Betting Market Analysis for Hero World Challenge

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 22 hours ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 1/1 26% -14.3%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 15/1 6% -0.24%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 15/1 5% -1.24%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 19/1 6% 0.95%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 21/1 7% 2.39%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 21/1 6% 1.39%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 21/1 5% 0.39%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 24/1 7% 2.92%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 24/1 7% 2.92%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 24/1 4% -0.08%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 26/1 4% 0.34%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 26/1 3% -0.66%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 33/1 4% 1.06%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 47/1 4% 1.92%
15 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 52/1 4% 2.11%
16 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 52/1 3% 1.11%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: -9.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -9.9 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 10Bet 4 @ 1/4 7.5% 1.3%
2 Ladbrokes 4 @ 1/4 7.5% 1.4%
3 Coral 4 @ 1/4 7.5% 1.4%
4 William Hill 4 @ 1/4 7.9% 1.7%
5 888Sport 4 @ 1/4 7.9% 1.7%
6 Skybet 4 @ 1/4 8% 1.7%
7 Paddy Power 4 @ 1/4 8% 1.7%
8 AK Bets 3 @ 1/5 -7.7% 4.1%
9 Unibet 1 @ 1/1 4.6% 4.6%
10 Spreadex 4 @ 1/5 5.8% 7.4%
11 Sporting Index 4 @ 1/5 5.8% 7.4%