Betting Market Analysis for 3M Open

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 18/1 4.05% -1.31%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 18/1 3.09% -2.27%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 25/1 3.29% -0.54%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 28/1 1.72% -1.78%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 31/1 3.05% -0.04%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 31/1 2.6% -0.5%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 31/1 2.46% -0.64%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 31/1 1.12% -1.98%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 35/1 2.4% -0.38%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 38/1 2.25% -0.35%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 41/1 1.03% -1.33%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 44/1 1.35% -0.89%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 50/1 1.09% -0.87%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 62/1 0.87% -0.71%
15 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 66/1 1.24% -0.25%
16 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 72/1 2% 0.64%
17 AUS Jason Day 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.32% ≈ 75/1 1.45% 0.13%
18 ARG Emiliano Grillo 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.2% ≈ 82/1 1.33% 0.13%
19 TPE C.T. Pan 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.2% ≈ 82/1 1.23% 0.03%
20 RSA Dylan Frittelli 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.2% ≈ 82/1 1.1% -0.1%
21 USA Lanto Griffin 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.2% ≈ 82/1 0.99% -0.22%
22 USA Wyndham Clark 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.2% ≈ 82/1 0.89% -0.31%
23 USA Rickie Fowler 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.2% ≈ 82/1 0.74% -0.46%
24 USA Cameron Champ 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.2% ≈ 82/1 0.6% -0.6%
25 USA Tom Hoge 70 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.13% ≈ 87/1 1.91% 0.78%
26 USA Matthew NeSmith 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.13% ≈ 87/1 1.54% 0.41%
27 USA Troy Merritt 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.13% ≈ 87/1 1.31% 0.17%
28 USA Michael Thompson 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.13% ≈ 87/1 0.79% -0.34%
29 USA Brendon Todd 73 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.9/1) 1.35% 1.09% ≈ 91/1 0.97% -0.12%
30 USA John Huh 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% ≈ 100/1 0.87% -0.13%
31 USA Doug Ghim 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.99% ≈ 100/1 0.86% -0.14%
32 USA Austin Smotherman 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% ≈ 100/1 0.79% -0.21%
33 AUT Matthias Schwab 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% ≈ 100/1 0.74% -0.26%
34 USA Beau Hossler 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% ≈ 125/1 1.17% 0.37%
35 GER Stephan Jaeger 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% ≈ 125/1 0.74% -0.06%
36 CAN Michael Gligic 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% ≈ 125/1 0.69% -0.1%
37 USA Greyson Sigg 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% ≈ 125/1 0.6% -0.19%
38 USA Lucas Glover 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% ≈ 125/1 0.5% -0.3%
39 RSA Garrick Higgo 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% ≈ 125/1 0.48% -0.32%
40 USA Ryan Palmer 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.75% ≈ 133/1 0.84% 0.1%
41 USA Patton Kizzire 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% ≈ 156/1 0.98% 0.34%
42 USA Adam Schenk 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.64% ≈ 156/1 0.83% 0.19%
43 USA Justin Lower 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% ≈ 156/1 0.78% 0.14%
44 ENG Callum Tarren 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% ≈ 156/1 0.69% 0.05%
45 NZL Danny Lee 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.64% ≈ 156/1 0.68% 0.04%
46 USA Brice Garnett 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% ≈ 156/1 0.62% -0.02%
47 USA Kramer Hickok 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.64% ≈ 156/1 0.58% -0.05%
48 USA Chesson Hadley 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.64% ≈ 156/1 0.53% -0.11%
49 USA Hank Lebioda 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% ≈ 156/1 0.52% -0.12%
50 USA Hayden Buckley 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.64% ≈ 156/1 0.47% -0.17%
51 USA Stewart Cink 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.63% ≈ 157/1 1.15% 0.52%
52 CAN Nick Taylor 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.59% ≈ 169/1 0.91% 0.32%
53 USA Tyler Duncan 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.59% ≈ 169/1 0.74% 0.16%
54 USA Nate Lashley 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.59% ≈ 169/1 0.69% 0.1%
55 USA Andrew Putnam 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.55% ≈ 182/1 0.63% 0.09%
56 USA Michael Kim 150 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 2.52% 1.98%
57 USA Lee Hodges 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.71% 0.18%
58 USA Kelly Kraft 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.67% 0.14%
59 USA James Hahn 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.63% 0.1%
60 USA Ryan Moore 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.62% 0.09%
61 USA Ryan Armour 150 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.58% 0.05%
62 USA Sam Ryder 150 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.54% 0.01%
63 USA Scott Piercy 150 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.5% -0.03%
64 USA Joseph Bramlett 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.49% -0.04%
65 ENG Danny Willett 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.46% ≈ 218/1 0.87% 0.42%
66 USA Peter Malnati 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.46% ≈ 218/1 0.81% 0.35%
67 USA Andrew Novak 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.46% ≈ 218/1 0.42% -0.04%
68 USA Harry Higgs 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% ≈ 249/1 0.68% 0.28%
69 USA Austin Cook 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% ≈ 249/1 0.61% 0.21%
70 USA Brandon Matthews 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.37% ≈ 267/1 0.37% 0%
71 ENG Matt Wallace 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.33% ≈ 303/1 0.5% 0.17%
72 USA Doc Redman 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 311/1 0.74% 0.42%
73 USA Sean O'Hair 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 311/1 0.51% 0.19%
74 USA Scott Gutschewski 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 311/1 0.5% 0.18%
75 USA Chase Seiffert 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 311/1 0.49% 0.16%
76 USA Dylan Wu 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 311/1 0.42% 0.09%
77 USA Kevin Chappell 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 311/1 0.38% 0.06%
78 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 311/1 0.33% 0.01%
79 USA Vaughn Taylor 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 311/1 0.27% -0.05%
80 USA Bo Hoag 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 311/1 0.22% -0.1%
81 SWE Henrik Norlander 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 311/1 0.18% -0.14%
82 USA Jonathan Byrd 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% ≈ 373/1 0.54% 0.27%
83 USA Brian Stuard 300 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% ≈ 373/1 0.39% 0.12%
84 COL Camilo Villegas 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% ≈ 373/1 0.28% 0.01%
85 USA Ben Kohles 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% ≈ 373/1 0.27% 0.01%
86 USA Chris Stroud 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% ≈ 373/1 0.21% -0.05%
87 AUS Cameron Percy 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% ≈ 373/1 0.18% -0.08%
88 USA Robert Streb 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 377/1 0.49% 0.22%
89 USA Bill Haas 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.25% ≈ 400/1 0.73% 0.48%
90 SWE David Lingmerth 350 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% ≈ 435/1 0.49% 0.26%
91 USA Jason Dufner 350 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% ≈ 435/1 0.25% 0.02%
92 CAN Roger Sloan 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% ≈ 435/1 0.2% -0.03%
93 USA Cole Hammer 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% ≈ 435/1 0.15% -0.08%
94 KOR Seungyul Noh 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 497/1 0.49% 0.29%
95 FRA Paul Barjon 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 497/1 0.29% 0.09%
96 AUS Aaron Baddeley 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 497/1 0.23% 0.03%
97 USA Scott Brown 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 497/1 0.17% -0.03%
98 USA Ben Martin 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 497/1 0.15% -0.05%
99 USA Brandon Hagy 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.2% ≈ 511/1 0.3% 0.1%
100 USA Grayson Murray 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 622/1 0.43% 0.27%
101 USA Seth Reeves 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 622/1 0.36% 0.2%
102 USA Joshua Creel 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 622/1 0.35% 0.19%
103 USA Richy Werenski 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 622/1 0.35% 0.19%
104 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 622/1 0.35% 0.19%
105 AUS Greg Chalmers 500 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 622/1 0.16% 0%
106 USA Kevin Tway 518 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66/1) 0.19% 0.16% ≈ 644/1 0.8% 0.65%
107 KOR Sunghoon Kang 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 746/1 0.28% 0.15%
108 CAN David Hearn 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 746/1 0.16% 0.02%
109 USA Max McGreevy 607 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.1/1) 0.16% 0.13% ≈ 755/1 0.31% 0.18%
110 USA Bo Van Pelt 700 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.14% 0.11% ≈ 870/1 0.53% 0.42%
111 USA Jared Wolfe 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 932/1 0.27% 0.16%
112 USA Tommy Gainey 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 932/1 0.2% 0.09%
113 AUS Mark Hensby 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 932/1 0.17% 0.06%
114 USA Nick Watney 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1217/1 0.53% 0.45%
115 USA Martin Trainer 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1217/1 0.46% 0.38%
116 USA Jim Knous 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1217/1 0.41% 0.32%
117 USA Brian Gay 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1217/1 0.3% 0.22%
118 USA Curtis Thompson 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1217/1 0.3% 0.21%
119 USA Robert Garrigus 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1217/1 0.26% 0.17%
120 USA Ryan Brehm 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1217/1 0.24% 0.16%
121 ENG David Skinns 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1217/1 0.2% 0.12%
122 USA Wesley Bryan 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1217/1 0.19% 0.11%
123 USA Andrew Landry 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1217/1 0.14% 0.06%
124 SWE Jonas Blixt 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1243/1 0.38% 0.3%
125 USA D.J. Trahan 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1243/1 0.23% 0.15%
126 AUS Brett Drewitt 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1243/1 0.2% 0.12%
127 RSA Dawie van der Walt 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1243/1 0.19% 0.11%
128 IND Arjun Atwal 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1243/1 0.18% 0.1%
129 USA Derek Ernst 1000 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1243/1 0.18% 0.1%
130 USA Ben Crane 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1243/1 0.16% 0.08%
131 KOR K.J. Choi 1000 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1243/1 0.16% 0.08%
132 USA George McNeill 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% ≈ 1554/1 0.17% 0.11%
133 USA Ricky Barnes 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% ≈ 1554/1 0.16% 0.09%
134 USA Ted Potter-jr 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1864/1 0.19% 0.14%
135 USA Matt Every 1500 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1864/1 0.17% 0.11%
136 USA John Merrick 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1864/1 0.15% 0.1%
137 USA J.J. Henry 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2486/1 0.17% 0.13%
138 USA D.A. Points 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2486/1 0.16% 0.12%
139 USA Kevin Stadler 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2486/1 0.15% 0.11%
140 USA Jeff Sorenson 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2486/1 0.15% 0.11%
141 ENG Brian Davis 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3107/1 0.15% 0.12%
142 USA Jason Bohn 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
143 USA Jason Gore 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
144 USA Jeff Overton 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
145 USA Cody Gribble 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
146 SWE Daniel Chopra 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
147 USA Rick Lamb 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
148 AUS Daniel Gale 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
149 USA Chris Naegel 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
150 USA Parker McLachlin 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
151 KOR Tom Kim 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
152 USA Ted Purdy 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
153 USA Paul Goydos 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
154 USA Derek Lamely 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
155 USA John Huston 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
156 THA Thaya Limpipolpaibul 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
157 USA Chris Gotterup 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
158 USA Dylan Menante 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
159 USA Andre Metzger 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
160 CAN Mardy Fish 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 15.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.8 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 47% 12.1%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 30.1% 14.8%
3 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 56.7% 19.5%
4 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 58.1% 20.5%
5 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 58.1% 20.5%
6 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 59.8% 21.9%
7 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 41.3% 24.6%
8 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 41.3% 24.6%
9 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 42.1% 25.5%
10 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 42.1% 25.5%
11 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 42.5% 25.8%
12 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 65.2% 26%
13 Coral 8 @ 1/5 65.2% 26%
14 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 42.8% 26%
15 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 93% 27.9%
16 Betway 7 @ 1/5 55.1% 27.9%
17 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 47% 32.2%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 50.8% 35.6%
19 VBet 5 @ 1/4 61.8% 42.8%
20 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 61.5% 45.2%