Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 72.3

Total Profit: -27.9

ITALIAN OPEN

31/05/2018 - 03/06/2018

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 SWE Alexander Noren 10 9.09% 6.8% 3.07% -3.72% T23
2 ITA Francesco Molinari 10 9.09% 6.8% 2.17% -4.63% 2
3 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 13 7.14% 5.34% 3.02% -2.31% T23
4 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 16 5.88% 4.4% 1.31% -3.08% T30
5 ENG Ian Poulter 21 4.55% 3.4% 3.18% -0.22% T8
6 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 22 4.35% 3.25% 1.8% -1.45% 4
7 ENG Ross Fisher 31 3.13% 2.34% 1.35% -0.98% MC
8 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 32 3.03% 2.27% 1.63% -0.63% MC
9 ENG Andy Sullivan 35 2.78% 2.08% 1.16% -0.91% T5
10 FRA Alexander Levy 43 2.27% 1.7% 1.56% -0.13% T65
11 IRL Paul Dunne 43 2.27% 1.7% 0.92% -0.77% T30
12 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 45 2.17% 1.62% 0.72% -0.9% T71
13 SWE Alexander Bjork 48 2.04% 1.53% 1.15% -0.37% MC
14 ENG Lee Westwood 54 1.82% 1.36% 1.37% 0.01% T5 (tied w/3) 6.15 +36.3
15 ENG Matt Wallace 55 1.79% 1.33% 1.25% -0.08% T51 6.04
16 NIR Graeme McDowell 62 1.59% 1.19% 1.12% -0.06% T5 (tied w/3) 5.37 +36
17 ESP Jorge Campillo 63 1.56% 1.17% 1.95% 0.78% T60 5.29
18 ENG Andrew Johnston 64 1.54% 1.15% 0.7% -0.45% T42
19 ESP Adrian Otaegui 65 1.52% 1.13% 1.6% 0.47% T36 5.13
20 RSA Dylan Frittelli 73 1.35% 1.01% 1.62% 0.61% T30 4.57
21 BEL Thomas Pieters 80 1.23% 0.92% 0.65% -0.27% T14
22 FRA Benjamin Hebert 81 1.22% 0.91% 0.81% -0.1% T23 4.13
23 ITA Matteo Manassero 81 1.22% 0.91% 0.63% -0.28% T36
24 ENG Sam Horsfield 82 1.2% 0.9% 0.71% -0.19% MC
25 RSA Dean Burmester 84 1.18% 0.88% 0.92% 0.04% T30 3.98
26 BEL Thomas Detry 86 1.15% 0.86% 0.46% -0.4% T36
27 ENG Chris Wood 87 1.14% 0.85% 0.59% -0.26% T36
28 GER Martin Kaymer 90 1.1% 0.82% 1.11% 0.29% T8 3.72
29 RSA George Coetzee 90 1.1% 0.82% 0.78% -0.04% MC 3.72
30 ENG Chris Paisley 91 1.09% 0.81% 0.86% 0.05% MC 3.68
31 KOR Jeunghun Wang 92 1.08% 0.8% 0.96% 0.16% T80 3.64
32 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 93 1.06% 0.8% 0.76% -0.03% T19 3.6
33 RSA Erik van Rooyen 98 1.01% 0.76% 0.65% -0.11% T42 3.42
34 ENG Eddie Pepperell 99 1% 0.75% 0.64% -0.11% T51
35 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 100 0.99% 0.74% 0.71% -0.03% WD 3.23
36 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 101 0.98% 0.73% 0.89% 0.16% T60 3.32
37 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 101 0.98% 0.73% 0.57% -0.16% 1
38 ITA Nino Bertasio 102 0.97% 0.73% 0.37% -0.35% MC
39 SWE Joakim Lagergren 104 0.95% 0.71% 0.58% -0.13% MC
40 FRA Julien Guerrier 105 0.94% 0.71% 0.46% -0.24% T51
41 ESP Nacho Elvira 109 0.91% 0.68% 0.87% 0.19% T42 3.08
42 FIN Mikko Korhonen 109 0.91% 0.68% 0.79% 0.11% MC 3.08
43 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 109 0.91% 0.68% 0.61% -0.07% T14 3.08
44 ITA Andrea Pavan 111 0.89% 0.67% 0.77% 0.1% MC 3.02
45 ENG Robert Rock 115 0.86% 0.64% 0.86% 0.22% T42 2.92
46 SWE Marcus Kinhult 116 0.85% 0.64% 0.51% -0.13% MC
47 JPN Hideto Tanihara 120 0.83% 0.62% 0.83% 0.22% T80 2.8
48 ENG Jordan L Smith 120 0.83% 0.62% 0.58% -0.04% T8 2.8
49 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 120 0.83% 0.62% 0.49% -0.13% MC
50 ESP Miguel A Jimenez 130 0.76% 0.57% 1.37% 0.8% T14 2.59
51 NZL Ryan Fox 130 0.76% 0.57% 0.74% 0.17% T8 2.59
52 USA David Lipsky 130 0.76% 0.57% 0.74% 0.17% T65 2.59
53 AUT Matthias Schwab 130 0.76% 0.57% 0.48% -0.09% T42 2.59
54 SCO Richie Ramsay 150 0.66% 0.5% 0.56% 0.07% MC
55 THA Thongchai Jaidee 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.67% 0.2% MC
56 FIN Mikko Ilonen 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.65% 0.18% MC
57 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.64% 0.17% T14
58 ENG Matthew Southgate 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.53% 0.07% MC
59 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.49% 0.03% T42
60 RSA Richard Sterne 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.45% -0.02% T65
61 SCO Stephen Gallacher 180 0.55% 0.41% 1.06% 0.65% MC
62 RSA Darren Fichardt 180 0.55% 0.41% 0.6% 0.19% T74
63 ENG Paul Waring 180 0.55% 0.41% 0.57% 0.16% MC
64 FRA Sebastien Gros 180 0.55% 0.41% 0.52% 0.11% MC
65 GER Maximilian Kieffer 190 0.52% 0.39% 0.83% 0.44% MC
66 SCO Marc Warren 190 0.52% 0.39% 0.44% 0.05% MC
67 ENG Aaron Rai 190 0.52% 0.39% 0.33% -0.06% T51
68 DEN Jeff Winther 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.62% 0.25% MC
69 ENG David Horsey 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.53% 0.16% MC
70 ENG Callum Shinkwin 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.43% 0.06% T8
71 RSA Haydn Porteous 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.33% -0.05% T51
72 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 210 0.47% 0.35% 0.56% 0.2% MC
73 RSA Thomas Aiken 210 0.47% 0.35% 0.53% 0.17% T30
74 FRA Romain Wattel 210 0.47% 0.35% 0.38% 0.03% MC
75 MAS Gavin Green 220 0.45% 0.34% 0.45% 0.11% T74
76 ITA Edoardo Molinari 230 0.43% 0.32% 0.63% 0.3% MC
77 IRL Padraig Harrington 230 0.43% 0.32% 0.61% 0.29% T36
78 ESP Alvaro Quiros 230 0.43% 0.32% 0.53% 0.2% MC
79 RSA Brandon Stone 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0% T65
80 FRA Matthieu Pavon 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.28% -0.02% MC
81 AUS Scott Hend 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.57% 0.28% T14
82 WAL Jamie Donaldson 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.52% 0.23% T74
83 FRA Adrien Saddier 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.48% 0.2% T51
84 AUS Jason Scrivener 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.47% 0.2% T21
85 ITA Renato Paratore 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.46% 0.19% MC
86 ENG Oliver Fisher 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.64% 0.37% T21
87 AUS Andrew Dodt 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.57% 0.3% MC
88 CAN Austin Connelly 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.48% 0.21% T51
89 DEN Lasse Jensen 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.42% 0.15% MC
90 AUS Marcus Fraser 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.52% 0.27% MC
91 ENG Danny Willett 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.43% 0.17% T8
92 ENG Chris Hanson 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.21% -0.05% MC
93 FRA Gregory Havret 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.61% 0.36% T78
94 ITA Francesco Laporta 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.55% 0.31% MC
95 SCO Scott Jamieson 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.47% 0.23% 83
96 KOR Soomin Lee 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.45% 0.2% MC
97 CHI Felipe Aguilar 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.45% 0.2% MC
98 ENG Richard Bland 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.44% 0.19% 70
99 GER Marcel Siem 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.41% 0.17% MC
100 ARG Andres Romero 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.41% 0.16% T74
101 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.38% 0.13% MC
102 ENG James Morrison 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.36% 0.11% T23
103 FRA Gregory Bourdy 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.36% 0.11% MC
104 ESP Scott Fernandez 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.36% 0.11% MC
105 WAL Bradley Dredge 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.36% 0.11% T23
106 ENG Ryan Evans 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.35% 0.1% T60
107 SCO David Drysdale 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.32% 0.07% T65
108 SWE Jens Dantorp 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.31% 0.06% T42
109 POR Ricardo Gouveia 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.31% 0.06% MC
110 THA Phachara Khongwatmai 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.3% 0.05% MC
111 ENG Lee Slattery 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.29% 0.05% 3
112 AUS Wade Ormsby 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.27% 0.03% T71
113 ESP Pedro Oriol 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.26% 0.01% MC
114 GER Sebastian Heisele 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.25% 0.01% MC
115 CHI Nicolas Geyger 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.75% 0.56% MC
116 SWE Robert Karlsson 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.62% 0.43% MC
117 FRA Clement Sordet 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.52% 0.34% MC
118 ENG Steven Brown 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.44% 0.25% MC
119 AUS Brett Rumford 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.44% 0.25% T42
120 ENG Matthew Baldwin 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.38% 0.2% MC
121 KOR Jinho Choi 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.34% 0.15% MC
122 SWE Peter Hanson 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.3% 0.11% T80
123 ENG Laurie Canter 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.29% 0.11% T36
124 ENG Ashley Chesters 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.21% 0.03% MC
125 KOR Rakhyun Cho 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.18% 0% MC
126 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.24% MC
127 ESP Pep Angles Ros 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.2% MC
128 ENG Daniel Brooks 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% 73
129 ENG David Howell 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% T42
130 AUS Sam Brazel 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% MC
131 ENG Charlie Ford 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% T23
132 RSA Zander Lombard 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% MC
133 WAL Oliver Farr 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
134 USA Chase Koepka 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% MC
135 SCO Bradley Neil 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.19% 0.04% MC
136 ENG Ross McGowan 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.57% 0.45% T51
137 NZL Josh Geary 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.45% 0.33% T51
138 RSA Trevor Immelman 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.42% 0.29% T60
139 SWE Pontus Widegren 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.21% 0.08% MC
140 ENG Mark Foster 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.37% 0.28% MC
141 AUS Adam Bland 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.36% 0.26% T23
142 USA Daniel Im 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.34% 0.24% T78
143 SCO Connor Syme 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% MC
144 AUS Jason Norris 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.22% 0.13% MC
145 ESP Carlos Pigem 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.18% 0.08% MC
146 ITA Guido Migliozzi 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.46% 0.38% MC
147 ENG James Heath 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.3% 0.23% MC
148 ITA Federico Maccario 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.21% 0.13% MC
149 ITA Enrico Di Nitto 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.14% 0.06% MC
150 CHN Hao Tong Li 0% 0% 0.93% 0% T19
151 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.57% 0% T30
152 CHN Wu Ashun 0% 0% 0.5% 0% T60
153 ITA Jacopo Vecchi Fossa 0% 0% 0.41% 0% MC
154 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.23% 0% MC
155 ITA Luca Cianchetti 0% 0% 0.22% 0% MC
156 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 0% 0% 0.19% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...