Betting Market Analysis for John Deere Classic

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: yesterday | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 21/1 3.13% -1.47%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 37/1 1.71% -0.94%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 41/1 1.62% -0.76%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 41/1 1.52% -0.86%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 41/1 1.49% -0.89%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 41/1 1.16% -1.22%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 44/1 0.13% -2.1%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 1.77% -0.26%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 1.38% -0.65%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 1.21% -0.82%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 0.87% -1.16%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 0.68% -1.35%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 51/1 1.86% -0.05%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 51/1 0.75% -1.17%
15 KOR Sungjae Im 40 (PricedUp: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.68% ≈ 58/1 2.33% 0.65%
16 USA Michael Kim 40 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.68% ≈ 58/1 1.62% -0.06%
17 USA Chris Kirk 40 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.68% ≈ 58/1 1.39% -0.29%
18 COL Nicolas Echavarria 45 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.5% ≈ 66/1 1.67% 0.17%
19 GER Stephan Jaeger 50 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.35% ≈ 73/1 1.62% 0.27%
20 AUS Aldrich Potgieter 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.35% ≈ 73/1 1.45% 0.09%
21 USA Alex Smalley 50 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.35% ≈ 73/1 0.9% -0.45%
22 USA Kevin Roy 50 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.35% ≈ 73/1 0.69% -0.66%
23 USA Samuel Stevens 55 (PricedUp: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.23% ≈ 80/1 1.47% 0.24%
24 USA Jacob Bridgeman 55 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.23% ≈ 80/1 1.41% 0.17%
25 RSA Thriston Lawrence 55 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.23% ≈ 80/1 1.28% 0.05%
26 USA Mark Hubbard 55 (PricedUp: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.23% ≈ 80/1 0.92% -0.31%
27 USA Lee Hodges 55 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.23% ≈ 80/1 0.9% -0.33%
28 ARG Emiliano Grillo 55 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.23% ≈ 80/1 0.74% -0.49%
29 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 60 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.13% ≈ 87/1 1.45% 0.31%
30 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 60 (PricedUp: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.13% ≈ 87/1 1.17% 0.03%
31 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 60 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.13% ≈ 87/1 1.14% 0.01%
32 USA Keith Mitchell 60 (PricedUp: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.13% ≈ 87/1 1.09% -0.04%
33 USA Andrew Putnam 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.13% ≈ 87/1 0.84% -0.29%
34 USA Vincent Whaley 60 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.13% ≈ 87/1 0.82% -0.31%
35 USA Rickie Fowler 60 (PricedUp: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.13% ≈ 87/1 0.81% -0.33%
36 USA Cameron Champ 60 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.13% ≈ 87/1 0.36% -0.78%
37 USA Matt McCarty 66 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.03% ≈ 96/1 1.65% 0.62%
38 USA Kurt Kitayama 66 (PricedUp: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.03% ≈ 96/1 0.79% -0.24%
39 USA Eric Cole 70 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 1.22% 0.25%
40 USA Patrick Rodgers 70 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 1.12% 0.14%
41 FRA Victor Perez 75 (PricedUp: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.91% ≈ 109/1 1.05% 0.14%
42 USA Austin Eckroat 80 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.85% ≈ 116/1 1.31% 0.46%
43 USA Max McGreevy 80 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.85% ≈ 116/1 1.12% 0.27%
44 USA Doug Ghim 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.85% ≈ 116/1 0.87% 0.02%
45 IRL Seamus Power 80 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.85% ≈ 116/1 0.74% -0.11%
46 KOR Woohyun Kim 80 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.85% ≈ 116/1 0.09% -0.76%
47 USA Taylor Moore 90 (PricedUp: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.76% ≈ 131/1 0.98% 0.23%
48 FIN Sami Valimaki 90 (BresBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.76% ≈ 131/1 0.94% 0.18%
49 SWE Jesper Svensson 90 (PricedUp: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.76% ≈ 131/1 0.83% 0.07%
50 USA Sam Ryder 90 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.76% ≈ 131/1 0.63% -0.13%
51 USA Matt Kuchar 100 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% ≈ 145/1 0.65% -0.04%
52 SWE Henrik Norlander 100 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% ≈ 145/1 0.61% -0.07%
53 USA Quade Cummins 100 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% ≈ 145/1 0.49% -0.19%
54 USA Jackson Koivun(Am) 100 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% ≈ 145/1 0% -0.68%
55 USA Davis Riley 110 (BresBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.62% ≈ 160/1 1.54% 0.92%
56 USA Isaiah Salinda 110 (PricedUp: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.62% ≈ 160/1 0.58% -0.04%
57 USA Joe Highsmith 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 182/1 1.42% 0.87%
58 USA Max Homa 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 182/1 0.92% 0.37%
59 USA Patrick Fishburn 125 (PricedUp: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 182/1 0.84% 0.29%
60 USA Chan Kim 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 182/1 0.7% 0.15%
61 USA Chandler Phillips 125 (PricedUp: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 182/1 0.69% 0.14%
62 JPN Takumi Kanaya 125 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 182/1 0.58% 0.04%
63 USA Zach Johnson 125 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 182/1 0.45% -0.1%
64 USA Beau Hossler 150 (PricedUp: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 218/1 0.95% 0.49%
65 Karl Vilips 150 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 218/1 0.72% 0.26%
66 USA Adam Schenk 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 218/1 0.67% 0.21%
67 USA Steven Fisk 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 218/1 0.62% 0.16%
68 USA Jackson Suber 150 (PricedUp: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 218/1 0.58% 0.12%
69 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 150 (PricedUp: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 218/1 0.52% 0.06%
70 USA Luke List 150 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 218/1 0.51% 0.05%
71 USA Ricky Castillo 150 (PricedUp: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 218/1 0.49% 0.03%
72 USA William Mouw 150 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 218/1 0.45% 0%
73 USA Brice Garnett 150 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 218/1 0.44% -0.01%
74 USA Benjamin James 150 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 218/1 0% -0.46%
75 ARG Alejandro Tosti 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 0.71% 0.31%
76 RSA Garrick Higgo 175 (PricedUp: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 0.68% 0.29%
77 USA Joel Dahmen 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 0.64% 0.25%
78 USA Carson Young 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 0.62% 0.23%
79 USA Hayden Springer 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 0.58% 0.19%
80 CAN Adam Svensson 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 0.52% 0.13%
81 USA Chad Ramey 175 (PricedUp: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 0.46% 0.07%
82 USA Trey Mullinax 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 0.24% -0.15%
83 USA Trace Crowe 175 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 0.02% -0.38%
84 CAN Adam Hadwin 200 (QuinnBet: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 290/1 0.84% 0.5%
85 USA Ben Kohles 200 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 290/1 0.53% 0.19%
86 USA Greyson Sigg 200 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 290/1 0.49% 0.14%
87 GER Thomas Rosenmuller 200 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 290/1 0.42% 0.07%
88 USA Joseph Bramlett 200 (PricedUp: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 290/1 0.39% 0.05%
89 USA Lanto Griffin 200 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 290/1 0.37% 0.03%
90 USA William Gordon 200 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 290/1 0.33% -0.01%
91 GER Jeremy Paul 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 363/1 0.45% 0.18%
92 CAN Benjamin Silverman 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 363/1 0.45% 0.17%
93 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 363/1 0.44% 0.17%
94 SCO Martin Laird 250 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 363/1 0.33% 0.05%
95 USA Nick Hardy 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 363/1 0.32% 0.04%
96 USA Noah Goodwin 250 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 363/1 0.3% 0.03%
97 USA Ben Martin 250 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 363/1 0.26% -0.02%
98 USA Justin Lower 275 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.25% ≈ 399/1 0.9% 0.65%
99 USA Harry Higgs 275 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.25% ≈ 399/1 0.72% 0.47%
100 USA Nate Lashley 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 435/1 0.47% 0.24%
101 ENG David Skinns 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 435/1 0.41% 0.18%
102 USA Dylan Wu 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 435/1 0.38% 0.15%
103 USA Zac Blair 300 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 435/1 0.33% 0.1%
104 ENG Danny Willett 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 435/1 0.29% 0.06%
105 USA Chesson Hadley 300 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 435/1 0.21% -0.02%
106 USA Brian Campbell 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 508/1 0.9% 0.71%
107 USA Trevor Cone 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 508/1 0.24% 0.04%
108 USA Patton Kizzire 400 (QuinnBet: 1 @ 1/1) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 580/1 0.63% 0.46%
109 SWE Tim Widing 400 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 580/1 0.39% 0.21%
110 USA John Pak 450 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.22% 0.15% ≈ 652/1 0.36% 0.21%
111 USA Taylor Montgomery 500 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 725/1 0.34% 0.2%
112 USA Matthew NeSmith 500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 725/1 0.34% 0.2%
113 USA Brandt Snedeker 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 725/1 0.32% 0.19%
114 USA Hayden Buckley 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 725/1 0.25% 0.11%
115 USA Michael La Sasso(Am) 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 725/1 0% -0.14%
116 USA Nick Dunlap 600 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 870/1 1.07% 0.96%
117 RSA Dylan Frittelli 600 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 870/1 0.32% 0.2%
118 Gordon Sargent 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 870/1 0.05% -0.07%
119 PUR Rafael Campos 750 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1087/1 0.48% 0.39%
120 USA David Lipsky 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1087/1 0.48% 0.39%
121 USA Paul Peterson 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1087/1 0.41% 0.32%
122 USA Matthew Riedel 750 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1087/1 0.19% 0.09%
123 USA Philip Knowles 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1087/1 0.17% 0.08%
124 USA Aaron Wise 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1087/1 0.05% -0.04%
125 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1087/1 0.05% -0.04%
126 ENG Paul Waring 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1449/1 0.65% 0.58%
127 USA Frankie Capan 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1449/1 0.52% 0.45%
128 USA Peter Malnati 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1449/1 0.51% 0.44%
129 USA Taylor Dickson 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1449/1 0.43% 0.36%
130 COL Camilo Villegas 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1449/1 0.35% 0.28%
131 CHI Cristobal Del Solar 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1449/1 0.34% 0.27%
132 USA Will Chandler 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1449/1 0.3% 0.23%
133 JPN Kaito Onishi 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1449/1 0.26% 0.19%
134 USA Mason Andersen 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1449/1 0.22% 0.15%
135 USA Zack Fischer 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1449/1 0.09% 0.03%
136 USA Bronson Burgoon 1000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1449/1 0.09% 0.02%
137 USA Harrison Endycott 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1449/1 0.07% 0%
138 USA James Hahn 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1449/1 0.06% -0.01%
139 USA Preston Summerhays 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1449/1 0.06% -0.01%
140 USA Anders Albertson 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1449/1 0.05% -0.02%
141 USA Braden Thornberry 1500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2174/1 0.25% 0.2%
142 USA Kevin Kisner 2000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.03% ≈ 2898/1 0.05% 0.02%
143 USA Austin Cook 2500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3622/1 0.14% 0.12%
144 CZE Petr Hruby 2500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3622/1 0.08% 0.05%
145 USA Ryan Palmer 3000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.03% 0.02% ≈ 4347/1 0.1% 0.08%
146 USA Brandon Matthews 4000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 5796/1 0.05% 0.04%
147 USA Kyle Stanley 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.01% ≈ 7245/1 0.05% 0.04%
148 USA Vince Covello 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.01% ≈ 7245/1 0.02% 0%
149 Jay Giannetto 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.01% ≈ 7245/1 0% -0.01%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 27.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.2 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 PricedUp 5 @ 1/4 25.2% 10.4%
2 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 81.6% 20.1%
3 Coral 10 @ 1/5 81.6% 20.1%
4 BoyleSports 10 @ 1/5 89.7% 25.4%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 42.6% 25.7%
6 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 45.4% 28.2%
7 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 71% 30.2%
8 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 71.1% 30.3%
9 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 49.3% 34.2%
10 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 49.3% 34.2%
11 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 52.2% 34.2%
12 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 50.5% 35.2%
13 Paddy Power 6 @ 1/5 50.5% 35.2%
14 Star Sports 6 @ 1/5 51% 35.7%
15 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 52.1% 36.7%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 53.6% 38%
17 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 53.6% 38%
18 Virgin Bet 6 @ 1/5 53.6% 38%
19 VBet 6 @ 1/5 56.4% 40.5%
20 QuinnBet 1 @ 1/1 42.5% 42.5%
21 Betway 6 @ 1/5 59.9% 43.7%