Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 24.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 39.5

Total Profit: -60.6

Belgian Knockout

17/05/2018 - 20/05/2018

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NED Joost Luiten 26 3.7% 3.14% 1.84% -1.3% T46
2 BEL Thomas Pieters 27 3.57% 3.03% 1.11% -1.92% T39
3 ESP Adrian Otaegui 28 3.45% 2.93% 1.85% -1.08% 1
4 ESP Jorge Campillo 30 3.23% 2.74% 2.72% -0.02% 5 11.28 +39.5
5 ENG Jordan L Smith 35 2.78% 2.36% 1.02% -1.34% T46
6 BEL Thomas Detry 41 2.38% 2.02% 1.21% -0.81% 33
7 ENG Aaron Rai 43 2.27% 1.93% 1.14% -0.79% T46
8 NZL Ryan Fox 46 2.13% 1.81% 1.32% -0.49% T65
9 ITA Andrea Pavan 48 2.04% 1.73% 1.86% 0.13% MC 7.14
10 RSA Erik van Rooyen 50 1.96% 1.66% 0.91% -0.75% T46
11 AUS Lucas Herbert 56 1.75% 1.49% 2.07% 0.58% T41 6.14
12 ENG Chris Wood 57 1.72% 1.46% 1.22% -0.24% MC
13 FRA Benjamin Hebert 59 1.67% 1.41% 1.08% -0.34% 2
14 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 59 1.67% 1.41% 0.77% -0.64% 7
15 ENG Callum Shinkwin 61 1.61% 1.37% 0.73% -0.64% T65
16 ENG Sam Horsfield 61 1.61% 1.37% 0.7% -0.66% T41
17 SCO Richie Ramsay 64 1.54% 1.31% 0.85% -0.45% T46
18 CAN Austin Connelly 68 1.45% 1.23% 0.59% -0.64% MC
19 SCO Stephen Gallacher 72 1.37% 1.16% 1.57% 0.41% T12 4.79
20 FRA Romain Wattel 72 1.37% 1.16% 0.86% -0.3% T59
21 AUT Matthias Schwab 72 1.37% 1.16% 0.81% -0.35% T28
22 GER Maximilian Kieffer 73 1.35% 1.15% 1.22% 0.08% T28 4.73
23 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 73 1.35% 1.15% 1.13% -0.01% MC 4.73
24 RSA Thomas Aiken 73 1.35% 1.15% 1.08% -0.07% MC
25 RSA Brandon Stone 79 1.25% 1.06% 0.65% -0.41% MC
26 DEN Jeff Winther 80 1.23% 1.05% 0.72% -0.32% T17
27 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 84 1.18% 1% 1.25% 0.25% T26 4.12
28 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 86 1.15% 0.98% 1.57% 0.59% T20 4.02
29 USA David Lipsky 88 1.12% 0.95% 1.04% 0.09% T23 3.93
30 SWE Jens Fahrbring 89 1.11% 0.94% 1.07% 0.13% T59 3.89
31 ZIM Scott Vincent 90 1.1% 0.93% 1.52% 0.59% T59 3.85
32 RSA Haydn Porteous 91 1.09% 0.92% 0.57% -0.35% T39
33 ENG Matthew Southgate 93 1.06% 0.9% 0.52% -0.38% T12
34 FRA Matthieu Pavon 97 1.02% 0.87% 0.93% 0.07% MC 3.57
35 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 99 1% 0.85% 0.67% -0.18% T17
36 WAL Bradley Dredge 99 1% 0.85% 0.63% -0.22% MC
37 ESP Pedro Oriol 100 0.99% 0.84% 0.26% -0.58% T46
38 KOR Jinho Choi 101 0.98% 0.83% 0.63% -0.21% T31
39 MAS Gavin Green 102 0.97% 0.82% 0.67% -0.16% T34
40 AUS Brett Rumford 103 0.96% 0.82% 1.21% 0.39% MC 3.37
41 ENG Tom Lewis 104 0.95% 0.81% 1.19% 0.38% T59 3.33
42 WAL Jamie Donaldson 104 0.95% 0.81% 0.78% -0.03% MC
43 THA Phachara Khongwatmai 104 0.95% 0.81% 0.63% -0.18% MC
44 SCO Marc Warren 105 0.94% 0.8% 1.02% 0.22% MC 3.3
45 RSA Trevor Fisher Jr 107 0.93% 0.79% 0.57% -0.22% MC
46 ENG Marcus Armitage 107 0.93% 0.79% 0.35% -0.43% MC
47 ITA Francesco Laporta 108 0.92% 0.78% 0.67% -0.11% MC
48 ENG Steven Brown 109 0.91% 0.77% 0.7% -0.07% MC
49 ENG Chris Hanson 109 0.91% 0.77% 0.69% -0.08% MC
50 FRA Sebastien Gros 109 0.91% 0.77% 0.57% -0.2% MC
51 POR Ricardo Gouveia 111 0.89% 0.76% 0.54% -0.22% MC
52 AUS Marcus Fraser 112 0.88% 0.75% 0.93% 0.18% T34 3.1
53 ENG Ryan Evans 115 0.86% 0.73% 0.69% -0.04% T59
54 ENG Oliver Fisher 115 0.86% 0.73% 0.56% -0.17% T10
55 GER Marcel Siem 116 0.85% 0.73% 0.8% 0.07% MC 2.99
56 KOR Soomin Lee 120 0.83% 0.7% 0.83% 0.13% MC 2.89
57 AUS Andrew Dodt 120 0.83% 0.7% 0.81% 0.11% MC 2.89
58 DEN Anders Hansen 120 0.83% 0.7% 0.65% -0.05% T46
59 AUS Nick Cullen 120 0.83% 0.7% 0.59% -0.11% T34
60 ESP Pep Angles Ros 120 0.83% 0.7% 0.56% -0.14% MC
61 GER Sebastian Heisele 130 0.76% 0.65% 0.93% 0.28% MC 2.67
62 FRA Gregory Havret 130 0.76% 0.65% 0.85% 0.2% 38 2.67
63 FIN Kim Koivu 130 0.76% 0.65% 0.83% 0.18% MC 2.67
64 FRA Romain Langasque 130 0.76% 0.65% 0.82% 0.17% MC 2.67
65 ENG Ashley Chesters 130 0.76% 0.65% 0.68% 0.03% MC 2.67
66 SWE Peter Hanson 130 0.76% 0.65% 0.64% -0.01% MC 2.67
67 FRA Clement Sordet 130 0.76% 0.65% 0.59% -0.06% MC
68 THA Jazz Janewattananond 130 0.76% 0.65% 0.55% -0.09% 37
69 ENG Laurie Canter 130 0.76% 0.65% 0.5% -0.15% T31
70 SWE Jens Dantorp 130 0.76% 0.65% 0.48% -0.17% T46
71 FRA Victor Perez 130 0.76% 0.65% 0.48% -0.17% 6
72 CHI Felipe Aguilar 150 0.66% 0.56% 0.79% 0.23% T59
73 RSA Justin Walters 150 0.66% 0.56% 0.55% -0.02% 22
74 GER Florian Fritsch 150 0.66% 0.56% 0.47% -0.1% MC
75 DEN Lasse Jensen 160 0.62% 0.53% 0.67% 0.14% MC
76 RSA Zander Lombard 160 0.62% 0.53% 0.58% 0.05% MC
77 USA Chase Koepka 160 0.62% 0.53% 0.57% 0.04% MC
78 ENG James Morrison 160 0.62% 0.53% 0.54% 0.02% T46
79 NED Daan Huizing 160 0.62% 0.53% 0.46% -0.07% MC
80 CHI Nicolas Geyger 180 0.55% 0.47% 0.98% 0.51% T20
81 FRA Gary Stal 180 0.55% 0.47% 0.71% 0.24% MC
82 CHI Mark Tullo 180 0.55% 0.47% 0.55% 0.08% MC
83 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 180 0.55% 0.47% 0.51% 0.04% MC
84 ESP Scott Fernandez 180 0.55% 0.47% 0.28% -0.19% T26
85 FRA Adrien Saddier 190 0.52% 0.44% 0.74% 0.3% MC
86 ENG Matthew Nixon 190 0.52% 0.44% 0.62% 0.18% MC
87 ENG Matthew Baldwin 190 0.52% 0.44% 0.6% 0.16% 9
88 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 190 0.52% 0.44% 0.43% -0.02% T46
89 GER Bernd Ritthammer 190 0.52% 0.44% 0.3% -0.14% MC
90 SWE Robert Karlsson 200 0.5% 0.42% 0.83% 0.41% T15
91 FRA Julien Quesne 200 0.5% 0.42% 0.63% 0.2% MC
92 SCO David Drysdale 200 0.5% 0.42% 0.49% 0.07% 3
93 ENG Daniel Brooks 200 0.5% 0.42% 0.46% 0.04% MC
94 FRA Joel Stalter 200 0.5% 0.42% 0.4% -0.02% MC
95 SCO Connor Syme 200 0.5% 0.42% 0.35% -0.07% MC
96 ENG Ross McGowan 210 0.47% 0.4% 0.9% 0.5% MC
97 ARG Estanislao Goya 210 0.47% 0.4% 0.59% 0.19% T46
98 ENG Richard McEvoy 210 0.47% 0.4% 0.59% 0.18% T15
99 ENG Tom Murray 210 0.47% 0.4% 0.4% 0% MC
100 USA Daniel Im 210 0.47% 0.4% 0.37% -0.03% MC
101 ENG Nathan Kimsey 210 0.47% 0.4% 0.34% -0.06% T41
102 ENG Richard Bland 220 0.45% 0.38% 0.68% 0.3% MC
103 FRA Thomas Linard 220 0.45% 0.38% 0.51% 0.12% T23
104 AUS Jordan Zunic 220 0.45% 0.38% 0.49% 0.11% T65
105 KOR Rakhyun Cho 220 0.45% 0.38% 0.35% -0.03% T41
106 ENG Charlie Ford 230 0.43% 0.37% 0.45% 0.09% MC
107 FIN Oliver Lindell 230 0.43% 0.37% 0.38% 0.01% MC
108 WAL Oliver Farr 250 0.4% 0.34% 2.16% 1.82% 25
109 AUS Jason Norris 250 0.4% 0.34% 0.3% -0.04% MC
110 NED Reinier Saxton 260 0.38% 0.33% 0.43% 0.11% MC
111 ENG Ben Evans 270 0.37% 0.31% 0.79% 0.47% MC
112 AUS Adam Bland 270 0.37% 0.31% 0.66% 0.35% T28
113 FRA Mathieu Decottignies Lafon 280 0.36% 0.3% 0.76% 0.46% MC
114 ENG Mark Foster 280 0.36% 0.3% 0.64% 0.34% MC
115 SWE Pontus Widegren 280 0.36% 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% MC
116 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 280 0.36% 0.3% 0.44% 0.13% MC
117 SWE Johan Carlsson 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.63% 0.35% MC
118 NZL Josh Geary 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.56% 0.28% T10
119 ENG James Heath 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.49% 0.21% 4
120 GER Marcel Schneider 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.34% 0.05% T46
121 BEL Christopher Mivis 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.33% 0.05% T41
122 ISL Birgir Hafthorsson 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.29% 0.01% MC
123 SCO Bradley Neil 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.28% 0% MC
124 BEL Hugues Joannes 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.2% -0.09% MC
125 NED Maarten Lafeber 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.46% 0.25% MC
126 ENG Jonathan Thomson 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.34% 0.13% MC
127 NOR Jarand Ekeland Arnoy 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.18% -0.03% MC
128 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 0% 0% 1.8% 0% 8
129 CHN Wu Ashun 0% 0% 0.97% 0% MC
130 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.53% 0% MC
131 AUS Dimi Papadatos 0% 0% 0.42% 0% T17
132 AUS Jack Munro 0% 0% 0.39% 0% MC
133 BEL Kevin Hesbois 0% 0% 0.22% 0% MC
134 BEL Lars Buijs 0% 0% 0.19% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...