Betting Market Analysis for The RSM Classic

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: yesterday | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 14/1 3.87% -2.74%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 31/1 2.03% -1.13%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 35/1 1.71% -1.09%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 39/1 2.51% 0%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 39/1 2.06% -0.45%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 1.88% -0.46%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 1.41% -0.94%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 1.22% -1.12%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 0.96% -1.38%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 46/1 1.6% -0.54%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 46/1 1.52% -0.62%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 49/1 1.76% -0.26%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 49/1 1.59% -0.43%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 55/1 2.12% 0.34%
15 USA Lucas Glover 40 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% ≈ 55/1 1.91% 0.14%
16 USA Chris Kirk 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% ≈ 55/1 1.76% -0.02%
17 USA Doug Ghim 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% ≈ 55/1 1.15% -0.62%
18 USA J.J Spaun 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% ≈ 55/1 1.06% -0.71%
19 USA Andrew Novak 40 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% ≈ 55/1 0.99% -0.79%
20 AUT Sepp Straka 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.58% ≈ 62/1 2.19% 0.61%
21 USA Luke Clanton(Am) 45 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.58% ≈ 62/1 0.61% -0.97%
22 USA Patrick Rodgers 55 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.3% ≈ 76/1 1.17% -0.13%
23 USA Justin Lower 55 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.3% ≈ 76/1 1.06% -0.24%
24 USA Matt Kuchar 55 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.3% ≈ 76/1 1.02% -0.28%
25 CAN Adam Svensson 55 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.3% ≈ 76/1 0.98% -0.31%
26 USA Patrick Fishburn 55 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.3% ≈ 76/1 0.92% -0.38%
27 USA Matt McCarty 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 1.91% 0.72%
28 USA Taylor Moore 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 1.37% 0.18%
29 USA Keith Mitchell 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 1.17% -0.02%
30 USA Andrew Putnam 60 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 0.95% -0.24%
31 USA Samuel Stevens 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 0.94% -0.25%
32 USA Michael Kim 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 0.78% -0.41%
33 USA Jacob Bridgeman 60 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 0.67% -0.53%
34 COL Nicolas Echavarria 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% ≈ 91/1 1.18% 0.09%
35 USA Mark Hubbard 70 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.02% ≈ 97/1 1.14% 0.11%
36 USA Joe Highsmith 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.02% ≈ 97/1 0.63% -0.4%
37 USA Daniel Berger 75 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.32% 0.96% ≈ 104/1 0.44% -0.51%
38 USA Chandler Phillips 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% ≈ 110/1 0.78% -0.12%
39 USA Greyson Sigg 80 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% ≈ 110/1 0.68% -0.21%
40 USA Michael Thorbjornsen 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% ≈ 110/1 0.44% -0.46%
41 CAN Adam Hadwin 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% ≈ 124/1 1.56% 0.76%
42 USA Gary Woodland 90 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.8% ≈ 124/1 0.58% -0.22%
43 USA Patton Kizzire 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% ≈ 138/1 1.07% 0.35%
44 USA Carson Young 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% ≈ 138/1 0.88% 0.16%
45 USA Vincent Whaley 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% ≈ 138/1 0.81% 0.09%
46 SWE Henrik Norlander 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% ≈ 138/1 0.61% -0.11%
47 AUS Kevin Yuan 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% ≈ 138/1 0.1% -0.62%
48 USA Brendon Todd 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.66% ≈ 152/1 1.18% 0.53%
49 USA Lee Hodges 110 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.66% ≈ 152/1 1.1% 0.44%
50 USA Webb Simpson 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.66% ≈ 152/1 0.29% -0.37%
51 USA Bud Cauley 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.66% ≈ 152/1 0.29% -0.37%
52 USA Alex Smalley 120 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.83% 0.6% ≈ 165/1 0.73% 0.13%
53 USA Pierceson Coody 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 172/1 0.7% 0.12%
54 USA Nick Hardy 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 172/1 0.52% -0.05%
55 USA Chad Ramey 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 172/1 0.5% -0.08%
56 USA Wesley Bryan 125 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 172/1 0.45% -0.13%
57 USA Luke List 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 207/1 1.06% 0.58%
58 USA Ben Kohles 150 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 207/1 1.01% 0.53%
59 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 207/1 0.85% 0.37%
60 USA Sam Ryder 150 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 207/1 0.68% 0.19%
61 USA Hayden Springer 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 207/1 0.51% 0.03%
62 USA Joseph Bramlett 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 207/1 0.4% -0.09%
63 USA Lanto Griffin 150 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 207/1 0.36% -0.12%
64 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 160 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.45% ≈ 220/1 1.14% 0.69%
65 USA Nate Lashley 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 241/1 0.71% 0.3%
66 KOR Seungyul Noh 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 241/1 0.34% -0.07%
67 USA Zach Johnson 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 241/1 0.31% -0.11%
68 USA Jake Knappe 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 1.14% 0.78%
69 PUR Rafael Campos 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.75% 0.39%
70 USA Dylan Wu 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.58% 0.21%
71 USA Kevin Streelman 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.56% 0.2%
72 USA Joel Dahmen 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.54% 0.18%
73 USA Ryan Moore 200 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.51% 0.14%
74 RSA Garrick Higgo 200 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.44% 0.07%
75 USA Kevin Chappell 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.31% -0.06%
76 USA Adam Schenk 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 344/1 1.17% 0.88%
77 USA Davis Riley 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 344/1 1.08% 0.79%
78 USA Zac Blair 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 344/1 0.76% 0.47%
79 ARG Alejandro Tosti 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 344/1 0.75% 0.46%
80 SCO Martin Laird 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 344/1 0.48% 0.19%
81 USA Brandon Wu 250 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 344/1 0.48% 0.19%
82 USA Kevin Tway 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 344/1 0.48% 0.19%
83 BEL Adrien Dumont de Chassart 250 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 344/1 0.47% 0.18%
84 USA Austin Smotherman 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 344/1 0.38% 0.09%
85 USA Cameron Champ 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 344/1 0.29% 0%
86 USA Stewart Cink 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 344/1 0.26% -0.03%
87 USA Trace Crowe 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 344/1 0.02% -0.27%
88 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 0.7% 0.46%
89 USA Brice Garnett 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 0.53% 0.29%
90 USA Chez Reavie 300 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 0.49% 0.25%
91 USA Tyler Duncan 300 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 0.46% 0.22%
92 USA Norman Xiong 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 0.28% 0.04%
93 ITA Francesco Molinari 300 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 0.22% -0.03%
94 RSA Christo Lamprecht 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 0.08% -0.16%
95 ENG David Skinns 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 482/1 0.58% 0.37%
96 USA Matthew NeSmith 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 482/1 0.54% 0.34%
97 USA Taylor Montgomery 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 482/1 0.52% 0.31%
98 USA Robby Shelton 350 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 482/1 0.47% 0.26%
99 USA Tom Whitney 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 482/1 0.32% 0.11%
100 USA Kelly Kraft 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 482/1 0.25% 0.04%
101 USA William Gordon 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 482/1 0.19% -0.02%
102 USA Trey Mullinax 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 482/1 0.14% -0.07%
103 USA Peter Malnati 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 550/1 1% 0.82%
104 USA Troy Merritt 400 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 550/1 0.4% 0.22%
105 CAN Roger Sloan 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 550/1 0.35% 0.17%
106 USA Kyle Westmoreland 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 550/1 0.28% 0.1%
107 USA Richy Werenski 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 550/1 0.27% 0.09%
108 USA Kevin Kisner 400 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 550/1 0.09% -0.09%
109 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 688/1 0.57% 0.42%
110 USA Paul Peterson 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 688/1 0.49% 0.35%
111 SCO Russell Knox 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 688/1 0.15% 0%
112 USA Robert Streb 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 688/1 0.15% 0%
113 USA Ryan McCormick 600 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 825/1 0.35% 0.23%
114 USA Wilson Furr 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 825/1 0.27% 0.15%
115 ENG Callum Tarren 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 825/1 0.25% 0.13%
116 USA Kevin Dougherty 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 825/1 0.22% 0.1%
117 USA Brandt Snedeker 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 825/1 0.16% 0.04%
118 USA William McGirt 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 825/1 0.1% -0.03%
119 USA Hayden Buckley 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1032/1 0.5% 0.41%
120 RSA MJ Daffue 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1032/1 0.16% 0.06%
121 KOR Sangmoon Bae 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1032/1 0.15% 0.05%
122 AUS Aaron Baddeley 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1376/1 0.35% 0.28%
123 USA Tyson Alexander 1000 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1376/1 0.25% 0.18%
124 ENG Benjamin Taylor 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1376/1 0.23% 0.16%
125 USA Adam Long 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1376/1 0.19% 0.12%
126 USA James Hahn 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1376/1 0.12% 0.05%
127 USA Bill Haas 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1376/1 0.11% 0.04%
128 USA Jonathan Byrd 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1376/1 0.1% 0.03%
129 COL Camilo Villegas 1500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2063/1 0.46% 0.41%
130 FRA Paul Barjon 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2063/1 0.25% 0.2%
131 USA Sean O'Hair 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2063/1 0.14% 0.09%
132 USA Philip Knowles 1500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2063/1 0.12% 0.07%
133 USA Anders Albertson 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2063/1 0.05% 0.01%
134 USA Josh Teater 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2751/1 0.15% 0.12%
135 USA Cody Gribble 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2751/1 0.12% 0.08%
136 USA Blaine Hale, Jr. 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2751/1 0.1% 0.06%
137 USA Tommy Gainey 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3438/1 0.25% 0.22%
138 USA Martin Trainer 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3438/1 0.19% 0.16%
139 USA Austin Cook 2500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3438/1 0.18% 0.15%
140 USA Ryan Brehm 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3438/1 0.12% 0.09%
141 USA Erik Barnes 3000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.03% 0.02% ≈ 4126/1 0.27% 0.25%
142 KOR Sunghoon Kang 3000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.03% 0.02% ≈ 4126/1 0.1% 0.07%
143 NZL Tim Wilkinson 3000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.03% 0.02% ≈ 4126/1 0.02% -0.01%
144 USA Davis Love III 4000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 5501/1 0.01% 0%
145 USA Nick Watney 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.01% ≈ 6876/1 0.08% 0.07%
146 MEX Raul Pereda De La Huerta 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.01% ≈ 6876/1 0.05% 0.04%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 31.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 7.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 55% 18.1%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 55.6% 18.6%
3 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 56% 18.9%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 41.5% 24.8%
5 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 67.3% 27.4%
6 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 68.2% 28.2%
7 Coral 8 @ 1/5 68.2% 28.2%
8 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 44.5% 29.9%
9 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 44.5% 29.9%
10 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 70.9% 30.2%
11 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 72.3% 31.3%
12 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 59.4% 31.4%
13 PricedUp 7 @ 1/5 59.4% 31.4%
14 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 49.9% 32.2%
15 Betway 7 @ 1/5 61.9% 33.5%
16 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 54.9% 36.6%
17 VBet 6 @ 1/5 52.7% 37.3%
18 LiveScore Bet 6 @ 1/5 54.1% 38.4%
19 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 55.2% 39.4%
20 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 55.6% 39.8%
21 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 55.6% 39.8%