Betting Market Analysis for THE PLAYERS Championship

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 3 days ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 7/1 4.54% -7.86%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 15/1 3.05% -3.15%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 21/1 2.18% -2.37%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 27/1 2.05% -1.54%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 33/1 2.61% -0.35%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 33/1 1.24% -1.72%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 37/1 1.98% -0.64%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 37/1 1.44% -1.18%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 1.64% -0.71%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 49/1 1.33% -0.68%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 59/1 1.44% -0.22%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 59/1 1.08% -0.58%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 66/1 1.25% -0.23%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 66/1 1.22% -0.26%
15 CAN Corey Conners 45 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.48% ≈ 66/1 0.93% -0.55%
16 AUS Jason Day 50 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.34% ≈ 74/1 0.83% -0.5%
17 USA Daniel Berger 50 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.34% ≈ 74/1 0.67% -0.67%
18 ENG Aaron Rai 60 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.12% ≈ 88/1 1.15% 0.04%
19 KOR Siwoo Kim 60 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.12% ≈ 88/1 0.69% -0.43%
20 SCO Robert MacIntyre 66 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.02% ≈ 97/1 1.38% 0.36%
21 USA Maverick McNealy 66 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.02% ≈ 97/1 1.2% 0.18%
22 NOR Viktor Hovland 66 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.02% ≈ 97/1 1.03% 0.02%
23 USA Tony Finau 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.02% ≈ 97/1 0.93% -0.09%
24 USA Wyndham Clark 70 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.96% ≈ 103/1 1.39% 0.43%
25 USA Jordan Spieth 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.96% ≈ 103/1 0.55% -0.41%
26 KOR Woohyun Kim 70 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.96% ≈ 103/1 0.05% -0.92%
27 AUS Adam Scott 80 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 1.03% 0.19%
28 USA Sam Burns 80 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 0.93% 0.09%
29 USA Michael Kim 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 0.82% -0.02%
30 USA Denny McCarthy 80 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 0.81% -0.03%
31 USA J.J Spaun 80 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 0.78% -0.06%
32 USA Will Zalatoris 80 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 0.53% -0.31%
33 USA Akshay Bhatia 90 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.75% ≈ 132/1 1.04% 0.29%
34 CAN Taylor Pendrith 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.75% ≈ 132/1 0.88% 0.13%
35 USA Benjamin Griffin 90 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.75% ≈ 132/1 0.84% 0.09%
36 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 90 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.75% ≈ 132/1 0.83% 0.08%
37 AUS Minwoo Lee 90 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.75% ≈ 132/1 0.76% 0.01%
38 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 90 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.75% ≈ 132/1 0.67% -0.08%
39 CAN Nick Taylor 100 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% ≈ 147/1 1.04% 0.37%
40 USA Brian Harman 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% ≈ 147/1 0.9% 0.22%
41 USA Davis Thompson 100 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% ≈ 147/1 0.8% 0.13%
42 USA Doug Ghim 100 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% ≈ 147/1 0.5% -0.17%
43 USA Rickie Fowler 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% ≈ 147/1 0.44% -0.23%
44 BEL Thomas Detry 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.61% ≈ 162/1 1.16% 0.54%
45 USA Sahith Theegala 125 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% ≈ 184/1 1.22% 0.68%
46 KOR Byeong Hun An 125 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% ≈ 184/1 0.93% 0.39%
47 USA JT Poston 125 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% ≈ 184/1 0.87% 0.33%
48 USA Lucas Glover 125 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% ≈ 184/1 0.86% 0.32%
49 ENG Justin Rose 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% ≈ 184/1 0.84% 0.3%
50 USA Alex Smalley 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% ≈ 184/1 0.41% -0.14%
51 USA Billy Horschel 150 (BetVictor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.45% ≈ 220/1 1.23% 0.78%
52 USA Max Greyserman 150 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% ≈ 220/1 0.95% 0.5%
53 USA Joe Highsmith 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% ≈ 220/1 0.67% 0.22%
54 ENG Laurie Canter 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% ≈ 220/1 0.67% 0.22%
55 USA Keith Mitchell 150 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% ≈ 220/1 0.47% 0.02%
56 USA Kurt Kitayama 150 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% ≈ 220/1 0.42% -0.04%
57 USA Austin Eckroat 175 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.86% 0.47%
58 GER Stephan Jaeger 175 (BetVictor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.86% 0.47%
59 USA Harris English 175 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.84% 0.46%
60 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 175 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.81% 0.43%
61 AUS Cameron Davis 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.81% 0.42%
62 USA Cameron Young 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.73% 0.34%
63 USA Patrick Rodgers 175 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.67% 0.28%
64 USA Andrew Novak 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.62% 0.23%
65 USA Taylor Moore 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.6% 0.21%
66 USA Beau Hossler 175 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.57% 0.18%
67 USA Jacob Bridgeman 175 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.49% 0.11%
68 IRL Seamus Power 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.4% 0.01%
69 USA Joel Dahmen 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.31% -0.08%
70 USA Ryan Gerard 175 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.3% -0.08%
71 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 294/1 0.66% 0.32%
72 USA Samuel Stevens 200 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 294/1 0.62% 0.28%
73 USA Max McGreevy 200 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 294/1 0.61% 0.27%
74 USA Jake Knappe 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 294/1 0.54% 0.2%
75 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 200 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 294/1 0.53% 0.19%
76 ENG Harry Hall 200 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 294/1 0.52% 0.18%
77 USA Andrew Putnam 200 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 294/1 0.4% 0.06%
78 AUS Kevin Yuan 200 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 294/1 0.07% -0.27%
79 USA Eric Cole 225 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.3% ≈ 330/1 0.7% 0.4%
80 USA Mackenzie Hughes 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 367/1 0.69% 0.42%
81 USA Tom Hoge 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 367/1 0.66% 0.38%
82 CAN Adam Hadwin 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 367/1 0.6% 0.33%
83 USA Chris Kirk 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 367/1 0.59% 0.32%
84 USA Lee Hodges 250 (QuinnBet: 1 @ 1/1) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 367/1 0.53% 0.26%
85 FRA Victor Perez 250 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 367/1 0.51% 0.24%
86 USA Brian Campbell 250 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 367/1 0.49% 0.22%
87 Karl Vilips 250 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 367/1 0.37% 0.09%
88 USA Matt Kuchar 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 367/1 0.36% 0.09%
89 CAN Adam Svensson 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 367/1 0.36% 0.09%
90 USA Chan Kim 250 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 367/1 0.35% 0.07%
91 USA Kevin Roy 250 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 367/1 0.29% 0.02%
92 USA Gary Woodland 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 367/1 0.25% -0.02%
93 RSA Erik van Rooyen 275 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.25% ≈ 404/1 0.58% 0.33%
94 USA Patrick Fishburn 275 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.25% ≈ 404/1 0.45% 0.21%
95 USA Nick Dunlap 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 440/1 0.75% 0.52%
96 USA Max Homa 300 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 440/1 0.6% 0.37%
97 SWE Jesper Svensson 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 440/1 0.47% 0.24%
98 NZL Ryan Fox 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 440/1 0.46% 0.23%
99 USA Greyson Sigg 300 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 440/1 0.34% 0.11%
100 COL Nicolas Echavarria 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 514/1 0.85% 0.65%
101 AUS Aldrich Potgieter 350 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 514/1 0.36% 0.16%
102 USA Isaiah Salinda 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 514/1 0.3% 0.11%
103 USA Sam Ryder 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 514/1 0.28% 0.09%
104 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 587/1 0.45% 0.28%
105 USA Adam Schenk 400 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 587/1 0.45% 0.28%
106 USA Charley Hoffman 400 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 587/1 0.44% 0.27%
107 TPE C.T. Pan 400 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 587/1 0.33% 0.16%
108 SWE Henrik Norlander 400 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 587/1 0.28% 0.11%
109 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 587/1 0.27% 0.1%
110 USA Chad Ramey 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 587/1 0.19% 0.02%
111 USA Matt McCarty 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.74% 0.61%
112 USA Justin Lower 500 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.55% 0.41%
113 USA Mark Hubbard 500 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.44% 0.31%
114 USA Davis Riley 500 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.41% 0.27%
115 USA Ben Kohles 500 (QuinnBet: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.37% 0.24%
116 USA Carson Young 500 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.37% 0.23%
117 CAN Benjamin Silverman 500 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.28% 0.15%
118 USA Brice Garnett 500 (QuinnBet: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.27% 0.13%
119 USA Jackson Suber 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.26% 0.12%
120 USA Lanto Griffin 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.2% 0.07%
121 USA Bud Cauley 500 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.18% 0.04%
122 FRA Matthieu Pavon 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 880/1 0.86% 0.74%
123 USA Vincent Whaley 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 880/1 0.39% 0.28%
124 ARG Emiliano Grillo 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 880/1 0.38% 0.27%
125 USA Luke List 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 880/1 0.37% 0.26%
126 USA Patton Kizzire 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1100/1 0.4% 0.31%
127 USA Frankie Capan 750 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1100/1 0.36% 0.27%
128 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1100/1 0.33% 0.24%
129 USA Chandler Phillips 750 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1100/1 0.32% 0.23%
130 USA Hayden Springer 750 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1100/1 0.29% 0.2%
131 ARG Alejandro Tosti 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1100/1 0.28% 0.19%
132 USA William Gordon 750 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1100/1 0.14% 0.05%
133 USA Trey Mullinax 750 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1100/1 0.1% 0%
134 USA David Lipsky 1000 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1467/1 0.32% 0.26%
135 FIN Sami Valimaki 1000 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1467/1 0.32% 0.25%
136 USA Nate Lashley 1000 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1467/1 0.24% 0.17%
137 USA Peter Malnati 2500 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3666/1 0.36% 0.33%
138 COL Camilo Villegas 2500 (PricedUp: 6 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3666/1 0.22% 0.2%
139 ENG David Skinns 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3666/1 0.2% 0.17%
140 USA Will Chandler 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3666/1 0.14% 0.12%
141 PUR Rafael Campos 3000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.03% 0.02% ≈ 4399/1 0.29% 0.27%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 32.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.6 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Paddy Power 10 @ 1/5 73% 15.1%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 53.4% 17.2%
3 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 57.3% 20.2%
4 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 58.4% 21%
5 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 59.1% 21.6%
6 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 60.4% 22.6%
7 BoyleSports 10 @ 1/5 88.6% 25.6%
8 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 88.9% 25.8%
9 Coral 10 @ 1/5 88.9% 25.8%
10 Spreadex 7 @ 1/5 53.9% 27.2%
11 Sporting Index 7 @ 1/5 53.9% 27.2%
12 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 46.6% 29.5%
13 Star Sports 6 @ 1/5 45.3% 30.6%
14 LiveScore Bet 7 @ 1/5 58.5% 31%
15 Unibet 7 @ 1/5 58.7% 31.2%
16 BetMGM UK 7 @ 1/5 58.7% 31.2%
17 PricedUp 6 @ 1/5 48.8% 34%
18 Betway 7 @ 1/5 63.8% 35.4%
19 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 53.2% 35.4%
20 BetGoodwin 7 @ 1/5 67.3% 38.3%
21 AK Bets 5 @ 1/5 41.8% 39.9%
22 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 56.9% 41.2%
23 QuinnBet 1 @ 1/1 50.7% 50.7%