Betting Market Analysis for Phoenix Open
Key
Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).
Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.
Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.
Forecast Table
Up to date as of: yesterday
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| # | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Discrep. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 4/1 | 6.72% | -12.04% | |
| 2 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 16/1 | 1.65% | -4.21% | |
| 3 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 20/1 | 2.89% | -1.8% | |
| 4 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 32/1 | 1.83% | -1.23% | |
| 5 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 36/1 | 1.41% | -1.3% | |
| 6 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 47/1 | 1.87% | -0.2% | |
| 7 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 47/1 | 0.07% | -2% | |
| 8 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 50/1 | 1.79% | -0.16% | |
| 9 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 57/1 | 1.33% | -0.38% | |
| 10 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 57/1 | 1.12% | -0.59% | |
| 11 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 71/1 | 1.9% | 0.53% | |
| 12 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 79/1 | 1.43% | 0.17% | |
| 13 |
| Matthew Fitzpatrick | 55 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.79% | 1.26% ≈ 79/1 | 1.09% | -0.17% | |
| 14 |
| JT Poston | 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.64% | 1.15% ≈ 86/1 | 1.28% | 0.13% | |
| 15 |
| Maverick McNealy | 60 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.64% | 1.15% ≈ 86/1 | 1.21% | 0.06% | |
| 16 |
| Rasmus Hojgaard | 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.64% | 1.15% ≈ 86/1 | 1.13% | -0.02% | |
| 17 |
| Siwoo Kim | 60 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.64% | 1.15% ≈ 86/1 | 0.9% | -0.26% | |
| 18 |
| J.J Spaun | 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.64% | 1.15% ≈ 86/1 | 0.84% | -0.32% | |
| 19 |
| Billy Horschel | 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.05% ≈ 94/1 | 1.76% | 0.71% | |
| 20 |
| Akshay Bhatia | 66 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.05% ≈ 94/1 | 1.41% | 0.36% | |
| 21 |
| Max Greyserman | 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.05% ≈ 94/1 | 1.31% | 0.26% | |
| 22 |
| Cameron Young | 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.05% ≈ 94/1 | 1.11% | 0.06% | |
| 23 |
| Luke Clanton(Am) | 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.05% ≈ 94/1 | 0.57% | -0.48% | |
| 24 |
| Wyndham Clark | 70 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.41% | 0.99% ≈ 100/1 | 2.18% | 1.19% | |
| 25 |
| Benjamin Griffin | 70 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) | 1.41% | 0.99% ≈ 100/1 | 0.99% | 0% | |
| 26 |
| Rickie Fowler | 70 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.41% | 0.99% ≈ 100/1 | 0.7% | -0.29% | |
| 27 |
| Kurt Kitayama | 70 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.41% | 0.99% ≈ 100/1 | 0.69% | -0.3% | |
| 28 |
| Austin Eckroat | 80 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.87% ≈ 114/1 | 1.25% | 0.38% | |
| 29 |
| Davis Thompson | 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.87% ≈ 114/1 | 1.14% | 0.27% | |
| 30 |
| Lucas Glover | 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.87% ≈ 114/1 | 1.06% | 0.19% | |
| 31 |
| Denny McCarthy | 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.87% ≈ 114/1 | 1.04% | 0.17% | |
| 32 |
| Minwoo Lee | 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.87% ≈ 114/1 | 1.02% | 0.15% | |
| 33 |
| Max Homa | 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.87% ≈ 114/1 | 0.99% | 0.12% | |
| 34 |
| Tom Hoge | 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.87% ≈ 114/1 | 0.94% | 0.07% | |
| 35 |
| Beau Hossler | 80 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.87% ≈ 114/1 | 0.84% | -0.03% | |
| 36 |
| Keith Mitchell | 80 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.87% ≈ 114/1 | 0.67% | -0.2% | |
| 37 |
| Jordan Spieth | 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.87% ≈ 114/1 | 0.67% | -0.2% | |
| 38 |
| Thomas Detry | 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.77% ≈ 128/1 | 1.06% | 0.28% | |
| 39 |
| Lee Hodges | 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.77% ≈ 128/1 | 0.81% | 0.03% | |
| 40 |
| Andrew Novak | 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.77% ≈ 128/1 | 0.79% | 0.01% | |
| 41 |
| Harry Hall | 90 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.77% ≈ 128/1 | 0.78% | 0% | |
| 42 |
| Samuel Stevens | 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.7% ≈ 143/1 | 0.83% | 0.13% | |
| 43 |
| Charley Hoffman | 100 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.7% ≈ 143/1 | 0.65% | -0.04% | |
| 44 |
| Gary Woodland | 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.7% ≈ 143/1 | 0.34% | -0.36% | |
| 45 |
| Brian Harman | 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.9% | 0.63% ≈ 157/1 | 1.36% | 0.72% | |
| 46 |
| Taylor Moore | 110 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.63% ≈ 157/1 | 0.8% | 0.17% | |
| 47 |
| Matt Kuchar | 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.9% | 0.63% ≈ 157/1 | 0.58% | -0.06% | |
| 48 |
| Eric Cole | 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.56% ≈ 178/1 | 1.09% | 0.54% | |
| 49 |
| Doug Ghim | 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.56% ≈ 178/1 | 0.7% | 0.15% | |
| 50 |
| Seamus Power | 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.56% ≈ 178/1 | 0.52% | -0.03% | |
| 51 |
| Daniel Berger | 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.56% ≈ 178/1 | 0.48% | -0.08% | |
| 52 |
| Nicolas Echavarria | 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 214/1 | 1.24% | 0.77% | |
| 53 |
| Nick Dunlap | 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 214/1 | 1.09% | 0.62% | |
| 54 |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 150 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 214/1 | 1.02% | 0.55% | |
| 55 |
| Nicolai Hojgaard | 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 214/1 | 0.94% | 0.47% | |
| 56 |
| Matt Wallace | 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 214/1 | 0.93% | 0.46% | |
| 57 |
| Chris Kirk | 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 214/1 | 0.91% | 0.45% | |
| 58 |
| Adam Hadwin | 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 214/1 | 0.85% | 0.38% | |
| 59 |
| Ryan Fox | 150 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 214/1 | 0.74% | 0.27% | |
| 60 |
| Patrick Fishburn | 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 214/1 | 0.68% | 0.21% | |
| 61 |
| Patrick Rodgers | 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 214/1 | 0.67% | 0.21% | |
| 62 |
| Alex Smalley | 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 214/1 | 0.5% | 0.04% | |
| 63 |
| Michael Thorbjornsen | 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 214/1 | 0.31% | -0.15% | |
| 64 |
| Bud Cauley | 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 214/1 | 0.21% | -0.25% | |
| 65 |
| Kevin Yuan | 150 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 214/1 | 0.07% | -0.39% | |
| 66 |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 175 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 249/1 | 1% | 0.6% | |
| 67 |
| Victor Perez | 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 249/1 | 0.75% | 0.35% | |
| 68 |
| Mark Hubbard | 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 249/1 | 0.71% | 0.31% | |
| 69 |
| Jake Knappe | 175 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 249/1 | 0.64% | 0.24% | |
| 70 |
| C.T. Pan | 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 249/1 | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 71 |
| Jacob Bridgeman | 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 249/1 | 0.4% | 0% | |
| 72 |
| Frankie Capan | 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 285/1 | 0.54% | 0.19% | |
| 73 |
| Andrew Putnam | 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 285/1 | 0.53% | 0.18% | |
| 74 |
| Kyounghoon Lee | 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 285/1 | 0.52% | 0.17% | |
| 75 |
| Chan Kim | 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 285/1 | 0.48% | 0.13% | |
| 76 |
| Sam Ryder | 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 285/1 | 0.41% | 0.06% | |
| 77 |
| Erik van Rooyen | 225 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.44% | 0.31% ≈ 320/1 | 0.8% | 0.49% | |
| 78 |
| Adam Svensson | 225 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.44% | 0.31% ≈ 320/1 | 0.55% | 0.24% | |
| 79 |
| Webb Simpson | 225 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.44% | 0.31% ≈ 320/1 | 0.19% | -0.12% | |
| 80 |
| Thriston Lawrence | 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 356/1 | 1.11% | 0.83% | |
| 81 |
| Adam Schenk | 250 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 356/1 | 0.68% | 0.4% | |
| 82 |
| Michael Kim | 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 356/1 | 0.48% | 0.2% | |
| 83 |
| Greyson Sigg | 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 356/1 | 0.45% | 0.17% | |
| 84 |
| Hayden Springer | 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 356/1 | 0.42% | 0.14% | |
| 85 |
| Joe Highsmith | 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 356/1 | 0.41% | 0.13% | |
| 86 |
| Matt McCarty | 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.23% ≈ 427/1 | 1.12% | 0.89% | |
| 87 |
| Joel Dahmen | 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.33% | 0.23% ≈ 427/1 | 0.38% | 0.15% | |
| 88 |
| Kristoffer Ventura | 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.23% ≈ 427/1 | 0.36% | 0.12% | |
| 89 |
| Vincent Whaley | 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.2% ≈ 498/1 | 0.56% | 0.36% | |
| 90 |
| Carson Young | 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.2% ≈ 498/1 | 0.53% | 0.33% | |
| 91 |
| Vincent Norrman | 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.2% ≈ 498/1 | 0.33% | 0.13% | |
| 92 |
| Lanto Griffin | 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.2% ≈ 498/1 | 0.29% | 0.09% | |
| 93 |
| William Gordon | 350 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.2% ≈ 498/1 | 0.21% | 0.01% | |
| 94 |
| Patton Kizzire | 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 569/1 | 0.62% | 0.45% | |
| 95 |
| Luke List | 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 569/1 | 0.57% | 0.4% | |
| 96 |
| Nate Lashley | 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 569/1 | 0.39% | 0.22% | |
| 97 |
| Chad Ramey | 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 569/1 | 0.28% | 0.1% | |
| 98 |
| Matthieu Pavon | 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 711/1 | 1.32% | 1.18% | |
| 99 |
| Ryo Hisatsune | 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 711/1 | 0.67% | 0.53% | |
| 100 |
| Paul Waring | 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 711/1 | 0.66% | 0.52% | |
| 101 |
| Emiliano Grillo | 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 711/1 | 0.64% | 0.5% | |
| 102 |
| Ben Kohles | 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 711/1 | 0.57% | 0.43% | |
| 103 |
| Chandler Phillips | 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 711/1 | 0.48% | 0.33% | |
| 104 |
| Benjamin Silverman | 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 711/1 | 0.4% | 0.25% | |
| 105 |
| Henrik Norlander | 500 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 711/1 | 0.39% | 0.25% | |
| 106 |
| Kevin Streelman | 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 711/1 | 0.35% | 0.21% | |
| 107 |
| Brice Garnett | 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 711/1 | 0.34% | 0.2% | |
| 108 |
| Nick Hardy | 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 711/1 | 0.28% | 0.14% | |
| 109 |
| Ben Martin | 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 711/1 | 0.19% | 0.05% | |
| 110 |
| Trey Mullinax | 500 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 711/1 | 0.1% | -0.04% | |
| 111 |
| Jose Luis Ballester | 500 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 711/1 | 0% | -0.14% | |
| 112 |
| David Lipsky | 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.17% | 0.12% ≈ 853/1 | 0.5% | 0.38% | |
| 113 |
| Sami Valimaki | 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.17% | 0.12% ≈ 853/1 | 0.48% | 0.37% | |
| 114 |
| Brendon Todd | 750 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.13% | 0.09% ≈ 1067/1 | 0.61% | 0.51% | |
| 115 |
| Brandt Snedeker | 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.13% | 0.09% ≈ 1067/1 | 0.14% | 0.04% | |
| 116 |
| Davis Riley | 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1422/1 | 0.59% | 0.52% | |
| 117 |
| Taylor Montgomery | 1000 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1422/1 | 0.28% | 0.21% | |
| 118 |
| Chez Reavie | 1000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1422/1 | 0.25% | 0.18% | |
| 119 |
| Ryan Palmer | 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1422/1 | 0.13% | 0.06% | |
| 120 |
| David Skinns | 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.05% | 0.04% ≈ 2843/1 | 0.3% | 0.27% | |
| 121 |
| Peter Malnati | 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.04% | 0.03% ≈ 3554/1 | 0.54% | 0.51% | |
| 122 |
| Rafael Campos | 2500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.04% | 0.03% ≈ 3554/1 | 0.44% | 0.41% | |
| 123 |
| Camilo Villegas | 2500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.04% | 0.03% ≈ 3554/1 | 0.33% | 0.3% | |
| 124 |
| Kevin Kisner | 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.04% | 0.03% ≈ 3554/1 | 0.05% | 0.02% | |
| 125 |
| Jesse Mueller | 4000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.02% | 0.02% ≈ 5686/1 | 0% | -0.02% | |
Bookie Analysis
Overround of best available: 33.6 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.6 %
Key
Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skybet | 8 @ 1/5 | 56.1% | 19.7% |
| 2 | Paddy Power | 8 @ 1/5 | 62.1% | 24.6% |
| 3 | William Hill | 8 @ 1/5 | 65% | 26.4% |
| 4 | 888Sport | 8 @ 1/5 | 65.1% | 26.5% |
| 5 | Betfred | 5 @ 1/4 | 43.9% | 27.3% |
| 6 | Betway | 8 @ 1/5 | 67.8% | 28.5% |
| 7 | Betfair Sportsbook | 8 @ 1/5 | 67.8% | 28.9% |
| 8 | Ladbrokes | 10 @ 1/5 | 93.9% | 29.7% |
| 9 | Coral | 10 @ 1/5 | 93.9% | 29.7% |
| 10 | BetVictor | 5 @ 1/4 | 48.1% | 31.1% |
| 11 | BoyleSports | 10 @ 1/5 | 97.1% | 31.7% |
| 12 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 48.9% | 31.7% |
| 13 | LiveScore Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 48% | 33.3% |
| 14 | Unibet | 6 @ 1/5 | 48.7% | 33.9% |
| 15 | BetMGM UK | 6 @ 1/5 | 48.7% | 33.9% |
| 16 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 49.3% | 34.4% |
| 17 | Sporting Index | 6 @ 1/5 | 49.3% | 34.4% |
| 18 | VBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 52.8% | 37.5% |
| 19 | 10Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 58.4% | 42.6% |
| 20 | PricedUp | 6 @ 1/5 | 60.3% | 44.3% |
| 21 | QuinnBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 70.1% | 53.1% |
| 22 | BetGoodwin | 6 @ 1/5 | 70.1% | 53.1% |