ENG Matthew Jordan 0% 0% 0.21% 0% T32
162 GRE Peter Karmis 0% 0% 0.21% 0% T48
163 SCO Sam Locke 0% 0% 0.16% 0% MC
164 USA John Ellis 0% 0% 0.14% 0% MC
165 USA Norman Xiong 0% 0% 0.12% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...