Betting Market Analysis for Alfred Dunhill Championship

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: yesterday | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 13/1 3% -4.06%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 26/1 0% -3.68%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 33/1 3% 0.08%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 33/1 0% -2.92%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 33/1 0% -2.92%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 36/1 1% -1.73%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 39/1 3% 0.51%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 39/1 2% -0.49%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 41/1 3% 0.65%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 41/1 2% -0.35%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 41/1 2% -0.35%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 47/1 2% -0.07%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 53/1 1% -0.84%
14 FRA Julien Guerrier 45 (BOYLE Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.84% ≈ 53/1 1% -0.84%
15 SWE Mikael Lindberg 45 (BOYLE Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.84% ≈ 53/1 1% -0.84%
16 RSA Brandon Stone 50 (BOYLE Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.66% ≈ 59/1 1% -0.66%
17 ITA Francesco Laporta 50 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.66% ≈ 59/1 1% -0.66%
18 RSA JC Ritchie 60 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.39% ≈ 71/1 2% 0.61%
19 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 60 (BOYLE Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.39% ≈ 71/1 2% 0.61%
20 SCO Grant Forrest 60 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.39% ≈ 71/1 2% 0.61%
21 ENG Marcus Armitage 60 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.39% ≈ 71/1 1% -0.39%
22 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 60 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.39% ≈ 71/1 1% -0.39%
23 DEN Jacob Skov Olesen 60 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.39% ≈ 71/1 1% -0.39%
24 Martin Couvra 66 (BetMGM UK: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.26% ≈ 78/1 2% 0.74%
25 ENG Sam Bairstow 66 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.26% ≈ 78/1 1% -0.26%
26 ARG Daniel Vancsik 66 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.26% ≈ 78/1 0% -1.26%
27 FRA Antoine Rozner 70 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 2% 0.81%
28 ENG Todd Clements 70 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 1% -0.19%
29 ESP Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra 70 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 1% -0.19%
30 RSA Zander Lombard 70 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 0% -1.19%
31 ESP Jorge Campillo 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% ≈ 95/1 2% 0.95%
32 RSA Shaun Norris 80 (BetMGM UK: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% ≈ 95/1 2% 0.95%
33 GER Marcel Schneider 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% ≈ 95/1 1% -0.05%
34 SCO Calum Hill 85 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.16% 0.99% ≈ 100/1 1% 0.01%
35 ITA Andrea Pavan 90 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.93% ≈ 106/1 1% 0.07%
36 FRA Romain Langasque 90 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.93% ≈ 106/1 1% 0.07%
37 ENG Brandon Robinson-Thompson 90 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.93% ≈ 106/1 1% 0.07%
38 Kieran Vincent 90 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.93% ≈ 106/1 1% 0.07%
39 ESP Adrian Otaegui 100 (BetGoodwin: 1 @ 1/1) 0.99% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 1% 0.16%
40 ITA Guido Migliozzi 100 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 1% 0.16%
41 RSA Deon Germishuys 100 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 1% 0.16%
42 SCO David Law 110 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.76% ≈ 130/1 1% 0.24%
43 RSA Darren Fichardt 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% ≈ 148/1 1% 0.33%
44 ESP Nacho Elvira 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.67% ≈ 148/1 1% 0.33%
45 DEN Jeff Winther 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% ≈ 148/1 1% 0.33%
46 RSA Pieter Moolman 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.67% ≈ 148/1 1% 0.33%
47 JPN Yuto Katsuragawa 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% ≈ 148/1 1% 0.33%
48 CAN Aaron Cockerill 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.67% ≈ 148/1 1% 0.33%
49 RSA Wilco Nienaber 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% ≈ 148/1 1% 0.33%
50 ENG Robin Williams 125 (10bet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% ≈ 148/1 1% 0.33%
51 ENG Nathan Kimsey 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.67% ≈ 148/1 0% -0.67%
52 Daniel Bennett 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.67% ≈ 148/1 0% -0.67%
53 FRA David Ravetto 140 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.71% 0.6% ≈ 165/1 1% 0.4%
54 GER Marcel Siem 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.56% ≈ 177/1 1% 0.44%
55 SWE Marcus Kinhult 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.56% ≈ 177/1 1% 0.44%
56 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.56% ≈ 177/1 1% 0.44%
57 SCO Daniel Young 150 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.56% ≈ 177/1 1% 0.44%
58 ENG Ben Schmidt 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% ≈ 177/1 1% 0.44%
59 ESP Rocco Paolo Repetto Taylor 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.56% ≈ 177/1 1% 0.44%
60 MEX Luis Carrera 150 (BOYLE Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% ≈ 177/1 0% -0.56%
61 RSA Michael Hollick 160 (BetMGM UK: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.53% ≈ 189/1 1% 0.47%
62 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.48% ≈ 207/1 1% 0.52%
63 SCO Scott Jamieson 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.48% ≈ 207/1 1% 0.52%
64 ENG Jack Senior 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.48% ≈ 207/1 1% 0.52%
65 NED Darius Van Driel 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.48% ≈ 207/1 1% 0.52%
66 SUI Joel Girrbach 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.48% ≈ 207/1 1% 0.52%
67 Jonothan Broomhead 175 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.48% ≈ 207/1 1% 0.52%
68 RSA Jaco Ahlers 175 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.48% ≈ 207/1 0% -0.48%
69 SWE Niklas Lemke 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% ≈ 236/1 1% 0.58%
70 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% ≈ 236/1 1% 0.58%
71 ESP Manuel Elvira 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% ≈ 236/1 1% 0.58%
72 RSA Dylan Frittelli 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% ≈ 236/1 0% -0.42%
73 RSA Christiaan Burke 225 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.37% ≈ 266/1 0% -0.37%
74 SWE Jens Dantorp 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% ≈ 295/1 1% 0.66%
75 KOR Junghwan Lee 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% ≈ 295/1 1% 0.66%
76 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% ≈ 295/1 1% 0.66%
77 FRA Felix Mory 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% ≈ 295/1 1% 0.66%
78 RSA George Coetzee 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% ≈ 295/1 0% -0.34%
79 RSA Jovan Rebula 250 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% ≈ 295/1 0% -0.34%
80 SWE Albin Bergstrom 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% ≈ 295/1 0% -0.34%
81 RSA Ryan Van Velzen 275 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.31% ≈ 325/1 0% -0.31%
82 RSA Martin Vorster 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% ≈ 354/1 0% -0.28%
83 ENG James Morrison 350 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 1% 0.76%
84 SCO Euan Walker 350 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 1% 0.76%
85 RSA Dylan Naidoo 350 (BetMGM UK: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 1% 0.76%
86 RSA Oliver Bekker 350 (BetMGM UK: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 0% -0.24%
87 RSA Louis Albertse 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 0% -0.24%
88 RSA Yurav Premlall 350 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 0% -0.24%
89 SWE Tobias Jonsson 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% ≈ 472/1 1% 0.79%
90 SWE Hugo Townsend 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% ≈ 472/1 1% 0.79%
91 USA Ryggs Johnston 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% ≈ 472/1 1% 0.79%
92 ENG Ross Fisher 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% ≈ 472/1 0% -0.21%
93 ZIM Benjamin Follett-Smith 400 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% ≈ 472/1 0% -0.21%
94 RSA Charl Barnard(Am) 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% ≈ 472/1 0% -0.21%
95 RSA Louis de Jager 450 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.22% 0.19% ≈ 531/1 0% -0.19%
96 AUS Austin Bautista 500 (BetMGM UK: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 590/1 1% 0.83%
97 Joshua Berry 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 590/1 1% 0.83%
98 RSA Jacques Blaauw 500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 590/1 0% -0.17%
99 RSA Haydn Porteous 500 (BetMGM UK: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 590/1 0% -0.17%
100 SWE Bjorn Akesson 500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 590/1 0% -0.17%
101 RSA Luke Brown 500 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 590/1 0% -0.17%
102 WAL Rhys Enoch 550 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.18% 0.15% ≈ 649/1 0% -0.15%
103 Quim Vidal 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% ≈ 708/1 1% 0.86%
104 RSA Lyle Rowe 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% ≈ 708/1 0% -0.14%
105 RSA Keenan Davidse 600 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% ≈ 708/1 0% -0.14%
106 RSA Kyle Barker 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% ≈ 708/1 0% -0.14%
107 RSA Samuel Simpson 600 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% ≈ 708/1 0% -0.14%
108 RSA Nikhil Rama 600 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% ≈ 708/1 0% -0.14%
109 RSA Altin van der Merwe(Am) 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% ≈ 708/1 0% -0.14%
110 RSA Herman Loubser 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 885/1 0% -0.11%
111 RSA Luke Jerling 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 885/1 0% -0.11%
112 RSA Jordan Burnand(Am) 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 885/1 0% -0.11%
113 Stuart Krog 800 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% ≈ 944/1 0% -0.11%
114 RSA Jean Hugo 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1180/1 0% -0.08%
115 RSA MJ Viljoen 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1180/1 0% -0.08%
116 RSA Ruan Korb 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1180/1 0% -0.08%
117 RSA Malcolm Mitchell 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1180/1 0% -0.08%
118 RSA JJ Senekal 1250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% ≈ 1475/1 0% -0.07%
119 RSA Ockie Strydom 1250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% ≈ 1475/1 0% -0.07%
120 RSA Rupert Kaminski 1250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% ≈ 1475/1 0% -0.07%
121 GER Nick Bachem 1250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% ≈ 1475/1 0% -0.07%
122 SWE Adam Blomme 1250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% ≈ 1475/1 0% -0.07%
123 RSA Warwick Purchase 1250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% ≈ 1475/1 0% -0.07%
124 RSA Ricky Hendler 1250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% ≈ 1475/1 0% -0.07%
125 RSA Neil Schietekat 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% ≈ 1771/1 0% -0.06%
126 RSA Heinrich Bruiners 2000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2361/1 0% -0.04%
127 RSA Dylan Mostert 2000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2361/1 0% -0.04%
128 POR Stephen Ferreira 2000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2361/1 0% -0.04%
129 ZIM Robson Chinhoi 2000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2361/1 0% -0.04%
130 RSA Bryan NEWMAN (AM) 2000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2361/1 0% -0.04%
131 ENG Jake Bolton 4000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 4721/1 0% -0.02%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 9.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -2.7 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 24.1% 11.4%
2 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 24.1% 11.4%
3 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 27.3% 12.1%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 30.4% 14.9%
5 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 75% 15.7%
6 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 32.9% 17.1%
7 Skybet 5 @ 1/4 34.3% 18.3%
8 Paddy Power 5 @ 1/4 34.3% 18.3%
9 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 34.5% 18.5%
10 Coral 5 @ 1/4 34.5% 18.5%
11 William Hill 5 @ 1/4 40.3% 23.6%
12 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 40.4% 23.7%
13 Star Sports 6 @ 1/5 39.2% 24.9%
14 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 40.2% 25.8%
15 Virgin Bet 6 @ 1/5 40.2% 25.8%
16 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 41.2% 26.7%
17 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 42.5% 27.9%
18 Betway 6 @ 1/5 42.7% 28%
19 Unibet 1 @ 1/1 35.9% 35.9%
20 BetGoodwin 1 @ 1/1 63% 63%
21 BetTom 1 @ 1/1 63% 63%