Betting Market Analysis for BMW PGA Championship
Key
Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).
Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.
Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.
Forecast Table
Up to date as of: 8 hours ago
| OddsChecker
Subscribe from just £1 to see the full table and start making better bets today!
Click here
| # | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Discrep. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 9/1 | 6.51% | -3.75% | |
| 2 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 13/1 | 3.53% | -3.65% | |
| 3 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 17/1 | 2.29% | -3.23% | |
| 4 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 20/1 | 2.71% | -2.08% | |
| 5 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 25/1 | 2.71% | -1.07% | |
| 6 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 28/1 | 2.51% | -0.91% | |
| 7 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 31/1 | 3.15% | 0.03% | |
| 8 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 35/1 | 2.44% | -0.32% | |
| 9 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 35/1 | 1.53% | -1.23% | |
| 10 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 39/1 | 1.81% | -0.66% | |
| 11 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 42/1 | 2.31% | -0.01% | |
| 12 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 46/1 | 1.42% | -0.69% | |
| 13 |
| Siwoo Kim | 35 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.78% | 2% ≈ 49/1 | 1.79% | -0.2% | |
| 14 |
| Sepp Straka | 40 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) | 2.44% | 1.75% ≈ 56/1 | 2.39% | 0.64% | |
| 15 |
| Matteo Manassero | 40 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 1.75% ≈ 56/1 | 1.02% | -0.74% | |
| 16 |
| Justin Rose | 45 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) | 2.17% | 1.56% ≈ 63/1 | 1.91% | 0.35% | |
| 17 |
| Victor Perez | 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 2.17% | 1.56% ≈ 63/1 | 1.41% | -0.15% | |
| 18 |
| Thriston Lawrence | 50 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.41% ≈ 70/1 | 1.6% | 0.2% | |
| 19 |
| Thomas Detry | 55 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.79% | 1.28% ≈ 77/1 | 1.7% | 0.42% | |
| 20 |
| Laurie Canter | 55 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.79% | 1.28% ≈ 77/1 | 0.72% | -0.56% | |
| 21 |
| Tom McKibbin | 60 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) | 1.64% | 1.18% ≈ 84/1 | 0.92% | -0.26% | |
| 22 |
| Matthieu Pavon | 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.07% ≈ 92/1 | 2.52% | 1.45% | |
| 23 |
| Jordan L Smith | 66 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.07% ≈ 92/1 | 1.03% | -0.04% | |
| 24 |
| Sebastian Soderberg | 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.07% ≈ 92/1 | 1.01% | -0.06% | |
| 25 |
| Niklas Norgaard Moller | 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.07% ≈ 92/1 | 0.92% | -0.15% | |
| 26 |
| Alex Fitzpatrick | 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.07% ≈ 92/1 | 0.75% | -0.32% | |
| 27 |
| Bernd Wiesberger | 66 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.07% ≈ 92/1 | 0.47% | -0.6% | |
| 28 |
| Nicolai Hojgaard | 70 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.41% | 1.01% ≈ 98/1 | 1.8% | 0.79% | |
| 29 |
| Ryan Fox | 70 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.41% | 1.01% ≈ 98/1 | 1.38% | 0.37% | |
| 30 |
| Thorbjorn Olesen | 90 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.79% ≈ 126/1 | 1.17% | 0.38% | |
| 31 |
| Guido Migliozzi | 90 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.79% ≈ 126/1 | 0.86% | 0.07% | |
| 32 |
| Connor Syme | 90 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.79% ≈ 126/1 | 0.68% | -0.11% | |
| 33 |
| Romain Langasque | 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.71% ≈ 140/1 | 1.19% | 0.47% | |
| 34 |
| Jesper Svensson | 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.71% ≈ 140/1 | 1.06% | 0.35% | |
| 35 |
| Mark Hubbard | 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.71% ≈ 140/1 | 1.05% | 0.34% | |
| 36 |
| Harry Hall | 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.71% ≈ 140/1 | 0.94% | 0.23% | |
| 37 |
| Ewen Ferguson | 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.71% ≈ 140/1 | 0.93% | 0.22% | |
| 38 |
| Jorge Campillo | 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.71% ≈ 140/1 | 0.87% | 0.16% | |
| 39 |
| Frederic LaCroix | 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.71% ≈ 140/1 | 0.78% | 0.07% | |
| 40 |
| Alexander Bjork | 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.71% ≈ 140/1 | 0.72% | 0.01% | |
| 41 |
| Joost Luiten | 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.71% ≈ 140/1 | 0.64% | -0.07% | |
| 42 |
| Shubhankar Sharma | 110 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.9% | 0.65% ≈ 154/1 | 0.65% | 0% | |
| 43 |
| Sami Valimaki | 125 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.57% ≈ 174/1 | 0.92% | 0.35% | |
| 44 |
| Rikuya Hoshino | 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.57% ≈ 174/1 | 0.89% | 0.32% | |
| 45 |
| Daniel A Brown | 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.57% ≈ 174/1 | 0.69% | 0.12% | |
| 46 |
| Richard Mansell | 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.57% ≈ 174/1 | 0.6% | 0.03% | |
| 47 |
| Ryo Hisatsune | 150 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.48% ≈ 209/1 | 1.17% | 0.7% | |
| 48 |
| Matthew Jordan | 150 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.48% ≈ 209/1 | 0.7% | 0.22% | |
| 49 |
| Adrian Otaegui | 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.48% ≈ 209/1 | 0.68% | 0.21% | |
| 50 |
| Julien Guerrier | 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.48% ≈ 209/1 | 0.55% | 0.07% | |
| 51 |
| Andy Sullivan | 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.48% ≈ 209/1 | 0.52% | 0.05% | |
| 52 |
| Paul Waring | 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.48% ≈ 209/1 | 0.47% | -0.01% | |
| 53 |
| Gavin Green | 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.48% ≈ 209/1 | 0.42% | -0.06% | |
| 54 |
| Yannik Paul | 175 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.41% ≈ 244/1 | 0.6% | 0.19% | |
| 55 |
| Antoine Rozner | 175 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.41% ≈ 244/1 | 0.58% | 0.18% | |
| 56 |
| Johannes Veerman | 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.41% ≈ 244/1 | 0.45% | 0.05% | |
| 57 |
| Marcel Siem | 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.36% ≈ 279/1 | 0.74% | 0.38% | |
| 58 |
| Calum Hill | 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.36% ≈ 279/1 | 0.55% | 0.19% | |
| 59 |
| Sam Bairstow | 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.36% ≈ 279/1 | 0.46% | 0.11% | |
| 60 |
| Andrea Pavan | 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.36% ≈ 279/1 | 0.45% | 0.09% | |
| 61 |
| Adrien Saddier | 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.36% ≈ 279/1 | 0.43% | 0.07% | |
| 62 |
| Richie Ramsay | 200 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.36% ≈ 279/1 | 0.42% | 0.06% | |
| 63 |
| Grant Forrest | 225 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.44% | 0.32% ≈ 314/1 | 0.54% | 0.23% | |
| 64 |
| Sean Crocker | 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.29% ≈ 348/1 | 0.45% | 0.17% | |
| 65 |
| Aaron Cockerill | 275 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.36% | 0.26% ≈ 383/1 | 0.44% | 0.18% | |
| 66 |
| Peter Malnati | 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 418/1 | 1.13% | 0.89% | |
| 67 |
| Pablo Larrazabal | 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 418/1 | 0.48% | 0.24% | |
| 68 |
| Alejandro Del Rey | 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 418/1 | 0.41% | 0.17% | |
| 69 |
| Maximilian Kieffer | 300 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 418/1 | 0.38% | 0.14% | |
| 70 |
| Scott Jamieson | 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 418/1 | 0.36% | 0.12% | |
| 71 |
| Jason Scrivener | 300 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 418/1 | 0.33% | 0.09% | |
| 72 |
| Fabrizio Zanotti | 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 418/1 | 0.26% | 0.02% | |
| 73 |
| Jeff Winther | 325 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.31% | 0.22% ≈ 453/1 | 0.44% | 0.22% | |
| 74 |
| Marcus Kinhult | 325 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.31% | 0.22% ≈ 453/1 | 0.32% | 0.1% | |
| 75 |
| Francesco Molinari | 325 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.31% | 0.22% ≈ 453/1 | 0.21% | -0.01% | |
| 76 |
| Daniel Hillier | 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.2% ≈ 488/1 | 0.56% | 0.35% | |
| 77 |
| Todd Clements | 350 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.2% ≈ 488/1 | 0.39% | 0.19% | |
| 78 |
| Callum Shinkwin | 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.2% ≈ 488/1 | 0.28% | 0.07% | |
| 79 |
| Ross Fisher | 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.2% ≈ 488/1 | 0.25% | 0.05% | |
| 80 |
| Vincent Norrman | 375 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.27% | 0.19% ≈ 523/1 | 0.65% | 0.46% | |
| 81 |
| Dan Bradbury | 375 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.27% | 0.19% ≈ 523/1 | 0.36% | 0.17% | |
| 82 |
| Edoardo Molinari | 375 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.27% | 0.19% ≈ 523/1 | 0.21% | 0.02% | |
| 83 |
| Yuto Katsuragawa | 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 557/1 | 0.53% | 0.36% | |
| 84 |
| Louis de Jager | 400 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 557/1 | 0.27% | 0.09% | |
| 85 |
| Rafael Cabrera Bello | 400 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 557/1 | 0.22% | 0.04% | |
| 86 |
| Matthew Baldwin | 475 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.21% | 0.15% ≈ 662/1 | 0.32% | 0.17% | |
| 87 |
| Padraig Harrington | 475 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.21% | 0.15% ≈ 662/1 | 0.25% | 0.1% | |
| 88 |
| David Ravetto | 500 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 697/1 | 0.71% | 0.56% | |
| 89 |
| Ugo Coussaud | 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 697/1 | 0.44% | 0.3% | |
| 90 |
| Darius Van Driel | 500 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 697/1 | 0.42% | 0.27% | |
| 91 |
| Jayden Trey Schaper | 500 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 697/1 | 0.33% | 0.19% | |
| 92 |
| Angel Hidalgo Portillo | 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 697/1 | 0.28% | 0.14% | |
| 93 |
| Lukas Nemecz | 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 697/1 | 0.26% | 0.12% | |
| 94 |
| Adria Arnaus | 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 697/1 | 0.25% | 0.11% | |
| 95 |
| Eddie Pepperell | 500 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 697/1 | 0.23% | 0.09% | |
| 96 |
| Danny Willett | 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 697/1 | 0.15% | 0% | |
| 97 |
| Netipong Sritonginn | 500 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 697/1 | 0.06% | -0.08% | |
| 98 |
| Nacho Elvira | 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.17% | 0.12% ≈ 836/1 | 0.73% | 0.61% | |
| 99 |
| Matthew Southgate | 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.17% | 0.12% ≈ 836/1 | 0.42% | 0.3% | |
| 100 |
| Marcus Armitage | 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.17% | 0.12% ≈ 836/1 | 0.33% | 0.21% | |
| 101 |
| James Morrison | 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.17% | 0.12% ≈ 836/1 | 0.26% | 0.14% | |
| 102 |
| David Law | 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.17% | 0.12% ≈ 836/1 | 0.25% | 0.13% | |
| 103 |
| Dylan Frittelli | 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 1045/1 | 0.37% | 0.28% | |
| 104 |
| Jens Dantorp | 750 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 1045/1 | 0.37% | 0.28% | |
| 105 |
| Jeong Weon Ko | 750 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 1045/1 | 0.36% | 0.26% | |
| 106 |
| Marcel Schneider | 750 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 1045/1 | 0.29% | 0.2% | |
| 107 |
| Daan Huizing | 750 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 1045/1 | 0.25% | 0.15% | |
| 108 |
| Oliver Wilson | 750 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 1045/1 | 0.22% | 0.12% | |
| 109 |
| Wu Ashun | 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 1045/1 | 0.18% | 0.08% | |
| 110 |
| Luke Donald | 750 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 1045/1 | 0.17% | 0.07% | |
| 111 |
| Nick Bachem | 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1393/1 | 0.33% | 0.25% | |
| 112 |
| Masahiro Kawamura | 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1393/1 | 0.25% | 0.18% | |
| 113 |
| Hurly Long | 1250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.08% | 0.06% ≈ 1741/1 | 0.28% | 0.22% | |
| 114 |
| Jordan Gumberg | 1250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.08% | 0.06% ≈ 1741/1 | 0.27% | 0.21% | |
| 115 |
| Dale Whitnell | 1250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.08% | 0.06% ≈ 1741/1 | 0.22% | 0.16% | |
| 116 |
| Clement Sordet | 1250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.08% | 0.06% ≈ 1741/1 | 0.14% | 0.09% | |
| 117 |
| Santiago Tarrio | 1250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.08% | 0.06% ≈ 1741/1 | 0.07% | 0.01% | |
| 118 |
| Ockie Strydom | 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.07% | 0.05% ≈ 2089/1 | 0.23% | 0.19% | |
| 119 |
| Simon Forsstrom | 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.07% | 0.05% ≈ 2089/1 | 0.2% | 0.15% | |
| 120 |
| Alexander Knappe | 2000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.05% | 0.04% ≈ 2785/1 | 0.09% | 0.05% | |
| 121 |
| Gunner Wiebe | 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.04% | 0.03% ≈ 3481/1 | 0.16% | 0.13% | |
| 122 |
| Chase Hanna | 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.04% | 0.03% ≈ 3481/1 | 0.12% | 0.09% | |
| 123 |
| Daniel Gavins | 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.02% | 0.01% ≈ 6962/1 | 0.1% | 0.08% | |
| 124 |
| Simon Thornton | 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.02% | 0.01% ≈ 6962/1 | 0.06% | 0.05% | |
Bookie Analysis
Overround of best available: 28.8 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.6 %
Key
Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skybet | 8 @ 1/5 | 53.5% | 17.1% |
| 2 | Ladbrokes | 10 @ 1/5 | 83.2% | 21.8% |
| 3 | Coral | 10 @ 1/5 | 83.2% | 21.8% |
| 4 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 41.8% | 25.1% |
| 5 | Star Sports | 8 @ 1/5 | 64.2% | 25.4% |
| 6 | Paddy Power | 8 @ 1/5 | 67.6% | 27.9% |
| 7 | Betfair Sportsbook | 8 @ 1/5 | 67.8% | 28.1% |
| 8 | LiveScore Bet | 7 @ 1/5 | 58.3% | 30.7% |
| 9 | William Hill | 8 @ 1/5 | 71.8% | 31.1% |
| 10 | Betfred | 5 @ 1/4 | 49.1% | 31.5% |
| 11 | Betway | 7 @ 1/5 | 61.7% | 33.4% |
| 12 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 48.5% | 33.4% |
| 13 | Sporting Index | 6 @ 1/5 | 48.5% | 33.4% |
| 14 | QuinnBet | 7 @ 1/5 | 62.2% | 33.9% |
| 15 | BetGoodwin | 7 @ 1/5 | 62.2% | 33.9% |
| 16 | Unibet | 7 @ 1/5 | 62.5% | 34.2% |
| 17 | BetUK | 7 @ 1/5 | 62.5% | 34.2% |
| 18 | BetMGM UK | 7 @ 1/5 | 62.5% | 34.2% |
| 19 | AK Bets | 5 @ 1/5 | 37.1% | 35% |
| 20 | BetVictor | 5 @ 1/4 | 56.4% | 38.1% |
| 21 | 10Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 59.8% | 43.5% |