Betting Market Analysis for Mauritius Open

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 4 days ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 11/1 3.08% -5.25%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 18/1 1.72% -3.56%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 28/1 2.9% -0.54%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 32/1 2.05% -0.99%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 36/1 1.44% -1.29%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 38/1 1.67% -0.89%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 38/1 0.41% -2.15%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 1.51% -0.82%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 1.51% -0.82%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 1.44% -0.89%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 1.32% -1%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 51/1 1.9% -0.03%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 51/1 1.48% -0.46%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 51/1 1.15% -0.78%
15 Kieran Vincent 45 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.72% ≈ 57/1 0.93% -0.79%
16 ENG Robin Williams 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.55% ≈ 63/1 2.15% 0.6%
17 RSA Yurav Premlall 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.55% ≈ 63/1 0.82% -0.73%
18 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 55 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.41% ≈ 70/1 0.97% -0.45%
19 ENG Daniel A Brown 60 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.3% ≈ 76/1 2.83% 1.53%
20 RSA Christo Lamprecht 60 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.3% ≈ 76/1 0.32% -0.98%
21 SCO Scott Jamieson 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.18% ≈ 84/1 1.25% 0.07%
22 Martin Couvra 66 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.18% ≈ 84/1 0.99% -0.19%
23 ARG Daniel Vancsik 66 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.18% ≈ 84/1 0.2% -0.98%
24 GER Marcel Siem 70 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.11% ≈ 89/1 2.25% 1.13%
25 DEN Hamish Brown 70 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.11% ≈ 89/1 1.55% 0.43%
26 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 70 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.11% ≈ 89/1 1.07% -0.05%
27 CHN Zihao Jin 70 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.11% ≈ 89/1 0.49% -0.62%
28 FRA David Ravetto 80 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% ≈ 101/1 2.44% 1.46%
29 KOR Minkyu Kim 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% ≈ 101/1 1.88% 0.9%
30 RSA Ryan Van Velzen 80 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.98% ≈ 101/1 1.48% 0.5%
31 ENG Brandon Robinson-Thompson 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% ≈ 101/1 1.41% 0.43%
32 SCO David Law 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% ≈ 101/1 1% 0.02%
33 RSA Wilco Nienaber 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% ≈ 101/1 0.96% -0.01%
34 RSA Louis de Jager 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% ≈ 101/1 0.94% -0.03%
35 IRL Conor Purcell 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 1.57% 0.7%
36 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 1.04% 0.17%
37 SWE Niklas Lemke 90 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 0.53% -0.34%
38 SWE Joakim Lagergren 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 127/1 1.36% 0.57%
39 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 127/1 1.06% 0.28%
40 RSA Thomas Aiken 100 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 127/1 0.98% 0.19%
41 Jonothan Broomhead 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 127/1 0.92% 0.14%
42 ENG Ross Fisher 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 127/1 0.89% 0.11%
43 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 127/1 0.85% 0.07%
44 RSA Pieter Moolman 100 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 127/1 0.72% -0.06%
45 RSA Oliver Bekker 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 127/1 0.58% -0.2%
46 ENG Eddie Pepperell 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.71% ≈ 139/1 0.94% 0.22%
47 ENG Jack Senior 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.71% ≈ 139/1 0.92% 0.21%
48 DEN Jacob Skov Olesen 110 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.71% ≈ 139/1 0.31% -0.4%
49 KOR Wooyoung Cho(Am) 125 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% ≈ 158/1 1.07% 0.44%
50 FRA Benjamin Hebert 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% ≈ 158/1 0.92% 0.29%
51 FRA Pierre Pineau 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% ≈ 158/1 0.75% 0.12%
52 FRA Felix Mory 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% ≈ 158/1 0.72% 0.09%
53 RSA Keenan Davidse 125 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% ≈ 158/1 0.66% 0.03%
54 ITA Gregorio De Leo 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% ≈ 158/1 0.6% -0.03%
55 NED Wil Besseling 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% ≈ 158/1 0.57% -0.06%
56 FRA Alexander Levy 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 190/1 1.03% 0.51%
57 ESP Adria Arnaus 150 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 190/1 0.81% 0.29%
58 DEN Nicolai B Kristensen 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 190/1 0.57% 0.04%
59 Bastien Amat 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 190/1 0% -0.52%
60 RSA Deon Germishuys 160 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.49% ≈ 202/1 1.14% 0.65%
61 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 221/1 1.73% 1.28%
62 ESP Albert Boneta 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 221/1 0% -0.45%
63 ZIM Benjamin Follett-Smith 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 253/1 0.73% 0.34%
64 NOR Andreas Halvorsen 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 253/1 0.67% 0.27%
65 RSA Jean Hugo 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 253/1 0.54% 0.14%
66 RSA Dylan Naidoo 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 253/1 0.53% 0.14%
67 ENG Ben Schmidt 200 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 253/1 0.44% 0.05%
68 Tiger Christensen 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 253/1 0% -0.39%
69 ESP Joel Moscatel Nachshon 225 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.35% ≈ 285/1 1.32% 0.97%
70 RSA Justin Walters 225 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.35% ≈ 285/1 0.68% 0.33%
71 SWE Jens Fahrbring 225 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.35% ≈ 285/1 0.66% 0.3%
72 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 225 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.35% ≈ 285/1 0.6% 0.25%
73 KOR Inhoi Hur 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 316/1 1.23% 0.91%
74 SWE Bjorn Akesson 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 316/1 0.94% 0.63%
75 SWE Mikael Lindberg 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 316/1 0.89% 0.58%
76 ENG Sam Hutsby 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 316/1 0.72% 0.4%
77 RSA Lyle Rowe 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 316/1 0.38% 0.06%
78 USA Corey Shaun 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 316/1 0.22% -0.1%
79 FRA Clement Sordet 275 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.38% 0.09%
80 ENG James Morrison 300 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 379/1 0.83% 0.57%
81 RSA Louis Albertse 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 379/1 0.68% 0.42%
82 Alexander George Frances 300 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 379/1 0.45% 0.19%
83 RSA Rupert Kaminski 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 379/1 0.4% 0.14%
84 RSA Malcolm Mitchell 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 379/1 0.36% 0.1%
85 RSA Luke Brown 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 379/1 0.29% 0.03%
86 RSA Martin Vorster 300 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 379/1 0.27% 0.01%
87 ESP Santiago Tarrio 300 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 379/1 0.26% 0%
88 SVK Tadeas Tetak 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 379/1 0.24% -0.02%
89 RSA Richard Sterne 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 379/1 0.23% -0.04%
90 RSA Justin Harding 300 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 379/1 0.21% -0.05%
91 DEN Jonathan Goth-Rasmussen 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 506/1 0.8% 0.6%
92 IRL Gary Hurley 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 506/1 0.38% 0.18%
93 RSA Heinrich Bruiners 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 506/1 0.36% 0.16%
94 RSA Nikhil Rama 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 506/1 0.35% 0.15%
95 FRA Jean Bekirian 400 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 506/1 0.23% 0.03%
96 CZE Filip Mruzek 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 506/1 0.09% -0.11%
97 RSA Jbe Kruger 500 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 632/1 0.81% 0.66%
98 RSA Neil Schietekat 500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 632/1 0.54% 0.38%
99 ITA Renato Paratore 500 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 632/1 0.52% 0.37%
100 RSA Jacques Blaauw 500 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 632/1 0.48% 0.33%
101 AUS Daniel Gale 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 632/1 0.34% 0.18%
102 RSA Kyle Barker 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 632/1 0.34% 0.18%
103 RSA JJ Senekal 500 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 632/1 0.3% 0.14%
104 RSA Jovan Rebula 500 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 632/1 0.23% 0.07%
105 Joshua Berry 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 632/1 0.21% 0.05%
106 RSA Herman Loubser 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 632/1 0.21% 0.05%
107 RSA Trevor Fisher Jr 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 632/1 0.19% 0.03%
108 ENG Jack Hawksby 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 632/1 0.14% -0.02%
109 RSA Kyle De Beer 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 632/1 0% -0.16%
110 RSA Altin van der Merwe(Am) 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 632/1 0% -0.16%
111 RSA Dylan Mostert 600 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 758/1 0.34% 0.21%
112 RSA MJ Viljoen 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 758/1 0.28% 0.15%
113 RSA Hennie O'Kennedy 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 758/1 0.26% 0.13%
114 RSA Anthony Michael 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 758/1 0.22% 0.08%
115 RSA Jacques de Villiers 750 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 948/1 0.33% 0.22%
116 RSA Luke Jerling 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 948/1 0.31% 0.2%
117 RSA Michael Hollick 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 948/1 0.29% 0.18%
118 RSA Wynand Dingle 750 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 948/1 0.25% 0.14%
119 RSA Ricky Hendler 750 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 948/1 0.23% 0.12%
120 Danie Van Niekerk 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 948/1 0.22% 0.12%
121 RSA Ruan Korb 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1264/1 0.23% 0.15%
122 RSA Christiaan Burke 1000 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1264/1 0.23% 0.15%
123 RSA CJ du Plessis 1000 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1264/1 0.22% 0.14%
124 RSA Jean-Paul Strydom 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1264/1 0.21% 0.13%
125 RSA Hennie Otto 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1895/1 0.22% 0.16%
126 ZIM Robson Chinhoi 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1895/1 0% -0.05%
127 RSA Estiaan Conradie 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2527/1 0.29% 0.25%
128 RSA Keith Horne 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2527/1 0.23% 0.19%
129 GRE Peter Karmis 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2527/1 0.2% 0.16%
130 RSA Jake Redman 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3159/1 0.23% 0.2%
131 ZAM Dayne Moore 2500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3159/1 0.11% 0.08%
132 RSA Jason Roets 2500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3159/1 0.09% 0.06%
133 RSA Keelan Van Wyk 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3159/1 0.07% 0.04%
134 RSA Otto Van Buynder 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3159/1 0.06% 0.03%
135 RSA Franklin Manchest 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3159/1 0.06% 0.03%
136 RSA Matthew Spacey 2500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3159/1 0.05% 0.02%
137 RSA Callum Mowat 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3159/1 0.05% 0.02%
138 RSA Quintin Wilsnach 2500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3159/1 0.05% 0.02%
139 RSA Werner Deyzel 2500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3159/1 0.04% 0.01%
140 MRI Pierre Pellegrin 2500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3159/1 0% -0.03%
141 Keegan Mclachlan 2500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3159/1 0% -0.03%
142 Stuart Krog 2500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3159/1 0% -0.03%
143 RSA Albert Venter 4000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 5054/1 0.24% 0.22%
144 USA Stuart L. Smith 4000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 5054/1 0% -0.02%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 24.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.7 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 49.9% 14.4%
2 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 35.6% 21.9%
3 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 35.6% 21.9%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 40% 23.6%
5 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 51.9% 25.4%
6 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 64.5% 25.6%
7 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 44.5% 27.6%
8 AK Bets 5 @ 1/4 46.5% 29.3%
9 Star Sports 5 @ 1/4 46.6% 29.4%
10 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 57.8% 30.2%
11 VBet 6 @ 1/5 47% 32.2%
12 LiveScore Bet 6 @ 1/5 48% 33.2%
13 Coral 6 @ 1/5 48.3% 33.4%
14 Ladbrokes 6 @ 1/5 48.4% 33.4%
15 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 49% 34%
16 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 49% 34%
17 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 53.2% 35.2%
18 Betway 6 @ 1/5 54% 38.5%
19 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 54.3% 38.8%
20 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 54.7% 39.1%